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Why the Verizon iPhone is already too late
MSNBC ^ | 8/10/2010 | Wilson Rothman

Posted on 08/11/2010 6:21:49 AM PDT by SmokingJoe

Verizon Wireless might get an iPhone this January? It's about time. Or is it too late? New reports show that Google's Android is eating the iPhone's lunch. And by clinging to AT&T exclusivity and staying clear of Verizon, Apple is effectively serving up that lunch on a shiny silver platter.

For a decade, Apple played Ice Man in a calculated dogfight of product design and marketing. It rarely made a misstep, and its successes were legendary as a result. This year, Apple has not shown itself to be so level-headed.

You could cite Antennagate or the missing white iPhone as evidence Apple is losing its cool, but these are mishaps, destined to follow previous iPhonapocalypses and Applegeddons into the void of the forgotten past. No, the biggest reason is that it miscalculated how much a prolonged exclusivity with AT&T would cost. The deal has been lucrative — God knows AT&T pays well for the privilege — but the downside has been that Apple has let a reasonable iPhone copy become the No. 1 selling smart phone platform in America.

It let this happen, by simultaneously creating a burning desire for an app-driven touch-screen smart phone, and then denying it to two-thirds of the American populace. That might be an old rant, but the detrimental result of this decision — or rather, the detrimental result of sustaining the decision for so long — are only now becoming apparent.

-snip-
...... Android phones accounted for a third of all smart phones purchased in the U.S. , with RIM's BlackBerry at 28 percent and the iPhone at 22 percent. Apple launched iPhone a year earlier than Android, with more immediate critical and consumer success. In fact, the first Android phone, the T-Mobile G1, wasn't even taken seriously as an iPhone competitor.

(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.msn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Technical
KEYWORDS: android; att; iphone; verizon
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1 posted on 08/11/2010 6:21:51 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

I have a Blackberry, husband has the iPhone. When my contract is up, I will not be getting another Blackberry, so it will be between an Android phone and an iPhone 4. We are with AT&T because of my husband’s employee discount or we’d be with Verizon.


2 posted on 08/11/2010 6:24:54 AM PDT by Trust but Verify
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To: SmokingJoe

Consider the source. MSNBC employees couldn’t make a light bulb light, given the battery, wires, and the light.

Perhaps they should stick with things within their limited mental capability - like....er.....uh.....


3 posted on 08/11/2010 6:27:05 AM PDT by Da Coyote
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To: Trust but Verify

If you travel abroad, the Blackberry is the best option on Verizon. The Verizon android phones don’t have world phone capacity at this point.


4 posted on 08/11/2010 6:27:43 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: Trust but Verify
The Droids are absolutely incredible! We went from three i-phones to three Droids and will never look back. The droid X is even better.
5 posted on 08/11/2010 6:31:06 AM PDT by Huebolt (It ain't over till there is not ONE DEMOCRAT HOLDING OFFICE ANYWHERE. Not even a dog catcher!)
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To: Da Coyote
I don't trust MSNBC anymore than the next guy when it comes to politics. But then I haven't seen MSNBC to be any more anti-Apple than any other news outlet. If I remember correctly, MSNBC have been shilling for the iPhone as much as other US news outlets since the device was first introduced.
6 posted on 08/11/2010 6:31:56 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

Too late? I don’t think so. There are hoards of disgruntled iPhone users on AT&T simply because there’s no choice - many of them will leave AT&T when VZW gets an iPhone. Droids are still in the “it’s new - hype” stage... they’re not really all that.


7 posted on 08/11/2010 6:32:06 AM PDT by Keith in Iowa
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To: pieceofthepuzzle

It’d be even better if you were allowed to pop in a prepaid SIM into an AT&T iPhone while in Europe.


8 posted on 08/11/2010 6:32:25 AM PDT by Yo-Yo (Is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
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To: Keith in Iowa

We will see I guess. January is not that far off is it?


9 posted on 08/11/2010 6:33:20 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: pieceofthepuzzle
If you travel abroad, the Blackberry is the best option on Verizon.

I thought that Verizon's "system" was incompatible with overseas use.Is that wrong? For some of their phones? all of them?

10 posted on 08/11/2010 6:35:41 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (''I don't regret setting bombs,I feel we didn't do enough.'' ->Bill Ayers,Hussein's mentor,9/11/01)
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To: SmokingJoe

True enough, but I simply laugh when I see any MSM get involved with things far beyond their intellect.

As for me, I have a company B-berry supported by AT&T. The phone sux, the service sux, and I certainly wouldn’t purchase an Iphone until they go Verizon...if I indeed purchase an Iphone at all.

However, for tech advice, there are numerous web outlets manned (or womanned) by competent techie types who can provide relevant data...listening to MSNBC relegates you to the folks who can do nothing else except stand in front of a camera and read script.


11 posted on 08/11/2010 6:36:19 AM PDT by Da Coyote
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To: Gay State Conservative
No, the Verizon Blackberry Worldphone works just fine in Europe.
12 posted on 08/11/2010 6:37:43 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: SmokingJoe

There are a few assumptions here that may be wrong and change the idea.

First, it is still just rumors they will launch the iPhone but if they do they assume that Verizon would launch with the same plague ridden iPhone 4. What if Apple and Verizon are working on a dynamic game changing version (I know, every phone company claims each version is a game changer).

Second, they assume that it will be an eggs in one basket approach to the iPhone like AT&T has done. Instead, Verizon could say they have it all- no matter what a customer asks for, they can say Yes.

Third, don’t underestimate people’s frustration with AT&T’s poor network. It has become a joke, even part of the iPhone 4’s launch (..try Verizon..)

Pricing, I believe Verizon is more attractive on monthly rates and data packages.

Just my opinion.


13 posted on 08/11/2010 6:42:10 AM PDT by mnehring
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To: SmokingJoe

It doesn’t take an MSNBC to know that Android is going to be #1 within 1 year. I’m going with a WP7 device myself, but both my brother and sister have Droids. It’s just taking over like wildfire.

iPhone is just getting dusty and stale, kinda like an aged film star that people humor by still treating her like she is still a bombshell even though newer models are more dynamic.


14 posted on 08/11/2010 6:44:06 AM PDT by VanDeKoik (Iran doesnt have a 2nd admendment. Ya see how that turned out?)
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To: SmokingJoe

Apple is trying to do what Sony tried with betamax vs. vhs.
Uh, and how did that turn out??


15 posted on 08/11/2010 6:44:34 AM PDT by qrstuv
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To: Gay State Conservative
I thought that Verizon's "system" was incompatible with overseas use.Is that wrong? For some of their phones? all of them?

Nope, they do have some global phones that work on multiple network types. Also, a lot of Asia and South America uses the same standard as Verizon, it is Europe that mostly uses the incompatible standard.

16 posted on 08/11/2010 6:45:45 AM PDT by mnehring
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To: Keith in Iowa
they’re not really all that.

Droid = virus.
17 posted on 08/11/2010 6:47:58 AM PDT by jrg
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To: VanDeKoik
iPhone is just getting dusty and stale

The way I see it, as soon as teen age girls started getting pink, rhinestone cases for them, a Barbie toy was made with an iPhone, and Dora the Explorer started carrying one, it starts to go out of style for the high-school & adult markets that don't want to be associated with a toy.

18 posted on 08/11/2010 6:48:01 AM PDT by mnehring
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To: Trust but Verify
As an iPhone user (3g) I'd suggest an Android phone. Apple released the OS 4 software update and approved it for 3g phones and it has crippled it. I hate Apple at this moment. There is no easy way that I have heard of to roll back the update. If they would have tested the update and said "no go" for 3g, I would have understood. Apple is the most tightly controlled hardware/software marriage in computing and they connot bother to make it work.

In addition, lock in to an iPhone and you are locked into Apple hardware. Want a better camera in your phone? Maybe they'll get around to it if Apple thinnks you are worthy.

Go to a more open system.

19 posted on 08/11/2010 6:48:04 AM PDT by arkady_renko
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To: Huebolt

Here is my ‘problem’. I don’t use the vast majority of features that phones have. I use it as a phone, web browsing, texting, and camera. When I read reviews, my God, it seems like some people do nothing but play with their cellphones. GET A LIFE! My biggest use is texting, which is why I chose the Blackberry for its very good keyboard. I’m not sure I like touchscreen texting, which is what most phones have these days. The thing I most like about the Androids are the sharp screens. I guess they’re some sort of LED.


20 posted on 08/11/2010 6:48:32 AM PDT by Trust but Verify
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To: SmokingJoe

The Android I want is out of stock, and I won’t be able to get it until the end of the month. In the meantime, I’m stuck with my POS Samsung Omnia. Worst phone EVER!


21 posted on 08/11/2010 6:49:09 AM PDT by ChocChipCookie (TheSurvivalMom.com)
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To: SmokingJoe
In terms of marketing mistakes, the iPhone/AT&T decision looks to be going the route of the Sony/Betamax. In the Sony case, the best hardware fell prey to Sony's desire to control the market. Tight control of customers may look good in the planning stages, but generally seems to not be a good marketing scheme.
22 posted on 08/11/2010 6:49:57 AM PDT by The_Victor (If all I want is a warm feeling, I should just wet my pants.)
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To: Keith in Iowa

You believe 1/3 of the entire smartphone market is just hype?


23 posted on 08/11/2010 6:50:35 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: SmokingJoe

To give a European perspective, I love my Blackberry on Vodafone over here. Have travelled widely throughout the continent and have had no problems. I still keep an old Razor under AT&T for backup use - it works fien here too but is prohibitively expensive for voice (approx 1 Euro per minute). Still, I’m curious - I’d like to try the Droid but have not seen them offered in the Exchange yet.


24 posted on 08/11/2010 6:51:49 AM PDT by Rummyfan (Iraq: it's not about Iraq anymore, it's about the USA!)
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To: mnehring

I do not believe Apple is in danger as much as AT&T.

Verizon charges $30./month for smartphone data packages - I guess it’s how they manage usage and capacity, but I’m not switching until they offer something more reasonable - say $10./month for limited GB.


25 posted on 08/11/2010 6:54:20 AM PDT by NY.SS-Bar9 (When in the course of human events...)
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To: Trust but Verify
so it will be between an Android phone and an iPhone 4

I recommend the DroidX.
Wife-unit and I both replaced our previous non-"smart" phones with the X and haven't looked back.

Have found no vice, and have yet to say to myself, "Self, I sure wish I could have Google up and talk to someone at the same time".

26 posted on 08/11/2010 6:55:00 AM PDT by grobdriver (Proud Member, Party Of No! No Socialism - No Fascism - Nobama - No Way!)
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To: arkady_renko
I moved from a voice only phone to an EVO 4g. Got one for my wife too.

We went round and round over it. She said, “we don't NEED all that stuff”. And i kind of agreed but I work away from my computere and for the most part my buisiness comms is email and I wanted than on mobile.

Long story short, we go the evos and we simply love them. I'm not an apple fan even though my industry is bloated with them ( advertising photography)as is my client base. I'm a PC guy and the Iphone and ATT were a no go.

The EVO is simply great, and the android os rocks. They will eat the IPHONEs lunch, IMO

27 posted on 08/11/2010 6:55:17 AM PDT by photoguy
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To: NY.SS-Bar9
I do not believe Apple is in danger as much as AT&T.

I think you are exactly correct, if AAPL partners with VZ, that is expanding their potential customer base by something like 80 million.

28 posted on 08/11/2010 7:00:21 AM PDT by mnehring
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To: qrstuv
Apple is trying to do what Sony tried with betamax vs. vhs. Uh, and how did that turn out?

According to the market, pretty well!

Market Cap: 231.74B

Market Cap: 30.42B

Market Cap: 169.24B

29 posted on 08/11/2010 7:00:51 AM PDT by WVKayaker (The object of oratory is not truth but persuasion. -Lord Thomas Babington Macaulay)
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To: mnehring
Good points.
Personally, I think this technique, whereby Apple releases just one new version of the iPhone a year, even while hot new Androids are being launched from multiple phone makers practically every month, is outdated. By the time the next iPhone comes out next year, it would long have been superseded by great new Androids.
30 posted on 08/11/2010 7:02:21 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: Huebolt

Just got an Samsung Galaxy S ... what an incredible piece of technology … can’t wait for Apple to tank …


31 posted on 08/11/2010 7:11:18 AM PDT by Lurking in Kansas (Never argue with an idiot. They drag you down their level, then beat you with experience.)
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To: SmokingJoe

What helps them here is if someone got an iPhone originally, their contract is likely up around the time a new iPhone comes out and they get the subsidized price then. Even with a lot of new Android phones out, most people aren’t willing to part with the $500 it would cost them without the subsidy.


32 posted on 08/11/2010 7:14:59 AM PDT by Mr. Blonde (You ever thought about being weird for a living?)
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To: Lurking in Kansas

Yes, those evil American companies. Shame on them for being successful.


33 posted on 08/11/2010 7:16:27 AM PDT by Mr. Blonde (You ever thought about being weird for a living?)
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To: Lurking in Kansas
can’t wait for Apple to tank …

Why? You've taken your business elsewhere. We all have that choice. I'm fascinated by the bile people have for Apple.

34 posted on 08/11/2010 7:24:35 AM PDT by Trust but Verify
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To: photoguy

I am also a photographer (sports photography) and I have the blackberry world that I can tether to my PC. Nothing better than being able to sit in my car after the game, connect the phone and transmit from the site. (I work mostly D3 and D2 College sports—so Wifi and wired press boxes are still a pipe dream.)

Aside from that, I don’t play games or do much web surfing. I see a ton of college kids with iPhones and they mostly text. A lot. You can do that on a $20 phone. But its not as cool.


35 posted on 08/11/2010 7:26:04 AM PDT by Vermont Lt (I lived in VT for four years. That was enough.)
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To: arkady_renko
...lock in to an iPhone and you are locked into Apple hardware.

.... plus no SD slot for expansion ... you're only allowed as much memory as you buy from Apple or THEY decide you need... too controlling...

