Skip to comments.What Would Make China Budge on Iran?
Posted on 02/09/2010 11:00:47 AM PST by La Lydia
Has Iran finally gone too far, pushing China into changing its mind about sanctions? Maybe not just yet. Tuesday, after Iran ratcheted up its uranium-enrichment programelevating the purity of its enriched product to 20 percentBeijing looked increasingly isolated in its calls to continue negotiations. "To talk about sanctions at the moment will complicate the situation and might stand in the way of finding a diplomatic solution," Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi said at a conference in Europe.Western countries have been lobbying China, a permanent member of the U.N. Security Council, to join them in supporting increased sanctions against the Tehran regime.
The U.S. in particular has made known that it hopes to push through a regimen of "crippling sanctions" early this year. But Chinese officials have stuck to their guns, arguing that sanctions don't work.
The haggling could go on for months. On Tuesday, Chinese officials renewed calls for the international community to support a proposal backed by the International Atomic Energy Agency that would allow Tehran to procure nuclear fuel for its medical-research reactor in exchange for its low-enriched uranium. "We expect and back all sides to reach an early agreement on the IAEA-raised draft proposal regarding the Tehran research reactor, which will help solve the issue," foreign ministry spokesman Ma Zhaoxu told a regular briefing....
Beijing has way too much invested in its multibillion-dollar energy relationship with Tehran to risk it easily. Chinese leaders won't even consider agreeing to sanctions without a really big quid pro quosomething akin to, say, Washington stopping or curbing its own longstanding arms sales to Taiwan. That scenario isn't likely....
(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...
China might take the opportunity to remove its people from Iran...
Let’s see, Iran’s “Supreme Leader” tells the world that they are going to hit the West with a big terrorist blow on Feb.11, and we are still debating whether it would be a good idea to hit Iran with sanctions. Amazing!
Both the Chinese and the Russians consider that a nuclear-armed Iran is more likely to advance their own interests than hinder them, inasmuch as it is more likely to hinder U.S. interests than advance them. They do not fear an attack themselves. However, any course of action that serves to close the Gulf will spike oil prices, which serves Russian interests and acts against Chinese interests. That may present the most likely avenue for a strategic approach. IMHO, of course.
Excellent answer. Thank you for your very well informed and logical response. Do you think the Clinton State Department will figure that out?
I am not entirely certain that the Clinton State Department has the interests of its own country uppermost in mind. I’m perfectly serious about that.
I think you are right. And I am perfectly serious, too.
I'm not. If there were an official FR silly list, I'd be on it. Along with billthedrill.
Sorry, serial spelling mistakes. “Series” But don’t make fun of Bill. He actually described the situation precisely.
I wasn’t making fun of Bill. Seriesly.
That’d be one hugh list. Sure hope I’d be on it! ;-)
100 years of extreme radioactivity around the oil fields might persuade China.