Also note that Nevada still shows a lead for Angle even though the MSM seems to indicate that Reid is surging. Also the same in Florida with Rubio vs. Crist.
That's why I'm getting these trends out now, so we can see the changes in predictions as we approach November.
Rubio, Angle, Paul ... all tea party challengers need at least 2 things:
Stay on message. When the Dems have won in the past it has mostly been by painting the GOP as mean spirited and by framing the campaign such that a vote against the Dem (eg Obama) is racist or some other form of mean-spiritedness.
When the GOP wins (eg Contract with America) it is about real issues and not what Clinton does with Monica. Monica and mean-spiritedness boost talkradio ratings but do not win elections.
The second thing conservative GOP candidates need is for us ... freepers, tea partiers, etc to go talk to our neighbors who are watching the ball game or American Idol. We should not try to convince them about some true but obscure issue, such as the Federal Reserve, we should try to get their vote by being friendly and become the friendly face of the candidate to counter the unfriendly image the other side tries to create.
Some would say money is a 3rd element of a winning campaign. Thyat is not my area of expertise.