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What Would Make China Budge on Iran?
Newsweek ^ | February 9, 2010 | Melinda Liu

Posted on 02/09/2010 11:00:47 AM PST by La Lydia

Has Iran finally gone too far, pushing China into changing its mind about sanctions? Maybe not just yet. Tuesday, after Iran ratcheted up its uranium-enrichment program—elevating the purity of its enriched product to 20 percent—Beijing looked increasingly isolated in its calls to continue negotiations. "To talk about sanctions at the moment will complicate the situation and might stand in the way of finding a diplomatic solution," Chinese Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi said at a conference in Europe.Western countries have been lobbying China, a permanent member of the U.N. Security Council, to join them in supporting increased sanctions against the Tehran regime.

The U.S. in particular has made known that it hopes to push through a regimen of "crippling sanctions" early this year. But Chinese officials have stuck to their guns, arguing that sanctions don't work.

The haggling could go on for months. On Tuesday, Chinese officials renewed calls for the international community to support a proposal backed by the International Atomic Energy Agency that would allow Tehran to procure nuclear fuel for its medical-research reactor in exchange for its low-enriched uranium. "We expect and back all sides to reach an early agreement on the IAEA-raised draft proposal regarding the Tehran research reactor, which will help solve the issue," foreign ministry spokesman Ma Zhaoxu told a regular briefing....

Beijing has way too much invested in its multibillion-dollar energy relationship with Tehran to risk it easily. Chinese leaders won't even consider agreeing to sanctions without a really big quid pro quo—something akin to, say, Washington stopping or curbing its own longstanding arms sales to Taiwan. That scenario isn't likely....

(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: china; iran; iraniannukes; islam; nukes; proliferation; sanctions
Whatever China does, it will be to our detriment.
1 posted on 02/09/2010 11:00:47 AM PST by La Lydia
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To: La Lydia

China might take the opportunity to remove its people from Iran...


2 posted on 02/09/2010 11:15:05 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks (Impeachment !)
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To: La Lydia

Let’s see, Iran’s “Supreme Leader” tells the world that they are going to hit the West with a big terrorist blow on Feb.11, and we are still debating whether it would be a good idea to hit Iran with sanctions. Amazing!


3 posted on 02/09/2010 11:15:20 AM PST by Avid Coug
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To: La Lydia
In answer to the question posed in the title, only the conviction that Iran's present course of action will deprive China of Iran's oil will motivate the Chinese to change their own course of action with respect to Iran. At the moment sanctions or any other disturbance of the status quo threaten that access, which is why the Chinese are balking.

Both the Chinese and the Russians consider that a nuclear-armed Iran is more likely to advance their own interests than hinder them, inasmuch as it is more likely to hinder U.S. interests than advance them. They do not fear an attack themselves. However, any course of action that serves to close the Gulf will spike oil prices, which serves Russian interests and acts against Chinese interests. That may present the most likely avenue for a strategic approach. IMHO, of course.

4 posted on 02/09/2010 11:17:07 AM PST by Billthedrill
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To: Billthedrill

Excellent answer. Thank you for your very well informed and logical response. Do you think the Clinton State Department will figure that out?


5 posted on 02/09/2010 11:25:50 AM PST by La Lydia
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To: La Lydia

I am not entirely certain that the Clinton State Department has the interests of its own country uppermost in mind. I’m perfectly serious about that.


6 posted on 02/09/2010 11:31:22 AM PST by Billthedrill
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To: Billthedrill
Nice analysis. Bump.
7 posted on 02/09/2010 11:33:32 AM PST by colorado tanker
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To: Billthedrill

I think you are right. And I am perfectly serious, too.


8 posted on 02/09/2010 11:34:09 AM PST by La Lydia
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To: La Lydia
And I am perfectly serious, too.

I'm not. If there were an official FR silly list, I'd be on it. Along with billthedrill.

:^P

9 posted on 02/09/2010 11:37:58 AM PST by Cyber Liberty (I'm Ellie Light!)
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To: Cyber Liberty

Sorry, serial spelling mistakes. “Series” But don’t make fun of Bill. He actually described the situation precisely.


10 posted on 02/09/2010 11:55:11 AM PST by La Lydia
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To: La Lydia; Billthedrill

I wasn’t making fun of Bill. Seriesly.


11 posted on 02/09/2010 12:00:24 PM PST by Cyber Liberty (I'm Ellie Light!)
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To: Cyber Liberty

That’d be one hugh list. Sure hope I’d be on it! ;-)


12 posted on 02/09/2010 12:12:47 PM PST by Billthedrill
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To: La Lydia

100 years of extreme radioactivity around the oil fields might persuade China.


13 posted on 02/09/2010 12:15:18 PM PST by Republic of Texas (Socialism Always Fails)
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