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West Virginia Senate: Manchin (D) 53%, Capito (R) 39%
Rasmussen ^

Posted on 07/09/2010 2:28:57 PM PDT by Chet 99

A special Senate election this November to replace the late Robert Byrd is still awaiting the green light from West Virginia’s attorney general, but popular Democratic Governor Joe Manchin is the early leader in hypothetical matchups with two of his possible Republican opponents.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in West Virginia, taken Thursday night, shows Manchin with 53% support, while Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito earns 39% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer another candidate in the race, and five percent (5%) are undecided.

If former West Virginia Secretary of State Betty Ireland is his GOP rival, Manchin captures 65% voter support. Ireland picks up 26%. Three percent (3%) again like some other candidate, while six percent (6%) are undecided.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: West Virginia
KEYWORDS: byrd; capito; election; manchin; senate; specialelection; westvirginia

1 posted on 07/09/2010 2:29:00 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: All

Bottom line: competitive if Capito runs, but probably no chance if she declines.


2 posted on 07/09/2010 2:29:45 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: Chet 99

This is not until 2012...today, we cares. A whole lot can happen between today and 2012.


3 posted on 07/09/2010 2:33:52 PM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: Chet 99

Just let Sarah Palin do her magic.


4 posted on 07/09/2010 2:35:21 PM PDT by Sybeck1 (ALL ANIMALS ARE EQUAL BUT SOME ANIMALS ARE MORE EQUAL THAN OTHERS.)
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To: Chet 99

West Virginia is that far to the left?


5 posted on 07/09/2010 2:37:22 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: shield
This is not until 2012...today, we cares. A whole lot can happen between today and 2012.

No, the WV AG has issued an opinion stating that they can have a special election in 2010. The question is whether Manchin, an extraordinarily popular Democratic governor in a Red State, will quit his safe position to run for Byrd's Senate seat.

it would be risky.

6 posted on 07/09/2010 2:37:51 PM PDT by Philo1962 (Iraq is terrorist flypaper. They go there to die.)
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To: nickcarraway

On economic issues, yes. Not so much on social issues.


7 posted on 07/09/2010 2:38:32 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: nickcarraway

On economic issues, yes. Not so much on social issues.


8 posted on 07/09/2010 2:38:32 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: Chet 99

Scott Brown faced much worse odds.


9 posted on 07/09/2010 2:39:48 PM PDT by tellw
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To: Philo1962
He is really that popular?
My brother who lives there and travels throughout the state on business says that Manchin is not that popular.
10 posted on 07/09/2010 2:40:16 PM PDT by Reily
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To: shield

Not true. Manchin can declare a special election for November 2010. He just got the Attorney General’s ruling today, I believe.

From what I hear, he has been a decent governor with fairly conservative policies. Hence he is popular. However, when in DC he will be daily voting to support Reid and 0bama. If his GOP opponent can successfully communicate this, he may have a hard time. Also, if he resigns to run his open Governor seat might be captured by a republican.


11 posted on 07/09/2010 2:41:08 PM PDT by Truth is a Weapon (If I weren't afraid of the feds, I would refer to Obama as our "undocumented POTUS")
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To: Chet 99

One would think if the (R) candidate runs on stopping “Cap&Tax”, he should win by a landslide considering its’ passage would financially bankrupt the state.


12 posted on 07/09/2010 2:42:40 PM PDT by newfreep (Palin/DeMint 2012 - Bolton: Secy of State)
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To: Chet 99
Manchin (D) 53%, Capito (R) 39%

Funny, but Manchin lays claim to being pro-life. Capito doesn't, last I knew.

13 posted on 07/09/2010 2:44:15 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (No matter who you think you are, God retains His pardon and veto powers.)
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To: nickcarraway

WV local politics is weird, and largely run by a (democRat Party) Good ol’ Boys network.


14 posted on 07/09/2010 2:47:56 PM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: EternalVigilance

Capito is a squish on “life” issues ... she’s not an outright abortion supporter and has voted for some restrictions on abortion, but also voted in support of embryonic stem cell research.


15 posted on 07/09/2010 2:51:43 PM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: ArrogantBustard

And RINOs like Capito and Ireland.


16 posted on 07/09/2010 2:52:19 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (No matter who you think you are, God retains His pardon and veto powers.)
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To: ArrogantBustard

Yeah. She’s not pro-life. Never has been.


17 posted on 07/09/2010 2:53:34 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (No matter who you think you are, God retains His pardon and veto powers.)
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To: EternalVigilance

I wouldn’t call her a RINO ... but she’s about as liberal a Republican as I could tolerate. It would be nice to see an actual conservative in that House seat.


18 posted on 07/09/2010 2:54:28 PM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: EternalVigilance

Her rhetoric on life issues is worse than her voting record.


19 posted on 07/09/2010 2:57:21 PM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: ArrogantBustard

She thinks it’s okay to kill babies. In other words, unqualified for any office of trust in the United States.


20 posted on 07/09/2010 2:58:53 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (No matter who you think you are, God retains His pardon and veto powers.)
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To: shield

Oh Lord. They might be running in 2010. Is this your way of ignoring polls again?


21 posted on 07/09/2010 3:00:28 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: ArrogantBustard

I’d bet you two bits that NRTL supports Manchin. He’s the darling of their WV chapter.


22 posted on 07/09/2010 3:01:04 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (No matter who you think you are, God retains His pardon and veto powers.)
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To: Sybeck1

Sarah should stay far away from this race. This Manchin is LOVED in West Virginia.


23 posted on 07/09/2010 3:01:28 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: tellw
Scott Brown faced much worse odds.

Scott Brown faced a stupid and arrogant opponent. Manchin doesn't fall into that category.

24 posted on 07/09/2010 3:04:22 PM PDT by Non-Sequitur
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To: Truth is a Weapon; Philo1962
I see...I didn't realize this had changed. This gov. is pro-life, pro-business, etc...yes, he is a popular governor.

It is such poor planning by the GOP...not to have a strong candidate in waiting with Byrd on deaths door...now they have to find a candidate that is strong enough to beat any dem.

25 posted on 07/09/2010 3:04:33 PM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: EternalVigilance

It would be so difficult to vote in this election. Abortion is my number one issue and most important above all so since the Democrat is the pro-lifer in this race. Wow! I am glad I am not from West Virginia :)


26 posted on 07/09/2010 3:05:04 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: napscoordinator

Polls...HA...you bet.


27 posted on 07/09/2010 3:05:34 PM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: EternalVigilance
From On the Issues

* Voted YES on expanding research to more embryonic stem cell lines. (Jan 2007)

* Voted YES on allowing human embryonic stem cell research. (May 2005)

* Voted YES on restricting interstate transport of minors to get abortions. (Apr 2005)

* Voted YES on making it a crime to harm a fetus during another crime. (Feb 2004)

* Voted YES on banning partial-birth abortion except to save mother’s life. (Oct 2003)

* Voted YES on forbidding human cloning for reproduction & medical research. (Feb 2003)

* Voted YES on funding for health providers who don't provide abortion info. (Sep 2002)

* Voted NO on banning Family Planning funding in US aid abroad. (May 2001)

* Voted YES on federal crime to harm fetus while committing other crimes. (Apr 2001)

* Rated 30% by NARAL, indicating a pro-life voting record. (Dec 2003)

* Rated 55% by the NRLC, indicating a mixed record on abortion. (Dec 2006)

* Supported funding contraception and UN family planning. (Jul 1999)

Not a great record, but she's not Nazi Pelousy, either.

I wouldn't vote for Manchin, just because he's a 'Rat, regardless of who endorsed him.

I don't vote for 'Rats.

28 posted on 07/09/2010 3:05:39 PM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: Chet 99

I was talking to one of my new neighbors in Kentucky and he was telling me about a guy up the road. Apparently the guy is fairly conservative in his political beliefs, but he is a yellow dog democrat. My neighbor says the guy votes democrat on every party vote, with no regard to the actual candidate at all. Literally, if Hitler was resurrected as the democratic candidate, this guy would vote for him.

I think Byrd’s constituency may have a few guys in it like that.


29 posted on 07/09/2010 3:06:19 PM PDT by RobRoy (The US Today: Revelation 18:4)
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To: ArrogantBustard

Sorry, no prolife, no support from me.

May as well be a D.


30 posted on 07/09/2010 3:06:22 PM PDT by BenKenobi (I want to hear more about Sam! Samwise the stouthearted!)
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To: shield

In all the polls that are all over this site. This particular poll is about as accurate as it can get. The Republican is a baby killer and the Democrat is pro-life....how screwed up is that? Nobody in West Virginia with any sense is going to vote for a person who approves of using a vacuum cleaner to kill a baby. I don’t care that the person is a so called Republican.


31 posted on 07/09/2010 3:08:36 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: BenKenobi
Yes, in a Capito vs Manchin election, with no 3rd party, I would have to abstain from voting.

I don't vote for 'Rats (the party is pro-Death), and any member of "Republicans for Choice" is pretty well disqualified even with her squishy rather than outright pro-death voting record.

32 posted on 07/09/2010 3:08:44 PM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: ArrogantBustard

Recruit Jay Wolfe. I’d support him.


33 posted on 07/09/2010 3:10:32 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (No matter who you think you are, God retains His pardon and veto powers.)
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To: EternalVigilance
Yeah, so would I.

Guess what?

Two years ago, Jay Wolfe got thirty-something percent of the vote against Jay Rockefeller.

Nice guy, but he has a record of losing.

34 posted on 07/09/2010 3:13:39 PM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: Chet 99

The WV legislature could clarify the law so that a special election is held this year. Whether the Governor wants to run would probably decided whether the legislature does this or not. The thinking is that the Governor would appoint a placeholder to serve out the unexpired term and not himself, without a special, but might want to run himself if there is one. The Governor has positioned himself as a conservative Democrat. But, it would be more difficult to do this running for federal office than for state office. Since the polling results are for a hypothetical contest, they aren’t as meaningful as polling involving actual contestants. Nevertheless, being above 50 percent is a very good place to be.


35 posted on 07/09/2010 3:17:25 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: ArrogantBustard

He got 38% against Rockefeller in ‘02. Heck, that’s just as much as Capito is polling. Why not have a real conservative?


36 posted on 07/09/2010 3:18:16 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (No matter who you think you are, God retains His pardon and veto powers.)
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To: EternalVigilance

Like I said, I’d support the guy.


37 posted on 07/09/2010 3:24:03 PM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: ArrogantBustard

By the way, Jay got that 38% with practically no money. The Republican Party didn’t lift a finger to help. The Bushes were in love with Capito, but hated Jay Wolfe. Too conservative. GW came to the state during the ‘02 race and completely stiffed Wolfe. They put Wolfe on the other side of the arena, and placed Capito right next to the president on the podium. It was a disgusting thing to see, especially if you know Jay and understand what a solid, decent, intelligent, Christian patriot he is.


38 posted on 07/09/2010 3:32:59 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (No matter who you think you are, God retains His pardon and veto powers.)
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To: Chet 99

This poll explains what the Democrats have been up to over the past week. They have internal polling that shows that Manchin will win against any possible Republican candidate, so the Democrat Secretary of State and Attorney General discover that the law would permit an early special election this year provided the Governor asks for it in a special session of the Legislature. You can be sure that he will do just that.

If the polls were not favorable, there would be no talk of a 2010 special election, and they would all be saying that they have to respect the law and wait until 2012. Immediately after Byrd died, a number of Freepers were clamoring for a special election this November. Looks like they will get their wish and the outcome will almost certainly be a Democrat Senator in Byrd’s seat.


39 posted on 07/09/2010 3:35:10 PM PDT by centurion316
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To: Chet 99

Dems want cap and trade. Only the GOP can save the WV coal industry. Find a Republican mailman. He’ll win.


40 posted on 07/09/2010 3:37:12 PM PDT by MattinNJ (NJ's new slogan. Garrett and Christie. Perfect together.)
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To: nickcarraway

its hard to understand any hard working American voting rat....like in Minn...good farmers and their families and they go rat every time, with a lot of help from the idiot third partiers....


41 posted on 07/09/2010 3:38:14 PM PDT by cherry
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To: RobRoy
those kind of people "up the road" are the ones going to get creamed first as this "new" America keeps coming...

some people are so stupid....

42 posted on 07/09/2010 3:41:03 PM PDT by cherry
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To: Chet 99

Manchin is well liked in the state. Manchin will win the senate...... I’d like to see Betty Ireland back in politics...her Mom was ill before and she took care of her...she has since passed.


43 posted on 07/09/2010 3:48:57 PM PDT by MadelineZapeezda (Promoted by God to be a mother!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!...................Thanks, Susan!)
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To: cherry

Yeah, this guy is the epitome of what many of my friends in Seattle think of people in Kentucky.


44 posted on 07/09/2010 3:58:51 PM PDT by RobRoy (The US Today: Revelation 18:4)
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To: RobRoy

I’m not surprised that a state that would give a life-long seat to Byrd would vote in another Dem....


45 posted on 07/09/2010 4:05:15 PM PDT by Fu-fu2
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To: Chet 99

We will never get to a super majority of 60 senators to repeal death care and other Barry initiatives if we can not win in a conservative state like WV.

It is sad we have mile long posts about some worthless RINO in ultra liberal states and how evil the RINO’s are but will elect a LIBERAL who will have a conservative rating in the senate of around 12 like the rest of the 20 something so called ‘conservatives’ from conservative states and have post like this here. There should be outrage.

Like other conservative states these people are of 2 types the greedy ‘bring home the bacon’ at all cost, even if it means destroying their country or the as stupid as the human species can be crowd.


46 posted on 07/09/2010 4:14:38 PM PDT by TJC (V)
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