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SurveyUSA: Whitman 47%, Brown 40%; Fiorina 48%, Boxer 46%
SurveyUSA ^

Posted on 09/02/2010 11:19:07 PM PDT by Chet 99

SurveyUSA: Whitman 47%, Brown 40%; Fiorina 48%, Boxer 46%

(Excerpt) Read more at surveyusa.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: California
KEYWORDS: ca2010; calpoll; capoll; fiorina; megwhitman; polls; prop19; surveyusa; whitman
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1 posted on 09/02/2010 11:19:09 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: Perdogg

polls.


2 posted on 09/02/2010 11:27:13 PM PDT by Chet 99
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To: Chet 99
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 California adults 08/31/10 through 09/01/10. Of them, 844 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 569 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election, 2 months from today. Early voting begins in just over 1 month, on 10/04/10.

So out of the 1000 surveyed only 569 were likely voters, in other words not much of a Poll.

3 posted on 09/02/2010 11:27:23 PM PDT by Doofer
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To: Chet 99

Watch the Democrats steal the election in San Francisco.


4 posted on 09/02/2010 11:27:33 PM PDT by counterpunch (Imam B'araq Hussein Mohammad 0bama, President of the 57 States of Islam.)
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To: Chet 99

Very interesting. We are going to slaughter the Democrats this November. It is going to be a sight to see. I am not being overly optimistic just realistic. It is going to be a beautiful thing. When Boxer is in trouble we are in good shape.


5 posted on 09/02/2010 11:27:53 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: Chet 99
I hope Boxer CRIES when she loses her seat.

That would make me smile.
6 posted on 09/02/2010 11:31:41 PM PDT by Tzimisce (No thanks. We have enough government already. - The Tick)
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To: Doofer

So Whitman is ahead by 10 to 15 points and Fiorina is ahead by 10!!!


7 posted on 09/02/2010 11:45:21 PM PDT by tallyhoe
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To: tallyhoe
So Whitman is ahead by 10 to 15 points and Fiorina is ahead by 10!!!

Don't know if it's that high but it's encouraging.

8 posted on 09/02/2010 11:53:35 PM PDT by Doofer
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To: Chet 99

Dear God in heaven above, let this be true!


9 posted on 09/02/2010 11:54:41 PM PDT by jocon307 (No enemies on the right, from now until November)
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To: Chet 99

I believe they are both heading toward leads, but based on some extremely accurate private surveys I have seen this week, these numbers are a tad bit too rosy right now.


10 posted on 09/02/2010 11:55:16 PM PDT by ElkGroveDan (Now can we forget about that old rum-runner Joe Kennedy and his progeny of philandering drunks?)
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To: Chet 99

Survey USA ???

If we lead in this poll, we are going to CRUSH THEM!

Welcome to “The Hunt for Red November”.


11 posted on 09/02/2010 11:55:47 PM PDT by RachelFaith (2010 is going to be a 100 seat Tsunami - Welcome to "The Hunt for Red November".)
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To: RachelFaith

Like Bill Clinton once said, “It’s the economy, stupid!”


12 posted on 09/02/2010 11:59:00 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: Chet 99

Not a done deal yet, the unions haven’t used the 200 million they will in the races yet.


13 posted on 09/03/2010 12:00:28 AM PDT by A CA Guy ( God Bless America, God bless and keep safe our fighting men and women.)
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To: RachelFaith; Chet 99

I look for a bloodbath in Nov.,,,

O’Bammy and the dems have krapped on this country enough,,,

Payback Time...


14 posted on 09/03/2010 12:03:03 AM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: Doofer
So out of the 1000 surveyed only 569 were likely voters, in other words not much of a Poll.

Do you really think that there will be more than 57% turnout for a mid term election? Are you insane, or just silly?

15 posted on 09/03/2010 12:05:08 AM PDT by krb (Obama is a miserable failure.)
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To: Chet 99

After Carly’s excellent performance against Boxer last night, I expect her numbers to rise.

Make no mistake, it is still California, and Boxer is one tough you- know- what. She is also an excellent campaigner and fundraiser. But in this Election cycle, it may be possible to beat her.

But Carly has the energy, the right ideas, and the drive. Carly also looked terrific! She is an inspiration.


16 posted on 09/03/2010 12:06:47 AM PDT by Cincinna (TIME TO REBUILD * ? * RYAN * 2012)
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To: tallyhoe

Count again, my friend.48-46 is +2, not +10. But don’t count your chickens begore they hatch. This is still Ca.


17 posted on 09/03/2010 12:09:19 AM PDT by Cincinna (TIME TO REBUILD * ? * RYAN * 2012)
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To: Cincinna

I’m making a joke sir!!! They are using adults not likely voters or registered voters!


18 posted on 09/03/2010 12:15:17 AM PDT by tallyhoe
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To: Chet 99

Also Prop 19 Yes 47 No 43


19 posted on 09/03/2010 12:19:10 AM PDT by truthfreedom
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To: tallyhoe

No, it’s likely voters


20 posted on 09/03/2010 12:20:30 AM PDT by truthfreedom
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To: Chet 99

I notice they have 17% in 18-29. If Prop 19 drives up turnout with that age group, that’s more likely to hurt Fiorina than Whitman, as Whitman is stronger with that age group than Fiorina is.


