Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Massachusetts: 'Bottom has fallen out' of Coakley's polls
Washington Examiner ^ | 01-15-10 | Byron York

Posted on 01/15/2010 11:28:14 AM PST by GOP_Lady

Here in Massachusetts, as well as in Washington, a growing sense of gloom is setting in among Democrats about the fortunes of Democratic Senate candidate Martha Coakley. "I have heard that in the last two days the bottom has fallen out of her poll numbers," says one well-connected Democratic strategist. In her own polling, Coakley is said to be around five points behind Republican Scott Brown. "If she's not six or eight ahead going into the election, all the intensity is on the other side in terms of turnout," the Democrat says. "So right now, she is destined to lose."

Intensifying the gloom, the Democrat says, is the fact that the same polls showing Coakley falling behind also show President Obama with a healthy approval rating in the state. "With Obama at 60 percent in Massachusetts, this shouldn't be happening, but it is," the Democrat says.

Given those numbers, some Democrats, eager to distance Obama from any electoral failure, are beginning to compare Coakley to Creigh Deeds, the losing Democratic candidate in the Virginia governor's race last year. Deeds ran such a lackluster campaign, Democrats say, that his defeat could be solely attributed to his own shortcomings, and should not be seen as a referendum on President Obama's policies or those of the national Democratic party.

The same sort of thinking is emerging in Massachusetts. "This is a Creigh Deeds situation," the Democrat says. "I don't think it says that the Obama agenda is a problem. I think it says, 1) that she's a terrible candidate, 2) that she ran a terrible campaign, 3) that the climate is difficult but she should have been able to overcome it, and 4) that Democrats beware -- you better run good campaigns, or you're going to lose."

With the election still four days away, Democrats are still hoping that "something could happen" to change the dynamics of the race. But until that thing happens, the situation as it exists today explains Barack Obama's decision not to travel to Massachusetts to campaign for Coakley. "If the White House thinks she can win, Obama will be there," the Democrat says. "If they don't think she can win, he won't be there." For national Democrats, the task is now to insulate Obama against any suggestion that a Coakley defeat would be a judgment on the president's agenda and performance in office.

The private talk among Democrats is also reflected in some public polling on the race. Late Thursday, we learned the results of a Suffolk University poll showing Brown in the lead by four points, 50 percent to 46 percent. That poll showed Obama with a 55 percent approval rating. Also on Thursday, two of Washington's leading political analysts, Stuart Rothenberg and Charlie Cook, each changed their assessment of the Brown/Coakley race from a narrow advantage for Coakley to a toss-up.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Massachusetts
KEYWORDS: amirault; brown; byronyork; coakley; ma; ma2010; scottbrown

1 posted on 01/15/2010 11:28:17 AM PST by GOP_Lady
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

My hope is that Mabus does show up and make a fool of himself just like the Olympics.


2 posted on 01/15/2010 11:31:40 AM PST by GauchoUSA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady
the Democrat says. "I don't think it says that the Obama agenda is a problem..."

Keep telling yourselves that lie.

3 posted on 01/15/2010 11:32:05 AM PST by avacado
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady
With the election still four days away, Democrats are still hoping that "something could happen" to change the dynamics of the race.

I'm sure Dem operatives are frantically looking for an "October surprise" for Brown.

4 posted on 01/15/2010 11:32:24 AM PST by Kandy Atz ("Were we directed from Washington when to sow and when to reap, we should soon want for bread.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady
... should not be seen as a referendum on President Obama's policies or those of the national Democratic party.

BULL ...

5 posted on 01/15/2010 11:33:09 AM PST by TexGuy (If it has the slimmest of chances of being considered sarcasm ... IT IS!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

Intensifying the gloom, the Democrat says, is the fact that the same polls showing Coakley falling behind also show President Obama with a healthy approval rating in the state. “With Obama at 60 percent in Massachusetts, this shouldn’t be happening, but it is,” the Democrat says.

Gee, maybe those 60% approval figures are WRONG?


6 posted on 01/15/2010 11:33:47 AM PST by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

The Coakley people are now running around in circles. Bringing in outside help but seem to be losing the battle.


7 posted on 01/15/2010 11:34:11 AM PST by eternity (I like IKE)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady
the Democrat says. "I don't think it says that the Obama agenda is a problem. I think it says, 1) that she's a terrible candidate, 2) that she ran a terrible campaign,

Obama is THE problem, and ALL of the liberal democrats are terrible candidates...and run dishonest reprehensible and thuggish campaigns.

8 posted on 01/15/2010 11:35:00 AM PST by Paul Ross (Ronald Reagan-1987:"We are always willing to be trade partners but never trade patsies.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kandy Atz
I'm sure Dem operatives are frantically looking for an "October surprise" for Brown.

Look for them to unveil Brown's malicious parking ticket on the eve of the election.

9 posted on 01/15/2010 11:36:15 AM PST by meyer (Government health care = national strike.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

Oh man... if this comes to pass I am gonna be one happy happy man Wednesday morning!!!!!!!


10 posted on 01/15/2010 11:36:26 AM PST by Rummyfan (Iraq: it's not about Iraq anymore, it's about the USA!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

Dunno what they’re so gloomy about. The Democrats have SEIU, ACORN and the Massachusettes (sic) Secretary of State. Seems like they can defraud the voters of Massachusetts at both ends of election.


11 posted on 01/15/2010 11:36:40 AM PST by Little Ray (Madame President sounds really good to me...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Paul Ross

Approval rating under 40% and dropping.


12 posted on 01/15/2010 11:36:50 AM PST by eternity (I like IKE)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

Ao, this unnamed Democrat tells us that a “terrible candidate” who “ran a terrible campaign” should nonetheless be elected as a US Senator?


13 posted on 01/15/2010 11:37:05 AM PST by bigbob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

Surreal article about Croakley in the WSJ yesterday by Dorothy Rabinowitz.


14 posted on 01/15/2010 11:38:17 AM PST by wendy1946
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Little Ray

The Mass State Police union is backing Brown. Love the in house battle.


15 posted on 01/15/2010 11:39:22 AM PST by eternity (I like IKE)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: GauchoUSA

Have no fear, the goons from ACORN and SEIU will rectify everything. The Kenyan won’t let this slip away so he will have his thugs and miscreants out in force. Arm yourselves and get ready for the revolution. It’s coming.


16 posted on 01/15/2010 11:40:11 AM PST by dumpthelibs (dumpthelibs)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady
"So right now, she is destined to lose."

Now don't any Mass voters decide to not vote after all because it's 'in the bag.' VOTE!!! make it a landslide!!

17 posted on 01/15/2010 11:40:42 AM PST by theDentist (fybo; qwerty ergo typo : i type, therefore i misspelll)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

Massachusetts maybe having another conversion experience, away from leftist policies.


18 posted on 01/15/2010 11:41:11 AM PST by gitmogrunt (The stupidity of American Liberals never ceases to amaze me.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dumpthelibs

You could be right. I am still shaking my head at our losing in New York’s 23rd District.


19 posted on 01/15/2010 11:41:54 AM PST by Paul Ross (Ronald Reagan-1987:"We are always willing to be trade partners but never trade patsies.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: wendy1946; All

Yes, I know. ;-)

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2428688/posts


20 posted on 01/15/2010 11:43:51 AM PST by GOP_Lady
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Paul Ross

NY 23 did not lose. It was stolen.


21 posted on 01/15/2010 11:44:31 AM PST by Nateman (If liberals aren't screaming you're doing it wrong.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

To me it is clear. Obama’s support is boosted by Blacks. Coke’ly is white. That support boost does not transfer to her.

The Zero has created this monster.


22 posted on 01/15/2010 11:45:31 AM PST by ImJustAnotherOkie (zerogottago)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

Hilarious that the Dems are saying it is not an Obama problem. Throwing her under the bus because if they say O is the problem it would be racist.


23 posted on 01/15/2010 11:48:42 AM PST by Frantzie (TV - sending Americans towards Islamic serfdom - Cancel TV service NOW)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady; All

This could turn out to be a great moment for us.

If Brown somehow pulls this out, it’s the end of the Lib/Corruptocrat agenda, and Tammany Hall on the National Mall becomes like a jail for him, as Dems who want to be reelected flee the ONE!


24 posted on 01/15/2010 11:50:13 AM PST by tcrlaf (Obama White House=Tammany Hall on the National Mall)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Kandy Atz

Maybe Coakley and her dem union goons can push another journalist in the dark and assault them. These people are so evil.

Scott seems like a decent guy.


25 posted on 01/15/2010 11:50:55 AM PST by Frantzie (TV - sending Americans towards Islamic serfdom - Cancel TV service NOW)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

They’ve even dragged out Teddy’s widow to tout that it’s ‘the people’s seat’ LOL!

That stench formerly known as the ‘Kennedy Mystique’ wore off a very long time ago and the most stark evidence of that, was the complete rejection by New Yorkers of a Caroline Kennedy run for the Senate. The gig, shall we say, was up.

