Posted on 09/08/2010 9:21:58 AM PDT by MissesBush
Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer and her Republican challenger Carly Fiorina remain in a dead heat in California’s race for the U.S. Senate.
The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters, including leaners, shows Fiorina picking up 48% of the vote, while Boxer draws support from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided.
These numbers show a slight shift from results with leaners found two weeks ago, when Boxer led Fiorina 49% to 44%. Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning towards a particular candidate. From this point forward, Rasmussen Reports considers results with leaners the primary indicator of the race.
This contest continues to be a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.
Results before leaners are added show Fiorina with a 47% to 42% lead over Boxer. Two weeks ago, the candidates were in a virtual tie when voters were asked their initial preference.
Since February, Boxer’s support has ranged from 42% to 49%. In those same surveys, Fiorina, former CEO of Hewlett-Packard, has earned 38% to 43% of the vote.
Seventy-four percent (74%) of Fiorina voters are already certain of how they will vote this November, as are 69% of those who support Boxer, a member of the Senate since 1993.
Boxer has the powers of incumbency to her advantage in a state that trends Democratic, but like other congressional Democrats, she is finding the political environment unusually tough this year.
(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.
The survey of 750 Likely Voters in California was conducted on September 6, 2010 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/-4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
Other data from this survey can be found at www.rasmussenreports.com/California.
Fiorina is backed by 91% of Republicans in California, while Boxer draws support from 86% of Democrats. The Republican holds a slight edge among voters not affiliated with either major political party.
Forty-eight percent (48%) of all voters in the state view Boxer favorably, while 50% regard her unfavorably. But this includes 20% with a Very Favorable view of her versus 41% who see her Very Unfavorably.
Fiorina is viewed favorably by 55% of California voters, including 17% with a Very Favorable opinion. Thirty-seven percent (37%) see her unfavorably, with 25% Very Unfavorable.
In California, only four percent (4%) rate the U.S. economy as good or excellent, but 62% describe it as poor. That’s a slightly more negative assessment of the current situation than results found nationally. While 23% say the economy is improving, 40% say conditions are getting worse.
Fifty-five percent (55%) in California approve of the job President Obama is doing, while 43% disapprove. Those ratings are better than those found nationally for the president in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
In 2008, Rasmussen Reports projected nationally that Obama would defeat John McCain by a 52% to 46% margin. Obama won 53% to 46%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports projected the national vote totals for both George W. Bush and John Kerry within half-a-percentage-point.
In California during the 2008 campaign, Rasmussen Reports polling showed Obama winning the state by a 61% to 34% margin. Obama won 61% to 37%. Four years earlier, Rasmussen Reports polling showed Kerry leading Bush in California 53% to 43%. Kerry won 54% to 44%.
In the 2006 California governor’s race, Rasmussen polling showed Arnold Schwarzenegger defeating Phil Angelides 53% to 40%. Schwarzenegger won 56% to 39%. In the 2006 race for U.S. Senate, Rasmussen polling showed Dianne Feinstein defeating Richard Mountjoy 58% to 35%. Feinstein won 60% to 35%.
See all Rasmussen Reports 2008 state results for president, Senate and governor. See 2006 results for Senate and governor. See 2004 state results for president.
Rasmussen Reports has recently surveyed Senate races in Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Washington, West Virginia and Wisconsin.
Please sign up for the Rasmussen Reports daily e-mail update (it’s free) or follow us on Twitter or Facebook. Let us keep you up to date with the latest public opinion news.
bttt
Funny, the libs I know aren't saying "It's a long time until election day" anymore.
I cannot BELIEVE we're in striking distance of taking out Boxer.
Anybody’s better than Boxer.
Getting someone like Carly out of that political cesspool would be a wonderful thing. Perfect example of getting a a good moderately conservative out of a blue state. She’ll be with us on most things and certainly on the fiscal issues most important to us right now.
I fear that Fiorina will need to be up by at least 5-points just before election day, if she has any real shot of unseating Boxer. The corruption will be that bad. The unions are not going to go down without a fight.
We have to keep voting in the “lesser” of two evils over and over until we win this country back! I want BOXER OUT!!!
Fiorina seems pretty decent to me, from what I have seen.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2584872/posts
Rasmussen - California Governor: Whitman (R) 48%, Brown (D) 45%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 8 Sept 2010 | Scott Rasmussen
Posted on Wednesday, September 08, 2010 6:49:34 AM by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus
Too close
Boxer can steal it if too close.
Last week, the IRS started looking into a criminal probe of Planned Parenthood Golden Gate.
Planned Parenthood of America took the unusual step of kicking this affliate out of its network AFTER the criminal probe was started.
Something about cooking the books and campaign contributions...
I can post a link to the story. I am hoping Fox News will follow up on this story...
AND Feingold, AND Murray, AND (with a minor miracle) Reid.
It could be a great Election Night!
When Boxer and Feingold are on the ropes, no telling what will happen in November.
Darkwolf, I am absolutely giddy about the prospect of finally sending this witch back to San Fran. I have worked, paid and prayed for her defeat since she first won in 1992. Years of watching this utter leftist lunatic cypher embarrass California has only made me more hungry to see her brought low in the dust politically. She is an abomination. We’re so close this time to finally taking her down I can taste it. If we can’t do it in this anti-Democratic, anti-incumbent political atmosphere and with the best opponent we’ve yet fielded against Boxer, then she’ll never be defeated and will be there for whatever remains of her sorry, pathetic life.
After actually having Brown as a governor I’m amazed he still polls in the 40’s
Good grief!
GO CARLY!!
The Reid one is perplexing. Due to the media spin and some out and out goofy behavior by his opponent, not to mention his power position, he should be whistling to victory. But he keeps opening his old fool trap! Losing couldn’t happen to a nicer corpse.
You can bet that a bunch of these races will end up in court.
Oops - meant to post this link - article was posted yesterday.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2584872/posts
California Senate: Fiorina (R) 48%, Boxer (D) 47%
Rasmussen ^ | 9-7-10
Posted on Tuesday, September 07, 2010 5:13:08 PM by Justaham
I NEVER get all that excited about these kinds of stories because things are so fluid, but that describes my mood exactly right now.
Close enough to steal.
To (mis)quote a beloved Alaskan, "I can see election day from my house."
Yes, but the Boxer Slime Machine hasn’t been cranked up, yet.
I watched that debate and I must say that 47% of California’s population is clueless. Boxer is an idiot.
If anyone is thinking about not voting, just think about how close that election is. If you aren’t voting this November, then you’re part of the problem.
Fiorina is hardly a conservative but hey, it’d sure feel nice to see all the depressed Dems on November 5th right?
I realized I was holding my breath reading this..My very best hopes and prayers that you can get Boxer out!
Thank God! Now if Pelosi can get voted out!!!
I fear that the "October Surprise" will be a full-court press by the DNC/MSM like we've never even dreamed.
Maybe I'm being melodramatic, and maybe people won't buy it this year. But I don't think they're gonna go quietly.
That is exactly right, too close for comfort. Whitmans polls came out close too. I hope we havent perked to soon. I guess will see an ebb/flow up until election.
We knew that in ‘92 and ‘98 and ‘04
but, it IS Californey after all
Boxer was embarrassed by the House banking scandal, in which more than 450 Congressional representatives and aides, herself included, wrote overdraft checks covered by overdraft protection by the House Bank. In response, she issued a statement saying “in painful retrospect, I clearly should have paid more attention to my account” and wrote a $15 check to the Deficit Reduction Fund for each of her 87 overdrafts.[10]
In 1991, during the Anita Hill Senate hearings, where Hill accused U.S. Supreme Court nominee Clarence Thomas of sexual harassment, Boxer led a group of women House members to the Senate Judiciary Committee – demanding that the all-white, all-male Committee of Senators take Hill’s charges seriously.[11] This helped propel Boxer’s candidacy for the U.S. Senate in 1992, when a record number of women ran for the U.S. Senate.
Senator Boxer’s predecessor, Democrat Alan Cranston, retired in 1992. She won the open seat contest in the US Senate elections that year. She defeated Bruce Herschensohn, a conservative television political commentator, by 4.9 percentage points after a last-minute revelation that Herschensohn had attended a strip club.[12] In 1998, she was re-elected for a second term, beating Matt Fong, a former state treasurer, by 10 percentage points.[13] She had decided to retire in 2004 but says she decided to run to “fight for the right to dissent” against conservatives like Tom DeLay. After facing no primary opposition in the 2004 election, Boxer defeated GOP candidate Bill Jones, a former California Secretary of State, by a margin of 20 percentage points.[
amen. The holier than thous are insane lately.
