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Democrats face midterm meltdown
Financial Times ^ | 08/31/10 | Edward Luce

Posted on 08/31/2010 7:51:45 PM PDT by MissesBush

Barack Obama’s Democratic party faces a series of dramatic defeats at every level of government in Washington and beyond in the November midterm elections, according to leading analysts and opinion polls.

The University of Virginia’s widely monitored Crystal Ball will on Wednesday forecast sweeping setbacks on Capitol Hill and the loss of a clutch of state governorships on November 2.

EDITOR’S CHOICE Obama struggles to convince voters - Aug-30Obama: Popularity peaks and troughs - Aug-26Opinion: Obama is right on China - Aug-30View from DC videos - Nov-11In depth: The Obama presidency - Aug-06In depth: US states of emergency - Jul-27It follows a Gallup poll that showed the Republicans with a 10 percentage point lead over the Democrats – the widest margin in 68 years. Separately, a University of Buffalo paper has predicted a 51-seat gain for Republicans in November.

The Democrats have a 39-seat majority in the House of Representatives. Many believe Democratic control of the Senate is also at risk.

“Voters are going to deliver a big fat message to President Obama, which he will not want to hear,” said Larry Sabato, who runs Crystal Ball. “The Republican base is at least 50 degrees further to the right than where it was when Newt Gingrich took control of the House in 1994, so we would be looking at two years of absolutely nothing getting done on Capitol Hill.”

The numbers, which threaten Mr Obama with a “wave election” similar to those of 1994 and 2006, when Democrats wrested back control of the House after 12 years, also extend to key states.

According to local polls, Democrats are on course to lose the governorships of traditionally left-leaning states such as Michigan and Pennsylvania and may be vulnerable in Illinois, long a party bastion.

Such is the scale of the expected losses that analysts are already focused on how Mr Obama can turn Republican domination to his advantage in his 2012 re-election race.

Washington is awash with speculation on whether the Republicans will over-reach as Mr Gingrich did in 1995 when Bill Clinton won a stand-off that had resulted in the shutdown of government.

“The political environment for Democrats is now every bit as poisonous as it was for them in 1994 and for Republicans in 2006,” said Charlie Cook, the widely tracked electoral forecaster.

The expected groundswell is driven by the composition of voter turnout, which at about 40 per cent would be significantly lower than the 63 per cent that brought Mr Obama to power. According to polls, likely Republican voters are twice as motivated to vote as Democrats.

That “enthusiasm gap” was on display last weekend at the Tea Party movement’s rally in Washington.

Recent polls show that 61 per cent of Americans “always or usually” live from pay cheque to pay cheque, up from 49 per cent in 2008.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2010election; 2010midterms; backlash; gopcomeback; landslide; midterms
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Conservatives need to do more than turn out to vote, as important as that is. We need to work for worthy candidates to get their voters out. We need to knock doors and work phone banks to make this happen. Many candidates esp. in Senate races should have the ability on their website to allow you to make get out the vote calls using your free cell long distance from anywhere in the country. Please make these kinds of efforts and we can make November into a blow-out for Obama and the Dems.
1 posted on 08/31/2010 7:51:54 PM PDT by MissesBush
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To: MissesBush

Make It a November to Remember

That one day, You too can be an ObamaBuster.

The Dambusters
A short film in memory of 617 Squadron
http://www.youtube.com/watch%3fv=G3tF-iLP8Oo


2 posted on 08/31/2010 7:59:55 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Godspeed .. Monthly Donor Onboard .. Obama: Epic Fail or Bust!!!)
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To: MissesBush

It’s garbage day on Nov 2 - we’ll be taking out a lot of trash in Washington.


3 posted on 08/31/2010 8:00:03 PM PDT by Tzimisce (No thanks. We have enough government already. - The Tick)
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To: MissesBush

It couldn’t happen to a better of bunch of congenital criminals.


4 posted on 08/31/2010 8:00:31 PM PDT by Tax Government (Democrat: "I'm driving to Socialism at 95 mph." Republican: "Observe the speed limit.")
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To: MissesBush

Thanks to the DemocRATS, I think that psychiatrists and the antidepressant manufacturers are going to be the first segments of the economy to begin a recovery. The cops are going to also be busy with all of the death threats coming from the “tolerant” left.


