Posted on 07/20/2010 10:01:18 PM PDT by tulloss
Last week, the "Castle can win" argument suffered what may prove a fatal blow from a Rasmussen poll: "Congressman Mike Castle's support has fallen below 50% for the first time in his race with Democrat Chris Coons for the U.S. Senate in Delaware."
Castle, who had previously led Coons by more than 20 points, now leads the general election matchup 47-36, which is only marginally better than O'Donnell's 41-39 matchup with Coons.
(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...
Any polls on her? I would love to see her beat Castle and win.
Marginally? What kind of math is that? In the real world 11 > 2 by a whole lot more than "marginally." Have we also degenerated to liberal speak when it suits our purposes?
I hope that a man’s Castle is not in Congress.
Fill the moat with sharks and Saracuddas.
Exactly right. Ronald Reagan beat Jimmy Carter by a marginal ten percent in 1980.
As far as a head-to-head between Castle and O’Donnell, there’s only one, but there’s a lot of controversy surrounding it: http://www.foundersvalues.com/electionpoll . The numbers are wonderful for O’Donnell, and the method seems fairly reliable...but perhaps too surprising. I contacted Rasmussen a few weeks ago to see if they planned to do a head-to-head, but they didn’t give an indication. Hard to believe a majority of Republican VOTERS in any state would choose Castle over her (& I realize I may get a lot of boos and hisses for giving the GOP too much credit...but we’re talking voters, not establishment). Fingers crossed...
Yes.
If we can’t get a conservative, at least we can elect a Dem.
A lot of BS polls were run for McCain by Daily KOS. The polls were recently totally discredited. McCain is getting Soros, newspapers, media and all libs to pull out all the stops for him.
Actions will, always, speak louder than words! I’ve got to see conservatism actually win, before I’m convinced, and this goes for the entire U.S. and world. It’s all just talk, unless it actually happens.
I know what you mean, and I wouldn’t go out of my way to defend that poll. “Fingers crossed” is the way I’m approaching it. I don’t know much about Founders Value (if someone else does, I’d love to hear your thoughts), but unless they were completely dishonest, they were open about their methods. They used a list of GOP voters provided by the GOP itself—a list that, if I’m not mistaken, had been used in a previous year. So this wasn’t something generated for the poll itself. At least, that’s the way it’s been presented. But with Mark Levin getting behind O’Donnell, and a lot of recent press about what a lib Castle is...coupled with the growing backlash against RINOs and other statists..add to it the enormity of the Rubio swing in FL, this is indeed interesting. One thing’s for certain, if O’Donnell beats Castle, she’s got at least a 50-50 chance of taking Coons—and that’s Rasmussen. O’Donnell is as conservative as Demint. I’d take a 50% chance of getting a Demint, over a 100% chance of getting an Arlen Specter.
Its an awful bone headed statement by the writer trying to inject his personal sentiment instead of reporting.
Very good news indeed!
Even apart from policy, Christine is the better candidate. Young pretty female vs old tired man.
40% conservative +
10%+1 = win
Christine wins the conservatives and enough people will vote for her for non-ideological reasons.
Compared to 30 > -5, 11>2 is marginal.
I take it back....by any objective measure, Castle is WORSE than Specter.
With the Sept. 14 primary now less than two months away, some O’Donnell supporters are beginning to ask a question that has proven crucial in other GOP primaries: “Where’s Sarah Palin?”
Ping!
Ping!
Check out this podcast of WDEL’s Rick Jenson interviewing Scott Rasmussen about the Castle/O’Donnell race
http://www.wdel.com/features/rassmussen2010-07-20.mp3
What do you expect from a proud member of the Soros-backed Republican Main Street Partnership?
This year and in ‘12.. Just lose, Baby!
Good question.
You going to the event at the Amish Mill tomorrow night?
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