The DemocRATs were convinced that Massachusetts wouldn’t vote any other way than Democrat, especially to fill Teddy’s seat, but they miscalculated the mood of the country and now they have a weak candidate. They’ll blame it all on Coakley and her incompetence will allow them to do so, but it really isn’t much of her fault. There have been a great deal of moderate to conservative Democrats in Massachusetts who’ve been waiting patiently for anybody other than another left of center liberal to run for Teddy’s seat.

Obama’s socialist experiments are also some fodder that may lead to a Brown victory. Obama was going to stay home, but he’s going now and that should be a worry for Brown because the President would hardly go there knowing that Coakley could lose… Of course, he thought he could real-in the Olympics too and that didn’t work out very well either. Maybe this will be a repeat of that, but how do they explain a democrat loss? Blaming Coakley will only go so far and Barry will obviously have to accept some responsibility.


26 posted on 01/15/2010 11:52:50 AM PST by jerod (They were Socialist, Pro-Abortionist, Gun Control Nuts & excessive Environmentalist -the NAZI party)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wendy1946

“Surreal article about Croakley in the WSJ yesterday by Dorothy Rabinowitz.”

She is the best writer at WSJ. She took a lonely and potentially career ending decsion to stand up against bogus child care molestation cases like Amiriault and the guy in Florida who had been a cop. Janet Reno was behind the FL one and I think Coakley was behind the Amirault case.

The FL was Grant something? Dorothy was the only person fighting to save these men at one point.


27 posted on 01/15/2010 11:54:16 AM PST by Frantzie (TV - sending Americans towards Islamic serfdom - Cancel TV service NOW)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

Keep in mind the chicken census - Don’t count them before they’ve hatched!


28 posted on 01/15/2010 11:56:39 AM PST by The Sons of Liberty (Pork Eating CRUSADER - FUBO! Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Frantzie

Reno was involved in three cases like that, all of them infamous, and one poor sob is still in prison for imaginary crimes of that nature i.e. Frank Fuster. The other two names which you can look up are Grant Snowden and Bobby Fijnje.


29 posted on 01/15/2010 11:59:49 AM PST by wendy1946
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: Nateman

NY-23 - Thank RINOs New GinGrinch and Fat Dede plus the local RINO GOP scum in the district for that one.


30 posted on 01/15/2010 12:01:11 PM PST by Frantzie (TV - sending Americans towards Islamic serfdom - Cancel TV service NOW)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Little Ray

That is what has me worried. Until Brown is seated in congress, I won’t believe we really have the seat.


31 posted on 01/15/2010 12:05:34 PM PST by Trust but Verify
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: wendy1946

Grant Snowden is the case I remember best. Fuster and his wife engaged in some histronics in the courtroom that did not help his case. I think the wife was probably threatened if she did not testify against him.


32 posted on 01/15/2010 12:13:04 PM PST by Frantzie (TV - sending Americans towards Islamic serfdom - Cancel TV service NOW)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

33 posted on 01/15/2010 12:14:55 PM PST by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TexGuy
BULL ...

Really! I mean, what else could it be, this is MA.

34 posted on 01/15/2010 12:47:37 PM PST by LibertarianLiz
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

Vigilance, vigilance! Watch ‘em at EVERY poll. They’ll steal it if they can.


35 posted on 01/15/2010 12:48:05 PM PST by oneryhombre
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GOP_Lady

To democrats, this kind of news is a call to action: Start stuffing the recount ballot boxes and sending the MA Secretary of State dead fish.


36 posted on 01/15/2010 12:57:33 PM PST by DPMD (~)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: eternity
Scott's also got the Iron Workers Union and most of the local Police Unions. The Iron Workers Union is Congressman Steve Lynch's (D-South Boston) union. I really believe Martha Coakley is toast! Massachusetts believe it or not, has pretty clean elections. They have never needed the big Rat fraud machine here, so I'm not terribly worried about this election getting stolen. The people that really matter in Massachusetts elections are the blue collar, mostly Micks in Boston and the suburbs on the South Shore, the North Shore, Worcester, the Cape etc... Martha doesn't fire up the minority base in Roxbury, Dorchester, Mattapan, Fall River, Springfield etc... So I really believe Scott's going to win this election. I pray that I'm right!
37 posted on 01/15/2010 4:26:39 PM PST by HenpeckedCon (According to the commander in chief, Allah Akbar means "live long and prosper!')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson