Posted on 05/24/2010 6:35:28 PM PDT by pissant
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE -- DeVore for California today released the results of a campaign poll undertaken by Adam Geller of National Research, Inc. The poll, conducted among likely voters on May 19th and 20th, with a margin of error of +/-5%, revealed the following candidate standings in the Republican race for the nomination to face Barbara Boxer in November:
Fiorina 28% Campbell 26% DeVore 19%
According to this poll, all three Republicans are well within one anothers' margin of error, and the spread between first and last place is in single digits. These results are broadly consonant with most of the major polls of this month, and in particular the PPIC poll conducted from May 9th through 16th.
The two polls that break dramatically from this consensus of data are the Research2000 poll of May 17th through 19th, which showed Tom Campbell with an improbable high of 37%; and the SurveyUSA poll released today, which shows Carly Fiorina with an unlikely 46%. The latter is especially dubious -- a gain of 22% in two weeks from the prior SurveyUSA effort -- given the likely conduct of the poll over a weekend with SurveyUSA's usual reliance upon random-digit dialing, neither of which lend themselves to accurate results.
Joshua Treviño, DeVore for California communications director, said, "The bottom line, from our perspective, is that this race remains tight and volatile -- and Chuck DeVore continues his inexorable march upward in the numbers. Campbell's people will tout his stellar showing in the recent R2K poll, and Fiorina's people will tout her ludicrously inflated figure in SurveyUSA. Both these polls cannot be right, of course. A sober and rational assessment of this race and its polls points toward the real state of this race: the two front-runners have long since plateaued, and Chuck DeVore is rushing upward to parity -- and then to victory."
National Research, Inc., may be reached at 732.817.1088, or adam@nationalresearchinc.com.
PING
Ummmmm so will Chuck do better than third?
Are you at it again, you “purist”? :p
(GO CHUCK!!)
We got two weeks to ensure that happens.
The ‘vote rino’ arguments only apply to the general election, if that. Now is the time to cull the RINO herds.
Palin hurt DeVore, just like she continues to hurt J.D. Hayworth with her “praising McCain” radio ads here in Arizona.
GO CHUCK DEVORE !!!!!!!!
*shudder*
Keep the faith. This is good news!
Thanks for the update.
what is the sample size?
No and he won’t even get 17% of the actual vote but FR will orgasm on this news that still shows him in distant 3rd place. Its sad,really!
And I don’t like Fiona or Campbell, but its time to quit fooling ourselves. DeVore is going nowhere.
Next, I’ll be called a troll or RINO for just reporting the truth but the unicorn fairy will show me up and push DeVore to victory.
Good news! Chuck continues to grow his support. Campbell has been taking a lot of heat as third party orgs hit him. The NRA and NOM should keep him from winning. Now to get DeVore over the finish line a big part of which will be GOTV.
In looking at the numbers, it appears that Devore’s candidacy in the race is actually helping Campbell. Right now there is about 37% undecided however, mathematically, unless something happens to Fiorina, Devore cannot win.
You think logic would prevail with the others on FR, but glad to see some can see the light. They relentlessly attack Carly (who I do not like) and leave Campbell alone (who is actually far worse). Doesn’t make sense!
Don’t think I buy this one....
Certainly is more accurate than the one showing Fiorina running away with it.
Maybe that’s because the audience of FR is conservatives, whom scant few would even dream about voting for Campbell. If it wasn’t for Sybil’s endorsement, no on reading FR would consider Gnarly either.
DeVore and staff are turning into a joke right before our eyes. It’s so sad.
Deal with it.
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