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Get Ready For 11% Unemployment In January
Business Insider ^ | 01/11/10 | David Kotok

Posted on 01/11/2010 8:55:23 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster

Get Ready For 11% Unemployment In January

David Kotok | Jan. 11, 2010, 3:11 PM

To be blunt: in our view the jobs data were plainly miserable and disappointing.

Like many of our readers, I listened to the debate on CNBC and read numerous analyses. We will set aside the perennial optimists who find positive outcomes in any data set. Simply put: a 10% unemployment rate and a 17.3% underemployment rate are two extremely serious numbers.

They help explain the market’s immediate reaction, which was a Treasury bond price rally and a drop in the 2-year note yield to an intraday low of 0.936%.

/snip

Let’s dig a little deeper into the jobs situation. We expect the January report is going to be a startling one when it is released in early February. It will be the first time we will see the full results of the annual revisions of the benchmarks used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The revisions will show that there was a net job loss in the United States for the entire decade. We guess the net loss will be about 1 million.

Furthermore, the number of discouraged workers who have left the labor force and the true size of the labor force will be better estimated once the revisions are public. Also, the differences between the two survey methods used to determine these statistics may become clear. They will show that if the labor force figure included those who would be genuinely seeking jobs were they not discouraged. We believe the revised figures will indicate the true unemployment rate might be closer to 11% than 10%.

Some of the details in the report show how severe things are. The unemployment rate for college graduates hit a new all-time high of 5%.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; thecomingdepression; unemployment
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To: kcvl

actually, I have started to perfect some of my polish recipes to do just that. I am going to have hubby take orders at work and I am going to ask our parish priest if I can let folks at church know about it. I am going to be starting out with pierogis and stuffed cabbage. These two things I can make in my sleep LOL, and every time hubby brings them for a holiday potluck at work the folks go crazy for them.

Thanks for the thought... the bread may be the next avenue :)

any freepers that love a good old fashioned homemade pierogi or stuffed cabbage.....send me a freepmail :)


21 posted on 01/11/2010 9:32:53 PM PST by wombtotomb
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To: hal ogen

“Where are all those ever-promised “green” jobs, nobama????”

They’re out there, they are called “lawn mowing”.


22 posted on 01/11/2010 9:37:44 PM PST by Pelham (ObamaCare, it comes with a toe tag)
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To: cmsgop
11% is gonna freak peeps out BIGTIME

23 posted on 01/11/2010 9:42:38 PM PST by Bratch
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To: TigerLikesRooster

24 posted on 01/11/2010 9:47:51 PM PST by freespirited (People talk about "too big to fail." Our government is too big to succeed. --Chris Chocola)
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To: freespirited
This time around, it is not a malaise, but a plague.
25 posted on 01/11/2010 9:56:36 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster (LUV DIC -- L,U,V-shaped recession, Depression, Inflation, Collapse)
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To: wombtotomb

I prayed to GOD to help you find a good job to sustain you and your family. GOD bless you. You are not alone. I am sure there are many people praying for you right now. Hang in there.


26 posted on 01/11/2010 11:19:00 PM PST by Do the math (Doug)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

No wonder Obama doesn’t want to talk to the press. I predicted 11.4% by March...my cousin who works on Wall St. says 11.6% by March and that it will probably bubble up to 11.8% by June and then back down to 10.8% by September with everyone having summer jobs.


27 posted on 01/11/2010 11:24:09 PM PST by My Favorite Headache
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To: My Favorite Headache
Sounds like a conservative estimate.
28 posted on 01/11/2010 11:28:38 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster (LUV DIC -- L,U,V-shaped recession, Depression, Inflation, Collapse)
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To: wombtotomb

I notice at the boutiques where I sell Watkins stuff at Christmas that tamales sell like crazy.

Perhaps the food items you mention would sell well at Christmas type boutiques.

I know it’s a few months off, but it’s something to think about.


29 posted on 01/11/2010 11:29:42 PM PST by Marie2 (The second mouse gets the cheese.)
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To: TigerLikesRooster

I think so too...he said the reality is we are more like 17.6% right now and will be up around 18% by Spring...but playing the government numbers game he doesn’t see them going any higher publicly than 11.8%.


30 posted on 01/11/2010 11:36:09 PM PST by My Favorite Headache
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To: wombtotomb
Remember, God helps those who helps themselves.
I watch a program about chefs in New York. In order to make ends meet they have gone underground. The chefs throw invention only inhome dinner parties. Donations highly recommended.
31 posted on 01/12/2010 12:46:12 AM PST by steveab (When was the last time someone tried to sell you a CO2 induced climate control system for your home?)
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To: Do the math

Thanks for your prayers. We are a family of very deep faith. Every prayer is for us is more precious than gold. We have always had a “just get by” kind of life because I stayed home with the kids. I don’t regret that decision for one millisecond though. Our oldest, 22, is a devout Catholic who is getting married next weekend to an incredible girl, our middle-just shy of 18, is off to seminary in the fall to become a Catholic priest, and I am finishing up the homeschooling of our youngest-16 as I await the priviledge of becoming a grandma in the next year or two. Life could not be better for us, though it would be nice if it were a bit easier financially.

God has always met our needs and most of our wants, but that is because our wants are not material. I have always prayed for my familys faith and health to be strong, and for my husband and I to have what we need to care for them. We always do. Now that they are grown, they truly are as scripture suggests, like olive branches around our table. I am so blessed! I was warned by many that raising a faithful family, especially with a child called to the priesthood,the attacks on our family would be hard, but that God will always provide a way. I can attest that truer words were never spoken, but it has grown our marriage, our faith, and that of our children. God knows what He is doing :)


32 posted on 01/12/2010 5:58:14 AM PST by wombtotomb
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To: TigerLikesRooster

I won’t be ready for that!


33 posted on 01/12/2010 6:30:43 AM PST by jiggyboy (Ten per cent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: glorgau
This means, of course, that we must expand the H1-B program and extend amnesty to “undocumented” workers.

High unemployment could be a blessing in disguise in that it will fuel intense opposition to amnesty. Blacks, whites and legal hispanics all want jobs and I doubt they'll take too kindly to providing them to "undocumented" workers - a/k/a illegals. Republicans should run with it. But they won't...

34 posted on 01/12/2010 6:34:43 AM PST by jersey117
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To: misterrob

“The number will not increase so long as people keep dropping out of the work force.”
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

When we have nobody working except government and everyone else has dropped out and started robbing banks then we will have zero unemployment. A true socialist paradise.


35 posted on 01/12/2010 7:00:05 AM PST by RipSawyer (Trying to reason with a leftist is like trying to catch sunshine in a fish net at midnight.)
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To: wombtotomb
We have people who make a ‘menu’ w/prices and pass it out at banks, offices, etc. Call the local civic organizations and large corporations who have monthly meetings. They are always looking for something new to serve. I wish you were here in Arkansas!

You will be surprised at how many groups are looking for something different to serve and how often they meet. Then, word of mouth takes off and you will be overwhelmed with orders.

A couple of ladies here have grown their business to where they have had to rent a space to cook everything. During Christmas they had to stop taking orders they were so busy.

BTW, some of the caterers here also do funerals. People who have full time jobs most of the time don’t have time to cook food to serve the family. They just order it and have it delivered. Just another suggestion.

Good luck! I hope you have great results!

36 posted on 01/12/2010 8:35:43 AM PST by kcvl
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To: TigerLikesRooster
Barry and his Progressive enablers and financiers know that “The Plan” IS working.
37 posted on 01/12/2010 8:48:29 AM PST by gathersnomoss (General George Patton had it right.)
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To: purplelobster

“moderate citizens start clamoring for impeachment.”

NEVER HAPPEN!


38 posted on 01/12/2010 8:50:00 AM PST by gathersnomoss (General George Patton had it right.)
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To: wombtotomb

Ditto’s. God Speed.


39 posted on 01/12/2010 8:52:07 AM PST by gathersnomoss (General George Patton had it right.)
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To: wombtotomb

...”starting out with pierogis and stuffed cabbage.”

Pittsburgh area?


40 posted on 01/12/2010 8:54:09 AM PST by gathersnomoss (General George Patton had it right.)
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