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Poll shows Specter in strong position (Snarlin Arlen rockets ahead of Toomey - Quinnipiac)
Philadelphia Inquirer ^ | March 2, 2010 | Thomas Fitzgerald

Posted on 03/02/2010 7:20:27 AM PST by St. Louis Conservative

U.S Sen. Arlen Specter leads his Democratic primary challenger by 24 percentage points and also has climbed ahead of likely Republican nominee Pat Toomey in a general-election matchup, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today. Specter, seeking a sixth term as a Democrat after 28 years as a Republican senator, leads U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak in his new party's primary 53 percent to 29 percent, the survey finds.

The poll also shows Specter ahead of Toomey 49 to 42 percent, after being essentially tied with the Republican since last summer. In December, for instance, the Quinnipiac Poll found a literal tie between the two men, at 44 percent each.

It is a "good winter politically" for Specter, said Peter W. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "There remains no evidence that his primary challenger . . . has made much progress."

The primary is May 18.

The poll also found President Obama's approval rating at 49 percent among Pennsylvania voters, as well as profound distrust of government. Fewer than one in five think the federal government or the state government does the right thing all or most of the time.

(Excerpt) Read more at philly.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Philosophy; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: arlenspecter; pattoomey; pennsylvania; senate

1 posted on 03/02/2010 7:20:27 AM PST by St. Louis Conservative
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To: St. Louis Conservative

I hope the Green Party puts up a good challenge lol.


2 posted on 03/02/2010 7:22:41 AM PST by GeronL (Political Philosophy: I Own Me (yep, boiled down to 6 letters))
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Quinnipiac are often poll pushers.


3 posted on 03/02/2010 7:23:01 AM PST by Nonstatist
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To: PennsylvaniaMom; onyx; maggief; Liz; STARWISE

What’s going on in PA?


4 posted on 03/02/2010 7:24:09 AM PST by hoosiermama (ONLY DEAD FISH GO WITH THE FLOW.......I am swimming with Sarahcudah! Sarah has read the tealeaves.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative
Quinnipiac == BS

Just trying to demoralize the conservative base. Of course, if you are on the PA message board, the internal sniping is worse.

5 posted on 03/02/2010 7:25:10 AM PST by kosciusko51
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To: kosciusko51

PA Democrat message board or PA Republican message board? Your comment is cryptic—could you explain? Sniping by Repubs against Repubs (bad news), sniping among Democrats against Specter (good news)?


6 posted on 03/02/2010 7:28:03 AM PST by Houghton M.
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To: Owl_Eagle; brityank; Physicist; WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; GOPJ; abner; baseballmom; Mo1; Ciexyz; ...
Specter has been doing a lot of things right. He advocated a bill to make witness intimidation a federal crime and now he's supporting a flat tax.

He's not going to be easy to beat but it still can be done.

7 posted on 03/02/2010 7:28:44 AM PST by Tribune7 (Only stupid, racists people support Obama.)
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To: hoosiermama

I don’t believe this poll for a minute. Nothing’s going on in PA. Except the same stuff that’s going on everywhere else. Job losses, high taxes, etc.

Toomey hasn’t even started campaigning to my knowledge. This is way too early and wishful thinking on their part.


8 posted on 03/02/2010 7:30:03 AM PST by ReneeLynn (Socialism is SO yesterday. Fascism, it*s the new black. Mmm Mmm Mmm.)
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To: Nonstatist; All

There are a reputable firm, however, it’s worth noting that the Quinnipiac poll used a sample of “regular voters”. In every other recent poll, Toomey is ahead, and those polls use a sample of “likely voters”, which is a much more realistic model - especially for a midterm election where only the more motivated voters turnout.


9 posted on 03/02/2010 7:30:10 AM PST by St. Louis Conservative
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To: St. Louis Conservative
I know little about Benedict Specter's Dem opponent; however I doubt that the Dems trust Specter very much.

And they they have to know that Specter is held in remarkably low regard by so many that he represents a true liability.

It's their primary so I hope they DO pick Specter.

GOP and Independent voters will be unusually highly motivated in the general election.

Mister Specter should be preparing for his (friendless) retirement.

.

10 posted on 03/02/2010 7:30:50 AM PST by Seaplaner (Never give in. Never give in. Never...except to convictions of honour and good sense. W. Churchill)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

anyone watching Sen Bunning tell Harry R what for?


11 posted on 03/02/2010 7:32:39 AM PST by dalebert
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To: Nonstatist

“Strong position” is a bit of spin considering Specter has been trailing in every other poll for months. Now all of a sudden one dubious poll shows him gaining ground in just the last week or two. That is hardly strong, even if he is doing better. And 7 points is hardly insurmountable. No one thought it would be easy to dump a long time senator in a Demo leaning state.


12 posted on 03/02/2010 7:32:48 AM PST by TNCMAXQ
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To: hoosiermama
Voter fraud? Spector should go pick his plot out and retire.
13 posted on 03/02/2010 7:33:01 AM PST by angcat (GOD SAVE US!)
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To: hoosiermama
"What’s going on in PA?"

Don't ever count on us.

14 posted on 03/02/2010 7:33:29 AM PST by The Good Doctor (Democracy is the only system where you can vote for a tax that you can avoid the obligation to pay.)
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To: Houghton M.

Sorry, my bad. The Freeper PA message board. Bunch of crap about who the most “conservative” vs the most “winnable” candidate for the Republicans, with a bunch of petty name-calling.


15 posted on 03/02/2010 7:34:08 AM PST by kosciusko51
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Never underestimate the ignorance of a Demonrat voter.


16 posted on 03/02/2010 7:34:24 AM PST by luvbach1 (Worse than we could have imagined.)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Quinnipiac push polls when there’s no election coming up. They are like Zogby in that way. Its a very, very liberal organization, but theyre not stupid. During Clinton’s time and early Bush they were more obvious; since then they have learned subtlety.


17 posted on 03/02/2010 7:36:18 AM PST by Nonstatist
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Wow, this country really is hopeless.

We are just like Europe now. Looks like we’ve reached the tipping point and have just too many people on the dole, immigrants that have no understanding of how this nation was built, and minority groups that will support Democrats no matter what.

Quite a shame.


18 posted on 03/02/2010 7:38:15 AM PST by Longbow1969
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To: hoosiermama
What’s going on in PA?

Same-old, same-old. They may not like Specter, but they know he's connected to the pork pipeline. They want their goodies.

19 posted on 03/02/2010 7:41:08 AM PST by ScottinVA (Glad to see Demonic Unhinged (DU) highlights and attacks my FR comments!)
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To: Seaplaner
I know little about Benedict Specter's Dem opponent; however I doubt that the Dems trust Specter very much.

As long as he promises largesse from the pork factory, PA voters... once again... will curl up at his feet.

20 posted on 03/02/2010 7:43:22 AM PST by ScottinVA (Glad to see Demonic Unhinged (DU) highlights and attacks my FR comments!)
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To: dalebert

Yes. It was a classic brush back. Bunning hasn’t lost his skill on the mound.


21 posted on 03/02/2010 7:46:09 AM PST by hsalaw
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To: St. Louis Conservative
This polls is of registered voters. when you look at the likely voters Toomey is ahead and running very close to what other polls say. Advantage Toomey and this actually strengthens his advantage.
22 posted on 03/02/2010 7:46:12 AM PST by bilhosty (Don' t tax people tax newsprint)
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To: kosciusko51

.....bs.......

Actually, even though liberal they are historically pretty accurate although these results surprise me .


23 posted on 03/02/2010 8:21:14 AM PST by mono
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To: hoosiermama

Thank you for the ping.

I actually was polled (I am still a registered D). There is another thread here on FR about this poll..I had time to go into greater detail there...but trust me the questions were leading.

There were three “sets” one about the PA governors race (and how Rendell has done); one about the Specter race; and one about Dear Leader and BarkyCare.

Any “most negative” response I gave about Specter or Dear Leader, lead to another question asking about my “thoughts” about the pol. They got me Friday night, and I wish now I had written down the questions when they were fresh in my mind.

But trust me, they were very leading and tilted to make you, in a round about way, “up” your rating.


24 posted on 03/02/2010 8:25:05 AM PST by PennsylvaniaMom (BOOM! Taste my nightstick! Sarah, making Shatner sound Shakespearean.)
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To: dalebert

Is it on live?


25 posted on 03/02/2010 8:42:48 AM PST by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Nonsense. Arlen is going down in flames.


26 posted on 03/02/2010 9:00:34 AM PST by pissant (THE Conservative party: www.falconparty.com)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Can someone get us some absentee ballots? (joking)


27 posted on 03/02/2010 9:24:29 AM PST by Dogbert41
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To: fatima

it was


28 posted on 03/02/2010 9:35:28 AM PST by dalebert
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To: dalebert

:( Missed it.


29 posted on 03/02/2010 9:44:28 AM PST by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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