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Obama's Blessing In Disguise (Will The President Move To The Center? Alert)
National Review ^ | 1/20/2010 | Stephen Spruiell

Posted on 01/20/2010 2:34:03 AM PST by goldstategop

President Obama doesn’t know it yet, but Scott Brown did him a huge favor. If, as expected, he becomes the next senator from Massachusetts; and if, as expected, his election dooms the Pelosi-Reid health-care-reform bill, Obama will have an opportunity to lay the entire fiasco at the feet of that troublesome Democratic duo. If he’s smart, he’ll take it.

Supporters of the Pelosi-Reid legislation argue that Democrats must forge ahead and do whatever it takes to pass a bill. As The New Republic’s Jonathan Chait put it, “Abandoning health care reform after they’ve already paid whatever political cost that comes from voting for it in both houses would be suicide.”

Maybe this holds true for members of Congress in purple districts who voted the wrong way. But not for Obama. Obama is up for election not in 2010, but in 2012. He has three years to distance himself from this debacle, and he will have more freedom of movement if he cuts his ties now and denies conservatives the large red target the Pelosi-Reid bill has become.

Why? Because the Pelosi-Reid health-care reform is objectively bad law. Mandates forcing individuals to buy coverage are hugely unpopular, even with the subsidies the bill would provide. Mandates forcing businesses to buy coverage for their employees would hit small and mid-size businesses hardest. There is no good time to saddle these businesses with additional costs and regulations, but right now is probably the worst time. More important, America’s reliance on employer-provided health insurance is one of the biggest problems with its health-care system. The third-party-payer problem drives the runaway cost of care. Meanwhile, Americans are often stuck with the jobs they have, fearful to strike out on their own and lose their health insurance.

The Pelosi-Reid legislation would not free us from this system; it would entrench it. It would exacerbate health-care-cost inflation by subsidizing insurance and expanding Medicaid. It would cut Medicare, not in a smart way that relies on competition to bring down costs, but by eliminating the private sector and relying on government’s power to dictate payment rates to doctors and hospitals. According to the bill’s own defenders, its other attempts at cost control amount to little more than a handful of pilot programs. And as if health-care-cost inflation weren’t bad enough, the Senate version of the bill includes an excise tax on health-insurance premiums that would, over time, hit an increasing number of middle-class premium payers — unless, of course, they belonged to a union, in which case the Democrats are hard at work carving out an exemption just for them.

As Ramesh Ponnuru and Yuval Levin explained recently in National Review, conservatives can’t wait to run against this bill in 2010. I am personally a little sad that it looks like it won’t pass. After studying how Republicans were able to repeal a similar set of “reforms” in Kentucky, I became convinced that Obamacare could be repealed and replaced with a better set of reforms. I actually think it would have been easier to get the right reforms in place as part of a package that repealed parts of Obamacare, because it will be years before Congress wants to touch health care again if the Pelosi-Reid legislation fails.

That would be unfortunate. The system really does need reforms such as the tax-law change John McCain proposed in 2008.

Another unfortunate aspect of the failure of the Pelosi-Reid legislation is that it would free Obama to do the “hard pivot” to jobs that, according to his aides, waits in the wings. In Obama-speak, “jobs bill” means “another stimulus package,” and judging from the bill that the House passed last month, the next stimulus package is likely to be as ineffective as the first, if not as costly.

At the same time, the public might welcome any sign that the president has turned his attention from fusing large chunks of the private sector to the government. The election of Brown provides Obama with an opportunity to abandon cap-and-trade, health-care reform, and other aspects of his domestic agenda that have proved to be tremendously unpopular. Remember: Bill Clinton also failed to pass a health-care-reform bill, yet he prospered as the administrator of a divided government and went on to a comfortable victory in 1996. The “hard pivot” Obama needs to make is to the center, and Tuesday’s results free him to make it.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2010elections; bhoanniversary; center; fourth100days; liberalism; ma2010; nationalreview; obama; stephenspruiell
The election of Scott Brown has given President Obama the opportunity to return to the center. He should take advantage of it if he isn't held hostage to his own ideology. His political survival may well depend on whether he can adjust his Administration's policies to the changed national mood and the new political landscape.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus

1 posted on 01/20/2010 2:34:06 AM PST by goldstategop
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To: goldstategop
President Obama doesn’t know it yet, but Scott Brown did him a huge favor.

I couldn't get pass this. Looking for good news for Obama in this election is like looking for a needle in a haystack.

2 posted on 01/20/2010 2:37:39 AM PST by johniegrad
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To: goldstategop
Pres_ _ent Obama has always had that opportunity.

It is as likely as the undocumented Marxist releasing his BC.


3 posted on 01/20/2010 2:38:12 AM PST by Diogenesis ("Those who go below the surface do so at their peril" - Oscar Wilde)
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To: goldstategop
If he’s smart, he’ll take it.

But there's nothing whatsoever in the public record that suggests that he is smart. Crafty? Yes. Smart? Very, very unlikely.

4 posted on 01/20/2010 2:39:39 AM PST by Jim Noble (Hu's the communist?)
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To: goldstategop

Nope. Insert buzzer here. Wrong, with a capital “W”.

It’s waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too late for this. Obama OWNS this health care steaming pile, and there is NO getting away from that. Everyone knows it, everyone has heard him shove it down our throats at every turn.....hell, that narcissist even convened a special session of Congress JUST to preen and preach about the wonders of Obamacare (which could have easily been summarized as: “It’s all about....MEEEEEEEEE!”).

No, this clown was stupid and arrogant enough to not only bet his own ranch on this, but the ranches of virtually every Democrat in Congress.

They’re all toast; no running away from the dead bodies with a smoking gun in his hand.


5 posted on 01/20/2010 2:44:30 AM PST by RightOnline
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To: goldstategop
Obama is a maladroit ideologue, he won't be able to move to the middle and like Howard Dean he will blame Bush..or some other fall guy..Web has already bolted the corral and I simply see Obama becoming a Jimmah Carter lite...He has provided no leadership to congress so if he lays the blame on Pelosi and Harry what does he do with his legislative agenda? Obama doesn't have any of the back room skills of Johnson or Kennedy..Obama can purpose with one hand and sh*t in the other and see which gets full first because Harry and Nancy won't want to take all the hits, bruised knuckles and all the blame while Obama reads a tele prompter espousing his greatness..
6 posted on 01/20/2010 2:45:21 AM PST by carcraft (Pray for our Country)
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To: goldstategop

This would require demonstration of an attribute of which so far BO has shown himself totally incapable of demonstration... humility.


7 posted on 01/20/2010 2:50:47 AM PST by The Truth Will Make You Free
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To: The Truth Will Make You Free

No way Obama will run to the center. He is still on a Kamikaze mission for our country and economy. It is deeply embedded into his mindset.


8 posted on 01/20/2010 3:07:19 AM PST by dancusa (Political Correctness is a firewall to the truth.)
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To: goldstategop

The President moves where he is told to move.


9 posted on 01/20/2010 3:09:16 AM PST by rod1
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To: Jim Noble

Magnanimous with a sense of fair play?

Not a chance in hell.


10 posted on 01/20/2010 3:32:26 AM PST by relictele
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To: Diogenesis

Exactly!

about as likely as pigs flying, hell freezing over, Hitler stopping the holocaust, Stalin starting to feed the starving masses, or Mao ending his march to the sea....


11 posted on 01/20/2010 3:59:56 AM PST by Freedom'sWorthIt (Ronald Reagan: If we ever forget that we're one nation under God,then we'll be a nation gone under.")
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To: johniegrad
President Obama doesn’t know it yet, but Scott Brown did him a huge favor. I couldn't get pass this. Looking for good news for Obama in this election is like looking for a needle in a haystack. I couldn't get passed that one either. Another arrogant Washingtonian...the author obviously misses the point in who won the election...it was the people of Massachusetts. Brown (and all other politicians) are not elected without the votes of the people. So rather that "Scott Brown did him a huge favor" it should be "the people of Massachusetts..." But I agree with you...there is no good news for Obama in this election.
12 posted on 01/20/2010 5:10:37 AM PST by Wpin (I do not regret my admiration for W)
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To: dancusa
No way Obama will run to the center.

I agree. His arrogance is breathtaking. Bill Clinton, who just wanted to be liked by everyone, was smart and pragmatic enough to do so after the '94 elections. No way do I see Obama doing the same thing.

13 posted on 01/20/2010 5:27:04 AM PST by IndyTiger
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To: goldstategop

It may be getting really crowded under that bus.


14 posted on 01/20/2010 6:07:37 AM PST by Redleg Duke
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To: carcraft
Obama is a maladroit ideologue, he won't be able to move to the middle

Exactly!

But he has done us a favor by showing just how far Left the entire Democrat Party truely is!

Don't believe their 'talk' of fiscal responsibilty or national defense.

Not a single one of them stood up against their leadership.

They all need to go-period!

15 posted on 01/20/2010 6:08:26 AM PST by fortheDeclaration ("Our constitution was made only for a moral and religious people".-John Adams)
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To: goldstategop
The election of Scott Brown has given President Obama the opportunity to return to the center.

What do you mean "return to the center"?!?! He's never been close to the center. We'll be lucky if he moves from far left to left.

16 posted on 01/20/2010 6:26:01 AM PST by Fredgoblu
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To: fortheDeclaration

exactly!!


17 posted on 01/20/2010 6:49:31 AM PST by carcraft (Pray for our Country)
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To: goldstategop
Be very worried.

The Anointed One may take us all on a military crusade. I smell a guy who would like nothing better than to become a wartime President, like his idol FDR. Yeah, baby! That's the way to get Healthcare ... start a really big war!

Hey, Barry, how about POCKEE-Stahn? Perhaps our LERPs teams could find some hidden archives detailing your youthful visits. Pull ALL the guys outa Iraq, and march'em to Afghanistan, and then over the border into POCKEE-Stahn.

Get set for Tail-Wagging-The-Dog.

18 posted on 01/20/2010 8:41:04 AM PST by Kenny Bunk (Go-Go Donofrio. get us that Writ of Quo Warranto!)
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To: fortheDeclaration
I have a dear friend who voted for Obama and who, to this day, says he is her hero. When asked "why?", she says "because he is bringing people together."

This morning, I couldn't agree with her more...;)

19 posted on 01/20/2010 9:12:10 AM PST by bt_dooftlook (ACORN = Another Communist-Overrun Rats-Nest)
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