36 posted on 08/11/2010 7:30:23 AM PDT by Lurking in Kansas (Never argue with an idiot. They drag you down their level, then beat you with experience.)
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To: Trust but Verify

“I’m fascinated by the bile people have for Apple.”

Agree, and I say this as no fanboy for Apple or any other company, I’m willing to use whatever I think is best. I’m bundled into an AT&T package, and there’s no cheap way for me to unbundle and go with Verizon wireless, or I would probably try the Droid. My wife has an iPhone 3GS, and from my own limited experience using, I think it really is very good. To those here who have used both the iPhone and the Droid and like the Droid better, why is the Droid better?


37 posted on 08/11/2010 7:41:14 AM PDT by Texan Tory
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To: arkady_renko
In addition, lock in to an iPhone and you are locked into Apple hardware. Want a better camera in your phone?

Please direct me to any cell phone maker that allows you to upgrade your camera.
38 posted on 08/11/2010 7:43:57 AM PDT by Mr. Blonde (You ever thought about being weird for a living?)
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To: Texan Tory

AT&T has a couple of Android phones, including the Samsung Captivate, which I am considering.


39 posted on 08/11/2010 7:44:53 AM PDT by Trust but Verify
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To: SmokingJoe

It’s just like the PC/mac war all over. One went with multiple hardware suppliers and seperate software. One demanded on owning the entire chain. One went to 80%+, the other to 5%.

Look to see iphones drop to 10-15% in the next few years if not worse. They can change that, if they licensed the software to other companies to do hardware. Not going to happen though.


40 posted on 08/11/2010 7:48:48 AM PDT by Tolsti2
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To: SmokingJoe

It’s just like the PC/mac war all over. One went with multiple hardware suppliers and seperate software. One demanded on owning the entire chain. One went to 80%+, the other to 5%.

Look to see iphones drop to 10-15% in the next few years if not worse. They can change that, if they licensed the software to other companies to do hardware. Not going to happen though.


41 posted on 08/11/2010 7:48:51 AM PDT by Tolsti2
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To: SmokingJoe

I have a Droid and I like it, but I don’t need the best phone available to feel good about myself. Most people I know with and I-Phone are more unhappy with AT&T than they are their phone. This might be good for the I-Phone.


42 posted on 08/11/2010 7:52:03 AM PDT by Republic of Texas (Socialism Always Fails)
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To: Republic of Texas

Heck, I really like my Palm Pre. It was about a year ahead of its time, but just blew the launch sadly. I doubt HP’s going to really try and use its WebOS on any phones now. They’ll probably only try tablets with it.


43 posted on 08/11/2010 7:54:06 AM PDT by Tolsti2
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To: thackney

>>>You believe 1/3 of the entire smartphone market is just hype?

That, and there’s a part of the cell phone user population that simply has to have the newest phones, whatever they may be, or they feel inadequate.


44 posted on 08/11/2010 8:09:30 AM PDT by Keith in Iowa
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To: SmokingJoe

To add another wildcard to all the speculation, the WinMo7 phones are due out in September.


45 posted on 08/11/2010 8:18:56 AM PDT by tacticalogic
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To: Mr. Blonde

Oh come on. With Android I can shop for a phone with the features, camera I want. With the iPhone I get the one choice Apple gives me with their current model.

If I am a verizon customer I get several choices for hardware.

That seems pretty simple to understand to me.


46 posted on 08/11/2010 8:40:16 AM PDT by arkady_renko
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To: arkady_renko

I apologize, that is not how I read what you wrote. I inferred that you could upgrade your camera in the phone you currently have.

Although I would guess the choice is quite limited when talking about one model of phone. The Droid doesn’t have a variety of cameras to choose from for instance.


47 posted on 08/11/2010 8:47:57 AM PDT by Mr. Blonde (You ever thought about being weird for a living?)
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To: SmokingJoe

When the exclusivity agreement with ATT expires, you can bet that Apple will diversify the service providers that can sell I-phones, and you need not doubt for a moment that Apple’s market share will surge again when that happens.


48 posted on 08/11/2010 8:53:22 AM PDT by John Valentine
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To: Mr. Blonde

That’s OK. It’s funny, I’m typing this on my iPhone. I use it for work, Freeping, keeping track of news, stocks... I really think it is great. Or was great, until this last upgrade fiasco. It is dreadful now.

I was psyched about the new iPhone, but I think I’ll pass.

And in the scheme of things, as I write this.the market is tanking, a phone is just a tool. Not worth getting in a lather. By this time next year I hope we are still able to post freely online.

Regards.


49 posted on 08/11/2010 9:01:17 AM PDT by arkady_renko
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To: SmokingJoe

Delusional


50 posted on 08/11/2010 9:03:18 AM PDT by sourcery (Nazi is to Jewish as Progressive is to any combination of rich, white, male)
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