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Social Security to See Payout Exceed Pay-In
NYT ^ | 3/24/10 | Mary Williams Walsh

Posted on 03/24/2010 7:49:17 PM PDT by Nachum

The bursting of the real estate bubble and the ensuing recession have hurt jobs, home prices and now Social Security.

This year, the system will pay out more in benefits than it receives in payroll taxes, an important threshold it was not expected to cross until at least 2016, according to the Congressional Budget Office.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bhoeconomy; budget; deficit; economy; exceed; payout; retirement; security; social; socialsecurity
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Huh. Guess they will need some more tax money.
1 posted on 03/24/2010 7:49:17 PM PDT by Nachum
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To: Jet Jaguar; NorwegianViking; ExTexasRedhead; HollyB; FromLori; EricTheRed_VocalMinority; ...
The list, ping

Let me know if you would like to be on or off the ping list

2 posted on 03/24/2010 7:50:02 PM PDT by Nachum (The complete Obama list at www.nachumlist.com)
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To: Nachum

Unexpected I am sure.


3 posted on 03/24/2010 7:51:00 PM PDT by elpinta (DC, TSA: things that make me puke.)
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To: Nachum
I should be receiving Social Security this time next year. I have a sneaking feeling that the payments are not going to near what I was expecting(or what they were predicting).
4 posted on 03/24/2010 7:54:29 PM PDT by oyez (The difference in genius and stupidity is that genius has it limits.)
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To: Nachum
The system was designed to build up a fund. That fund is still there even if it has no money in it.

Due to Congressional indolence they forgot to put the FICA taxes into the fund and instead spent it on frivolity.

No, when the tax money might well be needed elsewhere, the payments must still be made.

5 posted on 03/24/2010 7:54:37 PM PDT by muawiyah ("Git Out The Way")
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To: Nachum

SS was going broke anyways. Everyone knew it would happen, and that’s before the housing market crashed.


6 posted on 03/24/2010 7:55:11 PM PDT by Domandred (Fdisk, format, and reinstall the entire .gov system.)
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To: elpinta
They didn’t see this coming 4 days ago, before the devil bill passed?
7 posted on 03/24/2010 7:55:27 PM PDT by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: Nachum
FDR & Friends knew this from the beginning.They figured (correctly) that it wouldn't happen during *their* time in office so why should they worry.Same with Hussein and health “reform”.Our system won't collapse immediately because it's too strong and vibrant right now but it *will* descend to the depths of Britain’s and Canada's system within a very short period.
8 posted on 03/24/2010 7:55:57 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Host The Beer Summit-->Win The Nobel Peace Prize!)
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To: Nachum
-- Guess they will need some more tax money. --

Or kill off some old geezers.

9 posted on 03/24/2010 7:56:54 PM PDT by Cboldt
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To: oyez

I should be receiving Social Security this time next year. I have a sneaking feeling that the payments are not going to near what I was expecting(or what they were predicting).


I will be eligable in 3 years and by then, who knows.


10 posted on 03/24/2010 7:56:55 PM PDT by unkus
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To: oyez

we’re due in about 3 years.....I’ve been trying to warn my husband not to expect it...


11 posted on 03/24/2010 7:57:03 PM PDT by goodnesswins (My life. My fortune. My sacred honor. My family will not grow up in a communist country.)
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To: Nachum

The is not the fault of Social Security. The money was paid in by workers. Blame politicians who decided, starting with LBJ, to use the ‘surplus’ funds in SS to fund other government largess. Had the money been left there, and invested at the going rates, we would not be at this precipice.

I wonder just how much money has been siphoned off by greedy pols over the years. I suspect it would stagger the mind!


12 posted on 03/24/2010 7:57:42 PM PDT by jwparkerjr
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To: Nachum

Why don’t they give each Soshcurity recipient a small printing press, to make his own money?

You know: give a man a fish vs. teach a man to fish!


13 posted on 03/24/2010 7:59:05 PM PDT by Arthur McGowan (In Edward Kennedy's America, federal funding of brothels is a right, not a privilege.)
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To: CaptainK

They didn’t see this coming 4 days ago, before the devil bill passed?


They knew. They don’t care.

The Devil Bill is one of their priorities.

Immigration reform is coming up.


14 posted on 03/24/2010 7:59:06 PM PDT by unkus
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To: jwparkerjr

Just like all the revenue from the taxes from the healthcare bill will not be there to pay the benefits kicking in around 2014.

But before that happens, we need to repeal it.


15 posted on 03/24/2010 8:00:54 PM PDT by abishai
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To: Nachum

Fire up the death panels.


16 posted on 03/24/2010 8:02:39 PM PDT by Vince Ferrer
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To: jwparkerjr

All of it.


17 posted on 03/24/2010 8:02:43 PM PDT by sport
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To: Domandred

All pyramid schemes fail. No surprise. I was expecting it to run out of money far earlier than they ever said it would. I am surprised they would admit it.

The party is almost over. Let the last boomer with a check turn out the lights on their grandchildren.


18 posted on 03/24/2010 8:03:13 PM PDT by volunbeer (Dear heaven.... we really need President Reagan again!)
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To: Nachum

Well..gee...when you KILL business you get LESS in revenues...you idiots.....oh, wait, that’s what you planned!


19 posted on 03/24/2010 8:03:42 PM PDT by goodnesswins (My life. My fortune. My sacred honor. My family will not grow up in a communist country.)
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To: Nachum

***This year, the system will pay out more in benefits than it receives in payroll taxes, an important threshold it was not expected to cross until at least 2016,****

Back in 1964, a booklet published by the SSA said the system would NEVER go broke!

http://www.ssa.gov/history/ssa/usa1964-2.html

“Self-Supporting

The program is designed so that contributions plus interest on the investments of the social security trust funds will be sufficient to meet all of the costs of benefits and administration, now and into the indefinite future—without any subsidy from the general funds of the Government. Both the Congress and the Executive Branch, regardless of political party in power, have scrupulously provided in advance for full financing of all liberalizations in the program.”

At least we won’t have to worry about Obama care going broke! Or Medicare, or the Post office ..;-D


20 posted on 03/24/2010 8:05:05 PM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar (Obama's vision for America...All green shoots and skittles, where pancakes grow on fritter trees.)
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To: Nachum

It’s okay: just raise taxes and print more money. :)

Problem fixed. :)


21 posted on 03/24/2010 8:12:59 PM PDT by Tzimisce (No thanks. We have enough government already. - The Tick)
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To: Arthur McGowan
You know: give a man a fish vs. teach a man to fish!

Teach a man how to fish and he'll spend the rest of his life in a boat, drinking beer.

22 posted on 03/24/2010 8:14:43 PM PDT by TherealMr.B (We're tired of your experiments. We're Americans, not some third world country)
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To: Nachum
Time to start doing private retirement accounts.

Eliminate the 401K/IRA limits. Allow people to contribute as much as they want into 401K/IRA/Roth. The ones that save money, will have money for their retirement. The ones that did not, well, we know what is supposed to happen to the 'grasshopper'.

23 posted on 03/24/2010 8:34:47 PM PDT by Frohickey
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To: Nachum

This is not a problem. We will just print more.


24 posted on 03/24/2010 8:36:30 PM PDT by Altura Ct.
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To: jwparkerjr
The is not the fault of Social Security. The money was paid in by workers.

Yes, it is the fault of SS. A Ponzi scheme has a life span. On the average, people collect more in benefits than they ever paid in. There are fewer and fewer workers paying the benefits for everyone collecting. I think it's around 2.3 workers per beneficiary right now. When boomers start retiring, it will be even less.

Yes, Congress borrowed from the trust fund, but they didn't raid it. Whatever they took out will be returned with interest. They borrowed from it to disguise the fact that they were running up the debt. That's the sham.

It's a Ponzi scheme. Younger people are screwed - they won't see a dime of what they're paying in, even after paying about 14% of their income into the fund for all their working years (and don't tell me it's only 7% because the employer pays the other 7%-the worker pays it ALL because what the employee pays is salary the worker doesn't get, but is part of the cost of the employment).

25 posted on 03/24/2010 8:51:08 PM PDT by randita (Sarah Palin has the same computer that I have.)
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To: Cboldt
Or kill off some old geezers.

They just did. One half trillion dollars out of Medicare to fund Po'fokeCare!

26 posted on 03/24/2010 9:01:37 PM PDT by April Lexington (Study the constitution so you know what they are taking away!)
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To: Frohickey
Time to start doing private retirement accounts. Eliminate the 401K/IRA limits. Allow people to contribute as much as they want into 401K/IRA/Roth. The ones that save money, will have money for their retirement. The ones that did not, well, we know what is supposed to happen to the 'grasshopper'.

Constant rumors that the FedGOv is planning to confiscate 401k accounts and convert them to social security payments. Better get your dough out before the retroactive hammer falls...

27 posted on 03/24/2010 9:03:27 PM PDT by April Lexington (Study the constitution so you know what they are taking away!)
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To: randita
I've “paid in” $200,000 to Social Insecurity. I've lost that money and 40 years of investment return on that money.

I have Leukemia and I'm only 56. Diagnosed four years ago and was told I had 10 to 15 years. Hopefully in my second remission.

So much for putting in less money than I'll get out of it.

Democrat Politicians hope someone like me will die early so their wonderful Ponzi Scheme will hold on just a little longer.

I wouldn't trust a Democrat to pickup my Dogs poop.

28 posted on 03/24/2010 9:03:54 PM PDT by Kickass Conservative (Obamunism, the fatal cure for Bush Derangement Syndrome.)
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To: Cboldt

>>>>Or kill off some old geezers<<<<<<
http://crabbyoldfart.wordpress.com/
go stand in the corner ... ;o)


29 posted on 03/24/2010 9:04:14 PM PDT by Liberty Valance (John has a long mustache)
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To: Nachum; Cboldt; goodnesswins; unkus
I'm just into my second year of collection on early retirement. (1st crop..1946) My guess is I've got about 5 years left before the FRN is toast, along with any meaningful benefit from my formerly rich uncle.

Nam Vet

30 posted on 03/24/2010 9:05:42 PM PDT by Nam Vet (Inuendo IS NOT an Italian suppository.)
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To: Nam Vet

From one Nam vet to another: We never expected this after so many years back in “The World”, did we?


31 posted on 03/24/2010 9:11:47 PM PDT by unkus
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To: oyez
They will be California-style IOU’s. Things like 30-year T-Bills, I expect. You can cash them in now for a fraction of their face value, or you can live another 30 years to get the real value. Not transferable, of course.
32 posted on 03/24/2010 9:17:31 PM PDT by VanShuyten ("a shadow...draped nobly in the folds of a gorgeous eloquence.")
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To: goodnesswins
Well..gee...when you KILL business you get LESS in revenues...you idiots.....oh, wait, that’s what you planned!

Yup, Cloward-Piven until we are destroyed!

" Leftists such as Barack Obama euphemistically refer to this collapse as a "fundamental transformation," on the theory that society can only be improved by destroying the deeply flawed existing order and replacing it with what they view as a better alternative, i.e., socialism."

Well, we're not going to be destroyed! Revolution II is on the Way!

33 posted on 03/24/2010 9:21:39 PM PDT by Art in Idaho
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To: Nachum

This year, the system will pay out more in benefits than it receives in payroll taxes, an important threshold it was not expected to cross until at least 2016, according to the Congressional Budget Office.

Guess they missed that one.

Again.


34 posted on 03/24/2010 9:37:12 PM PDT by DontTreadOnMe2009 (So stop treading on me already!)
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To: Frohickey

Time to start doing private retirement accounts.
Eliminate the 401K/IRA limits. Allow people to contribute as much as they want into 401K/IRA/Roth. The ones that save money, will have money for their retirement. The ones that did not, well, we know what is supposed to happen to the ‘grasshopper’.


Good idea.

Right up to the moment when Obama takes it all.


35 posted on 03/24/2010 9:39:57 PM PDT by DontTreadOnMe2009 (So stop treading on me already!)
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To: Frohickey
"Time to start doing private retirement accounts."

More like time to stop the program for younger workers. I would GLADLY sacrifice every dollar I've paid in to it, if they would only agree to take no more....

36 posted on 03/24/2010 9:41:21 PM PDT by KoRn (Department of Homeland Security, Certified - "Right Wing Extremist")
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To: randita

It’s a Ponzi scheme. Younger people are screwed - they won’t see a dime of what they’re paying in, even after paying about 14% of their income into the fund for all their working years (and don’t tell me it’s only 7% because the employer pays the other 7%-the worker pays it ALL because what the employee pays is salary the worker doesn’t get, but is part of the cost of the employment).

It’s 14% for all the self-employed

Can u imagine -—

39% tax + 14% SS tax +

State

house

car, highway, registration , license, passport, travel, bridge, tollway,

gasoline

electricity /water/ natural gas for the stove

FICA

State

Sales tax when you buy a book or dinner

$1 heath tax

no salt tax

WHAT IS THE TOTAL

HOW MUCH CAN THEY TAKE FROM US?

And I didn’t get a single F-22 to use.


37 posted on 03/24/2010 9:43:48 PM PDT by DontTreadOnMe2009 (So stop treading on me already!)
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To: Nachum

The article has some incredible quotes that reflect the fundamental fraud underlying Social Security. Consider this whopper by Greenspan:

“Even if the trust fund level goes down, there’s no action required, until the level of the trust fund gets to zero,” he said. “At that point, you have to cut benefits, because benefits have to equal receipts.”

This incredible statement asserts that the trust fund has assets. The trust fund is a liability, not an asset. If this assertion is true, then any individual could create an asset by borrowing from himself. Another part of the article indicates that the trust fund is merely an accounting device. How can an accounting device be an asset? The trust fund receives interest payments from the general budget. How does the general fund generate funds to pay the interest to the trust fund?

The trust fund argument is essentially the idea that the same dollar can be spent twice. Excess payroll taxes have been spent on other programs. The trust fund argument indicates that the excess payroll taxes were both spent and saved.

The fact that Social Security now pays more in benefits than it receives in payroll taxes is ominous. This event was not projected to occur until 2017. Social Security is now a growing factor in the deficit. Government borrowing must occur to cover the payroll tax deficit. Since it appears that government bonds cannot be sold in such large numbers, the printing press is the only answer. The value of the dollar is set for a dramatic fall as the money supply increases substantially.


38 posted on 03/24/2010 10:02:06 PM PDT by businessprofessor
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To: Nachum
Here comes the original 800 pound gorilla that everyone has been ignoring for decades - and that makes the hypocrisy of the American Fascist Party, formerly the Democratic Party, especially galling.

Obamacare Caduceus, tiny version
39 posted on 03/24/2010 10:03:51 PM PDT by Oceander (The Price of Freedom is Eternal Vigilance -- Thos. Jefferson)
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To: volunbeer

Its a shame we didnt have Bernie Maddof running it. We probably would have gotten another 50 years out of it.


40 posted on 03/24/2010 10:35:18 PM PDT by PA-RIVER
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To: KoRn

I agree with you, but I’ve been dicked over for my entire working life to support seniors with their SS. I want my money BACK, plus interest, and then they can let me invest as I please.Oh, I’m sorry, some government union thug will throw a tantrum when they don’t get their pension AND social security check each month.


41 posted on 03/24/2010 10:49:07 PM PDT by boop (Democracy is the theory that the people get the government they deserve, good and hard.)
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To: PA-RIVER
It will be" fun" to watch Timothy F. Geithner balance this card on the stack.
42 posted on 03/24/2010 11:12:20 PM PDT by justrepublican (Screaming like a "Vexatious requester" at a Wellstone memorial...........)
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To: Nachum

Gimme 3 steps, give me 3 steps twrd the door......


43 posted on 03/24/2010 11:22:25 PM PDT by dusttoyou (libs are all wee wee'd up and no place to go)
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To: Arthur McGowan

Why don’t they give each Soshcurity recipient a small printing press, to make his own money?

You know: give a man a fish vs. teach a man to fish!

I am submitting your nomination for Post of the Day.

Let’s see 6 months a year on the west coast of Panama, new Beammer, new boat and that Benelli I’ve been thinking about.


44 posted on 03/24/2010 11:29:08 PM PDT by dusttoyou (libs are all wee wee'd up and no place to go)
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To: randita

re: Whatever they took out will be returned with interest

I think that’s the problem. There’s no money with which to pay back what was ‘borrowed’. In fact, the did raid it, when they took out billions and billions of dollars every year for years and years.

True, there comes a time when their aren’t enough workers paying in to pay all the retired workers are taking out. When they talk about the system being in the red that’s the point the mean. They conveniently ignore that the money they are having to put in from the general fund is money that’s owed to workers because it was ‘borrowed’ from them for 40 plus years.

Over the years they have come to see the system as a pay as you go system. It was never intended to be that way. The money being paid in during the times when there were 10 or more workers for every recipient was supposed to be left there, to build up for the day when the balance shifted. That’s the problem. That money’s not there, and they are so far in debt from years of profligate spending they can’t pay it back. So they distract us by acting like they are broke because there aren’t enough workers contributing now. BS, they are broke because they used the money all those years for something other than saving it for day when it would needed.

This is the whole ‘lock box’ thing. Americans who were paying in for year after year assumed the money was going into a ‘trust fund’ to be there for the day when they stopped putting in and started taking out. Now they find out their never was a ‘trust fund’. The money was being spent every penny of it, just as fast it came in.


45 posted on 03/24/2010 11:53:44 PM PDT by jwparkerjr
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To: abishai
If a corporation or organization ran their business like these ‘trust funds’ have been run for years everyone who had anything to do with running them would be in prison. That's the problem. We consider Bernie Madoff a criminal. We consider Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi, et al ‘congressmen’. In reality there's not a dime's worth of difference between them!
46 posted on 03/24/2010 11:56:51 PM PDT by jwparkerjr
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To: jwparkerjr

In reality there’s not a dime’s worth of difference between them!

Actually there is a difference between them.
People willing gave monies to Madoff.

Congress critters took money from citizens thru force of law, Taxes and then squandered.

I have more respect for Madoff than I ever will for congress critters.

Actually I have more respect for armed robbers,they are at least honest in their attempts to steal your possesions.
Pols have to lie and hide behind the law knowing that if they get caught,the most that will happen is they might lose their next election.

The thief with the gun might lose his life if he attempts against someone more willing to fight back.


47 posted on 03/25/2010 12:07:27 AM PDT by Nailbiter
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To: jwparkerjr

You are correct. Dem LBJ pushed through the legislation that removed the SS contributions from the “lock box” and put the funds into the General Funds account, where Congress could then spend those funds on other things.

I’ve been drawing SS since age 62. Was laid off at age 59, but still carried as Leave of Absence Without Pay so it would allow me to collect my pension at age 60, after over 35 years at the company (so I wouldn’t sue for ageism). Had to go 9 months with no income. Just figured I would get more of my money back by starting at age 62, rather than waiting until age 67 to get a little more per month. ....I’ll not live long enough to get back what I paid into FICA over my many years of contributions, but the monthly checks do help.


48 posted on 03/25/2010 3:30:12 AM PDT by octex
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To: octex

re: starting at age 62

I started mine early too. I figured out how I would lose over the three years if I waited and it wasn’t enough to worry about.

I am not a fan of SS, at all. The purpose of my original post was to point out that had the system been run like it was designed to run we would not be in the trouble we are now.

Not only did they steal our money, they began using SS to handle all sorts of disability things that had nothing to do with retirement.

In today’s entitlement society many people forget it was never intended to be a worker’s sole source of retirement income. It was to be a safety net. It started out a 1 percent contribution on the first small portion of a worker’s pay. But like anything government does it took on a life of its own. And it grew and grew and spread its reach into more and more of our lives. Now we have the results common to EVERY government program. It’s to the point now that every worker covered is making a 15% contribution to their retirement fund. Only to have it stolen and then made to feel guilty, as though it was something they’ve done that got the program into trouble!

Words cannot describe the disdain I have for anything government.


49 posted on 03/25/2010 4:23:37 AM PDT by jwparkerjr
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To: Nachum

They want to inject the 401K because of all us greedy savers.


50 posted on 03/25/2010 4:30:35 AM PDT by bmwcyle (Free the Navy Seals)
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