Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Blind Man's Bluff: The U.S. has no clue how Iran would respond to an attack.
The Woodward Report ^ | April 3, 2010 | BILAL Y. SAAB

Posted on 04/03/2010 4:45:51 PM PDT by honestabe010

Over the past three months, several prominent American think tanks and academic institutions have conducted simulation games about the Iranian crisis. Although these war games have nicely covered almost all facets of the problem, they have left one aspect mostly understudied: the nature of Iran's response to a U.S. or Israeli airstrike. I recently took part in two U.S. government-sponsored games in which the participants attempted to provide a modest assessment of that crucial issue.

War simulation games are certainly not a new invention in government practice. Indeed, the history of strategy and that of simulation are inseparable. Ever since men formed armies and thought of ways to outfox their enemies, simulation has been an integral part of military planning. The art of simulation was perfected during the Cold War, but once the Soviet Union fell, it experienced a lull. Today, as the United States faces the Iranian nuclear challenge, simulation is back in business. Over the past three months, several prominent American think tanks and academic institutions have conducted simulation games about the Iranian crisis. Although these war games have nicely covered almost all facets of the problem, they have left one aspect mostly understudied: the nature of Iran's response to a U.S. or Israeli airstrike. I recently took part in two U.S. government-sponsored games in which the participants attempted to provide a modest assessment of that crucial issue.

The simulations in which I participated began with the premise that the U.S. president, having exhausted all diplomatic strategies, had just made the tough decision to employ military force against Iran, with the chief objective of destroying or at least seriously damaging the country's key nuclear-power centers.

(Excerpt) Read more at thewoodwardreport.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Government; Israel; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: airstrikes; bhoiran; iran; iraniannukes; islam; maronite; military; muslim; proliferation; wot
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-37 next last

1 posted on 04/03/2010 4:45:51 PM PDT by honestabe010
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: honestabe010

Well, BILAL Y. SAAB, the USA knows good and well what Iran will eventually do if not attacked. And it won’t be worth the lower oil and foreign product prices in the meantime, Lebanese.


2 posted on 04/03/2010 4:49:44 PM PDT by familyop (cbt. engr. (cbt), NG, '89-' 96, Duncan Hunter or no-vote.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: honestabe010

Well I guess it all depends on the extent and success of your “air strike.”

Rubble ain’t much trouble.


3 posted on 04/03/2010 4:50:32 PM PDT by Talisker (When you find a turtle on top of a fence post, you can be damn sure it didn't get there on it's own.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jhpigott

*ping*


4 posted on 04/03/2010 4:54:11 PM PDT by hennie pennie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: honestabe010
If USA would attack Iran, it would not be another Iraq or Afghanistan.

A lot of Iranians will support an US intervention, but the basic issue here is that Iran is THE Shia Islam nation of the world and Shia Islam can not exist as a real factor in global politics if America would crush it.

5 posted on 04/03/2010 5:00:17 PM PDT by WesternCulture
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: honestabe010

I say there’s no way we attack Iran, not while led by Obama. No way. No how. This chore is going to be left to little old Israel, which Obama will then completely desert.

MM


6 posted on 04/03/2010 5:01:36 PM PDT by MississippiMan (http://gogmagogblog.wordpress.com/)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: honestabe010
The U.S. has no clue how Iran would respond to an attack.

I'd say they'd probably explode and burn a lot.

7 posted on 04/03/2010 5:04:08 PM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Deathcare, a solution desperately looking for a problem.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: honestabe010

They will put suicide bombers on commercial flights.
They will terrorize in a manner similar to sniper John Muhammed and target gas stations, parking lots, places people normally feel safe.
They will target malls in a manner similar to Mumbai and Beslan.
They will call for global retribution.
Obama, as a nominal muslim will call for enlightenment and freedom from tyranny and terror.
It’ll be over in under a month but it will be a long scary month. After it’s over and Barack Hussein O. convinces people an attack on the US is an attack on fellow muslims, it’ll all make sense in a manner to which the sudden ascension of Dwight D. Eisenhower made sense in another time of great peril.
That’s what I would be wargaming.


8 posted on 04/03/2010 5:08:25 PM PDT by kinghorse
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: honestabe010
The assumption of this article is that the US will have a choice of whether to use military force against Iran. It\f Israel acts first, we are in it for the duration, no matter what. So, the response of Iran will only serve to determine whether the response to the response will be to turn Tehran into a horizontal glass factory.

Congressman Billybob

Don't Tread On Me (9/12 photo and poster)"

Are you serious? Are you serious?" \

9 posted on 04/03/2010 5:11:06 PM PDT by Congressman Billybob (www.TheseAretheTimes.us)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MississippiMan

“I say there’s no way we attack Iran, not while led by Obama. No way. No how”

- Well said,

Today, the “leaders” of the Western World is like a collective of selfrighteous idiots quarreling over how to run a swamp, unaware the Kraken is preying on them.

Obama has failed in becoming the leader of the Free World.


10 posted on 04/03/2010 5:16:59 PM PDT by WesternCulture
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: honestabe010
another disastrous war in the region.

Another one? When was the last "disastrous" war in the region? Who was it a disaster for?

11 posted on 04/03/2010 5:23:42 PM PDT by arthurus ("If you don't believe in shooting abortionists, don't shoot an abortionist." -Ann C.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WesternCulture

Kraken? More like feeding each other to the ‘gator in hopes that he will be sated.


12 posted on 04/03/2010 5:24:02 PM PDT by null and void (We are now in day 436 of our national holiday from reality. - 0bama really isn't one of US.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: WesternCulture

Make that ‘gators and they.

Better image match to the Kraken’s many tentacles.


13 posted on 04/03/2010 5:25:29 PM PDT by null and void (We are now in day 436 of our national holiday from reality. - 0bama really isn't one of US.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: MississippiMan

Soetoro has possibly already warned Israel that we would shoot down IAF planes if Israel launches on Iran. Zbignew Brezhinzki made the suggestion that we should do that in the early days of the Soetoro administration. I don’t think he would have said that unless requested to do so.


14 posted on 04/03/2010 5:28:03 PM PDT by arthurus ("If you don't believe in shooting abortionists, don't shoot an abortionist." -Ann C.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: honestabe010

Very discouraging.


15 posted on 04/03/2010 5:35:16 PM PDT by onedoug
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Talisker
Close to what I had planned to say:

Several hundred square miles of green glass can't have much of a response...

16 posted on 04/03/2010 5:37:57 PM PDT by TXnMA (D'Aleo re Hansen's "GISS" temperature database: "Non Gradus Anus Rodentum!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: honestabe010

Let’s find out...


17 posted on 04/03/2010 5:44:09 PM PDT by buccaneer81 (ECOMCON)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: WesternCulture
Obama has failed in becoming the leader of the Free World.

Being a Muslim naturally inhibits his ability to lead the Free World.

18 posted on 04/03/2010 5:46:22 PM PDT by buccaneer81 (ECOMCON)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: honestabe010

I doubt we could conquer Iran by a ground invasion. It would have to be through Air Power. Iran is not flat as was Iraq.


19 posted on 04/03/2010 5:46:26 PM PDT by AEMILIUS PAULUS (It is a shame that when these people give a riot)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: honestabe010

Fold like a cheap suit. They need terrorism as they have no guts to face war.


20 posted on 04/03/2010 6:02:02 PM PDT by CodeToad
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-37 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson