Skip to comments.New poll shows Labrador leading Minnick (ID-01)
Posted on 06/10/2010 6:20:24 PM PDT by randita
New poll shows Labrador leading Minnick
By Dustin Hurst
June 9th, 2010
A new month brings new polling figures in Idahos 1st Congressional District, and thing are looking up for Republican nominee Raul Labrador. Idahos only local political polling agency, Greg Smith and Associates, released its latest poll, taken Monday and Tuesday of this week, which found that Labrador is leading Democratic incumbent Walt Minnick by 12 percentage points, though about 30 percent of respondents remain undecided as to who they will support in November.
The poll, released Wednesday, was taken among 400 people in Idahos 1st Congressional District, which makes up the west portion of the state, and stretched from Idahos southern border with Nevada to the states northern border, which bumps up to Canada. Smith found that Labrador received support from 36 percent of respondents, as well as an additional 4 percent who replied that they are leaning toward the Republican. About 24 percent of those polled favored Minnick, a number complemented by 5 percent who said they are leaning toward the Democrat. Among respondents, 30 percent said they were undecided and 1.5 percent said they favored another candidate. Two other men running for Minnicks seat, Libertarian Mike Washburn of Boise and Independent Dave Olson from St. Maries, were not mentioned in the poll findings.
The announcement by Smith and Associates is a reversal from a poll released earlier this year, prior to the Republican primary election. That poll found that approximately 50 percent of those he polled at that time favored Minnick, and only 20 percent said they would support The Republican Candidate.
Wednesdays poll may not necessarily be an indicator of Minnicks true standing with voters, however. One month before Minnick ousted Republican Bill Sali from the seat in 2008, Smiths polling among 200 likely voters in the district found that Sali enjoyed a 51-39 lead over his challenger. Minnick went on to defeat Sali 51-49 on election night. In 2006, Smith found Democrat Jerry Brady ahead of Republican Butch Otter by 5 percent in the gubernatorial race. Otter defeated Brady at the polls 52-44.
The poll results drew the ire of Minnick spokesman John Foster, who showed no confidence in the work of Smith and his team. Usually when Greg Smith promotes one of his rigged polls, he at least tries to make it look real; this one is just a joke, Foster told IdahoReporter.com. He is notorious for being inaccurate.
The Labrador campaign has yet to comment on poll results.
Early but nonetheless encouraging.
Too bad it’s not Vaughn Ward. But what the hell. Get rid of Minnick.
Democrats are an endangered species all across the land.
I met Minnick. He’s actually a good guy. To bad he stayed a dim and went down with the ship.
At this time in 1994, Helen Chenowith had pulled ahead of Larry LaRocco. I take this as a very good sign.
I will have to check again with the Tea Party Express ./sarc
Apparently the TPE doesn’t mind labradors record on illegal aliens.
A little trivia:
A Labrador win in November would be significant as he would be the first Puerto Rico born candidate to win a congressional seat for the GOP.
This is true, and probably even more notable that it’s in ID-1 (my congressional district).
You still shooting a Sig?
It will be a day labradors have awaited since they were recognized as a separate breed . Happy Labs will party across the State .
I had no idea I could shoot a single action that fast!
In my experience, this pollster stinks. I’d take these numbers with more than a grain of salt.
Hard to imagine Minnick surviving though.
Yeah, I hear ya. But I’d be looking for numbers from someone more reliable.
Ah yes. The Goofball vote.
I'll grant you, the black is a bit of a goofball. She is four and finally getting some sense. And she lives to hunt -- the mallards are scared to death when they see her highballing off the line. She would rather hunt than eat.
The yellow is only a year-old pup but she has a lot of sense and is shaping well as a retriever. I took her into a hunt test just on a lark and she knocked the test on the head both days.
The choc is 10 and has more letters after her name than a professional student. She has a vocabulary of about 250 words and is titled in Obedience, Agility (two associations) and Hunting Retriever (two associations). In fact, she's probably smarter than your average Democratic voter.
Did I hear that the tea party supports Minninck? I say vote his “obama” out of there. Any vote for Pelosi isn’t a vote for us.
I really don’t know who Minnick expects to vote for him, the D’s can’t stand him and the R’s finally have someone they can vote for without cringing (for the most part).
There was talk of tea party support if Minnich voted against Obamacare which he did. I don’t know where that situation stands now. I thought it was silly for whatever tea parties made this pledge. ID 1 is about as conservative as district as you can get (voted for Bush and McCain in the last three elections by 25-30 points each time) so there’s just no justification for a Democrat to be representing this district.
Check out the Three Year Presidential Voting History for the competitive House races this year at http://www.keyhouseraces.com/content/key-races-three-year-presidential-voting-history-chart.
It’s amazing how many red-red districts are represented by Democrats. How can this be? That is just inexcusable, IMO, and needs to be changed.
The yellow one looks just like mine.
I worried about this pollster’s apparently weak record.
Her name is Katy, she’s away at the Convent School for Wayward Labs but I got to see her today. She’s running 120 yard water doubles and still as sweet and friendly as ever. Very glad to see me and her two sisters - they all fell on each others’ necks, hugged and kissed.
Then her big sister Ruby ran the 120 yard marks, just to show.
I made by hand every stitch I have on, except for the hat (which is 35 years old - bought it out west) and the gunleather which was made by a friend of mine. I did all the beadwork (we estimate about 40,000 beads in the war shirt and a few more on the leggings).
I have two Ruger New Vaqueros in .357/.38, a Rossi copy of a Win '92 in the same caliber, and a Stoeger coach gun in 20 ga. (no reason to beat myself up with 12 when the targets are maybe 7 yards away). Few problems with using the old iron - it's slow to unholster, hard to dump 5 shots in a hurry, and you shoot so much that you would ruin anything nice and authentic. You figure around six stages with 10 rifle, 10 pistol, anywhere from 2 to 6 shotgun, you're putting a lot of lead through the barrels. And you can shoot a match every weekend around here if you feel like it - plus every spring and fall we have a two day match, which means 10 stages and a lot of 'side matches' as well.
"Fanning" isn't allowed - not safe. Since we're shooting at speed in a crowd with live ammo, the safety rules are very stringent.
Wayward? Does that mean not housebroken? ;d
No, in her case it meant she wasn't force-fetched and didn't deliver to hand.
Force-fetching involves inflicting some pain on the dog, so I prefer to have a professional do it (for the same reason my kids' pediatrician made the nurse give the shots). I force-fetched my first dog myself, and I'm sure I hurt her more than necessary. I sent my second dog to a pro, she's pretty wild and wooly, and she bit him when he started force-fetch. I said, "I bet she only did that once" and he smiled mysteriously. She's always glad to see him when we meet though.