Skip to comments.Dangus' Latest Polling Round-up (Senate)
Posted on 08/24/2010 11:13:21 AM PDT by dangus
Republicans are holding all six of their open seats:
Florida: Rubio-R, 40; Crist-I 32; Meek-D, 17 (PPP, 8/18)
Kentucky: Paul-R, 51; Conway -D, 41 (Rasmussen, 8/17)
Missouri: Blunt-R, 54; Carnahan-D, 41 (Rasmussen, 8/23)
New Hampshire: Ayotte-R, 51; Hodes-D, 38 (Rasmussen, 8/5)
Ohio: Portman-R, 48; Fisher-D, 39 (Rasmussen, 8/16)
In addition, they are leading in ten Democrat-held seats:
Arkansas: Boozman-R, 65; Lincoln-D, 27 (Rasmussen, 8/18)
California: Fiorina-R, 47; Boxer-D, 42 (SurveyUSA, 8/11)
Colorado: Buck-R, 46, Bennet-D, 41 (Rasmussen, 8/11)
Delaware: Castle-"R", 48; Coons-D, 35 (PPP, 8/8)
Indiana: Coats-R, 50; Ellsworth-D, 29 (Rasmussen, 8/7
) Nevada: Angle-R, 48 or 50*; Reid-D, 48 (Rasmussen, 8/16)
North Dakota: Hoeven-R, 69; Potter-D, 25 (Rasmussen, 8/11)
Pennsylvania: Toomey-R, 48; Sestak-D, 40 (Rasmussen, 8/16)
Washington: Rossi-R, 52; Murray-D, 45 (SurveyUSA, 8/19)
Wisconsin: Johnson-R, 47; Feingold-D, 46 (Rasmussen, 8/10)
(*Rasmussen's web site reports 48, Real Clear Politics reports 50; my guess is that the 50 includes leaners.)
Three more seats may be potentially competitive:
Illinois: Giannoulias-D, 37; Kirk-"R", 35 (PPP, 8/15)
Oregon: Wyden-D, 53; Hoffman-R, 35 (SurveyUSA, 7/27)
West Virginia: Manchin-D, 51; Raese-R, 35 (Rasmussen, 7/22)
I'd also predict that if the Republicans win the Senate, Sen Joe Lieberman (Independent Democrat) would caucus with Republicans, giving 52 seats, with potential reach 55.)
All poll results shown are the latest independent polls available. PPP refers to Public Policy Polling. If the primary has not taken place, the candidates who perform best in the primary polls are shown. This does not imply endorsement. ALMOST ALL OF THESE RACES ARE COMPETITIVE. Optimism is no excuse for complacency. Turnout and last-minute messaging could be the difference between having 44 Republicans in the Senate, and having 55!
The GOP has a shot in CT too.
Note: In Delaware there is a choice:
So, let’s get Hoffman and Raese up. Need 10 to flip the senate.
Oh, stupid, stupid, stupid me! I thought I had three races that could see a GOP surge, “No, you must have been counting Illinois.”
Is Kirk (IL) the one who 0bama beat after they smeared him with some sex or divorce scandal?
Connecticut: Blumenthal-D, 50; McMahon-R, 43.
Ya, if we can’t find 51 people ready for sainthood, let’s let the Demon-crats stay in power......
VERY well said, dangus.
Would you consider putting together a ping list IF you're going to put this up on a regular basis? If you just had some extra time to kill today, no worries, and thanks for the great work!
No, you’re sorta thinking about Jack Ryan. The Democrats leaked his confidential divorce filings revealing that he used to take his wife, Seven of Nine, to strip clubs. Ryan, however, withdrew. Former Republican presidential candidate Alan Keyes ran, but the once great thinker ran on a platform of slavery restitution, and was soundly beat. Ryan became a naval submarine hero, was appointed Secretary of Treasure, and became President after terrorists flew a plane into the State of the Union address. Oh, wait, that wasn’t THAT Jack Ryan. But bizarrely, it *was* THAT Seven of Nine.
>> Ya, if we cant find 51 people ready for sainthood, <<
That’s a pretty lame straw man. I’ve got no problem electing David Vitter over a Democrat. But electing Kirk would mean we’d be LESS likely to pass a Republican agenda, not MORE likely. Calling a communist a Republican doesn’t make him vote any more conservative. It just means Republicans take the blame for the failures.
Don’t whine to me about Kirk, unless you’ve got a non-Democrat alternative in IL.
The don’t write to me, period. I’m not interested in ‘bots.
No way does Lieberman caucus with the Republicans. And while I share your feelings on Kirk and Castle, the only viable choices in these races are the RINO or a Marxist Democrat. A RINO, at least, understands that a viable and healthy private sector economy is necessary to generate the needed taxes for the Nanny State.
Just like a big-government liberal, trying to tell others what they can and can’t post. I’m not interested in your battered-wife syndrome.
>> A RINO, at least, understands that a viable and healthy private sector economy is necessary to generate the needed taxes for the Nanny State. <<
I agree. But we’re not dealing with mere RINOs. We are dealing with the two most liberal Republicans ever to serve in Washington, both of whom are well to the LEFT of most Democrats.
Kirk is definiately better than the alternative and to think otherwise is simply wrongheaded.
Yes he’s a social liberal he’s pro-abortion asshat but G is worse. He is far more the fiscal conservative of the two. I’ll hold my nose and vote for him because I have no viable options.
Then you don’t like what Mark Levin said either. He said the same thing about Kirk and Castle. And I don’t think Mark Levin is a defeatist or a martyr. He’s fighting every day to help save this country.
By all means, support the conservative in the primary. But if the RINO wins anyway, don’t help elect the Marxist RAT like Didier appears to be poised to do in the State of Washington,
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