Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

RAND predicts health-care reform will lower cost, expand coverage
Atlanta Journal Constitution ^ | 9/2/2010 | Jay Bookman

Posted on 09/02/2010 2:13:50 PM PDT by Oshkalaboomboom

The smart folks at RAND — an actual real-life think tank, as opposed to an ideological group masquerading under the think-tank name — have taken a look at what’s likely to happen to health insurance coverage as a result of the health-care reform package signed into law earlier this year.

Among other things, the RAND study published in the New England Journal of Medicine finds that work-based insurance will grow in importance under the reform, a prediction that “is very robust to variations in modeling assumptions.”

In other words, they’re pretty damn sure about it.

“Although the model allows employers to drop coverage in response to the reform, we estimate that the law will result in a large net increase in employer-sponsored insurance offers. We predict that the number of workers offered coverage will increase from 115.1 million (84.6% of the approximately 136.0 million U.S. workers) to 128.7 million (94.6%) after the reform. This increase is not driven by penalties levied on employers with more than 50 workers. In fact, the probability of being offered coverage increases proportionately more for workers at small firms than for workers at large firms, even though small firms are not subject to penalties….

The large increase in offers provided by small businesses is driven primarily by two factors: greater demand for coverage by workers due to individual penalties for being uninsured and the availability of new, often lower-cost insurance options (because of administrative savings, for example) for small businesses that offer coverage on the exchanges.”

The folks at RAND further believe that insurance plans offered through exchanges set up under the law will be particularly appealing to business, “owing to wider risk pooling, low administrative costs, and expanded choices.” In fact, the study predicts, “firms making decisions on the basis of costs and benefits of their insurance options, including new subsidies and penalties, will frequently choose to offer insurance rather than to drop coverage and allow their workers to buy individual coverage.”

Of course, that’s not quite the health-care Armageddon that political opponents of the proposal have predicted. But hey, why listen to research conducted by non-partisan, highly trained experts in health care analysis when you can believe people such as John Boehner instead?


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Georgia
KEYWORDS: healthcare; obamacare; rand; randcorp
Another AJC idiot columnist deluding himself.
1 posted on 09/02/2010 2:13:52 PM PDT by Oshkalaboomboom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

Atlanta Urinal Constipation


2 posted on 09/02/2010 2:16:22 PM PDT by massgopguy (I owe everything to George Bailey)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

There are no positives to “Obamacare”. It’s a power grab and that’s all it is. It has nothing to do with healthcare.


3 posted on 09/02/2010 2:17:19 PM PDT by albie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

Herman Kahn would be proud to know what his former employer is studying.


4 posted on 09/02/2010 2:17:53 PM PDT by Sawdring
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

Deluding himself about Obamacare?? Or Deluding himself that he’s a JOURNALIST?

I’m leaning toward BOTH.


5 posted on 09/02/2010 2:17:55 PM PDT by gwilhelm56 (Enough of Obama's Recovery ... Can I have my Bush Recession Back??)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

” The smart folks at RAND — an actual real-life think tank, as opposed to an ideological group masquerading under the think-tank name “

“Our” think-tanks - much like ‘our’ msm - are always wise and neutral — whereas ‘yours’ are profoundly biased......

/channelling Libs sarc.....


6 posted on 09/02/2010 2:18:36 PM PDT by Uncle Ike (Rope is cheap, and there are lots of trees...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom
Among other things, the RAND study published in the New England Journal of Medicine finds that work-based insurance will grow in importance under the reform, a prediction that “is very robust to variations in modeling assumptions.”

Screams of idiocy. The current health care reform act will wipe out employer based insurance. It is cheaper for companies to pay the fine than provide the insurance.

7 posted on 09/02/2010 2:20:58 PM PDT by CMAC51
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Uncle Ike

They get huge government grants to waste money doing studies designed to bolster Democrat talking points. This is just like the study plastered on every Democrat paper today about less illegals. They have been busy wasting our money and will probably have a study a day to try and help the Crats.


8 posted on 09/02/2010 2:25:02 PM PDT by screaminsunshine (m)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

Just so y’all know, I think this is refering to RAND Corportation, which doesn’t appear to have any philosophical ties to Ayn Rand or the Ayn Rand institute, www.aynrand.org .

I’m sure that’s pretty obvious, but someone will undoubtedly think otherwise.


9 posted on 09/02/2010 2:26:46 PM PDT by meyer (Our own government has become our enemy,...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Uncle Ike

From 1961 (cold war)

Oh, the Rand Corporation’s the boon of the world,
They think all day long for a fee.
They sit and play games about going up in flames;
For counters they use you and me, honey bee,
For counters they use you and me.

It’s so nice to know we have Rand on our side,
We’ll always have good old Rand around;
A zillion will be fried out, but in some neat hideout,
Rand will be safe under ground, praise the Lord,
Rand will be safe under ground.

With a stroke of the pen, they can change us from men
Into numbers that flash on the wall.
These brainy heroes transform us to zeros,
So who gives a damn if we fall, after all,
Who gives a damn if we fall.

Their superior genes will be safe behind screens,
With the rest of our line doomed to die;
We’ll be all sorted out, past a shadow of doubt,
By the all-wise electronic eye; bow down
To the mighty electronic eye.

They will rescue us all from a fate worse than death
With a touch of the push-button hand;
We’ll be saved at one blow from the designated foe,
But who’s going to save us from Rand, dear Lord,
Who’s going to save us from Rand?


