Skip to comments.Obama 'Guaranteed' 2012 Win, American University Professor Says
Posted on 07/13/2010 6:20:27 AM PDT by rightwingintelligentsia
President Obama is "guaranteed" to win re-election in 2012, according to Allan Lichtman, a professor at American University in Washington, D.C. Lichtman's formula predicts the outcome of the popular vote without considering candidate opinion polls, campaign strategies or political events.
Lichtman's system is based on 13 political conditions that he calls "keys." The keys favor the incumbent president's party: When five or fewer of them are false, the incumbent party wins the presidency. If six or more are false, the opposition party wins. In 2007, Lichmann predicted that any Democratic candidate -- Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama -- would have beaten John McCain.
Only four of the 13 keys (outlined here) are currently in the "false" column for President Obama. Counting against him are the facts that he has not achieved a major foreign policy victory, that his party will lose seats in the House of Representatives, and that per-capita economic growth does not exceed the two previous presidential terms. "True" keys include: there is no serious contest for the Democratic Party nomination, Obama has not presided over a major foreign policy failure, and his administration has achieved "major changes in national policy."
Lichtman, who described the keys theory in his 2008 book, "Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President," questions the widespread perception that presidential campaigns are "horse races" influenced by minor events and media coverage.
(Excerpt) Read more at politicsdaily.com ...
There are no gaurantees in life.
“Obama ‘Guaranteed’ 2012 Win, American University Professor Says “
Bartender...I’ll have whatever he’s having...
Allan is a DITZ!! He drinks Obama’s Bathwater.
Nope, no subjectivity in those answers, no siree!!!
And just think, good Americans are paying $40,000 per year to have their kids educated/propogandized by guys like this.
What a fool.
Nothing is for certain in life or politics.
Oh well, its already decided, I guess we’ll all have to stay home now. No need to vote. NOT!
Next they will consult astrologers, read tea leaves and use an 8 ball.
I believe the dumb masses will feel so guilty about the racism in this country that they WILL reelect Obama to double prove they are not racists!
Yeah, they’re that dumb!
The universities in America are filled to the brim with left wing crackpots of every stripe.
The MSM will publish any story they can concoct that promotes their left wing ideology - there are hundreds of academics, think tanks and pundits shouting from the rooftops that Obama is a one-term failure; yet the MSM prints the opinion of a senile left wing radical.
Not jumping the gun there Al?
Maybe they could ask the Oracle Octopus:
Just another crystal ball. The future may well have it’s own plans.
What about the gulf oil spill? BP is a foreign entity whose dividends pay lots of pensions in the UK and USA, and this thing is going to get worse before it gets better.
Well, it worked once...
Obama will try for a second term in 2012. Will one Republican governor try and enforce the Constitution and keep him off one state ballot?
Meanwhile, The GOP:
We will take The House next Fall. The Democrats look forward to that. They are giving the GOP the Shiite-covered end of the stick with which they hope to beat us to death in 2012.
Now this guy I might trust...... ;)
Any nutcase with a pile of chicken guts could have done the same..................
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