Skip to comments.Poll: Democrats Losing Middle America
Posted on 03/24/2010 3:35:18 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
Tom Jensen at Public Policy Polling sums up their polling data in the "Big Ten" midwestern states. If the election were held tomorrow, Democrats would lose big:
It's really looking like a brutal year for Democrats in the Big Ten states.
Barack Obama's approval numbers in the two places we polled this week- Wisconsin and Ohio- tell the story. He won Wisconsin by 14 points in 2008 but we find his approval there at a net -2 (46/48) for a 16 point drop since the election. It's a similar story in Ohio. He won there by four points in 2008 but our approval numbers there for him tomorrow will show him at -13 (40/53) for a drop of 17 points. If his national approval rating was falling the way it is in these two states he'd be at about 43/53 for the whole country.
If the election was today Democrats would likely lose something they currently hold in every state where they have something to lose- Pennsylvania Governor and perhaps Senate, Michigan Governor, Ohio Governor, Indiana Senate, Iowa Governor, Wisconsin Governor and perhaps Senate, and Illinois Senate and/or Governor. Only Minnesota doesn't join the party because Democrats have nothing to lose there.
What all this really makes me wonder is just how many House seats Democrats are going to lose in the region this year. The smattering of polling we've seen has not been very good for the party, but because it's so limited it's hard to get a handle on just how bad the situation is. Given the Obama numbers and what we're seeing in Senate and Gubernatorial polls though I'm guessing it's not a good picture for Democrats. It's going to be a very difficult year for the party in this region.
If it’s like the recently released Gallup poll (or in fact is that poll) it surveyed what it calls “random adults.” In practice this is adults that were home, and bothered to answer the phone, on Monday. I studied political science in college, and one of the things I learned was that if a company like Gallup wants to do a scientific poll it will go to great lengths to chase down a scientifically accurate sample. It’s more than a day of phone calls.
That's the same “poll” I was talking about. It was a USA Today/Gallup poll. It goes contrary every single poll on 0bamacare out there, including the CNN poll that came out on the same day, and had 59% of voters against 0bamcare. It's a complete joke.
Right. According to Susan Page, Marxist-Leninist, Obamacare has GREATLY INCREASED Democrat popularity.
I would think it has raised a pleasant buzz among the Democrats. At least for the moment. An unpleasant buzzsaw is heading their way.
Yeah they’re popular alright.
Yeah....in North Korea, Iran and Europe.
Losing Middle America? No problem, just wave the magic wand and 20 million illegal aliens become registered Democratic voters, and just possibly, IRS agents.
It’s a long way to November and voters have short memories.
Not gonna happen.
Thats why it is is our job to keep reminding them of this disaster of an administration. Think of ourselves as the “shock troops” for the coming counter-attack.
He's also the GOP front-runner for the November election to replace Rendell, too (Rendell can't run again due to term limits).
We need to start calling them what they are...communists. We need to stop pretending this is business as usual.
One of the “unintended consequences” is already starting to show up in the news. Companies are issuing corrections in earnings to reflect losses due to corrections they have to take in their tax calculations. Profits that the stockholders will never see.
Praise God some are waking up.
There must be plenty of schemes to take evil care of such recovering folks regaining their senses.
That would actually work in our favor by greatly reducing the effectiveness of that agency.Just trying to find a bright spot in that nightmare.
Amnesty and La Raza to the rescue!!!
Are the memories so short that they don't remember their current paycheck? Because their paycheck will be short.
And are the memories so short that they don't remember they don't even have a job? Because unemployment will not be going down -- in fact it may skyrocket.
“Its a long way to November and voters have short memories.”
True enough, but the Republicans will remind voters daily with their TV ads.