5 posted on 08/31/2010 8:03:39 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer ("Hanoi Boi" Kerry tops wealthiest lawmakers at $188.6 million! "Berthers" Rule!)
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To: MissesBush

Folks, “MissesBush” hits the nail right on the head!!! We are fighting for our country, our future, our freedom, our opportunity and....the same things for all American generations to come. One specific fact is quite plain and evident for all to see and understand. The Democrat Party must be totally destroyed at the ballot box on November 2, 2010!!! We must strive to defeat every single Democrat running for office!!! There is no such thing as a good, loyal or decent Democrat!!! And....stop goofing around, this is truly a war for survival of the USA!!! Tomorrow is September 1, 2010!!! Forget the positive and optimistic rants and raves of Sean Hannity as to how he feels our side will take down the Democrat Party big time. As the Yankee catcher, Yogi Berra likes to say, “It not over till it’s over!!!” We must start telling our side beginning tomorrow morning, every day, every posting to vote on election day and get “everyone” on our side to the polls on November 2, 2010. When you vote to destroy the entire Democrat Party, you are voting for the freedom and opportunity of your children, grandchildren and all future American children to come. “REMEMBER NOVEMBER” VOTE ON NOVEMBER 2, 2010!!!


6 posted on 08/31/2010 8:05:47 PM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX
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To: MissesBush

I’m taking bets on whether the republicans will have the balls to carry the momentum after the elections.


7 posted on 08/31/2010 8:05:53 PM PDT by TomServo
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To: MissesBush
Washington is awash with speculation on whether the Republicans will over-reach as Mr Gingrich did in 1995 when Bill Clinton won a stand-off that had resulted in the shutdown of government.

In the fifteen years since that occurred, everyone with a brain (i.e., everyone but democrats) has come to realize that shutting down the government is not necessarily a bad thing.

8 posted on 08/31/2010 8:06:42 PM PDT by TruthShallSetYouFree (If not for the double standard, liberals would have no standards at all.)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

Thanks for the support JLAGRAY! You put it better than I did. This isn’t a fight to “put Republicans back in power.” It is a fight to end the assault upon our country and its values by the most radical bunch of left wingers to ever blight this nation’s government. We need to look at it in those terms and not purely partisan terms. Yes it happens to be Republicans who are going to be the tool of overturning this cabal and their abuses, but it’s a bigger calling than simply returning a political party to power. It’s about returning power to the people of this country. We must get everyone we know registered to vote then work for worthy candidates to get their voters motivated and to the polls. Just voting is good. Getting others to vote is great. This is going to take an all-hands on deck effort.


9 posted on 08/31/2010 8:15:20 PM PDT by MissesBush (Stay angry--right through November)
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To: MissesBush

We take back the house in Nov, then have the judiciary committee demand Obama present them his birth certificate.........impeach him if he doesn’t or can’t. Then the new repub speaker ascends to the presidency, then Chris Matthews and his ilk go suicidal...........


10 posted on 08/31/2010 8:20:05 PM PDT by umgud (Obama is a failed experiment.)
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To: TomServo

I’m taking bets on whether the republicans will have the balls to carry the momentum after the elections.

****************

Short term they will, out of sheer fear for their jobs.

Then the subtle and insidious corruption will start creeping in again. This time, we need to bug stomp them the INSTANT that starts. We were played, which was their fault, but we were also gullible and complacent - which is ours.


11 posted on 08/31/2010 8:27:01 PM PDT by Psalm 144
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To: y'all
SLAP!!!
12 posted on 08/31/2010 8:27:38 PM PDT by Cyber Ninja (Live and Let Live; is not working...)
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To: TomServo

I’ll take some good old fashioned gridlock rather than what we’ve got now.


13 posted on 08/31/2010 8:32:33 PM PDT by AlmaKing
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To: Psalm 144

Term limits can solve a lot of that non-sense.

But, when ever will lawyers vote themselves less power?


14 posted on 08/31/2010 8:34:52 PM PDT by AlmaKing
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To: AlmaKing
“I’ll take some good old fashioned gridlock rather than what we’ve got now.”

Here's a thought. Patriots in the CIA, FBI, NSA must now have bulging (bursting?) files on Obama. If the GOP can take control, why not open investigations on all the dirty laundry Obama has paid millions to suppress from the electorate?

15 posted on 08/31/2010 8:38:58 PM PDT by Gabrial (The Whitehouse Nightmare will continue as long as the Nightmare is in the Whitehouse)
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To: AlmaKing
So they think PA has the chance for a Republican governor? Wow.
16 posted on 08/31/2010 8:39:46 PM PDT by Ciexyz
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To: stephenjohnbanker; NYer; The Mayor; Condor51; jazzlite; Stultis; upsdriver; JWR_Editor; STARWISE; ..
Such is the scale of the expected losses, that according to local polls,
Democrats are on course to lose the governorships of left-leaning states
such as Michigan and Pennsylvania..............and may be vulnerable in
Illinois, long a party bastion.

" Holy Allah. Illinois? Gone? Get that little twerp Rahm in here."

17 posted on 08/31/2010 8:40:52 PM PDT by Liz
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To: Tzimisce

Pelosi can call a moving company and she can pack her boxes. She will be vacating the Speaker’s Office. Many of the RAT and RINO offices will have to be cleaned by a fumigation company. I’m sure the stench is offending to whomever will occupy the office next.


18 posted on 08/31/2010 8:42:13 PM PDT by ExTexasRedhead (Take back our country on November 2, 2010.)
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To: MissesBush
“Voters are going to deliver a big fat message to President Obama, which he will not want to hear,” said Larry Sabato, who runs Crystal Ball.

Funny, it seems like just yesterday that Sabato said the GOP was going to come up short in retaking the House.

Ok, I admit, it was really last week

And he threw in a scummy caveat that "We're going to be revising that all the way to Nov. 2." in order to cover all his bases.
19 posted on 08/31/2010 8:42:14 PM PDT by tanknetter
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To: MissesBush

SLAUGHTER sounds good to me.


20 posted on 08/31/2010 8:42:59 PM PDT by Howie66 (I can see November from my house.)
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To: Ciexyz

Check out JOHN COLBERT in CA 29th......

http://www.johncolbertforcongress.com/

DONATE to beat Adam Schiff..., another Peloser Punk!


21 posted on 08/31/2010 8:43:18 PM PDT by Republic Rocker
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To: Gabrial

It will be interesting to see how many Rs will ‘cross the aisle’ for the sake of not creating a Constitutional crisis for something like that.


22 posted on 08/31/2010 8:44:09 PM PDT by AlmaKing
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To: MissesBush

11/2 is just the start.

it is not just democrats. on 11/2 we put rinos in cages.


23 posted on 08/31/2010 8:44:56 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

Stench? I thought she drained that swamp...


24 posted on 08/31/2010 8:45:23 PM PDT by AlmaKing
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To: MissesBush

‘...we would be looking at two years of absolutely nothing getting done on Capitol Hill.’

After the disaster Zero has caused, I think I could live with nothing getting forced down my throat for two years.


25 posted on 08/31/2010 8:50:30 PM PDT by bigredkitty1 (March 5,2010. Rest in peace, sweet boy. I will miss you, Big Red.)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

I don’t know - she spent millions of our dollars redecorating the place. Maybe we should keep it the way it is just to cut costs if nothing else.


26 posted on 08/31/2010 8:51:10 PM PDT by Tzimisce (No thanks. We have enough government already. - The Tick)
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To: MissesBush

bump


27 posted on 08/31/2010 8:51:42 PM PDT by GOPJ (TIME Magazine - - a conserve-a-phobe publication.)
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To: MissesBush
"...last weekend at the Tea Party movement’s rally in Washington."

Did I miss a big Tea Party event in Washington?

28 posted on 08/31/2010 8:52:59 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: MissesBush
...so we would be looking at two years of absolutely nothing getting done on Capitol Hill.”

And your problem with that, Larry, would be...what?

29 posted on 08/31/2010 8:53:59 PM PDT by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA: Ignorance on Parade)
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To: Liz

ROFL! ...

“Holy Allah. Illinois?”

Very possible .. ;)


30 posted on 08/31/2010 8:56:34 PM PDT by STARWISE (The overlords are in place .. we are a nation under siege .. pray, go Galt & hunker down)
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To: MissesBush
We need to work for worthy candidates to get their voters out.

Yep. That's the fly in the ointment of waves of good news. Remember 2004 when the ground game worked so well? We didn't have a complete idiot as head of the RNC then.

31 posted on 08/31/2010 9:06:07 PM PDT by Minn
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To: MissesBush

Remember in November: Defeat the ‘RATS then the RINO’s.(To achieve the latter, we must do the former.)
NO voting for 3rd party candidates! Doing so will just hand a victory to the DemocRATS!

Every little bit of assistance helps the candidate(s) of your choice win in November. Every little bit contributes to the defeat of the DemocRATS in November.


32 posted on 08/31/2010 9:21:58 PM PDT by bigredkitty1 (March 5,2010. Rest in peace, sweet boy. I will miss you, Big Red.)
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To: MissesBush
“The political environment for Democrats is now every bit as poisonous as it was for them in 1994 and for Republicans in 2006,” said Charlie Cook, the widely tracked electoral forecaster.

It should be much more poisonous for Democrats than it was in 1994, because the Democrats hadn't wrecked the economy then to anywhere near the extent that they have during the last three and a half years.

33 posted on 08/31/2010 9:28:19 PM PDT by Post Toasties (Leftists act as though the world is as they wish it to be; conservatives try to improve what exists.)
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To: TruthShallSetYouFree

‘In the fifteen years since that occurred, everyone with a brain (i.e., everyone but democrats) has come to realize that shutting down the government is not necessarily a bad thing.’

What would even make it better is if they didn’t end up paying the Federal Workers after they passed the budget. I would have with held their pay for the days they didn’t work. Just like a lock out in private industry.

After the news of Federal workers averaging more than twice the pay and benefits of the average private sector worker, a well orchestrated Fed Gov Shut down would work very much in the Republicans favor.


34 posted on 08/31/2010 9:44:13 PM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: MissesBush
"two years of absolutely nothing getting done on Capitol Hill.”

Except: REPEAL!

35 posted on 08/31/2010 10:44:33 PM PDT by Uncle Miltie (Stimulus. 0bamaCare. Cap and Tax. 9/11 Victory Mosque. TARP. Amnesty. Summer of Recovery.)
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To: Republic Rocker

He could win easily if he changed his 1st name to Steven...


36 posted on 08/31/2010 11:07:54 PM PDT by rfp1234
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To: AlmaKing

That’s all we’re gonna get.


37 posted on 08/31/2010 11:20:57 PM PDT by Axle98
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To: MissesBush

Time to drain the other half of the swamp.


38 posted on 09/01/2010 12:34:43 AM PDT by justa-hairyape
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To: MissesBush

“The Republican base is at least 50 degrees further to the right than where it was when Newt Gingrich took control of the House in 1994.”

This is complete caca. Very few of us are talking social issues. Most of us would settle for financial stability and reigning in government excess. Sabato is a hack. I was there in 1994.


39 posted on 09/01/2010 5:19:17 AM PDT by Luke21
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To: Jim from C-Town

The local, state and fed governments are going to be trimmed down everywhere. There is no way to avoid it. This means millions of rat Bolsheviks are going to be losing their jobs. The gravy train is coming to an end then the Rats can starve to death. Good riddance.


40 posted on 09/01/2010 5:43:44 AM PDT by Flavious_Maximus
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To: MissesBush
“The Republican base is at least 50 degrees further to the right than where it was when Newt Gingrich took control of the House in 1994, so we Communists would be looking at two years of absolutely nothing getting done on Capitol Hill.”
41 posted on 09/01/2010 5:49:01 AM PDT by Edgerunner (Second Amendment Spoken Here)
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To: MissesBush

Demoncrats and Rinos be gone.


42 posted on 09/01/2010 6:03:33 AM PDT by crosshairs (If I agreed with a liberal, then we would BOTH be wrong.)
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To: MissesBush

“....so we would be looking at two years of absolutely nothing getting done on Capitol Hill.”

Oh please, oh please, oh please......
Music to my ears!


43 posted on 09/01/2010 6:46:27 AM PDT by bkopto (“I like being President. And it turns out I’m pretty good at it.” Barack H. Obama, February 2009.)
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To: TomServo

Two years of continuing resolutions as the battle royale between Obama and the USA unfolds. It will be Obama vs. America.


44 posted on 09/01/2010 6:47:21 AM PDT by screaminsunshine (m)
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To: AlmaKing

That’d be a great start.


45 posted on 09/01/2010 7:21:02 AM PDT by TomServo
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To: Flavious_Maximus
The local, state and fed governments are going to be trimmed down everywhere.

The statehouses make up the next front in the war to retake this country. We need for at least thirty eight of them to become solidly Conservative in addition to the two-thirds majorities in both houses of Congress so that the needed Amendments to the Constitution can be voted in. Of course, seeing the efforts of Chris Christie duplicated in every statehouse in the country would be a definite plus.

46 posted on 09/01/2010 7:56:07 AM PDT by Tonytitan
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To: umgud

Pity that it’s us that have to clean up the messes and the Dems get to enjoy the results.


47 posted on 09/01/2010 9:29:12 AM PDT by Niuhuru (The Internet is the digital AIDS; adapting and successfully destroying the MSM host.)
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To: bkopto

Just not getting anything done is no longer sufficient, we need massive repeals of things like health care and other left wing nutcase legislation.


48 posted on 09/01/2010 10:04:03 AM PDT by RipSawyer (Trying to reason with a leftist is like trying to catch sunshine in a fish net at midnight.)
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To: MissesBush

You’re both correct. Get out and vote in November, drive the Reds out, roll back Obamacare and put AMERICANS back in charge. Melt, Baby, Melt!;)


49 posted on 09/01/2010 10:17:18 AM PDT by Frank_2001
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To: MissesBush

The interesting thing is that Obama has managed to transform House and Senate elections to the national level versus “local politics” which normally is the case. Voters simply know that a vote for a democrat is a vote for Obama’s policies and programs going forward. This election cycle seems to transcend party affiliation and local politics.

Perhaps we are not screwed.


50 posted on 09/01/2010 11:45:32 AM PDT by unique
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