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To: Republican Wildcat

My point here is a bit off topic, but only a bit.

Everyone focuses on picking up enoough seats for the Republicans to take control of the House and Senate. The House is a foregone conclusion, so consider the Senate. The point that everyone is missing is that the Dems made their big advances in 2006 and 2008. So to my way of thinking it really is NOT control after this election in 2010 that people should focus on. I am amazed at what, say, an 8-seat pickup in 2010 means for 2012 and 2014.

In my very restrained scenario, the Dems lose 65 seats in the House, 8 Senate seats, almost the entire country in terms of governor slots (which are key to redistricting) and Obama finds himself even less popular in Feb. 2011 than he is now. Even if the Dems can “limit” their losses to this, they will (and should be) in full panic mode, because at that point they face the likely prospect of utter annhilation in 2012 and 2014 when the great majority of Senate incumbents up for election will be Democrats; and where redistricting makes even more Dems in the House highly vulnerable.

Like everyone else, I’m hoping that the Republicans take the Senate and capture more than 65 seats in the House. But my point is that regardless, this election is shaping up to be a tsunami for the Republicans.


22 posted on 09/01/2010 4:05:08 AM PDT by drellberg
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To: drellberg

“Like everyone else, I’m hoping that the Republicans take the Senate and capture more than 65 seats in the House. But my point is that regardless, this election is shaping up to be a tsunami for the Republicans.”

Well placed comments about 2012 and 2014. Not to get ahead of ourselves but Conservatives need to prove our value in helping to bring about an American revival. As we do that people may trust us with the reigns of the POTUS in 2012 - but the country is going to be ROUGH shape and none of this is going to be easy. We need strong leaders (Reagan-esque) who will take tough steps and help us take the tough medicine (eliminating debt and spending like Paul Akers great 10/10/10 plan in WA ST that never really caught on with the leftists out here).

We also need to DEAL with the idiotic fractional reserve money system based on debt based money - but we must get control and make government accountable first imho.

Along these lines will be enacting term limits for both the House and the Senate in the next 4 years or so. This will be like a civil war with the detestable political/ruling class - but one we MUST fight to reign in the fed gubmint.


30 posted on 09/01/2010 8:13:32 AM PDT by SeattleBruce (Pray 2 Chronicles 7:14! God, Family, Church, Country - 11/2010, 11/2012 - Tea Party like it's 1773!)
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To: drellberg

Really good article on RedState.com about your discussion of 2012, 2014 and ‘not blowing it!’

http://www.redstate.com/oz/2010/09/01/the-gop-could-easily-be-back-in-the-wilderness-in-2014/


32 posted on 09/01/2010 8:27:58 AM PDT by SeattleBruce (Pray 2 Chronicles 7:14! God, Family, Church, Country - 11/2010, 11/2012 - Tea Party like it's 1773!)
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To: drellberg
governor slots (which are key to redistricting)

I think in most states the state legislature is the key to redistricting. Perhaps governors play a larger role in other states. I know in TN, the GOP wave this election will mean cementing substantial leads in the state legislature. After redistricting, we should pick up a seat or two - at least - in the US House.

You will know it has been a total A+ night if Alabama state legislature goes GOP. That is one of the most conservative states but the Dems have somehow been able to retain majorities, I think, for the last 20 years when you wouldn't think they would. Much is due to the power of being able to draw the districts.

35 posted on 09/01/2010 10:37:22 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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