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Obama a one-term president? Highly unlikely at this point
Atlanta Journal-Constitution ^ | 7/13/10 | Jay Bookman

Posted on 07/13/2010 6:29:45 AM PDT by madprof98

I get a kick out of all these pronouncements that Barack Obama is doomed to be a one-term president. In fact, I’d put his odds of re-election at this point at roughly 2-1 in favor, for several reasons.

One is history.

In the second year of his presidency, Obama’s job approval rating is hovering in the high 40s. The most recent Rasmussen numbers have him at 49 percent approval, 50 percent disapproval. Gallup’s numbers are 47/46. Given the troubled economy, those are actually very strong numbers. For example, compare them to Ronald Reagan’s numbers in 1982, which was the Gipper’s second year in the White House at a time of significant if less traumatic economic turmoil.

As Gallup notes:

“The public’s view of the economy remained sour, and the president’s ratings during 1982 stayed concomitantly low, in the 40% range, ending the year at 41%. The 1982 midterm elections were not good ones for Reagan and for the GOP. The Republicans lost about 25 seats in the House.”

Obama’s numbers are considerably stronger than those of Reagan at a comparable time in his presidency. In fact, by the beginning of 1983, Reagan’s job-approval numbers fell to 35 percent, yet as we all know he went on to defeat Walter Mondale in a landslide in 1984, pulling 59 percent of the vote compared to Mondale’s 41 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.ajc.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 1000days; obama
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Whenever things look up, I get to thinking that these people might actually pull it off again. After all, what percentage of the population are now on the government payroll and/or the dole?
1 posted on 07/13/2010 6:29:46 AM PDT by madprof98
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To: madprof98

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2551633/posts?page=21#21


2 posted on 07/13/2010 6:30:45 AM PDT by Perdogg (Nancy Pelosi did more damage to America on 03/21 than Al Qaeda did on 09/11)
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To: madprof98

He’ll be lucky if he makes a half term president...............


3 posted on 07/13/2010 6:31:14 AM PDT by Red Badger (No, Obama's not the Antichrist. He's just some guy in the neighborhood.............)
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To: madprof98

Can’t ever forget that apparently more than 50% of the population is made up of moochers/looters. They’ll always vote commie.


4 posted on 07/13/2010 6:32:14 AM PDT by Seruzawa (If you agree with the French raise your hand - If you are French raise both hands.)
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To: madprof98

And this from the very thoughtful Atlanta Urinal-Constipation. Riiiiight.


5 posted on 07/13/2010 6:32:16 AM PDT by tgusa (Investment plan: blued steel, brass, lead, copper)
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To: madprof98

Would anybody expect anything less coming out of the AJC?


6 posted on 07/13/2010 6:33:13 AM PDT by ILS21R (A 200 year supply of oil... in Alaska....right now)
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To: madprof98

It all depends on who challenges him. A sitting President HAS to be beaten in the election, because they have any number of inherent advantages. Unless things absolutely collapse and he is truly run out of town, it all depends on who is running and how well they can out campaign the campaigner in chief.


7 posted on 07/13/2010 6:33:55 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: madprof98

He’ll do it if the Republicans can’t put forward a credible opponent in 2012 - as looks increasingly likely.


8 posted on 07/13/2010 6:34:06 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ( "The right to offend is far more important than any right not to be offended." - Rowan Atkinson)
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To: madprof98

It’s all coordinated propaganda this morning by the leftys.

He’s a LOOSER. He is going to lose big this November and is going to bounced out of DC in 2012.

LOOOOOOOSER! All the propaganda propping in the world can’t change the fact that the incompentent neophyte in the WH is going to loooooooose.


9 posted on 07/13/2010 6:34:42 AM PDT by OpusatFR
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To: madprof98

In 1983, we now know what Reagan had planned for the rest of his term and how well it worked

Looking at what obama has planned over the next 2 years, I’d say comparisons are virtually moot


10 posted on 07/13/2010 6:35:04 AM PDT by silverleaf (Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.)
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To: Mr. Jeeves

Of course, Barry never proved he was eligible to run in the first place - Do you think everyone is going to bow down a second time to this Usurper in Chief?


11 posted on 07/13/2010 6:36:16 AM PDT by Sioux-san
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To: ilgipper

Worked quite will for Jimmah Cahta, and Obambi make Jimmah look almost competent.

Gunner


12 posted on 07/13/2010 6:36:16 AM PDT by weps4ret (Where is John Galt?)
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To: madprof98

Obama’s numbers are considerably stronger than those of Reagan at a comparable time in his presidency.

But Reagan pursued a pro-growth program of tax cuts and deregulation to stimulate the economy into the biggest peacetime boom in history so that by the time the 1984 elections came around, the recovery was in full swing and the mood of the country was effervescent. So all Obama has to do it hope that more regulation, higher taxes, and less freedom will similarly boost the economy in the next two years and the comparison to Reagan will turn out prophetic. As for me, I don't see that happening.

13 posted on 07/13/2010 6:36:24 AM PDT by pepsi_junkie (Who is John Galt?)
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To: madprof98
In this case, half-term would work for me.

EXCEPT...the thought of a "President Biden" is just too frightening to contemplate...for very long...

14 posted on 07/13/2010 6:36:26 AM PDT by MaggieCarta (I'm never fully dressed without a snark.)
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To: madprof98

Whistling past the graveyard.


15 posted on 07/13/2010 6:36:41 AM PDT by saganite (What happens to taglines? Is there a termination date?)
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To: madprof98
The government dole now stands at about 43% of all Americans. Surprisingly(?) that is almost exactly The Obowma approval rating at today's WashPost/NBC poll. And given their usual oversampling of Democrats, it seems that The Obowma cannot even maintain parity with that group.
16 posted on 07/13/2010 6:37:23 AM PDT by Tarpon (Obama-Speak ... the fusion of sophistry and Newspeak. It's not a gift, it's just lies.)
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To: OpusatFR

“It’s all coordinated propaganda this morning by the leftys.”

...you’re right, and there’ll be much more to come...the MSM is going broke and know that Obama/Dems just might give them a bailout....they’re not going to bite the hand that might feed them.


17 posted on 07/13/2010 6:37:50 AM PDT by STONEWALLS
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To: All

Two things are working against Obama’s re-election that make it very different from Ronald Regan’s 2nd term victory.

1. He is not Ronald Regan
2. Polling that is not tied to ABCNBCCBS. Network polls ALWAYS were anti Regan as was the entire media, and he still steam rolled to victory. Polling at 40% back then is way different than polling at 40% today.

Anyone who runs against this turd will win.


18 posted on 07/13/2010 6:38:02 AM PDT by texan75010
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To: madprof98

Wishful thinking from a muzzie-loving liberal media twerp.


19 posted on 07/13/2010 6:38:04 AM PDT by jimbo123
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To: madprof98

Bookman has got a hold of some really good sh*t, dude.

20 posted on 07/13/2010 6:38:45 AM PDT by Zakeet (The Big Wee Wee -- rapidly moving America from WTF to SNAFU to FUBAR)
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To: madprof98

I find it hard to believe that the independent vote would go to this empty suit a second time.


21 posted on 07/13/2010 6:38:52 AM PDT by ThomasMore (Patrick Henry and Joe Wilson...Patriots past and present!)
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To: silverleaf

Exactly.

Reagan was a true patriot who loved America.

Obama is a communist nightmare who hates America....he listened to the nutjob ravings of “Reverend” Wright for 20 years, which helped to pollute his mind.

I can’t think of two individuals more opposite than Reagan and Obama.


22 posted on 07/13/2010 6:39:51 AM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (The rallying cry of American patriots.....REMEMBER IN NOVEMBER!)
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To: MaggieCarta

The prospect of a President Biden is positively entertaining for me. He’s an incompetent white guy. No reason for the press to hold their fire when that loony toon speaks out.


23 posted on 07/13/2010 6:39:52 AM PDT by saganite (What happens to taglines? Is there a termination date?)
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To: madprof98

Obama’s numbers are considerably stronger than those of Reagan at a comparable time in his presidency”

Then there was the Reagan recovery. You folks at the Urinal keep forgetting that.


24 posted on 07/13/2010 6:39:55 AM PDT by Huskrrrr
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To: madprof98
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2551282/posts
25 posted on 07/13/2010 6:40:33 AM PDT by domeika
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To: madprof98
Despite being totally incompetent, and arrogant in his ignorance, it is not inconceivable that 0bama, with ACORN's help, could come out on top for re-election.

0bamao has a "core constituency" of around 25% that will vote for him even if he were to admit that he is the devil's spawn;
The GOP under Michael Steele and the other so-called "leaders" have not demonstrated they can effectively blunt him.

Never say "Never". That is precisely why we must ensure that he presents VALID proof that he is a natural born citizen, before his name is placed on the ballot. He has usurped the office too long now.

26 posted on 07/13/2010 6:40:36 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (The usurper 0bama regime is a "Clear and Present Danger" to AMERICA! - Mene, Mene, Tekel, Upharsin)
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To: Seruzawa

“Can’t ever forget that apparently more than 50% of the population is made up of moochers/looters. They’ll always vote commie.”

####

Yes.

Sadly, in the most free, most opportunity rich country in history, this is now the fulcrum on which elections turn.

It has little to do with Zero’s incompetence, open racism, and anti-American activities, white Union slobs (as just one example.....its not even worth discussing the lockstep idiocy of blacks and Jews), will continue to vote Communist if it means punishing the “rich” and protecting their unearned goodies.


27 posted on 07/13/2010 6:41:18 AM PDT by EyeGuy
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To: Red Badger

He better make it full term for the sake of this country— unless you know someone who knows something that would effectively put him out of office legally.


28 posted on 07/13/2010 6:42:20 AM PDT by Clara Lou (Barack Obama: saboteur)
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To: pepsi_junkie

That’s it in a nutshell. Both Reagan and Obama faced/face a crushed economy and both set out policies to correct it. We know the outcome of Reagan’s leadership, and by 2012 we’ll have a verdict on the left wing approach.


29 posted on 07/13/2010 6:42:20 AM PDT by randog (Tap into America!)
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To: madprof98

Jay Bookman underestimates the American people.


30 posted on 07/13/2010 6:42:29 AM PDT by SumProVita (Cogito, ergo...Sum Pro Vita. (Modified Decartes))
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To: madprof98

People need to stop comparing Obama to Reagan as far as approval numbers because of this one clear fact:

Reagan’s Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981 was not enacted until 1983, so the first two years was a washed.....Obama’s “stimulus reinvestment act” Started in a few months after he took office in 2009 and is about to finish in later this year in 2010 and things is get worse


31 posted on 07/13/2010 6:42:46 AM PDT by Bigtigermike
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To: madprof98
pulling 59 percent of the vote compared to Mondale’s 41 percent.

This doesn't tell the real story of 1984. The final electoral score was 525-13.


32 posted on 07/13/2010 6:42:50 AM PDT by Huck (Q: How can you tell a party is in the minority? A: They're complaining about the deficit.)
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To: madprof98

Actually what will propel him to a second term will be the fact that the house and the senate, in republican hands, will hold in check the O’s mad dash to the left, which will bring a stabilizing effect to the economy and a host of other issues. Unfortunately, this will redound his favor and the electorate, gullible as they are, will say, “hey, things are getting better, lets not rock the boat, let this guy stay in office.”
I remember back when I was smoking pot, I thought how screwed up the world would be if everybody was on drugs. Well here we are, all screwed up...


33 posted on 07/13/2010 6:44:03 AM PDT by dps.inspect (uttox)
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To: madprof98

Jay Bookman....LOL! He and Cynthia Tucker have locked themselves in the cockpit of the Atlanta Journal and are determined to crash it into the ground. Not unlike our current Regieme, actually.

“Gee, let’s alienate the people with money who can read and throw the whole editorial weight of the newspaper behind the impoverished illiterates so we can feel good about ourselves and sip a little Chablis in the gallery lofts of the intelligentsia.” Great business plan, AJC board!


34 posted on 07/13/2010 6:44:03 AM PDT by Liberty Ship ("Lord, make me fast and accurate.")
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To: madprof98
He can't run for a second term.

Arizona, at the very least, will demand a birth certificate. More states are likely to follow suit.

Besides, he never planned on a second term. The Cloward-Piven plan was to inflict the maximum amount of damage in the minimum amount of time.

Mission accomplished!

35 posted on 07/13/2010 6:45:04 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("The only stable state is the one in which all men are equal before the law." -- Aristotle)
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To: madprof98
They're on crack!

Obama's re-election might be plausible with the kind of economic recovery typical since the Great Depression. However, Obama's economic policies are designed to repeat the errors that lead to the Great Depression. The policies did not work for Hoover/Roosevelt, haven't worked for the Japanese for the past 18 years, and won't work now. We will not see a booming economic recovery begin until January 20, 2013.

36 posted on 07/13/2010 6:46:49 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: madprof98
Notice how this idiot is comparing Obama to Reagan.

Hey twit....just a liiiiiiiiiiiitle difference between the two, don't ya think?

Moron.

37 posted on 07/13/2010 6:47:03 AM PDT by RightOnline
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To: MaggieCarta

I think Biden would be orders of magnitude better. Even the democrats know he is a buffoon, and he would accomplish nothing. He is a gaffe prone screw up.

Obama is a stone cold Marxist foreigner who is convinced of his savior status, much like one Adolph Hitler. He also holds the United States constitution in contempt, for its restrictions placed on governmental power.

Sky’s the limit for Obama.


38 posted on 07/13/2010 6:47:24 AM PDT by ecomcon
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To: madprof98

Will Obama have to produce a B.C.?


39 posted on 07/13/2010 6:48:13 AM PDT by MrPiper
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To: Zakeet

Somebody forgot to flush the crapper at the urinal...


40 posted on 07/13/2010 6:48:14 AM PDT by Tarpon (Obama-Speak ... the fusion of sophistry and Newspeak. It's not a gift, it's just lies.)
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To: The Sons of Liberty
Despite being totally incompetent, and arrogant in his ignorance, it is not inconceivable that 0bama, with ACORN's help [and dedication to voter fraud and vote stealing], could come out on top for re-election.

Vigilance had better be the keyword in 2010 and 2012. Remember Al Franken, the battle cry!

41 posted on 07/13/2010 6:49:08 AM PDT by luvbach1 (Stop Barry now. He can't help himself.)
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To: All

I kind of agree with this guy - do you ever hear the crowds cheering at one of his speeches? SICKENING!!! What’s WRONG with those people???!


42 posted on 07/13/2010 6:49:42 AM PDT by jackibutterfly (Palin is so under obama's skin, he hears 'Hail to the Chief' when he sees her.)
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To: madprof98

Jay Bookman: Turd Polisher


43 posted on 07/13/2010 6:50:40 AM PDT by Niteranger68 (Don't just accept freedom, DEMAND IT!!!)
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To: Mr. Jeeves

McCain, Romney, Gingrich...I’d say they all line up with Mondale as far as appealing challengers.

Palin - probably damaged goods, thanks to McCain’s election minions, though she can repair her image. But likely not before 2012.

Huckabee - I really like the guy personally, but he’s put holes in his own boat.

Sooooo...time for a dark horse. Who’s out there?

Colonel, USAFR


44 posted on 07/13/2010 6:51:07 AM PDT by jagusafr ("We hold these truths to be self-evident...")
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To: Tarpon

This is why the Socialist have undermined the morality and are anti-religion.You have to have a large % of voters with no pride or work ethic willing to vote fore the meager crumbs doled out by the Socialists. They are taught to hate the evil capitalist but fail to realize they are voting for a monopoly of Communist party elites who will treat them worse than the capitalists they revile. Idiots. The Republic will not survive this one.


45 posted on 07/13/2010 6:52:40 AM PDT by screaminsunshine (m)
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To: Seruzawa
"Can’t ever forget that apparently more than 50% of the population is made up of moochers/looters. They’ll always vote commie."

The other half is made up of folks that will vote for six different "Conservative" candidates depending on which agenda they support. Unless a real consensus is reached among Conservative voters early in the election cycle, Obama will be a two term president, and America will continue its descent into hell.

46 posted on 07/13/2010 6:52:48 AM PDT by Big_Harry ( Starve the Beast!)
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To: madprof98

Mr. Bookman engages in a feeble attempt at humor.


47 posted on 07/13/2010 6:54:24 AM PDT by sayuncledave
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To: Clara Lou

There was someone on the radio the other day that predicted he would be driven out of office and forced to resign over some corruption scandal, that would make Nixon look like a altar boy..............


48 posted on 07/13/2010 6:55:30 AM PDT by Red Badger (No, Obama's not the Antichrist. He's just some guy in the neighborhood.............)
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To: ilgipper

It all depends on who challenges him. A sitting President HAS to be beaten in the election, because they have any number of inherent advantages. Unless things absolutely collapse and he is truly run out of town, it all depends on who is running and how well they can out campaign the campaigner in chief.

****************************

True, true, true!

The GOP position of passively being less awful is not going to get them anywhere except extinct.


49 posted on 07/13/2010 6:56:18 AM PDT by Psalm 144 (How many Michael Steele gaffes does it take to make a pattern?)
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To: madprof98

Whistling through the graveyard.


50 posted on 07/13/2010 6:56:43 AM PDT by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannolis. Take it to the Mattress.")
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