Skip to comments.AZ-Sen. 2010: John McCain leads J.D. Hayworth in new poll (Daily Kooks for McCain!) (BARF ALERT)
Posted on 04/02/2010 11:56:34 PM PDT by rabscuttle385
WASHINGTON -- So far, J.D. Hayworth's campaign to beat Sen. John McCain for the Republican nomination for McCain's seat in Arizona is looking like little more than a nuisance.
A new Research 2000 poll sponsored by Daily Kos, out Friday, showed McCain beating Hayworth easily, 52-37. Meanwhile, McCain ended the first quarter of 2010 with $4.5 million in the bank, after raising more than $2.2 million this year so far. Hayworth announced that he raised more than $1 million, but didn't say exactly how much. (And one of his top advisors, Arizona public relations mogul Jason Rose, recently quit because Hayworth couldn't, or wouldn't, give him a paying contract to keep working on the campaign.)
McCain is taking the race deadly seriously, running all over Arizona in an effort not to let Hayworth carve out much space to his right. His campaign aides push back against the slightest provocation from Hayworth with overwhelming force. And of course, Sarah Palin -- who he launched from Alaska to global superstardom in 2008 -- came through to rally the faithful for him last weekend. True, the state's Republicans are rabidly conservative, and some of them have never liked McCain; his push a few years ago for immigration reform hurt him among some segments of the GOP base. Hayworth has had some luck raising money from tea party groups outside Arizona who think McCain is an apostate.
But there's only been a couple of public polls that ever made it seem like the race would be close, both by the same company, Rasmussen Reports. The Daily Kos survey certainly doesn't give that impression. If Hayworth did somehow pull off the upset, Democrats might have a chance of taking the seat, the poll showed. But national Democrats are barely paying attention to Arizona (except to direct attention to the GOP primary). And chances are McCain will win both the primary and the general election handily, for a fifth term in the Senate.
Probably McCain line: “My friends at the Daily Kos...”
I meant probable*
I can’t believe Palin stumped for that loser McCain. She should have tried to help JD instead.
McCain is an incumbent senator with a huge war chest, name recognition, and plenty of political connections. Even if the poll is accurate, isn’t it amazing that McCain is only at 52% versus JD’s 37%?
Even if we assume this leftist poll is accurate, 37% for JD is most encouraging! This looks like an exceptionally volatile election season, and McCain’s 52% shows amazing weakness for an incumbent. JD is moving up. McCain is moving down. This is excellent news!
SmokingJoe: “Daily Kos polls are worthless.”
Exactly! But even they show a surprisingly close race for an incumbent senator. This poll is actually quite encouraging!
Just what I predicted.
Actually, McCain has just moved up from what was a seven point spread.
Thank you Sarah Palin!
jonrick46: “Actually, McCain has just moved up from what was a seven point spread.”
I couldn’t find any previous Kos polls showing the race was a seven point spread earlier. Where do you come up with the idea that McCain is gaining? Do you disagree that McCain shows surprising weakness for an incumbent senator?
It was a Rassmussen Poll:
Hayworth came within seven points and now he is down again.
Since I do not live in Arizona, I do not know if the poll fluctuations are a function of voter weakness for McCain.
Anyone from Arizona with any insights about McCain’s strength as an incumbent?
Arizona Survey of 541 Likely Voters
March 16, 2010
Election 2010: Arizona Republican Primary for Senate
John McCain 48%
J.D. Hayworth 41%
Some other candidate 3%
Not sure 8%
In January, Rassmussen had McCain ahead by 53% to 31%. If you’re going to compare polls, compare ones by the same pollster. In particular, Rassmussen shows JD GAINING! YES!
I’ll write it again. McCain shows surprising weakness for an incumbent and clearly powerful senator.
I’ll call it - JD 52% and Mc 48% in August.
McCain has the MSM, Republican leadership, name recognition, incumbency, numerous political connections, etc. He’s got a lot going for him. Unfortunately, he’s also got this pesky thing called his record in office.
You can bet McCain AND the other RINOs are pulling out all the stops on this one, and he’s weak. I mean the man has the darling of tea partiers herself, Sarah Palin, campaigning for him, and he’s STILL weak. Don’t you love it?
Thanks Palin, goofy b***h!
RINO’s helping RINO’s
She’s a phony.
I got it on good authority that she likes JD
Gee, who would I trust more Resmussen or Daily Kos? I can't imagine anything that Daily Kos would ever sponsor anything that was biased or inaccurate. Daily Kos has always been so honest and credible. Just like Salon.
If McCain wins he will have a strong grudge against the conservative movement. He’ll go back to his maverick ways, striking compromises on every critical issue, particularly if he views this as his last term. His behavior will likely make Arlen Specter look like a moderate.
The guy is mixing polls with Rasmussen.
Yep! As soon as he wins he’ll run to Obama to cut a deal.
Running hard against Hayworth while he slept during his Prsidential run.
This is the guy who put Obama in the White House and Arizona wants to put him back in the Senate.
Actually, Research 2000 is a pretty good outside polling company hired by DK to do all their polling. They were very accurate calling the 2008 results. With Palin just stumping for McCain I am not surprised at these results. The race should tighten back up if the Palin bounce wears off.
Yes, I'm afraid she's revealed herself to be a venal, publicity-hungry gadfly. She lost me when she endorsed McCain.
The fact the Kos is even running a poll for a republican candidate tells you everything you need to know.
She might like JD, but she's licking McQueeg's boots.
Soul of the South: “If McCain wins he will have a strong grudge against the conservative movement.”
He probably already has a strong grudge against us, but he needs us to win. Right now he’s trying to fool enough conservatives to win re-election.
He’ll have even fewer reasons to cooperate with us if he wins in spite of conservative opposition. If he loses the primary, I fully expect him to do a Lieberman on us by running as an independent.
McCain is the leader of the RINO faction. He must be defeated. If not, what good will a Republican majority do? We’ve already had a RINO Republican majority, and I can’t think of one thing they did that rolled back big government in any significant way. Can you?
How did McCain respond to the rancher murdered by illegals? Didn't that fit in with his and Lindsey's plan to "shut that bigot up"?
A concern troll, probably hacked the joining date.
People in AZ are so predictable that McPain is assured another term. They couldn’t live without him, any more than the West Virginians can do without BOTH Byrd AND Rockefeller.
The voting records done by groups such as ADA and ACA are usually skewed, as members are informed in advance what votes will be tabulated. In such cases, the liberal Republicans vote “conservative” on three or four of those key votes and get inflated ratings. The American people never understand.
Not a surprise. McCain is far better-known. It’s a bad sign for an incumbent not to have an overwhelming lead in the primary, so Hayworth has room for growth.
“Flush the John”...great new song! Says it ALL about McCain.
Too funny. Anyone want to guess why a national e-magazine cares if McCain is re-elected? Especially a far left e-magazine like Salon?
“If McCain wins he will have a strong grudge against the conservative movement. Hell go back to his maverick ways, striking compromises on every critical issue, particularly if he views this as his last term. His behavior will likely make Arlen Specter look like a moderate.”
Not true in this year. Anti-McC sentiment is very high. JD has name recognition, a proven conservative record (albeit with blemishes). Both have boogie men in their past but both were exonerated by proof. McC had Keating 20 years ago and JD having the California scumball, also exonerated.
“Salon” and “dailykos”, lol. This really wouldn’t matter if it was believable, since the primary there isn’t until August, but this is a load.
Can anyone provide details about this wrinkle?
McCain is going to win whether or not Kos is polling for him or not. He’ll be gone at the end of his current term I’m sure anyway. JD is passing up an opportunity to win back the House seat he held and he’ll regret that decision.
This is funy stuff, a poll by the biggest idiots on the planet, supporting their favorite GOP hack in gratitude for throwing the last election.
Still pimping the hate Sarah bandwagon, pimping your kook mentor Ron Paul.
Give it up
Rabadash Rabs, most everyone knows the reasons you stir the pot against her.
The Daily KOS is Soros and he is trying to bail out McCain. This poll is a joke. Why ON EARTH would the Daily Kos want to do a GOP primary poll? Because McCain is in trouble and wants to his Democrat pals to bail him out.
McCain is a POS.
No JD is not down again. The Daily KOS poll is nonsense. It is Soros trying to save McCain. Don’t try to spread the Daily KOS BS propaganda - we know what it smells like.
McCain is not gain. My guess is after that poor rancher and his dog were murdered by illegals that people in AZ are finally fed up with Amnesty McCain.
McCain is playing the border drug problem correctly. He is calling for troops. Even the DemonRAT registered Mexican voters in Arizona want protection.
Hunter endorsed Huckabee
Tancredo endorsed Romney
DeMint endorsed Romney
Pawlenty endorsed McCain
Thompson endorsed McCain
Newt endorsed Scozzafava
Santorum endorsed Specter
Rubio endorsed Huckabee
Santorum endorsed Romney
Scott Brown endorsed Rommey
Ann Coulter endorsed Romney
Mark Levin endorsed Romney
Dick Cheney endorsed McCain
Thune endorsed McCain
Jindahl endorsed McCain
Huckabee endorsed McCain
Bachmann endorsed McCain/Palin
Ron Paul endorsed Chuck Baldwin
Ron Paul endorsed ralph Nader and Cynthia McKinney
Ron Paul endorsed Bob Barr
Paul Ryan endorsed McCain for President
Rick Perry (Governor-Texas) endorsed Rudy Guiliani
Peter King endorsed Guliani
GWB endorsed Spector
Santorum endorsed Spector
DeMint endorsed Graham
JD Haworth endorsed McCain
John Thune endorsed McCain
Sheriff Joe Arpaio endorsed Romney
Coburn endorsed McCain
Oh, and BTW, JD must also be a phony since he gets why Sarah is supporting McCain:
BLITZER: You know that Sarah Palin who was his running mate says she's going to support John McCain and try to get him that nomination instead of you. How do you feel about that?
HAYWORTH: Well, I think we all understand the impulse of gratitude in politics and obviously Senator McCain, one of the decisions I applaud him for was putting Sarah Palin on the ticket. I think it gave great excitement to the Republican base and I can understand why she's coming here. But what's interesting, Wolf, in the social media, as I understand it, there's a new page on Facebook, Sarah Palin fans for JD but in the final analysis, it's not Sarah Palin from Alaska, It's Sarah Boyd in Scottsdale and others like her. Arizonans will decide who will be the next senator from this great state.And there's this gem from JD:
So are you going to toss him under the Palin bus too?
Even funnier are the conservatives that posts polls from Daily Kos.