10 posted on 09/02/2010 2:28:19 PM PDT by Roccus (......and then there were none.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: albie
There are entirely too many phony-baloney fascistic "solutions" in Obamakkkare for it to succeed at anything but raising prices, driving capable medical personnel out of the business, and making people die.

It's your basic ignant Democrat plan to make everybody miserable.

11 posted on 09/02/2010 2:30:24 PM PDT by muawiyah
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: albie

That has the sound of hyperbole to it, but I think it’s probably the most accurate statement to be made regarding Obamacare.


12 posted on 09/02/2010 2:33:58 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (UniTea! It's not Rs vs Ds you dimwits. It's Cs vs Ls. Cut the crap & lets build for success.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Roccus; Admin Moderator

Copywrite Malvina Reynolds 1961 renewed 1989

(just checking to make sure all is OK)


13 posted on 09/02/2010 2:35:03 PM PDT by Roccus (......and then there were none.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne

Hyperbole is the best thing ever!


14 posted on 09/02/2010 2:36:53 PM PDT by Drill Thrawl (Rahm and George at Doe's when the knife came down)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Drill Thrawl

I have at least one bowl full every morning.

= :-)


15 posted on 09/02/2010 2:39:54 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (UniTea! It's not Rs vs Ds you dimwits. It's Cs vs Ls. Cut the crap & lets build for success.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

RAND report online here:

http://rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9504/


16 posted on 09/02/2010 2:41:40 PM PDT by mrsmith
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom
why listen to research conducted by non-partisan, highly trained experts in health care analysis when you can believe people such as John Boehner instead?

Yeah, and I prefer John Stewarts journalism ethic too....Most libtards think if its in the NY Times, its TRUUUUUUEEEEEEE!!!! And if one of their thinks pukes it out, then its gospel. Secular-Humanist gospel that is.

17 posted on 09/02/2010 2:47:49 PM PDT by King Moonracer (Bad lighting and cheap fabric, that's how you sell clothing.....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mrsmith

Sorry, that’s n earlier study. Couldn’t find this one on their site.

BTW, this study was funded under U.S. Department of
Labor contract
DOLJ089327414

per NEJM.


18 posted on 09/02/2010 2:49:04 PM PDT by mrsmith
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom
From Wiki:

RAND Corporation (Research ANd Development[2]) is a nonprofit global policy think tank first formed to offer research and analysis to the United States armed forces by Douglas Aircraft Company. It is currently financed by the U.S. government, a private endowment,[3] corporations [4] including the healthcare industry, universities[5] and private individuals.
It's seems to me like they could have a conflict of interest.
19 posted on 09/02/2010 2:56:51 PM PDT by Moonman62 (Politicians exist to break windows so they may spend other people's money to fix them.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom
My favorite award for lib lunacy........


20 posted on 09/02/2010 2:59:10 PM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s, you weren't really there.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChildOfThe60s

Your cartoon says it all. Exactly right!


21 posted on 09/02/2010 3:27:10 PM PDT by EEDUDE
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: albie

“There are no positives to “Obamacare”. It’s a power grab and that’s all it is. It has nothing to do with healthcare.”

Exactly. It nothing more and nothing less than that.

Evil incompetent bastards that pass something they haven’t even read need to be fired, tarred and feathered, and sent packing.


22 posted on 09/02/2010 3:30:14 PM PDT by EEDUDE
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: EEDUDE

Agree with both of you. I don’t care if I would get a pony and a huge pot full of gold under obamacare : The personal mandate is such an egregious offense gainst personal freedom and individual rights that any good (if there IS any)via obamacare is completely negated by its existence.


23 posted on 09/02/2010 4:11:43 PM PDT by kaylar (It's MARTIAL law. Not marshal(l) or marital! This has been a spelling PSA. PS Secede not succeed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom

My daughter worked for Rand Corp. She was involved in end-of-life issues. She reported to the wife of Americans United for Separation of Church and State”s Rev Barry Lynn.


24 posted on 09/02/2010 4:46:59 PM PDT by UB355 (Slower traffic keep right)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oshkalaboomboom
Did he think we wouldn't read the report?

• Th e estimated $753 billion cumulative increase in personal health spending between 2010 and 2019 represents an increase of 3.3% over the status quo projection.

• Between 2010 and 2019, cumulative federal spending on subsidies for those who obtain insurance through the Exchange would be $445 billion. Approximately 53% of the 25 million people purchasing insurance through the Exchange in 2019 would receive a federal subsidy.

• Medicaid spending is projected to increase by $559 billion between 2010 and 2019, a 21% increase over the projected trend in the status quo.

Penalty payments for those not complying with the mandates would total $75 billion from individuals and $108 billion from employers between 2013 and 2019.

• We project that, in 2019, average insurance premiums in the large group (employer) market will be at least 2% lower than projected in the status quo.

• We project some increase in insurance premiums for the most common nongroup policies. The increase is higher in the first few years after the reform (8%) and becomes negligible by 2019, with an average increase over the whole period of about 4%. When the market stabilizes (2016–2019), the premiums will be about 2% higher than would have been observed in the nongroup market without the policy change. The presence of subsidies will further soften the effect of this increase on the population.

25 posted on 09/02/2010 4:58:09 PM PDT by Fundamentally Fair (Bush: Mission Accomplished. Obama: Commission Accomplished.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Fundamentally Fair

26 posted on 09/02/2010 5:12:44 PM PDT by Fundamentally Fair (Bush: Mission Accomplished. Obama: Commission Accomplished.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: Fundamentally Fair

27 posted on 09/02/2010 5:13:29 PM PDT by Fundamentally Fair (Bush: Mission Accomplished. Obama: Commission Accomplished.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson