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Poll: Democrats Losing Middle America
NRO ^ | March 23, 2010 | Daniel Foster

Posted on 03/24/2010 3:35:18 AM PDT by SmokingJoe

Tom Jensen at Public Policy Polling sums up their polling data in the "Big Ten" midwestern states. If the election were held tomorrow, Democrats would lose big:

It's really looking like a brutal year for Democrats in the Big Ten states.

Barack Obama's approval numbers in the two places we polled this week- Wisconsin and Ohio- tell the story. He won Wisconsin by 14 points in 2008 but we find his approval there at a net -2 (46/48) for a 16 point drop since the election. It's a similar story in Ohio. He won there by four points in 2008 but our approval numbers there for him tomorrow will show him at -13 (40/53) for a drop of 17 points. If his national approval rating was falling the way it is in these two states he'd be at about 43/53 for the whole country.

If the election was today Democrats would likely lose something they currently hold in every state where they have something to lose- Pennsylvania Governor and perhaps Senate, Michigan Governor, Ohio Governor, Indiana Senate, Iowa Governor, Wisconsin Governor and perhaps Senate, and Illinois Senate and/or Governor. Only Minnesota doesn't join the party because Democrats have nothing to lose there.

What all this really makes me wonder is just how many House seats Democrats are going to lose in the region this year. The smattering of polling we've seen has not been very good for the party, but because it's so limited it's hard to get a handle on just how bad the situation is. Given the Obama numbers and what we're seeing in Senate and Gubernatorial polls though I'm guessing it's not a good picture for Democrats. It's going to be a very difficult year for the party in this region.
More here.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 0bamacare; 2010; polls; ppp
But hey, no worries. USA Today has a very nice little "poll", whereby voters are suddenly in love with 0bamacare and 0bama again. /sarc
1 posted on 03/24/2010 3:35:19 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

If it’s like the recently released Gallup poll (or in fact is that poll) it surveyed what it calls “random adults.” In practice this is adults that were home, and bothered to answer the phone, on Monday. I studied political science in college, and one of the things I learned was that if a company like Gallup wants to do a scientific poll it will go to great lengths to chase down a scientifically accurate sample. It’s more than a day of phone calls.


2 posted on 03/24/2010 3:39:42 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (I am in America but not of America (per bible: am in the world but not of it))
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To: HiTech RedNeck
If it’s like the recently released Gallup poll

That's the same “poll” I was talking about. It was a USA Today/Gallup poll. It goes contrary every single poll on 0bamacare out there, including the CNN poll that came out on the same day, and had 59% of voters against 0bamcare. It's a complete joke.

3 posted on 03/24/2010 3:44:23 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

Right. According to Susan Page, Marxist-Leninist, Obamacare has GREATLY INCREASED Democrat popularity.


4 posted on 03/24/2010 3:46:06 AM PDT by Lazamataz ("We beat the Soviet Union. Then we became them." -- Lazamataz, 2005)
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To: Lazamataz

I would think it has raised a pleasant buzz among the Democrats. At least for the moment. An unpleasant buzzsaw is heading their way.


5 posted on 03/24/2010 3:48:34 AM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (I am in America but not of America (per bible: am in the world but not of it))
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To: Lazamataz

Yeah they’re popular alright.


6 posted on 03/24/2010 3:50:33 AM PDT by Nickname (2012 - Yes You're Canned!)
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To: Lazamataz
According to Susan Page, Marxist-Leninist, Obamacare has GREATLY INCREASED Democrat popularity

Yeah....in North Korea, Iran and Europe.

7 posted on 03/24/2010 3:52:36 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

Losing Middle America? No problem, just wave the magic wand and 20 million illegal aliens become registered Democratic voters, and just possibly, IRS agents.


8 posted on 03/24/2010 3:53:53 AM PDT by Clarence (back to lurking now...)
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To: SmokingJoe

It’s a long way to November and voters have short memories.


9 posted on 03/24/2010 3:58:13 AM PDT by SeeSharp
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To: SeeSharp
Yeah..like how voters “had short memories” back in May last year, when Republicans were ahead in NJ and VA. Such “short memoeries” that Republicans continued to hold on their leads till they blew the Democrats out of the water in November.
But hey, just keep telling yourself that. I heard the same stuff from folks like you right here on FR when Republicans were leading in NJ and VA not far removed from this time last year.
10 posted on 03/24/2010 4:04:16 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: Clarence

Not gonna happen.


11 posted on 03/24/2010 4:04:44 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SeeSharp

Thats why it is is our job to keep reminding them of this disaster of an administration. Think of ourselves as the “shock troops” for the coming counter-attack.


12 posted on 03/24/2010 4:07:41 AM PDT by DeusExMachina05 (I will not go into Dhimmitude quietly.)
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To: SmokingJoe
I think Pennsylvania is now "officially" the most bizarre state in the U.S. right now when it comes to the politics of the health care debate. The state is heavily Democratic in its Senate and House representation, supported ObamaCare in both Houses, and has a Democratic governor (Ed Rendell) who is a big Obama supporter. But the state's attorney general is a Republican named Tom Corbett who has already announced that he is laying the groundwork for one of the state lawsuits against ObamaCare.

He's also the GOP front-runner for the November election to replace Rendell, too (Rendell can't run again due to term limits).

13 posted on 03/24/2010 4:09:24 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("Let the Eastern bastards freeze in the dark.")
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To: All

We need to start calling them what they are...communists. We need to stop pretending this is business as usual.


14 posted on 03/24/2010 4:11:34 AM PDT by riri (Resistance-It's the New Black)
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To: Alberta's Child
Yup.
And Pat Toomey is comfortably ahead of Arlene “The Snake” Sphincter.
15 posted on 03/24/2010 4:13:24 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe
They're just blowing smoke up our asses.

One of the “unintended consequences” is already starting to show up in the news. Companies are issuing corrections in earnings to reflect losses due to corrections they have to take in their tax calculations. Profits that the stockholders will never see.

16 posted on 03/24/2010 4:20:46 AM PDT by Recon Dad ( USMC SSgt Patrick O - 3rd Afghanistan Deployment - Day 155)
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To: SmokingJoe

Praise God some are waking up.

There must be plenty of schemes to take evil care of such recovering folks regaining their senses.


17 posted on 03/24/2010 4:27:31 AM PDT by Quix (BLOKES who got us where we R: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/religion/2130557/posts?page=81#81)
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To: Clarence

That would actually work in our favor by greatly reducing the effectiveness of that agency.Just trying to find a bright spot in that nightmare.


18 posted on 03/24/2010 4:38:08 AM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life is tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: SmokingJoe
By the time the election rolls around people won’t be able to afford the gas to get to the polls! ;-)
19 posted on 03/24/2010 4:48:05 AM PDT by chipper dave
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To: chipper dave
VE VILL VALK!
My polling station is just a few blocks from me.
Heck, we’ll vote if we have to be carried to the polling stations.
20 posted on 03/24/2010 4:54:55 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

Amnesty and La Raza to the rescue!!!


21 posted on 03/24/2010 5:12:32 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: SeeSharp
It’s a long way to November and voters have short memories.

Are the memories so short that they don't remember their current paycheck? Because their paycheck will be short.

And are the memories so short that they don't remember they don't even have a job? Because unemployment will not be going down -- in fact it may skyrocket.

22 posted on 03/24/2010 5:16:57 AM PDT by Lazamataz ("We beat the Soviet Union. Then we became them." -- Lazamataz, 2005)
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To: SeeSharp

“It’s a long way to November and voters have short memories.”

True enough, but the Republicans will remind voters daily with their TV ads.


23 posted on 03/24/2010 5:55:06 AM PDT by Mich Patriot
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To: SmokingJoe
Yeah, let's hope the libs are to lazy or fat to make the same effort! lol
24 posted on 03/24/2010 6:15:57 AM PDT by chipper dave
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