21 posted on 09/03/2010 12:22:24 AM PDT by truthfreedom
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To: krb
Do you really think that there will be more than 57% turnout for a mid term election? Are you insane, or just silly?

Talking about a poll not turnout and only 2 months out you'd think they'd only be polling likely voters?

22 posted on 09/03/2010 12:22:54 AM PDT by Doofer
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To: Doofer

My concern is that if both Whitman and Fiorina win, the RATS will have the courts overturn the results. They are good at that.


23 posted on 09/03/2010 12:32:24 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Remember March 23, 1775. Remember March 23, 2010)
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To: 1COUNTER-MORTER-68
I'm hoping for a blood bath, but not getting too excited about one, that leads me to depression and disappointment. But it will be close in many states......getting rid of rino's is a worthy goal. Already did that in a couple of primary's...

Fun to see (having a senior moment) the guy from Ohio that just got out of jail running as an independent...Beam me up Scotty....

Damn getting old sucks. The alternative is not too inviting either..

24 posted on 09/03/2010 12:58:36 AM PDT by goat granny
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To: goat granny

Damn getting old sucks. The alternative is not too inviting either..
~~~
LMAO,,,Roger Dat!!!

I look at it this way,,,

O’Bammy et al have stomped on tooooo many toes to win,,,

America is Pissed at all of them...


25 posted on 09/03/2010 1:06:49 AM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: napscoordinator

we have a shot at picking up 14 govs.
over and under on house is 60
(though some say 80)
and the senate is definitely in play.


26 posted on 09/03/2010 1:15:09 AM PDT by genghis
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To: goat granny
Fun to see (having a senior moment) the guy from Ohio that just got out of jail running as an independent...Beam me up Scotty....

Photobucket

27 posted on 09/03/2010 1:17:35 AM PDT by rfp1234
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To: rfp1234

LOL yep thats him and its also the picture I had in my mind but couldn’t come up with his name.....thanks


28 posted on 09/03/2010 1:35:19 AM PDT by goat granny
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To: rfp1234
The name just popped into my head, Trafficant. Sometimes it takes hours before I get the name I wanted, and by then who the heck cares cause I don't need now...

The only good thing is I just have old timers disease...If it was Alzheimer's, it would never float up into consciousness, it would be gone forever... thank you Jesus:O)

29 posted on 09/03/2010 1:40:46 AM PDT by goat granny
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To: Chet 99

How can all states that have major difficulties in even electing Republicans, finally, break this ongoing political trend, and how can all states that elect RINOS over conservative Republicans, finally, break that ongoing political trend? Can RINOS ever really become conservative Republicans? How can Republicans, finally, get majorities with minority groups and in cities, for the long-term? How can Republicans, in general, really be prevented from ever morphing into leftists again, and what do conservatives do next if Republicans, in general, do become leftists, yet again?


30 posted on 09/03/2010 1:48:48 AM PDT by johnthebaptistmoore (If leftist legislation that's already in place really can't be ended by non-leftists, then what?)
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To: Cincinna
"48-46 is +2, not +10. But don’t count your chickens begore they hatch."

Remember, at least 5% to 10% of Republicans tell the pollsters they are voting Democrat.

yitbos

31 posted on 09/03/2010 2:12:05 AM PDT by bruinbirdman ("Those who control language control minds.")
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To: krb

Likely voters are used as a measure to determine what most likely will happen in the final votes is far more reliable on a statistical basis than just anyone you find in a phone book. That is why the most reliable pollsters like Rasmussen uses likely voters and then weights that to the statisitcal makeup of the areas polled to arrive at a reasonably accurate prognostication.

It is also a statistical given for elections, that a result for just anyone will be far more progressive leaning than one comprised of likely voters.

So in these Survey USA results that polled 1000 adults, 844 were registered to vote so right away the results are questionable. Of all of them only 569 were likely voters so again the error potentional was again increased.

A typical liberal poll will us the results from the full count for PR purposes because it is known that not using only likely voters will skew a poll to the liberal side.

So your response was not appropriate to say that 57% would show up. That was not the implied point. The point was this poll is most likely wildly innacurate with weight given to the liberal candidate, which, makes the chances of a R win more likely.


32 posted on 09/03/2010 3:05:46 AM PDT by mazda77 (Rubio for US Senate - West FL22nd - Scott for FL Gov. - Miller AK US Senate)
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To: Doofer

I looked at the tables at the site and it appears only likely voters were used to arrive at those percentages. I have no idea why they would include the number of “adults”, “registered voters”, and likely voters though if they were only using the results from the survey of likely voters. It’s a little confusing.


33 posted on 09/03/2010 3:11:26 AM PDT by saganite (What happens to taglines? Is there a termination date?)
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To: ElkGroveDan

“I believe they are both heading toward leads, but based on some extremely accurate private surveys I have seen this week, these numbers are a tad bit too rosy right now”

Can you expand on that? Not your sources of course but the degree of rosiness involved in this poll.


34 posted on 09/03/2010 3:16:21 AM PDT by saganite (What happens to taglines? Is there a termination date?)
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To: johnthebaptistmoore

How can Republicans, in general, really be prevented from ever morphing into leftists again, and what do conservatives do next if Republicans, in general, do become leftists, yet again?
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

The answer is: us. Next election cycle will be Presidential and we need to keep the pressure up in primaries against RINO’s regardless. Cycle after that will likely be a Republican president and hopefully a Republican Congress and Senate. We need to keep the pressure up against RINO’s in primaries regardless. The conservative base gets stirred up and active and then . . . when victory is within its grasp . . . the conservative base relaxes and lets the political “professionals” take control again. See, the professionals get a paycheck from it so they never give up and work every day.


35 posted on 09/03/2010 3:52:21 AM PDT by November 2010
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To: November 2010

Hijack the party positions and put conservatives in them : )


36 posted on 09/03/2010 3:52:52 AM PDT by November 2010
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To: Tzimisce
I hope Boxer CRIES when she loses her seat

That's EX senator Boxer to you.

37 posted on 09/03/2010 4:51:38 AM PDT by NewHampshireDuo
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To: Chet 99

Big keys are that Fiornia gets the indy vote 58 to 35 - she also gets over 49 vote by over 50% - the big deal is the inland counties - Fiorina gets 60+ and they are going to vote because of WATER!!


38 posted on 09/03/2010 5:39:50 AM PDT by q_an_a (a)
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To: NewHampshireDuo
I hope Boxer CRIES when she loses her seat

She worked very hard to lose that seat.
39 posted on 09/03/2010 6:06:34 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics)
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To: Chet 99

Whitman and Fiorina both illegal alien lovers . Yea , right , The Republicrats are going to save America .


40 posted on 09/03/2010 6:17:56 AM PDT by sushiman
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To: saganite

It’s probably 5-6 points too optimistic.


41 posted on 09/03/2010 10:10:35 AM PDT by ElkGroveDan (Now can we forget about that old rum-runner Joe Kennedy and his progeny of philandering drunks?)
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To: counterpunch
Watch the Democrats steal the election in San Francisco.

Compared to the rest of the state San Francisco is relatively small. Moreover, they already vote 70-80% rat most of the time any way, so even if they were to flip every Republican vote in their county, it wouldn't make too big of a difference.

I'd be more worried about the lefty registrars and bureaucrats in the conservative leaning or marginal counties like San Bernardino, Fresno and Sacramento. LA despite its massive size and liberal slant, actually has a very well run registrar. I've spent many horrible November weeks there napping in hallways, though not recently.

42 posted on 09/03/2010 10:17:44 AM PDT by ElkGroveDan (Now can we forget about that old rum-runner Joe Kennedy and his progeny of philandering drunks?)
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To: ElkGroveDan

Even with your numbers both races are a statistical dead heat. Not bad considering is Kalifornia.


43 posted on 09/03/2010 10:42:37 AM PDT by saganite (What happens to taglines? Is there a termination date?)
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To: ElkGroveDan

San Francisco always reports late. I think they wait to see how many ‘votes’ they need.
Just look at what happened to Bill Simon.


44 posted on 09/03/2010 10:45:04 AM PDT by counterpunch (Imam B'araq Hussein Mohammad 0bama, President of the 57 States of Islam.)
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To: NewHampshireDuo

I don’t want to jinx it, but,
I’d love to sing

na na na na
hey hey hey
good bye

MA’AM.


45 posted on 09/03/2010 10:49:37 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a (de)humanist and a Satanist is that the latter knows who he's working for.)
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To: NewHampshireDuo

I don’t want to jinx it, but,
I’d love to sing

na na na na
hey hey hey
good bye

MA’AM.


46 posted on 09/03/2010 11:05:02 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a (de)humanist and a Satanist is that the latter knows who he's working for.)
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To: napscoordinator

“When Boxer is in trouble we are in good shape.”

You betcha!


47 posted on 09/03/2010 12:18:15 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: truthfreedom

SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 California adults 08/31/10 through 09/01/10. Of them, 844 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 569 were determined by Survey USA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election, 2 months from today. Early voting begins in just over 1 month, on 10/04/10. It was a mixture of adult likely voters and registered


48 posted on 09/04/2010 12:17:20 AM PDT by tallyhoe
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To: tallyhoe

If you look at the link
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=198d3195-2ccf-4932-8715-1ed2c6f410ae
it says “569 Likely Voters” in the upper left corner, in a blue rectangle, in each of the 4 questions, right above “Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%


49 posted on 09/04/2010 12:25:16 AM PDT by truthfreedom
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To: truthfreedom

It was a mixture of adult likely voters and registered


50 posted on 09/04/2010 8:33:16 AM PDT by tallyhoe
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