Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

In SD, Noem Leads Herseth-Sandlin, 53% - 41% (SC-AL)
Weekly Standard ^ | 6/14/10 | DANIEL HALPER

Posted on 06/14/2010 7:26:14 PM PDT by randita

The latest on South Dakota from Rasmussen:

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey, conducted two nights after the primary, finds Noem attracting 53% of the vote, while Herseth-Sandlin earns just 41%. Just five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate or are undecided. Prior to the primary, the incumbent held a three-point advantage over Noem. In April, Noem trailed by 15 points. It remains to be seen whether the bounce reflects a temporary aberration or signals a lasting change in the race.

Incumbents who poll below 50% are considered potentially vulnerable, and Herseth-Sandlin has been below that mark all year. However, incumbents have many benefits that can help them finish strong in an election season. In 2008, Rasmussen Reports showed two GOP senators, Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and Elizabeth Dole of North Carolina, as potentially vulnerable following the selection of their primary opponents. McConnell ended up winning reelection with 53% of the vote, while Dole went down to defeat.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: South Dakota
KEYWORDS: hersethsandlin; keyhouseraces; khr; noem; sdal; ushouse
Sarah Palin II?

Photobucket

Read about Kristi at Spotlight on the SD-AL Congressional District-Key House Races

1 posted on 06/14/2010 7:26:14 PM PDT by randita
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: InterceptPoint; Clintonfatigued; Impy

More poll news.


2 posted on 06/14/2010 7:26:50 PM PDT by randita (Visit keyhouseraces.com for a list of vulnerable DEM and must hold GOP House seats.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: randita

The problem is with these stories is some of us do not know who the players are and the story is lacking in detail.


3 posted on 06/14/2010 7:29:04 PM PDT by Parley Baer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: randita

South Dakota House: Primary Victory Bounces Noem (R) Into Lead Over Herseth-Sandlin (D)

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_house_of_representatives_election/south_dakota/election_2010_south_dakota_house_of_representatives


4 posted on 06/14/2010 7:29:30 PM PDT by Red Steel
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: randita

This is promising, and surprising, as Herseth Sandlin has been a very cautious and controversy averse politician. IMHO, part of this is a post-primary bounce for Noem, whose victory was something of a surprise.


5 posted on 06/14/2010 7:33:03 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama's more worried about Israelis building houses than he is about Islamists building atomic bombs)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: randita; narses; neverdem

From your linked website:

“Nonetheless, since narrowly winning a Special Election in 2004 for the seat vacated by Bill Janklow (who resigned after an accident resulting in the death of a motorcyclist), Democrat Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, now in her fourth term, has not been seriously challenged in any of her races. Sandlin’s grandfather is the late Democratic Gov. Ralph E. Herseth. In the June 8 primary, business woman, rancher, and State Rep. Kristi Noem, who entered the race a mere four months ago, received a majority of the vote in a race which also included Secretary of State Chris Nelson and State Rep. Blake Curd. Noem’s win marks a milestone in SD politics as it will be the first time SD voters will choose between two women to be their U.S. House Representative. “

Come on - You’ve GOT to keep the rest of the nation informed about these of-the-spotlight conservative races, but we don’t who a “Noem” is or why we should support her campaign because the national liberal figureheads at ABCNNBCBS don’t WANT us to know these details. If you don’t give us information, we can’t help.

OK? 8<)


6 posted on 06/14/2010 7:34:10 PM PDT by Robert A. Cook, PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: randita

Do you like National Journal’s The Hotline? I ask because every few months, they release a ranking of the top most vulnerable Seante and House seats list. They just did one for the House on June 11. Here’s the link if you’re interested:

http://www.nationaljournal.com/njonline/no_20100610_9296.php


7 posted on 06/14/2010 7:34:54 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama's more worried about Israelis building houses than he is about Islamists building atomic bombs)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: randita

Hmmm. KeyHouseRaces has this one as Leans D. So this poll is a big surprise. Hope it holds.


8 posted on 06/14/2010 7:46:21 PM PDT by InterceptPoint
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Robert A. Cook, PE

Visit her website: http://www.kristiforcongress.com/

Maybe a freeper from South Dakota will chime in. SD Rep. Kristi Noem has, more or less, burst on to the scene with this primary win, so no one knows much about her yet except maybe the folks in her state district.

Who knew anything about Sarah Palin when she was Mayor of Wasilla? One of these young, new Republicans who are coming on to the scene just might be the next Republican star.

It’s good enough at this point that she is leading the incumbent Democrat by a large margin. If that continues, she’ll become better known and just might get herself a seat in the House. SD is a “red” state and Republicans should win this at large seat if they’re going to have a shot at taking back the House.


9 posted on 06/14/2010 7:54:49 PM PDT by randita (Visit keyhouseraces.com for a list of vulnerable DEM and must hold GOP House seats.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Clintonfatigued

Yes, I have Hot Line as an RSS feed and check it often. I’ll check out that link.


10 posted on 06/14/2010 8:05:12 PM PDT by randita (Visit keyhouseraces.com for a list of vulnerable DEM and must hold GOP House seats.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: randita

Yet further evidence that conservative women are better looking than liberals. This will require much more research.


11 posted on 06/14/2010 8:31:30 PM PDT by Last Dakotan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: randita

Put some little tiny clue as the party affiliations of the folks involved in your summary, and lots more people would read your post.
After all, what’s a “Noem?”
Not many will bother to read 6 or 8 posts down to get a hint as to the subject.


12 posted on 06/14/2010 8:36:11 PM PDT by Redbob (W.W.J.B.D.: "What Would Jack Bauer Do?")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Last Dakotan
The Dem incumbent isn't too bad looking either.
13 posted on 06/14/2010 8:44:30 PM PDT by hout8475
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: hout8475
That lady does not look like a Democrat.
My, a Democrat with good eyes. Strange.
14 posted on 06/14/2010 8:46:29 PM PDT by AGreatPer (America elected a Prince and got a Princess)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: AGreatPer

“My, a Democrat with good eyes. Strange.”

Good eyes because she has probably never read a single Democrat-authored bill in her time of “service”... No surprise there.


15 posted on 06/14/2010 9:12:34 PM PDT by TCH (DON'T BE AN "O-HOLE"! ... DEMAND YOUR STATE ENACT ITS SOVEREIGNTY !When a majority of the American)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: hout8475
The Dem incumbent isn't too bad looking either.

By the standard set by the average female democratic politician she is Miss Universe.

By the standard set by the average female republican politican she couldn't win a blue ribbon at the county fair hog show.
16 posted on 06/14/2010 9:40:24 PM PDT by GLDNGUN
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: randita

Good sites for analysis of Noem’s campaign (and South Dakota politics in general):

South Dakota War College: http://dakotawarcollege.com/

South Dakota Politics: http://southdakotapolitics.blogs.com/


17 posted on 06/14/2010 10:07:17 PM PDT by ancientart
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Parley Baer

No kidding. We know it’s SD and that’s about it. There’s no party ID for either candidate, NOR what office they are running for. Senator ? Governor? Local Dogcatcher? Horrible story.


18 posted on 06/14/2010 10:07:35 PM PDT by EDINVA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Parley Baer

Exactly right. For some reason it is thought everyone knows the Party affiliation of every elected official as well as anyone running for office.

How much trouble is it to put a D or an R after a name?


19 posted on 06/15/2010 2:27:41 AM PDT by 101voodoo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: ancientart

Bookmarked. Thanks.


20 posted on 06/15/2010 7:31:54 AM PDT by randita (Visit keyhouseraces.com for a list of vulnerable DEM and must hold GOP House seats.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson