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How will the markets respond to the passage of Obama Care?
March 21, 2010 | ReleaseTheHounds

Posted on 03/21/2010 1:48:02 PM PDT by ReleaseTheHounds

Just wondering how Freepers think the stock market (and stock markets around the globe) will respond to the passage of Obama's "health insurance reform"? I was looking to see if the markets in Asia had opened yet and if they were reacting but I don't think so.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 111th; bhohealthcare; market; markets; stock; vanity
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1 posted on 03/21/2010 1:48:03 PM PDT by ReleaseTheHounds
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

2 posted on 03/21/2010 1:49:37 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (3V3Ry71N' 084M4 D03z 83N3f17Z MU5l1mz. c01NC1d3nc3?)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

Nikkei Closed today, Holiday.


3 posted on 03/21/2010 1:49:52 PM PDT by Perdogg ("Is that a bomb in your pants, or are you excited to come to America?")
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

You’ll likely see a lot of trading over the next couple days. Many are going to shift their money into other things or sell outright. Wait until they make the capital gains increase retroactive to Jan 1 to snare all those selling now.


4 posted on 03/21/2010 1:50:04 PM PDT by edpc (Those Lefties just ain't right)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

Go down faster than the H.M.S. Titanic did.


5 posted on 03/21/2010 1:50:24 PM PDT by SandRat (Duty, Honor, Country! What else needs said?)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

The markets are manipulated by Soros and Obama.


6 posted on 03/21/2010 1:50:28 PM PDT by Reagan69 (The only thing SHOVEL-READY since BO's stimulus has been MICHAEL JACKSON (tammy bruce))
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To: Perdogg

moved to fixed funds on Friday.

Bill


7 posted on 03/21/2010 1:50:34 PM PDT by njmaugbill
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To: ReleaseTheHounds
With all the pinks slips we're going to see being handed out over the next few months, I imagine the markets are going to drop like a rock.

But hey!!! Like Nazi Pelosi said, we can all be artists and poets now!!! More free time and no medical bills!

8 posted on 03/21/2010 1:50:37 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (How much did your congressman's vote go for? Mine got two bits. Her going price.)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

Short all medical device manufacturers


9 posted on 03/21/2010 1:50:47 PM PDT by misterrob (Have you tea bagged a liberal today?)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

Gun sales will be up. Buy from individual. It’s only a matter of time before the govt. deems firearms a health risk and can now control all factors related to health.


10 posted on 03/21/2010 1:50:55 PM PDT by optiguy (Government does not solve problems; it subsidizes them.----- Ronald Reagan)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds
It's a job killer, tax raiser, cost accelerator. Hard to see this receiving favorable reviews in the market. With this, Social Security, Medicare, and possible wholesale welcome of illegals onto the dole the countdown to meltdown just accelerated.
11 posted on 03/21/2010 1:51:39 PM PDT by hometoroost (Al Gore - The Uniwarmer)
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To: edpc

I sold off a month or so ago. I knew it was either going to be this or another market crash (or now... both).

When there’s blood in the streets, it’s time to buy.


12 posted on 03/21/2010 1:51:55 PM PDT by TheZMan (Just secede and get it over with. No love lost on either side. Cya.)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds
Domestic: who can say.

International: sell.
13 posted on 03/21/2010 1:51:55 PM PDT by dr_who
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

If their workers cannot be denied coverage for pre-existing conditions?

Would it be cheaper to pay the fine and let the workers buy their own?

Who knows.


14 posted on 03/21/2010 1:52:04 PM PDT by GeronL (I said it yesterday and I'll say it today and everyday: Tomorrow I stop being so lazy!!)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

Irrationally like they always do short term. The long term is the killer.


15 posted on 03/21/2010 1:52:15 PM PDT by JoSixChip (It's time to embrace the madness! The sooner we default the sooner we can reorganize.)
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To: IllumiNaughtyByNature

Not only is the bill costly, it will bring great insecurities on future investment decision in manufacturing and other sectors.

However, the health stocks should shoot up.


16 posted on 03/21/2010 1:52:22 PM PDT by Shermy
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

I think they will go up or down not sure yet


17 posted on 03/21/2010 1:52:36 PM PDT by al baby (Hi Mom sarc ;))
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To: FlingWingFlyer

Mass firings usually make their stocks go up. If its seen as shedding deadwood.


18 posted on 03/21/2010 1:52:51 PM PDT by GeronL (I said it yesterday and I'll say it today and everyday: Tomorrow I stop being so lazy!!)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

Health-care companies will be up tomorrow, many new enrollees coming down the pike due to the mandate. But I wouldn’t bet on those same companies four-five years from now.


19 posted on 03/21/2010 1:53:08 PM PDT by DeusExMachina05 (I will not go into Dhimmitude quietly.)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

Will Obama get a poll bump from this?


20 posted on 03/21/2010 1:53:31 PM PDT by chad_in_georgia
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To: ReleaseTheHounds
the markets will breathe a sigh of relief if they think they understand the immediate scope of the obligations involved. They will also understand that passage means that the healthcare industry has decided to play ball and therefore won't likely be nationalized immediatey. GE, which has been advertising about its big database for "the medical records of every person on the planet" has much to gain but, if you're like me, you've seen the uncanny way in which the markets punish immorality.

Don't mistake the fact that the economy now has enough solid information to make decisions about capital allocation as an endorsement. It's more like a temporary release from limbo. Hell has not been ruled out.

21 posted on 03/21/2010 1:53:32 PM PDT by the invisib1e hand (let the rich eat the rich.)
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To: edpc
Thats what we don't know....

It will be 15% to 20% + the new 3.9% surtax for Medicare, for a total of 23.9% Cap Gains Rate.

Many will sell, realize the gains, get out and the Fed will get a one time boost in revenue, but in the long run they have just made the markets a less atractive place to be.

And as far as looking for investments not touched, think again, Annunites etc are also subject to the 3.9% Seniors will be pissed.

22 posted on 03/21/2010 1:53:44 PM PDT by taildragger (Palin/Mulally 2012)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

futures are down. My favorite is copper, an indicator of economic growth. Everything is down.


23 posted on 03/21/2010 1:53:45 PM PDT by omega4179 (Pelosi: We Must Pass Obamacare So Artists Can Quit Their Day Jobs)
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To: misterrob

Buy rectal thermometers to send to everyone that voted yea


24 posted on 03/21/2010 1:53:47 PM PDT by al baby (Hi Mom sarc ;))
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To: misterrob

“Short all medical device manufacturers”

Yep. Insurance companies will screw them through the health panels they will control.


25 posted on 03/21/2010 1:54:27 PM PDT by Shermy
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To: misterrob

http://www2.barchart.com/sectors.asp?sec=medical~instruments.sec&level=2&title=Medical+Instruments


26 posted on 03/21/2010 1:54:54 PM PDT by waus (FUBO UFCMF)
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To: IllumiNaughtyByNature

Exactly. Fall like a rock to the bottom of the ocean.


27 posted on 03/21/2010 1:55:21 PM PDT by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

GOLD MARKET OPENS AT 1800 EAST COAST TIME - ONE HOUR FROM NOW.


28 posted on 03/21/2010 1:55:27 PM PDT by Manta (Obama to issue executive order repealing laws of physics)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds
The market is a joke. All the rich communists will pore millions in to make it look good. This whole thing is to feed the rich communists and make Americans slaves to the rich and powerful. Nothing more. There will be no health care. Best chance you have is stock up on aspirin, flu, and cold medicine. Anything more than that is a death sentence.
29 posted on 03/21/2010 1:56:23 PM PDT by Logical me
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To: the invisib1e hand

“”GE, which has been advertising about its big database for “the medical records of every person on the planet” has much to gain””

That money came to GE and others through the stimulus money. The big push for that came from life insurers and related, so they have easier ways to deny new plans and assure their insureds are the healthiest part of the population.


30 posted on 03/21/2010 1:56:45 PM PDT by Shermy
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To: IllumiNaughtyByNature

Probably a continued giant rally in the healthcare stocks. They are already up about 20% over the SP500. The market understands very well that despite all the hatred supposedly directed at the Healthcare insurers, this bill will hand between 2 and 8% of every American’s income over to the insurers, a substantial increase over present levels.

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=UNH#chart1:symbol=unh;range=6m;compare=wlp+ci+spy;indicator=volume+macd+stochasticfast;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined


31 posted on 03/21/2010 1:57:34 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (Voters who thought their ship came in with 0bama are on their own Titanic.)
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To: IllumiNaughtyByNature

CNBCs Cramer was predicting a sell off on Monday, if HealthCare Bill passed on Sunday.


32 posted on 03/21/2010 1:57:40 PM PDT by Kackikat (There is no such thing as a free lunch, because someone paid, somewhere.)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

What will the Moody’s rating service do now?
Small health insurance companies will not fare well. Pre-existing conditions coverage will likely be required very soon after the rules are written and the mandates will not yet be in force until 2014. Assurant health and companies like it that sell individual policies say bye bye! The larger insurance companies (UHC, Wellpoint etc.) will stick around to fail and be bailed out just like the banks to become quasi-governmental entities that function not as insurers but as administrators.


33 posted on 03/21/2010 1:58:24 PM PDT by grumpygresh (Democrats delenda est)
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To: GeronL

“Would it be cheaper to pay the fine and let the workers buy their own?”

That’s been my suspicion, but CATerpillar claimed exactly the opposite. I don’t understand why.


34 posted on 03/21/2010 1:58:58 PM PDT by Attention Surplus Disorder (Voters who thought their ship came in with 0bama are on their own Titanic.)
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To: TheZMan

I move all the retirement funds into a safe haven at TIAA-CREF the day after Obama took over and have not regretted making small gains but not losing.


35 posted on 03/21/2010 2:00:01 PM PDT by PhiKapMom (Mary Fallin - OK Gov/Rick Perry - TX Gov/Coburn/Rubio - Senate 2010 !)
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To: Attention Surplus Disorder

Probably because their union workers would demand full payment by the company if they have to “buy their own”.


36 posted on 03/21/2010 2:01:21 PM PDT by GeronL (All politicians are POS. Some are just piled higher and smell worse.)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

Short term, the DOW and S&P will probably go up. Wall Street loves 0bama. Big Business, Big Labor, and Big Government, all working together. Just like in Atlas Shrugged. Long term, we are headed into economic oblivion, and this bill is just another brick (a very big one) in the road to getting there.


37 posted on 03/21/2010 2:01:36 PM PDT by cdcdawg
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

The passage of this bill was all factored in. If we don’t quit and keep fighting obamacare to the point where they can’t get card check etc. then markets will like that. If this makes the good guys cave its all over.


38 posted on 03/21/2010 2:01:43 PM PDT by Rippin
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To: Kackikat

“CNBCs Cramer was predicting a sell off on Monday,”

He’s an idiot. Probably believes in the public option too.

If there is a down, it will be short-lived uninformed day traders causing it.


39 posted on 03/21/2010 2:02:09 PM PDT by Shermy
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To: edpc

I don’t think it will do much. Most investors have a lot of losses instead of gains anyway. I for one have reduced my US holdings pretty significantly since Obama won the election anyway, so I have little to sell. I think that in the long run, though, this bill will assure that there is very little investment in the US.


40 posted on 03/21/2010 2:03:17 PM PDT by Brilliant
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To: al baby

I’m thinking of buying rectal thermometers to everyone I know who voted for OBOMBA!


41 posted on 03/21/2010 2:06:05 PM PDT by goodnesswins (Tagline, oh, tagline, whereart thou tagline....)
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To: GeronL

YES..that’s the end game. Employers take the fine and then when there are so many people looking for insurance, the government comes back and says, SEE..WE NEED THE PUBLIC OPTION..IT’S THE ONLY ALTERNATIVE.


42 posted on 03/21/2010 2:08:12 PM PDT by Hildy
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To: FlingWingFlyer

RE: “But hey!!! Like Nazi Pelosi said, we can all be artists and poets now!!! More free time and no medical bills!”

************

Yeah, more free time and no medical bills — kinda like after the election when Obama’s idiot voters were screeching about how happy they were that they wouldn’t have to pay their mortgages any longer or pay for gas for their cars. IDIOTS!


43 posted on 03/21/2010 2:08:44 PM PDT by CaliforniaCon
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To: ReleaseTheHounds
I suspect that the market will fluctuate narrowly and then go up later in the week. The market likes certainty and there is so much extra capital injected into the markets by the US that it is a form of market manipulation. When the overwhelming debt of this and other Federal actions causes major economic dislocation and inflation, then the the market consequences will be more manifest. But that is sometime in the future.
44 posted on 03/21/2010 2:09:15 PM PDT by Truth29
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To: optiguy

re: “Gun sales will be up”

*************

Yep, I figured as much. Smith & Wesson, et al, thanks the Dems very much!


45 posted on 03/21/2010 2:10:00 PM PDT by CaliforniaCon
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To: Reagan69

The markets are manipulated by Soros and Obama.

How? They don’t have enough money between them to do that, even with the FED’s help.


46 posted on 03/21/2010 2:11:40 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Gone Galt and loving it)
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To: cdcdawg
Cue the Talking Heads "Road to Nowhere"


47 posted on 03/21/2010 2:12:19 PM PDT by newfreep (Palin/DeMint 2012 - Bolton: Secy of State)
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To: ReleaseTheHounds

They will be up. Markets dislike uncertainty. What happens long term may be a different story...


48 posted on 03/21/2010 2:13:29 PM PDT by montanajoe
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To: newfreep

The goal of Obama is to destroy the middle class, no question. We will have the rich and the poor in a few years.


49 posted on 03/21/2010 2:15:04 PM PDT by ground_fog
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To: taildragger

RE: “And as far as looking for investments not touched, think again, Annunites etc are also subject to the 3.9% Seniors will be pissed.”

**********
Unfortunately that is correct; NO assets of any kind will be safe. We are about to REALLY get robbed!


50 posted on 03/21/2010 2:15:40 PM PDT by CaliforniaCon
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