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New poll shows Labrador leading Minnick (ID-01)
Idaho Reporter ^ | 6/9/10 | Dustin Hurst

Posted on 06/10/2010 6:20:24 PM PDT by randita

New poll shows Labrador leading Minnick

By Dustin Hurst

June 9th, 2010

A new month brings new polling figures in Idaho’s 1st Congressional District, and thing are looking up for Republican nominee Raul Labrador. Idaho’s only local political polling agency, Greg Smith and Associates, released its latest poll, taken Monday and Tuesday of this week, which found that Labrador is leading Democratic incumbent Walt Minnick by 12 percentage points, though about 30 percent of respondents remain undecided as to who they will support in November.

The poll, released Wednesday, was taken among 400 people in Idaho’s 1st Congressional District, which makes up the west portion of the state, and stretched from Idaho’s southern border with Nevada to the state’s northern border, which bumps up to Canada. Smith found that Labrador received support from 36 percent of respondents, as well as an additional 4 percent who replied that they are leaning toward the Republican. About 24 percent of those polled favored Minnick, a number complemented by 5 percent who said they are leaning toward the Democrat. Among respondents, 30 percent said they were undecided and 1.5 percent said they favored another candidate. Two other men running for Minnick’s seat, Libertarian Mike Washburn of Boise and Independent Dave Olson from St. Maries, were not mentioned in the poll findings.

The announcement by Smith and Associates is a reversal from a poll released earlier this year, prior to the Republican primary election. That poll found that approximately 50 percent of those he polled at that time favored Minnick, and only 20 percent said they would support “The Republican Candidate.”

Wednesday’s poll may not necessarily be an indicator of Minnick’s true standing with voters, however. One month before Minnick ousted Republican Bill Sali from the seat in 2008, Smith’s polling among 200 likely voters in the district found that Sali enjoyed a 51-39 lead over his challenger. Minnick went on to defeat Sali 51-49 on election night. In 2006, Smith found Democrat Jerry Brady ahead of Republican Butch Otter by 5 percent in the gubernatorial race. Otter defeated Brady at the polls 52-44.

The poll results drew the ire of Minnick spokesman John Foster, who showed no confidence in the work of Smith and his team. “Usually when Greg Smith promotes one of his rigged polls, he at least tries to make it look real; this one is just a joke,” Foster told IdahoReporter.com. “He is notorious for being inaccurate.”

The Labrador campaign has yet to comment on poll results.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Idaho
KEYWORDS: idaho; keyhouseraces; khr; labrador; minnch; ushouse

1 posted on 06/10/2010 6:20:24 PM PDT by randita
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To: Impy; InterceptPoint; Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj

Early but nonetheless encouraging.


2 posted on 06/10/2010 6:21:29 PM PDT by randita (Visit keyhouseraces.com for a list of vulnerable DEM and must hold GOP House seats.)
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To: Chief Engineer; Delphinium; EternalVigilance; Keyes2000mt; Sir_Ed; Knitting A Conundrum; ...
The FR Idaho Ping List
FReepmail GOP_Raider to be on or off this list

3 posted on 06/10/2010 6:21:36 PM PDT by GOP_Raider (<----Click over there for a special message from GOP_Raider)
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To: randita

Woof!


4 posted on 06/10/2010 6:21:36 PM PDT by rfp1234
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To: randita

Too bad it’s not Vaughn Ward. But what the hell. Get rid of Minnick.


5 posted on 06/10/2010 6:21:52 PM PDT by pissant (THE Conservative party: www.falconparty.com)
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To: randita

Democrats are an endangered species all across the land.


6 posted on 06/10/2010 6:22:03 PM PDT by DarthVader (That which supports Barack Hussein Obama must be sterilized and there are NO exceptions!)
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To: randita

I met Minnick. He’s actually a good guy. To bad he stayed a dim and went down with the ship.


7 posted on 06/10/2010 6:31:54 PM PDT by appeal2 (Don't steal, the government hates competition.)
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To: randita; Impy; AuH2ORepublican; colorado tanker; fieldmarshaldj; ExTexasRedhead; BigSkyFreeper

At this time in 1994, Helen Chenowith had pulled ahead of Larry LaRocco. I take this as a very good sign.


8 posted on 06/10/2010 6:33:25 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama's more worried about Israelis building houses than he is about Islamists building atomic bombs)
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To: pissant
Too bad it’s not Vaughn Ward. But what the hell. Get rid of Minnick.

I will have to check again with the Tea Party Express ./sarc

9 posted on 06/10/2010 6:33:32 PM PDT by kbennkc (For those who have fought for it freedom has a flavor the protected will never know .F Trp 8th Cav)
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To: randita
Well, he's got the enthusiastic and unqualified support of three members of this household:


10 posted on 06/10/2010 6:35:46 PM PDT by AnAmericanMother (Ministrix of ye Chasse, TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary (recess appointment))
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To: kbennkc

Apparently the TPE doesn’t mind labradors record on illegal aliens.


11 posted on 06/10/2010 6:36:14 PM PDT by pissant (THE Conservative party: www.falconparty.com)
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To: GOP_Raider

A little trivia:

A Labrador win in November would be significant as he would be the first Puerto Rico born candidate to win a congressional seat for the GOP.


12 posted on 06/10/2010 6:39:34 PM PDT by randita (Visit keyhouseraces.com for a list of vulnerable DEM and must hold GOP House seats.)
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To: randita

This is true, and probably even more notable that it’s in ID-1 (my congressional district).


13 posted on 06/10/2010 6:44:29 PM PDT by GOP_Raider (<----Click over there for a special message from GOP_Raider)
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To: AnAmericanMother
Thank goodness you posted this, because it wouldn't be the same without a good doggie comment.... something more than a good woof!

You still shooting a Sig?

14 posted on 06/10/2010 6:46:02 PM PDT by ExSoldier (Democracy is 2 wolves and a lamb voting on dinner. Liberty is a well armed lamb contesting the vote.)
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To: randita
A Labrador win in November would be significant as he would be the first Puerto Rico born candidate to win a congressional seat for the GOP.

It will be a day labradors have awaited since they were recognized as a separate breed . Happy Labs will party across the State .


15 posted on 06/10/2010 6:46:44 PM PDT by kbennkc (For those who have fought for it freedom has a flavor the protected will never know .F Trp 8th Cav)
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To: ExSoldier
Yep, but mostly been shooting single action revolvers lately (Cowboy Action is taking up a lot of my time).

I had no idea I could shoot a single action that fast!

16 posted on 06/10/2010 6:48:40 PM PDT by AnAmericanMother (Ministrix of ye Chasse, TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary (recess appointment))
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To: pissant

In my experience, this pollster stinks. I’d take these numbers with more than a grain of salt.


17 posted on 06/10/2010 7:04:34 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (Obama's new New Deal is a bad deal for constitutionally-limited self-government and liberty.)
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To: EternalVigilance

Hard to imagine Minnick surviving though.


18 posted on 06/10/2010 7:05:52 PM PDT by pissant (THE Conservative party: www.falconparty.com)
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To: pissant

Yeah, I hear ya. But I’d be looking for numbers from someone more reliable.


19 posted on 06/10/2010 7:08:00 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (Obama's new New Deal is a bad deal for constitutionally-limited self-government and liberty.)
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To: AnAmericanMother

Ah yes. The Goofball vote.


20 posted on 06/10/2010 7:10:19 PM PDT by blau993 (Fight Gerbil Swarming)
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To: blau993
Well, I dunno.

I'll grant you, the black is a bit of a goofball. She is four and finally getting some sense. And she lives to hunt -- the mallards are scared to death when they see her highballing off the line. She would rather hunt than eat.

The yellow is only a year-old pup but she has a lot of sense and is shaping well as a retriever. I took her into a hunt test just on a lark and she knocked the test on the head both days.

The choc is 10 and has more letters after her name than a professional student. She has a vocabulary of about 250 words and is titled in Obedience, Agility (two associations) and Hunting Retriever (two associations). In fact, she's probably smarter than your average Democratic voter.


21 posted on 06/10/2010 7:27:46 PM PDT by AnAmericanMother (Ministrix of ye Chasse, TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary (recess appointment))
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To: randita

Did I hear that the tea party supports Minninck? I say vote his “obama” out of there. Any vote for Pelosi isn’t a vote for us.


22 posted on 06/10/2010 7:42:58 PM PDT by Conservateacher
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To: randita

I really don’t know who Minnick expects to vote for him, the D’s can’t stand him and the R’s finally have someone they can vote for without cringing (for the most part).


23 posted on 06/10/2010 8:42:23 PM PDT by Newtoidaho (Liberals are drooling buffoons backed by satanic goons.)
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To: Conservateacher

There was talk of tea party support if Minnich voted against Obamacare which he did. I don’t know where that situation stands now. I thought it was silly for whatever tea parties made this pledge. ID 1 is about as conservative as district as you can get (voted for Bush and McCain in the last three elections by 25-30 points each time) so there’s just no justification for a Democrat to be representing this district.

Check out the Three Year Presidential Voting History for the competitive House races this year at http://www.keyhouseraces.com/content/key-races-three-year-presidential-voting-history-chart.

It’s amazing how many red-red districts are represented by Democrats. How can this be? That is just inexcusable, IMO, and needs to be changed.


24 posted on 06/11/2010 5:29:45 AM PDT by randita (Visit keyhouseraces.com for a list of vulnerable DEM and must hold GOP House seats.)
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To: AnAmericanMother
LOL, do you get dressed up in period clothes and all that stuff? That really IS a high committment pasttime. If you get really involved it's like "ALL IN" and then some. Do they let you "fan" the hammer? What's your favorite poison when it comes to firearms for that? Do you go really old school with a Colt SAA in 44-40 (huge frong blade sight and grooved rear sight) or are you one of those who uses a modern single action like a Ruger New Model Blackhawk in 45 Colt or 357/38sp? Enquiring minds want to know!
25 posted on 06/11/2010 7:16:54 AM PDT by ExSoldier (Democracy is 2 wolves and a lamb voting on dinner. Liberty is a well armed lamb contesting the vote.)
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To: AnAmericanMother

The yellow one looks just like mine.


26 posted on 06/11/2010 2:15:18 PM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN | NO "INDIVIDUAL MANDATE"!!!!!!!)
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To: Clintonfatigued; randita

I worried about this pollster’s apparently weak record.


27 posted on 06/11/2010 2:16:33 PM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN | NO "INDIVIDUAL MANDATE"!!!!!!!)
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To: Impy

Her name is Katy, she’s away at the Convent School for Wayward Labs but I got to see her today. She’s running 120 yard water doubles and still as sweet and friendly as ever. Very glad to see me and her two sisters - they all fell on each others’ necks, hugged and kissed.

Then her big sister Ruby ran the 120 yard marks, just to show.


28 posted on 06/11/2010 3:37:25 PM PDT by AnAmericanMother (Ministrix of ye Chasse, TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary (recess appointment))
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To: ExSoldier
Oh yeah, and since all the good cowboy names were taken I am an actual historical character, a Crow Indian woman who fought at the Battle of the Rosebud.

I made by hand every stitch I have on, except for the hat (which is 35 years old - bought it out west) and the gunleather which was made by a friend of mine. I did all the beadwork (we estimate about 40,000 beads in the war shirt and a few more on the leggings).

I have two Ruger New Vaqueros in .357/.38, a Rossi copy of a Win '92 in the same caliber, and a Stoeger coach gun in 20 ga. (no reason to beat myself up with 12 when the targets are maybe 7 yards away). Few problems with using the old iron - it's slow to unholster, hard to dump 5 shots in a hurry, and you shoot so much that you would ruin anything nice and authentic. You figure around six stages with 10 rifle, 10 pistol, anywhere from 2 to 6 shotgun, you're putting a lot of lead through the barrels. And you can shoot a match every weekend around here if you feel like it - plus every spring and fall we have a two day match, which means 10 stages and a lot of 'side matches' as well.

"Fanning" isn't allowed - not safe. Since we're shooting at speed in a crowd with live ammo, the safety rules are very stringent.

29 posted on 06/11/2010 3:52:21 PM PDT by AnAmericanMother (Ministrix of ye Chasse, TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary (recess appointment))
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To: AnAmericanMother

Wayward? Does that mean not housebroken? ;d


30 posted on 06/12/2010 3:19:12 AM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN | NO "INDIVIDUAL MANDATE"!!!!!!!)
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To: Impy
LOL!

No, in her case it meant she wasn't force-fetched and didn't deliver to hand.

Force-fetching involves inflicting some pain on the dog, so I prefer to have a professional do it (for the same reason my kids' pediatrician made the nurse give the shots). I force-fetched my first dog myself, and I'm sure I hurt her more than necessary. I sent my second dog to a pro, she's pretty wild and wooly, and she bit him when he started force-fetch. I said, "I bet she only did that once" and he smiled mysteriously. She's always glad to see him when we meet though.

31 posted on 06/12/2010 8:53:14 PM PDT by AnAmericanMother (Ministrix of ye Chasse, TTGC Ladies' Auxiliary (recess appointment))
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