Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

First Look At Massachusetts Election Night Poll Data
Rasmussen Report ^ | 1-19-10

Posted on 01/19/2010 5:11:59 PM PST by icwhatudo

Rasmussen Reports has conducted an Election Night survey of 1,000 voters in the Massachusetts special election for U.S. Senate. Data will be released on this page throughout the evening.

Polls closed in Massachusetts at 8:00 p.m. Eastern in the race between Democrat Martha Coakley and Republican Scott Brown.

Preliminary results include:

* Among those who decided how they would vote in the past few days, Coakley has a slight edge, 47% to 41%.

* Coakley also has a big advantage among those who made up their mind more than a month ago.

* Seventy-six percent (76%) of voters for Brown said they were voting for him rather than against Coakley.

* Sixty-six percent (66%) of Coakley voters said they were voting for her rather than against Brown.

* 22% of Democrats voted for Brown. That is generally consistent with pre-election polling.

More data will be released soon.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Massachusetts
KEYWORDS: 2010polls; ma2010; rasmussen
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-100101-121 next last

1 posted on 01/19/2010 5:11:59 PM PST by icwhatudo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

2 posted on 01/19/2010 5:13:14 PM PST by icwhatudo ("laws requiring compulsory abortion could be sustained under the existing Constitution"Obama Adviser)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

Can you provide the link to view the results on the web?


3 posted on 01/19/2010 5:13:40 PM PST by BushCountry (We divide into those who want people to be controlled and those who have no such desire.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: All

Not looking good for Brown so far.


4 posted on 01/19/2010 5:14:22 PM PST by newnhdad (The longest of journeys begins with one step.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

Oh Sh**!

I hope more information confirms the opposite.


5 posted on 01/19/2010 5:14:26 PM PST by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

It’s likely around 10 pm est


6 posted on 01/19/2010 5:14:49 PM PST by Boardwalk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

These polls are making me nuts.


7 posted on 01/19/2010 5:14:53 PM PST by duckman (My Grandma Isn't Shovel Ready!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: newnhdad

How can ths be?


8 posted on 01/19/2010 5:15:00 PM PST by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

I see he left out the one that really matters - independents. There was a small percentage of undecideds, so I’m not too concern about a slight advantage for Coakley there. It will all come down to the independents.


9 posted on 01/19/2010 5:15:05 PM PST by OldDeckHand
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo
* Among those who decided how they would vote in the past few days, Coakley has a slight edge, 47% to 41%.

That is not good...and it seems counter intuitive to the trends of the recent polls...

10 posted on 01/19/2010 5:15:05 PM PST by Wyatt's Torch (I can explain it to you. I can't understand it for you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

i cant look ...too scared


11 posted on 01/19/2010 5:15:28 PM PST by dalebert
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

12 posted on 01/19/2010 5:15:30 PM PST by quantim
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

Rasmussen showing ankle again!


13 posted on 01/19/2010 5:15:33 PM PST by Anti-Bubba182
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BushCountry

Calculation: if Dems are 40 percent of the vote, at a 22 percent share Brown gets 8.8 percent; if Reps are 15 percent of the vote, he gets 99 percent share or 15 percent; if the remaining are independents, or 45 percent and Brown gets a 60 percent share, he gets 27 points to win 51-49. I personally think he gets a higher percentage of the Indies, and will win 53-46.


14 posted on 01/19/2010 5:16:21 PM PST by laconic
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo
What's with this “more data will be released soon crap.” The polls are closed. Show your hand Ras or STFU. If you can give us a preview do it. Otherwise we might as well wait for the returns.

Rasmussen is really starting to annoy me.

15 posted on 01/19/2010 5:16:22 PM PST by fluffdaddy (Is anyone else missing Fred Thompson about now?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Wyatt's Torch

Drudge is starting to post results. Brown ahead.


16 posted on 01/19/2010 5:16:26 PM PST by carton253 (Ask me about Throw Away the Scabbard - a Civil War alternate history.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: newnhdad

22% of Dems voted for Brown.....That is incredibly good news! MSNBC is already giving the post mortem for Coakley and the polls just closed. Minority districts of Boston reported low turnout, which is also great news for Brown. Keep the faith.


17 posted on 01/19/2010 5:16:28 PM PST by milwguy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Anti-Bubba182

this is funny


18 posted on 01/19/2010 5:16:34 PM PST by Boardwalk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Anti-Bubba182

?????


19 posted on 01/19/2010 5:16:36 PM PST by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better (If you like the employees at the DMV, post office, SS office,,, you'll love government healthcare)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: newnhdad
Not looking good for Brown so far.

Other commenters say the key is 22% Dem vote for Brown, consistent with predictions = Brown victory

20 posted on 01/19/2010 5:16:49 PM PST by outofstyle (Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Wyatt's Torch

There were few undecides as of Friday’s polling. 22% of dummies voting smart bodes well for Brown.


21 posted on 01/19/2010 5:16:49 PM PST by Thickman (Term limits are the answer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: nmh

(just hedging my bets)..


22 posted on 01/19/2010 5:17:05 PM PST by newnhdad (The longest of journeys begins with one step.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

I started getting worried when this election was starting to be nationalized.


23 posted on 01/19/2010 5:17:13 PM PST by Darren McCarty (We do what we have to do.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

Go to: http://www.boston.com/news/special/politics/2010/senate/results.html for real data!

55% Brown to 45% Coakley


24 posted on 01/19/2010 5:17:20 PM PST by MDspinboyredux
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo
WRKO will post by Town as the results come in.

I'm from Norwood and Romney carried it by 54% in 03. If Brown does better it will be a short night.

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2010/by_county/MA_Page_0119.html?SITE=WRKO&SECTION=POLITICS

25 posted on 01/19/2010 5:17:27 PM PST by AU72
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nmh

Are you insane, 6% of less than 10% undecided is .6%, Brown will win by .6% less which means by 5.5% rather than 6%


26 posted on 01/19/2010 5:17:32 PM PST by traderrob6
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

22% dem votes for Brown is a good sign.


27 posted on 01/19/2010 5:17:33 PM PST by uscabjd
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nmh

Are you insane, 6% of less than 10% undecided is .6%, Brown will win by .6% less which means by 5.5% rather than 6%


28 posted on 01/19/2010 5:17:36 PM PST by traderrob6
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: newnhdad

Remember, the first results will be out of heavily liberal Boston and suburbs, and will be more pro-Coakley than the rest of the state. That doesn’t ensure that she won’t ultimately win, but don’t go getting a case of premature heartburn, either.


29 posted on 01/19/2010 5:17:56 PM PST by Oceander
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

Go to this link for actual results.
Brown is up.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/2432445/posts


30 posted on 01/19/2010 5:18:13 PM PST by Notwithstanding (Wer glaubt ist nie allein. Who believes is never alone.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Anti-Bubba182

http://boston.com/

actual results?


31 posted on 01/19/2010 5:18:17 PM PST by truthfreedom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Private_Sector_Does_It_Better

Rasmussen has more info than he is disclosing.


32 posted on 01/19/2010 5:18:41 PM PST by Anti-Bubba182
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

33 posted on 01/19/2010 5:18:43 PM PST by Nick Danger (Free cheese is found only in mousetraps)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

If Brown gets 22% of the Dims he will need to carry 60% of the Independents and 100% of the Republicans to get 51% of the total vote.

That’s a pretty tall order. Doable, but tough.


34 posted on 01/19/2010 5:19:22 PM PST by ought-six ( Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: traderrob6

No, I’m not “insane”.

I want BROWN to win but if things are close, the Demoncrat FRAUD factor will give her the victory.


35 posted on 01/19/2010 5:19:22 PM PST by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: traderrob6

No, I’m not “insane”.

I want BROWN to win but if things are close, the Demoncrat FRAUD factor will give her the victory.


36 posted on 01/19/2010 5:19:38 PM PST by nmh (Intelligent people recognize Intelligent Design (God).)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

* Seventy-six percent (76%) of voters for Brown said they were voting for him rather than against Coakley.

Those numbers sound low to me...


37 posted on 01/19/2010 5:20:07 PM PST by HamiltonJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

What’s wrong this guy? Does he know something we don’t and is not going to let us in on it?


38 posted on 01/19/2010 5:20:40 PM PST by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

Fox just announced 4% of vote counted with Brown ahead 52% to 47%.


39 posted on 01/19/2010 5:22:27 PM PST by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MDspinboyredux

I am hearing we have a new US Senator.......SCOTT BROWN!! (not confirmed) Sos has not announced it yet


40 posted on 01/19/2010 5:24:31 PM PST by gidget7 (Duncan Hunter-Valley Forge Republican!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

41 posted on 01/19/2010 5:24:42 PM PST by Minnesocold ("In a time of universal deceit - telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: carton253

Dems will steal it, Rass is just covering for that...


42 posted on 01/19/2010 5:24:44 PM PST by TV Dinners (Hope is not a Strategy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: laconic

bump for later reference


43 posted on 01/19/2010 5:25:35 PM PST by Grunthor (Pete Carrol? He couldn't be worse than Mora.....could he?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: ought-six
“If Brown gets 22% of the Dims he will need to carry 60% of the Independents and 100% of the Republicans to get 51% of the total vote”

It depends on where the votes are coming from, not percentages on raw votes. 22% of democratic votes tells me nothing if I don't know the percentage of democtratic turn out. Same thing for the republicans.

44 posted on 01/19/2010 5:25:54 PM PST by WILLIALAL
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo

These stats tell us nothing. He needs to give up the goods.


45 posted on 01/19/2010 5:27:32 PM PST by cdchik123
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Thickman

Agreed. Most voters made up their minds before this past weekend. The 22% of Dem voters for Brown is the important number. It goes along with the polls going in.


46 posted on 01/19/2010 5:27:47 PM PST by mainepatsfan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Wyatt's Torch

Coakley is ostensibly the incumbant in the race... Incumbants below 50 pct tend to lose


47 posted on 01/19/2010 5:27:49 PM PST by rwilson99
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: icwhatudo; All

51 brown 48 cokeheaed as per Oreilly just now


48 posted on 01/19/2010 5:28:12 PM PST by ATOMIC_PUNK (Screaming in Agony they ran to the Government But then Realized from whence the Agony came !)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: freekitty; nutmeg; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; bitt; Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; ExTexasRedhead; ...

Fox just announced 7% of vote counted with Brown ahead 51% to 48%.

There counting Boston first, IMO. Make it look closer than it is.


49 posted on 01/19/2010 5:28:51 PM PST by GOPsterinMA (Never bring a snowball to a gun fight.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]

To: WILLIALAL
It depends on where the votes are coming from, not percentages on raw votes. 22% of democratic votes tells me nothing if I don't know the percentage of democtratic turn out. Same thing for the republicans.

THANK YOU for posting that! Folks, please take a deep breath. It's going to be a bit before a winner is called.

50 posted on 01/19/2010 5:29:25 PM PST by Fury
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 44 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051-100101-121 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson