Brown's Surge and Remembering New Hampshire

The American Spectator ^ | Klein | Philip

[The Hound Passer]

A new Public Policy Polling survey -- the group's final poll before Tuesday's special election in Massachusetts -- gives Scott Brown a 5-point lead over Martha Coakley. While we've had a lot of polls that have been all over the place depending on the assumptions the pollsters make about the composition of the electorate, the new PPP poll is helpful because we can compare it to a poll taken by the same firm a week ago and detect a trend. In the poll taken by PPP last week, Brown was up 1 point. At the time, that was seen as a wake up call to Democrats that was supposed to get them to start taking the race seriously. So in the intervening week, Coakley and Democrats opened up new lines of attack, tying Brown to outside conservative groups, attack him for being in bed with Wall Street, and clumsily suggesting he wants hospitals to deny care to all rape victims. Despite this, Brown's momentum has continued to grow -- he even now receiving 20 percent support from people who voted for Obama. And while his negatives went up during the week, his favorability rating held steady at 56 percent (vs. 57 percent a week ago) while Coakley's favorables dropped from 50 percent to 44 percent after a series of gaffes. Yet through all of the growing enthusiasm behind Brown, I'm still reminded of the New Hampshire primary in 2008. Barack Obama swept into the state fresh from his victory in Iowa with all of the momentum. He was drawing larger and more energetic crowds. And polls showed that he had erased Hillary Clinton's lead in the state and was poised for a comfortable win -- maybe even in the double digits.

[The Hound Passer]

Not that anyone needs a reminder, but for those Patriots in the Bay State tomorrow, remember Brown's victory depends on a big turnout lest history repeat itself in an odd way. Don't let any Brown supporters lured by the polls. It's still Massachusetts. We need more votes than the Dims have absentee ballots sitting in their trunks.

[MrDem]

No Brown supporters are staying home tomorrow. Mortgage your house, throw in your 401K and kids college money and bet it all on that.

[goldstategop]

A good caution against over-confidence. I think Coakley will lose but with the machine you never do know.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus

[GilGil]

Where this article is totally wrong is that the Obama-Clinton race was not about a referendum on health care.

The Scott Brown race is a referendum on health care and people do not want this communist take over of health care by a margin 0f 20 points. That is where this article is totally wrong.

[RIGHTWING WACKO FROM MASS.]

I don’t care if there’s 3 feet of snow, my wife and I will vote. There’s nothing that could stop us!! GO SCOTT GO!!!!!!!

[Oldpuppymax]

Unpleasant as it may be, remember that Brown will have to win by a BUNCH in order to overcome the inevitable voter fraud, intimidation and thuggery, all of which are trademarks of the dem party. Although the networks won’t report it, I expect to see countless videos shot by actual Americans, showing thugs working to intimidate voters and SEIU vans escorting illegals and blacks to polling places throughout Boston.

[shield]

I believe the dems know this will be a blow out for Brown and will cheat to keep the numbers down...so they will not look so bad...Just a republican winning in Mass...is enough to do just that. GO SCOTT GO!!!!

[Callahan]

I feel the same way. It’s still MA. I expect it to be very close. If Brown does end up winning a in a walk as a couple polls suggest than the Dems won’t just be screwed, they’ll be nailed to the floor.