Skip to comments.Blind Man's Bluff: The U.S. has no clue how Iran would respond to an attack.
Posted on 04/03/2010 4:45:51 PM PDT by honestabe010
Over the past three months, several prominent American think tanks and academic institutions have conducted simulation games about the Iranian crisis. Although these war games have nicely covered almost all facets of the problem, they have left one aspect mostly understudied: the nature of Iran's response to a U.S. or Israeli airstrike. I recently took part in two U.S. government-sponsored games in which the participants attempted to provide a modest assessment of that crucial issue.
War simulation games are certainly not a new invention in government practice. Indeed, the history of strategy and that of simulation are inseparable. Ever since men formed armies and thought of ways to outfox their enemies, simulation has been an integral part of military planning. The art of simulation was perfected during the Cold War, but once the Soviet Union fell, it experienced a lull. Today, as the United States faces the Iranian nuclear challenge, simulation is back in business. Over the past three months, several prominent American think tanks and academic institutions have conducted simulation games about the Iranian crisis. Although these war games have nicely covered almost all facets of the problem, they have left one aspect mostly understudied: the nature of Iran's response to a U.S. or Israeli airstrike. I recently took part in two U.S. government-sponsored games in which the participants attempted to provide a modest assessment of that crucial issue.
The simulations in which I participated began with the premise that the U.S. president, having exhausted all diplomatic strategies, had just made the tough decision to employ military force against Iran, with the chief objective of destroying or at least seriously damaging the country's key nuclear-power centers.
(Excerpt) Read more at thewoodwardreport.com ...
Well, BILAL Y. SAAB, the USA knows good and well what Iran will eventually do if not attacked. And it won’t be worth the lower oil and foreign product prices in the meantime, Lebanese.
Well I guess it all depends on the extent and success of your “air strike.”
Rubble ain’t much trouble.
A lot of Iranians will support an US intervention, but the basic issue here is that Iran is THE Shia Islam nation of the world and Shia Islam can not exist as a real factor in global politics if America would crush it.
I say there’s no way we attack Iran, not while led by Obama. No way. No how. This chore is going to be left to little old Israel, which Obama will then completely desert.
I'd say they'd probably explode and burn a lot.
They will put suicide bombers on commercial flights.
They will terrorize in a manner similar to sniper John Muhammed and target gas stations, parking lots, places people normally feel safe.
They will target malls in a manner similar to Mumbai and Beslan.
They will call for global retribution.
Obama, as a nominal muslim will call for enlightenment and freedom from tyranny and terror.
It’ll be over in under a month but it will be a long scary month. After it’s over and Barack Hussein O. convinces people an attack on the US is an attack on fellow muslims, it’ll all make sense in a manner to which the sudden ascension of Dwight D. Eisenhower made sense in another time of great peril.
That’s what I would be wargaming.
“I say theres no way we attack Iran, not while led by Obama. No way. No how”
- Well said,
Today, the “leaders” of the Western World is like a collective of selfrighteous idiots quarreling over how to run a swamp, unaware the Kraken is preying on them.
Obama has failed in becoming the leader of the Free World.
Another one? When was the last "disastrous" war in the region? Who was it a disaster for?
Kraken? More like feeding each other to the ‘gator in hopes that he will be sated.
Make that ‘gators and they.
Better image match to the Kraken’s many tentacles.
Soetoro has possibly already warned Israel that we would shoot down IAF planes if Israel launches on Iran. Zbignew Brezhinzki made the suggestion that we should do that in the early days of the Soetoro administration. I don’t think he would have said that unless requested to do so.
Several hundred square miles of green glass can't have much of a response...
Let’s find out...
Being a Muslim naturally inhibits his ability to lead the Free World.
I doubt we could conquer Iran by a ground invasion. It would have to be through Air Power. Iran is not flat as was Iraq.
Fold like a cheap suit. They need terrorism as they have no guts to face war.