It will be an onslaught of slime of Biblical Proportions.
We can expect this race to get very dirty very soon...
It’s remarkable that a Republican with such extremist views is even in the running in the People’s Republic of California - let alone in the thick of the race. Things have sure changed out here...
Dirty in ways we have not witnessed to date.
There is an enormous number of idiots in California. I should know. I’ve been working in Hollyweird for the last 30 years.
What we really need is a Rick Santorum or a George Allen against Boxer!
LOL. See, because some of the 47% leaning to LEFTIST BARBARA BOXER would turn right around and vote for a TRUE conservative. not.
Sorry. Had to vent at the conservapuristas.
True, Carly dismantled HP. Maybe she’ll do the same in congress?
...”Please spare us any “Fiorina is just a RINO” posts, as if she’s going to have a voting record anywhere near as liberal as Boxer’s is in the Senate.”
Amen! Thanks for saying so here. As much as Freepers are fanstastic posters, there can be a stubbornness in not voting for someone simply because they are are RINO but in cases where you have the choice between a RINO and and idiot, you choose the RINO.
Such was the case with McCain vs Obutthole. Some people here refused to vote for RINO McCain. I didn’t like him either, but a vote for anyone else (or stubbornly not voting as a “protest”) was a vote for Obutthole.
And now look where we are...
Hopefully Fiorina has that film clip of Boxer dressing down the General for calling her ma’am in one of her campaign commercials. Boxer’s behavior in that clip is all you need to know about her.
A “choice” between a Liberal and a Socialist.
Choose the liberal.
I cannot BELIEVE we’re in striking distance of taking out Boxer.
I’d love to see it! No, they are NOT too big to fail! and, Mrs.Boxer, Ma’am, I will celebrate your departure!!!
That’s good to hear, but it is Whitman who is the real RINO.
Herschenson was a good candidate. Fong and Jones were pushovers. Now that many more California voters are sick of that yenta AND she is facing a good candidate a house might fall on top of the witch....I pray.
In last week's debate, Carly stood foursquare against abortion, for gun rights, for tax and regulatory cuts and made clear environmental nuttery is hurting California. She was fearless in saying she wants Roe v. Wade overturned and stood up for gun rights, all the while taking Boxer and the questioner's barbs over standing firm on these conservative positions without even flinching. There aren't many conservative candidates who in a California election would have been as willing as Carly was to stand by her primary election positions, so I disagree on the claim that she's "hardly conservative." I was proud of her for holding the line against a clearly hostile panel of questioners, not to mention Boxer's idiot haranguing.
Jones was a lousy candidate with no money. Carly has money and is a much stronger candidate.
This is the kicker on this poll. This says that California has pretty much decided, and there isn't a lot of room for more votes, with only 3% up for grabs.
This will come down to the usual Boxer playbook, the late hit in the final 10 days in order to peel off some of her opponent's voters.
-PJ
The only time I ever used swear words on the Ham radio Freqs was when some Jackass came on the net after Peolosi's election to speaker and was crowing about it calling her a "home town girl", some of the other guys on the air made noises like, "on, no" and so forth but I cut loose with a string of swear words at the guy that I am still ashamed of.
I know this is a Boxer thread but I feel the same way about Boxer also.
She is probably close to Gov. Chris Christie on most issues, but without the gigantic set of balls that Christie has.
We can expect this race to get very dirty very soon...
I really don’t think voters want to hear it this time. With 12.5% unemployment in California, a sinking economy nationally, and a state that’s nearly bankrupt, Californians want to know what you’re going to do to help fix these and so many other daunting problems the state and the country face. They’re not going to be interested in whether Carly once took nude photos for a boyfriend, removed the mattress tags from her bed or wore white after Labor Day. They want to know what the hell you’re going to do to contribute to solutions to the state’s massive problems. If Boxer’s answer to that is to throw out a bunch of sleaze, she’ll only be sealing her doom. So let her get dirty all she wants—it will only turn voters off her all the more. People just don’t want to hear this bullsh-t this time. They’re tired of being scared of the future and not much interested in one candidate’s past.
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