Skip to comments.First Look At Massachusetts Election Night Poll Data
Posted on 01/19/2010 5:11:59 PM PST by icwhatudo
Rasmussen Reports has conducted an Election Night survey of 1,000 voters in the Massachusetts special election for U.S. Senate. Data will be released on this page throughout the evening.
Polls closed in Massachusetts at 8:00 p.m. Eastern in the race between Democrat Martha Coakley and Republican Scott Brown.
Preliminary results include:
* Among those who decided how they would vote in the past few days, Coakley has a slight edge, 47% to 41%.
* Coakley also has a big advantage among those who made up their mind more than a month ago.
* Seventy-six percent (76%) of voters for Brown said they were voting for him rather than against Coakley.
* Sixty-six percent (66%) of Coakley voters said they were voting for her rather than against Brown.
* 22% of Democrats voted for Brown. That is generally consistent with pre-election polling.
More data will be released soon.
Can you provide the link to view the results on the web?
Not looking good for Brown so far.
I hope more information confirms the opposite.
It’s likely around 10 pm est
These polls are making me nuts.
How can ths be?
I see he left out the one that really matters - independents. There was a small percentage of undecideds, so I’m not too concern about a slight advantage for Coakley there. It will all come down to the independents.
That is not good...and it seems counter intuitive to the trends of the recent polls...
i cant look ...too scared
Rasmussen showing ankle again!
Calculation: if Dems are 40 percent of the vote, at a 22 percent share Brown gets 8.8 percent; if Reps are 15 percent of the vote, he gets 99 percent share or 15 percent; if the remaining are independents, or 45 percent and Brown gets a 60 percent share, he gets 27 points to win 51-49. I personally think he gets a higher percentage of the Indies, and will win 53-46.
Rasmussen is really starting to annoy me.
Drudge is starting to post results. Brown ahead.
22% of Dems voted for Brown.....That is incredibly good news! MSNBC is already giving the post mortem for Coakley and the polls just closed. Minority districts of Boston reported low turnout, which is also great news for Brown. Keep the faith.
this is funny
Other commenters say the key is 22% Dem vote for Brown, consistent with predictions = Brown victory
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