Posted on 08/31/2010 7:51:45 PM PDT by MissesBush
Barack Obama’s Democratic party faces a series of dramatic defeats at every level of government in Washington and beyond in the November midterm elections, according to leading analysts and opinion polls.
The University of Virginia’s widely monitored Crystal Ball will on Wednesday forecast sweeping setbacks on Capitol Hill and the loss of a clutch of state governorships on November 2.
EDITOR’S CHOICE Obama struggles to convince voters - Aug-30Obama: Popularity peaks and troughs - Aug-26Opinion: Obama is right on China - Aug-30View from DC videos - Nov-11In depth: The Obama presidency - Aug-06In depth: US states of emergency - Jul-27It follows a Gallup poll that showed the Republicans with a 10 percentage point lead over the Democrats – the widest margin in 68 years. Separately, a University of Buffalo paper has predicted a 51-seat gain for Republicans in November.
The Democrats have a 39-seat majority in the House of Representatives. Many believe Democratic control of the Senate is also at risk.
“Voters are going to deliver a big fat message to President Obama, which he will not want to hear,” said Larry Sabato, who runs Crystal Ball. “The Republican base is at least 50 degrees further to the right than where it was when Newt Gingrich took control of the House in 1994, so we would be looking at two years of absolutely nothing getting done on Capitol Hill.”
The numbers, which threaten Mr Obama with a “wave election” similar to those of 1994 and 2006, when Democrats wrested back control of the House after 12 years, also extend to key states.
According to local polls, Democrats are on course to lose the governorships of traditionally left-leaning states such as Michigan and Pennsylvania and may be vulnerable in Illinois, long a party bastion.
Such is the scale of the expected losses that analysts are already focused on how Mr Obama can turn Republican domination to his advantage in his 2012 re-election race.
Washington is awash with speculation on whether the Republicans will over-reach as Mr Gingrich did in 1995 when Bill Clinton won a stand-off that had resulted in the shutdown of government.
“The political environment for Democrats is now every bit as poisonous as it was for them in 1994 and for Republicans in 2006,” said Charlie Cook, the widely tracked electoral forecaster.
The expected groundswell is driven by the composition of voter turnout, which at about 40 per cent would be significantly lower than the 63 per cent that brought Mr Obama to power. According to polls, likely Republican voters are twice as motivated to vote as Democrats.
That “enthusiasm gap” was on display last weekend at the Tea Party movement’s rally in Washington.
Recent polls show that 61 per cent of Americans “always or usually” live from pay cheque to pay cheque, up from 49 per cent in 2008.
Check out JOHN COLBERT in CA 29th......
http://www.johncolbertforcongress.com/
DONATE to beat Adam Schiff..., another Peloser Punk!
It will be interesting to see how many Rs will ‘cross the aisle’ for the sake of not creating a Constitutional crisis for something like that.
11/2 is just the start.
it is not just democrats. on 11/2 we put rinos in cages.
Stench? I thought she drained that swamp...
‘...we would be looking at two years of absolutely nothing getting done on Capitol Hill.’
After the disaster Zero has caused, I think I could live with nothing getting forced down my throat for two years.
I don’t know - she spent millions of our dollars redecorating the place. Maybe we should keep it the way it is just to cut costs if nothing else.
bump
Did I miss a big Tea Party event in Washington?
And your problem with that, Larry, would be...what?
ROFL! ...
“Holy Allah. Illinois?”
Very possible .. ;)
Yep. That's the fly in the ointment of waves of good news. Remember 2004 when the ground game worked so well? We didn't have a complete idiot as head of the RNC then.
Remember in November: Defeat the ‘RATS then the RINO’s.(To achieve the latter, we must do the former.)
NO voting for 3rd party candidates! Doing so will just hand a victory to the DemocRATS!
Every little bit of assistance helps the candidate(s) of your choice win in November. Every little bit contributes to the defeat of the DemocRATS in November.
It should be much more poisonous for Democrats than it was in 1994, because the Democrats hadn't wrecked the economy then to anywhere near the extent that they have during the last three and a half years.
‘In the fifteen years since that occurred, everyone with a brain (i.e., everyone but democrats) has come to realize that shutting down the government is not necessarily a bad thing.’
What would even make it better is if they didn’t end up paying the Federal Workers after they passed the budget. I would have with held their pay for the days they didn’t work. Just like a lock out in private industry.
After the news of Federal workers averaging more than twice the pay and benefits of the average private sector worker, a well orchestrated Fed Gov Shut down would work very much in the Republicans favor.
Except: REPEAL!
He could win easily if he changed his 1st name to Steven...
That’s all we’re gonna get.
Time to drain the other half of the swamp.
“The Republican base is at least 50 degrees further to the right than where it was when Newt Gingrich took control of the House in 1994.”
This is complete caca. Very few of us are talking social issues. Most of us would settle for financial stability and reigning in government excess. Sabato is a hack. I was there in 1994.
The local, state and fed governments are going to be trimmed down everywhere. There is no way to avoid it. This means millions of rat Bolsheviks are going to be losing their jobs. The gravy train is coming to an end then the Rats can starve to death. Good riddance.
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