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Poll: GOPer Leads Race For Murtha Seat
TPMDC ^ | April 30, 2010 | Eric Kleefeld

Posted on 04/30/2010 12:06:39 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot

The new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll of the PA-12 special election gives Republican businessman Tim Burns the edge in the race for the House seat formerly held by the late Democratic Rep. John Murtha.

The numbers: Burns 46%, with Democratic candidate and former Murtha aide Mark Critz at 40%. The sample of likely voters has a ±4% margin of error. The Democrats have held this seat since 1974, when Murtha picked it up from the Republicans in a special election held in the midst of the Watergate scandals. The special election will be held on May 18. The TPM Poll Average gives Burns a lead of 43.0%-40.3%

Two key numbers: President Obama's favorable rating in this western Pennsylvania seat is only 38%, with an unfavorable rating of 55%. Respondents were also asked this question: "Would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who supports and will work to improve the new health care reform law, or a candidate who will work to repeal it completely?" The answer: candidate who supports the bill 34%, candidate who would repeal the bill 48%.

(Excerpt) Read more at tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2010midterms; burns; critz; murtha; pa12; pa2010; timburns
DailyKOS/Research2000 polls skew heavily towards the Dem.

They fear this Special Election will not be pretty.

Daily KOS lament here:

http://davidnyc.dailykos.com/

1 posted on 04/30/2010 12:06:39 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
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To: Palmetto Patriot

B-L-O-O-D-B-A-T-H

2-0-1-0


2 posted on 04/30/2010 12:09:22 PM PDT by Reagan69 (Let me know when those insurance premiums go down.)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

I watched an ad for Burns this morning, and, hell, I wanted to go to PA to vote for him! Great ad.


3 posted on 04/30/2010 12:13:02 PM PDT by LibertarianLiz
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To: LibertarianLiz

Is the ad on the net? I’d like to see it.


4 posted on 04/30/2010 12:14:30 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot ( Nov. 2, 2010, Circle the Date)
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To: LibertarianLiz

Is this the one?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=op9T75yU7_g&feature=player_embedded


5 posted on 04/30/2010 12:29:29 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot ( Nov. 2, 2010, Circle the Date)
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To: Palmetto Patriot
From your link :
While much has been made of the fact that PA-12 was the only CD in the nation to flip from John Kerry to John McCain in 2008, that's a pretty arbitrary metric. The real story is that it was one of just 35 CDs (out of 435) where Barack Obama got a smaller share of the vote than Kerry did. So while the nation as a whole was voting a whole lot more Democratic, PA-12 took a step in the other direction.”

I think Mark Critz (D) is history.
6 posted on 04/30/2010 12:29:41 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

Murtha apparently was a hometown hero, and apparently the folks in his district like the “free stuff” he brought to the district.

Without him, there is no reason for them to vote Democratic anymore.


7 posted on 04/30/2010 12:33:49 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot ( Nov. 2, 2010, Circle the Date)
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To: Palmetto Patriot
Without him, there is no reason for them to vote Democratic anymore.

Exactly.
Not only will the Democrats lose next month, they will lose PA-12 in November as well. This will be one less seat we need to win in order to get the needed 41 seats to take over the House.

8 posted on 04/30/2010 12:43:07 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

How do you build a Majority?

One district at a time.

I can’t wait til November.


9 posted on 04/30/2010 12:49:24 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot ( Nov. 2, 2010, Circle the Date)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

I have zero faith in the people of PA-12. They are for sale and whoever brings in the most pork, no matter how traitorous and corrupt, has their vote.


10 posted on 04/30/2010 12:52:02 PM PDT by Artemis Webb (DeMint 2012----Remember May 20th is "Everybody Draw Mohammed Day")
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To: Artemis Webb
I have zero faith in the people of PA-12.

Act as if Ye have Faith.

Support Burns.

http://www.timburnsforcongress.com/

11 posted on 04/30/2010 1:05:16 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot ( Nov. 2, 2010, Circle the Date)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Home of Tim Burns for US Congress

http://www.timburnsforcongress.com/


12 posted on 04/30/2010 1:22:33 PM PDT by txrangerette ("Question with boldness. Hold to the truth. Speak without fear". - Glenn Beck -)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Democrats are running different ads saying that Burns is in favor of a 35% tax on everything...even for pensioners and poor people. Of course they are mangling the concept of the “fair tax”, but are hoping for the “stupid” vote.


13 posted on 04/30/2010 1:37:39 PM PDT by jdsteel (CONGRESS: Take it again in twenty ten.)
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To: jdsteel
Democrats are running different ads saying that Burns is in favor of a 35% tax on everything...even for pensioners and poor people. Of course they are mangling the concept of the “fair tax”, but are hoping for the “stupid” vote.

No Murtha?

No Goodies?

No Vote.

14 posted on 04/30/2010 1:46:40 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot ( Nov. 2, 2010, Circle the Date)
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To: Palmetto Patriot
No, I had forgot where I saw it, but I went thru my links and found it at Powerline:

Pennsylvania Patriot

15 posted on 04/30/2010 2:17:02 PM PDT by LibertarianLiz
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To: LibertarianLiz

I’m impressed!

Most motivating ad I’ve seen this year.

If there is an award for these kind of things, this one gets my vote.


16 posted on 04/30/2010 2:28:06 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot ( Nov. 2, 2010, Circle the Date)
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To: LibertarianLiz

And...

Thanks or taking the time to look for it!


17 posted on 04/30/2010 2:29:29 PM PDT by Palmetto Patriot ( Nov. 2, 2010, Circle the Date)
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To: Palmetto Patriot
Help Take back the House! Follow Key House Races on Twitter
18 posted on 04/30/2010 2:31:15 PM PDT by Minus_The_Bear
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