Skip to comments.McCain Surges
Posted on 07/15/2010 5:14:43 AM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines
Sen. John McCain is widely ahead of his two primary challengers, according to a new poll.
A Behavior Research Center survey released Thursday indicates that 64 percent of likely Arizona Republican primary voters support McCain, with19 percent backing former Rep. J.D. Hayworth, five percent supporting Jim Deakin, a Tea Party activist, and 12 percent undecided. The primary is scheduled for August 24.
Why such a gap?
"The simple reality is that McCain took his (Hayworth's) border and SB 1070 issue away from him, and then nailed him on ethics issues pertaining to being a lobbyist and so on," said Earl de Berge, Behavior Research Center's research director. "Most Republicans just pinch their nose at that stuff, and I think it just turned them off to him. It's the devil you know versus the devil you don't know."
The margin of of error for the sample in de Berge's poll is 6.9 percent.
Hayworth spokesman Mark Sanders says the polling firm has "no credibility."
This is so sad-—and a bit scary. What is with Republicans that they hang onto these old farts so often?
And, true to form, a freshly re-elected McCain will flip-flop again and the pro-amnesty, anti-border security RINO we know will re-emerge.
The poling could be skewed.
The voters have very short memories.
The voters are becoming more and more stupid in this nation.
It will be interesting to see exactly what happens in August when the primary is held.
“This is so sad-and a bit scary. What is with Republicans that they hang onto these old farts so often?”
Between the Marxist and the RINOS, what chance is there for America?
McStain should have been put out to pasture long ago.
As long as there are Republicans that support this lying sack of $hit - there is no hope for our country. This man has done more damage to us than any other one RINO I can think of - how can any conservative go along with him?
We have got to stop making excuses and giving people like this power over us. I know this poll is probably skewed - but I have a bad, hurtful feeling that the fix is in - and the powers that be are going to win no matter what the people want. I’m sick to death of politics as usual.
I’ll believe that poll if and when it happens.
And people like McCain are the reason the train continues to run over us, up and down and up and down.
Some would call it "negative" campaigning, but it is nothing more than refreshing the voters' memories.
Or, maybe they believe what Juan McCain says? Is that even a possibility among sane and rational people?
Unfortunately, Hayworth’s lack of fund raising has made that impossible...he didn’t generate a lot of interest money-wise...magritte
AZ was fooled again.
He also needs to run continous ads showing John McCain saying that Obama would be a fine president.
One wouldn't think so, but the fact that JD should have name recognition in Az and can't generate any real enthusiasm I think says more about Hayworth than it does McCain.
I second that
That's not really correct. He's raised $2 million, which is a healthy amount for a challenger in a state of Arizona's size. Challengers never have the funds to match entrenched incumbents unless they are independently wealthy.
And we still have three debates and about six weeks to go, the real heart of any campaign.
No, if this poll is correct, it says a lot about a group of voters who would fall for Juan McCain's lies and flip/flops, while at the same time showing 70% or more support for their new immigration law.
If they reelect McCain, he will make these voters look like dupes and fools.
For what it’s worth:
EDITORS NOTE: This Rocky Mountain Poll - Arizona (2010-III-01), is based on 524 interviews with
registered voters statewide conducted between June 30 and July 11, 2010 of which 190 were Republicans,
173 Democrats and 161 Independents. A total of 311 came from Maricopa, 78 in Pima and 134 in rural
areas. Where necessary, figures for age, sex, race and political party were weighted to bring them into line
with their actual proportion in the population. In a sample of this size, one can say with a 95 percent
certainty that the results have a statistical precision of plus or minus 4.4 percent of what they would have
been had the entire voter population been surveyed. The Rocky Mountain Poll is conducted by the
Behavior Research Center of Arizona and is an independent and non-partisan research program sponsored
by the Center.
OR...they want to win the seat!
I am sure he wants to do that, but Mr. Crew Cut can’t get fundraising. Maybe he should go get a tax free government loan or something he was harping about
A margin of error of 6.9% is pretty high. I’d recommend a better study with a larger sample and better margin of error before saying anything else. This could be all outlier numbers. Other polls don’t put the race this wide apart.
While I can’t say that the fat lady is singing, I do, however, hear her clearing her throat.
The really bad thing in this is that the age of McCain means this could very likely be his last election. He’ll be an unaccountable, insider, rino systemite. He’ll wreak havoc with conservative plans.
Is there no way to rehabilitate the third candidate? Does he have more baggage than Hayworth?
>>> Or, maybe they believe what Juan McCain says?
And how many net votes does calling McCain “Juan” win for Hayworth? The evidence says “few” if any. It’s just too lame.
Yeah, everyone knows that Hayworth doing an infomercial is way, way, worse than the accumulated damage that the traitor John McCain has done during his political career. /sarc
I think it’s pretty obvious that McCain is pulling in all the “favors” he’s owed - he’s a slick political machine. GOD help this country!
Either the media is trying the McCain shuffle again or there are some dumb sh*t Republicans out there.
Polls have gone from being snapshots of the situation to being a method of affecting results. The MSM uses them all the time to spin stuff.
Truth is, this poll will not affect the outcome of the election more than 1 or 2 percent, if that. What it DOES do though is trick McCain's supporters into being buoyed into giving more money and support.
America faces danger on every front. From extremist, militant Islam to a Gulf of Mexico that could turn into a huge oilcano, we're under attack all around. But the biggest threat we face, IMHO, is that we've lost control of the election process. From dog catcher to President the system has lost its integrity. And every change made in the name of improving it usually turns out to be a Trojan Horse aimed at making it easier for the bad guys to exploit.
I don’t believe it. The people of Arizona have to smarter than this.
Yep - as evidenced by some of the FReepers on this very thread.
All set to “reach across the aisle” again.
Lol, Juan has earned the distinction of being called Juan, several times over. And calling Juan Juan is one of the milder designations for Juan.
If that bothers you, you must not have read many posts around FR. And how do you like the Juan peso that has been so popular?
And, of course, we all know Juan would never say anything uncomplimentary or unkind or UNTRUE about any political opponent.
Either the media is trying the McCain shuffle again or there are some dumb sh*t Republicans out there.
All of the above.
Quite True! JD needs money. The corrupt power structure has starved JD money wise. Juan is running continuous Ads with Soros money.
Help JD with donations ASAP!
I agree. Hayworth comes across as a self-promoting nut. I’m not from Arizona but I have to admit that if I were, I’d probably vote for McCain.
And how does John McCain come across to you?
Scott Brown was a situation that will rarely be repeated, and most of that money was raised the last three or so weeks of that campaign once it caught the nation's attention where a Republican had a chance to take the Ted Kennedy seat. That can't be duplicated.
Florida's population is almost 20 million, and Arizona around 6.8 million, almost three times as large. And Rubio has had constant support from most all conservative talk show hosts and most of the establishment. JD hasn't, and many who disagree with McCain on most major issues are supporting him.
And I don't know what organization you got that figure from, or as of what date, but JD's website has shown two completed, $1 million fundraising drives.
Palin stepped up bigtime to help out Mclame and basically killed any early momentum for Hayworth... thanks sarah.
Ah yes, McCain and the Politicians that enable him - Politics as usual, I'd say.
thats the really sad part of this for me. I was a big SP supporter early on, now its just same old same. We are never gonna get ahead with people like Mclame back in. They are mostly the reason we are HERE!! what good will it do to get back the house/senate only to be screwed every time Juan wants to “maverick” himself??
With people like Mclame back in, you might as well leave a rat majority, that is in effect what you are doing on anything of substance...
McCain ran negative campaign ads saying Hayworth was a big spender, earmarks...seems the general public bought it. Hayworth also has some local enemies that Grant Woods, ex attorney general, Sam Coppersmith, the former Chairman of the Democrat party and a former Congressman, also, has said stuff against him in a column on the Az Republic for years. He called JD a Nazi because Jd Hayworth, in his book quoted Henry Ford, about immigration. Henry Ford evidently got a reward from Hitler, and so Coppersmith, wanting the Dem to get elected, (Harry Mitchell) took on a smear campaign in the ever ready Az Republic, the same paper that was a comlete toady to Janet Napolitano and is pro immigration.
Meant to write ‘has some local enemies, Grant Woods,...”
Agree with every single word you said. There are a lot of us out here, and speaking for myself - I’m disillusioned as hell.
Yep. I’m not holding out much hope for us in 2012. With people like McCain back in the senate, we’re screwed.
Push poll. But they work.
How long after the election will the new immigration hawk have another change of heart?
I can’t believe Arizona has such a short memory.
Republicans deserve what they get if they can’t draw together and get rid of these RINOs. I’m disgusted, but hoping against hope that this just isn’t true.
Trying to run a serious campaign when you are viewed as the new Matt Lesko is a difficult business. Stick a fork in JD folks.
It's just like the people in West Virginia with Robert Byrd - they're being bought off.