Hurricane Earl (Back up to Cat 4)

NOAA/NHC ^ | 29 August 2010 | NOAA/NHC

[NautiNurse]

Tropical Storm Earl was upgraded to hurricane status Sunday morning. Hurricane Warnings have been issued for the Leeward Islands. Puerto Rico is currently under a Hurricane Watch.

The five day extended forecast cone of uncertainty currently includes Eastern North Carolina.

Public Advisory
Discussion
Forecast Models
Buoy Data:
Caribbean Western Atlantic Florida SE U.S.

Satellite Images and Loops (Tropical Floater #2)
Puerto Rico Radar (Out of Service 8/28/2010 until further notice)
NWS Local Hurricane Weather Statement-Puerto Rico

Ibiseye Interactive Tracking
StormPulse.com

[NautiNurse]

Heads up Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, and East Coast U.S. Five years after Hurricane Katrina, we are reaching the peak of the 2010 hurricane season.

[NautiNurse]

Hurricane Earl threatens Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico.
Outer Banks/Eastern NC are in the five day cone of uncertainty.

Winds 75mph, moving W at 18 mph. 985mb
365 mile E of Leeward Islands.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[Mmogamer]

Oh the globull warming crowd is drooling now.

[Elle Bee]

Lots of fish storms this year and that's just fine with me

I;ve always believed that if we make September 8th its all downhill

.. and then again there was 2005 LOL

.

[NautiNurse]

Surely hope this one remains a fish. It’s going to be a lot closer to the U.S. than Danielle.

[brytlea]

Yeah, 2005. That was our first year in S. FL!

[GOPJ]

Thanks for the ping.

[Capt_Hank]

I really do miss Dr. Steve Lyons doing the Tropical Forecast. NBC Universal went out of their way to screw up a good format. Have you noticed the technical data associated with a storm is now few and far? Adding the worthless Al Roker was the final nail in the coffin.

[balch3]

Fiona is the one to watch.

[who knows what evil?]

Adding the worthless Al Roker was the final nail in the coffin.

Amen...I don't even waste time with the Weather Channel any more...too many superior outlets on the net.

[tutstar]

which ones r your faves?

[NautiNurse]

Steve Lyons was a tremendous asset.

I could never take Al Roker seriously after he had a colonoscopy on television.

[NautiNurse]

Earl may be the dress rehearsal for Fiona.

[dawn53]

Hey NN...how’s it going!

So I’m looking at the map and being reminded of a few lines from Fiddler on the Roof.

Rabbi! May I ask you a question?
Rabbi: Certainly, Lebisch!
Lebisch: Is there a proper blessing... for the Tsar?
Rabbi: A blessing for the Tsar? Of course! May God bless and keep the Tsar... far away from us!

So I say: May God bles and keep those hurricanes far away from us!!!!

[Mouton]

Yeah, the Euro models are showing a direct cat 5 hit on central florida around 9.8 this AM. No confirmation yet from the others fortunately as yet.

[who knows what evil?]

I should have gone into meteorology when I was younger...I like to gather data from several resources; Intellicast, AccuWeather, Weather Underground; and then interpret the data myself. Usually prove to be more accurate with my local forecast than the guys on the news...of course; that's not saying much. Chimps with a dartboard could beat them on most days...

Forums on AccuWeather are a blast; especially during landfalling hurricanes or snowstorms. Everyone has an opinion...LOL! Great stuff...

[eastforker]

As the time gets a little closer I suspect it may even move into the gulf. If Earl doesn’t start moving north soon that will also be worth watching. Both Earl and future Fiona expected to be major storms.

[LuvFreeRepublic]

Thanks for the thread and the ping. Gotta keep an eye on this guy.

[SouthTexas]

Looks like you’re up for this round. We don’t need anything else happening in the Gulf this year.

[cornfedcowboy]

“Earl”-Best Hurricane name EVER!

[smug]

This one is down low, on a similar track of Hugo. Hope it takes a hard right turn.

[WorkerbeeCitizen]

Tanks for da ping NN

[sissyjane]

Thanks for the ping, from earthquake country. I’ll keep fingers crossed for all of you this Hurricane season. Prayers, as well...

[NonValueAdded]

Thanks for posting this. As of yesterday, 63 rip current rescues and one death on Florida’s East Coast from Danielle. That put my attention on the Atlantic and see that Earl is far enough out that a shift eastward is still a possibility, even though the models don;t show it - YET. Time to go from HurCon5 to HurCon4.

[Islander7]

“.....I like to gather data from several resources....”

That’s what I do too. I was in meteorology (air weather service) in the USAF in the 70s. I know just enough to be dangerous. LOL

If you want a one stop shop for data, try Crown Weather Service: http://www.crownweather.com/ Their website is like the Drudge for atmospheric info.

[who knows what evil?]

Kid-in-a-candy-store THANKS! How did I miss this one?

[murphE]

I’m happy there have been a low number of pings this year so far.

[hoagy62]

Another good page is Stormpulse. Great graphical representation of storms and direction, as well as distance to major cites or points you designate.

[MaryFromMichigan]

I’m happy there have been a low number of pings this year so far.

Me too!
I have lots of family south of Dallas, but our youngest son just moved to Galveston in May.
Went down to visit him last week.
Still remnants of damage from Ike.
Scary what those storms can do!
Lots more gray hair for this mom!

[Cailleach]

“Forums on AccuWeather are a blast; especially during landfalling hurricanes or snowstorms. Everyone has an opinion...LOL! Great stuff...”

The Talkweather Forums (www.talkweather.com)are a trip too. Everyone spouts their opinion, and then stomps on everyone else’s.

[deport]

Looks like it may stay with the fishes...

[FDNYRHEROES]

Thinking the other day, it’s been like 19 years since Hurricane Bob struck Cape Cod & The Islands...Statistically, we’re overdue for a hurricane strike in this area...Just Sayin’....

[cll]

Hi NN,

I was spending the weekend on Culebra Island (midway between PR & the VI). They had cancelled all the flights in and out of there. They finally released one airplane and I was able to score two of eight seats out of there.

Thankfully it looks like the brunt of it will miss us.

Take care,

cll

[murphE]

I’m on the south shore of Long Island. They’ve been saying that we are do a big one for years.

[NautiNurse]

They finally released one airplane and I was able to score two of eight seats out of there.

Thanks for checking in. I was thinking about you while pulling the thread together this morning. Glad to know you are safe at home. Hmmm...you certainly beat the odds scoring 2 of 8 seats on the only flight out off the island. Congrats!

[NautiNurse]

Hoping LI and New England receive no more than a glancing blow.

[catfish1957]

"I;ve always believed that if we make September 8th its all downhill."

Hmmmm.... I don't know where you live, but in SE Texas we saw Ike September 13, 2008, and a blast from Rita on September 24, 2005. I don't start feeling comfortable until October 1st.

[wtc911]

I actually caught a few from Danielle yesterday on LI. I’m getting too old for the bigger stuff though.

[NautiNurse]

Many women prepare the home for storms while the men bolt to the shore for fishing, surfing, etc. Another natural wonder of the world.

;o)

[NautiNurse]

Amen!

Doing well here--and you?

[wtc911]

As it should be....

[Elle Bee]

But then we had Willma on Halloween in '05

This has been a pretty mellow season - knock wood - I'm just hoping and praying

.

[rdl6989]

Radar from Martinique:

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/animation/animMOSAIC2.html

[NautiNurse]

Nice find. Earl is a healthy hurricane.

[dawn53]

Doing good. Wishing away the hurricanes, so far, so good...knock on wood! Wouldn’t it be nice if our homeowner’s insurance reflected the string of hurricane free years we’ve had? And my dad called me the other day and said “How did my appraisal go down and my property taxes go up?”...so I had to explain the SOH deal to him. The Florida homeowner’s experience, gotta love it!

[PeteB570]

Looks to be trackin’ well east of the southern NC Islands. That makes me happy.

[NautiNurse]

The forecast models are in general agreement that Earl will remain offshore of the Eastern U.S. coastline. The 0600 NHC Discussion cautions, however, the average track forecast errors are 200 to 300 miles at days 4 and 5. It is too soon to determine what...if any...parts of the U.S. East Coast might see direct impacts from Earl later this week.

[who knows what evil?]

The drama queens are already running around loose in New England...the wind might blow; it might rain...oh, noes!!!

[NautiNurse]

The drama queens are already running around loose in New England...

LOL! No real surprise.

[NonValueAdded]

Turn, baby, turn!