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Senate: Dem 47, GOP 46, Tossup 7 (and GOP LEADS in 6 of these 7).
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 9/15/2010 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 09/15/2010 8:51:37 AM PDT by Notwithstanding

New polling in Ohio has moved that state's U.S. Senate race from Toss-Up to Leans Republican.

Other recent changes came from polling in Alaska, Kentucky, North Carolina and West Virginia, Washington.

Current projections suggest that the Democrats would hold 47 seats after Election Day while the Republicans would hold 46. Seven states are in the Toss-Up category (California, Colorado, Illinois, Nevada, Wisconsin, Washington and West Virginia. All seven Toss-Ups are seats currently held by Democrats

Republicans have the edge in five Democratic-held Senate seats--Arkansas, Indiana, North Dakota, Delaware and Pennsylvania.

At the moment, no Republican-held seats appear headed for the Democratic column.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections; elections2010; senate; senate2010
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1 posted on 09/15/2010 8:51:39 AM PDT by Notwithstanding
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To: Notwithstanding

AHHH...its tea time.


2 posted on 09/15/2010 8:52:50 AM PDT by Blue Turtle
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To: Notwithstanding

GOP leads in Rasmussen’s latest polls in 6 of the 7 toss-up states!


3 posted on 09/15/2010 8:53:02 AM PDT by Notwithstanding
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To: Notwithstanding

Wait till Connecticut tilts into the “toss up” or “leans GOP” column.....


4 posted on 09/15/2010 8:54:45 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Notwithstanding

Oops. Old news. Rasmussen moved Delaware from leans R to leans D last night.


5 posted on 09/15/2010 8:55:05 AM PDT by saganite (What happens to taglines? Is there a termination date?)
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To: Notwithstanding

Old data.

Delaware is listed as “Lean Republican” based on a September 7 poll.

But after yesterday, it is now considered “Lean Democrat.”


6 posted on 09/15/2010 8:55:49 AM PDT by earlJam
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To: saganite

He’ll be doing some more moving in the weeks ahead.


7 posted on 09/15/2010 8:56:01 AM PDT by Genoa (Titus 2:13)
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To: Notwithstanding
Republicans have the edge in five Democratic-held Senate seats--Arkansas, Indiana, North Dakota, Delaware and Pennsylvania.

OK, but someone needs to fix that Delaware entry. GOP doesn't have the edge there anymore.

8 posted on 09/15/2010 8:56:16 AM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: Notwithstanding

Delaware will move to toss-up at best now possibly leans Democratic now though.


9 posted on 09/15/2010 8:56:25 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama = Epic Fail)
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To: Notwithstanding

This has DE as Leans Republican as of Sep7. I’m sure today they’ll change that... but you know what... I bet they were right the first time. DE Leans Republican.


10 posted on 09/15/2010 8:56:49 AM PDT by samtheman
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To: Notwithstanding

It takes a Carter to give us a Reagan (and it takes an 0bama to give us GOP senators in California, Wisconsin and Nevada).


11 posted on 09/15/2010 8:57:19 AM PDT by Notwithstanding
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To: Notwithstanding

I am taking that Tuesday and Wednesday in November off from work. This is all I’ll be paying attention to. I won’t be able to think clearly enough to work anyway.


12 posted on 09/15/2010 8:57:45 AM PDT by Personal Responsibility ("In a time of universal deciet, telling the truth is a revolutionary act" - Orwell)
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To: Notwithstanding

Don’t forget - Obama also gave us a GOP senator in Mass. and good governors in NJ and Virgina.


13 posted on 09/15/2010 8:59:22 AM PDT by Personal Responsibility ("In a time of universal deciet, telling the truth is a revolutionary act" - Orwell)
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To: samtheman

There hasn’t been a poll yet. Moving to “leans Dem” is just speculation for right now. Give it 3 days and a new poll and I think we’ll see it back to the “leans Pub”


14 posted on 09/15/2010 8:59:58 AM PDT by normy (Don't take it personally, just take it seriously.)
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To: saganite

Tim Kaine was on “Fox and Friends” this morning claiming that the Tea Party successes have improved the Democrats’ chances of winning some seats which six months ago they expected to lose. Of course he is head of the DNC and was putting the most optimistic spin on things.


15 posted on 09/15/2010 9:01:15 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: earlJam

If so, then the corrected version is:

Dem 48, GOP 45, Tossup 7 (and GOP LEADS in 6 of these 7).
Final score: Dem* 49, GOP 51.

* 2 of the 49 Dem are not actually even Dem, but are independent/3rd party.


16 posted on 09/15/2010 9:01:59 AM PDT by Notwithstanding
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To: Notwithstanding

Tea Minus 49 Days and counting.


17 posted on 09/15/2010 9:02:43 AM PDT by savedbygrace (Rev 22:20 He which testifieth these things saith, Surely I come quickly. Amen. Even so, come, Lord)
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To: Notwithstanding
46 locked + 5 Likely = 51

So what this means is that getting rid of Castle is not the end of the world. Wow who would have thought from the pundits last night. I have been arguing that with Democrat filibusters and Obama's veto the difference between 51 and 50 isn't that important. But the difference between 52 and 51 to totally fracking pointless. Definitely worth sending the message to the RINOs in that case.
18 posted on 09/15/2010 9:04:06 AM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: Verginius Rufus

What you probably don’t know is that Tim had to have a double Botox eyebrow shot last night to keep it from jumping off his face this morning as he was telling fairy tales.


19 posted on 09/15/2010 9:09:16 AM PDT by MissMagnolia (Obad. 1:15: As you have done, it will be done to you; your deeds will return upon your own head.)
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To: GonzoGOP

The GOP servants of the people ought to be more concerned about grass-roots GOP voters than the dipwads at msnbcnnabcbs.


20 posted on 09/15/2010 9:10:13 AM PDT by Notwithstanding
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To: normy

I agree. I think this is definitely winnable. Out of the gate, however, she might be starting below the commie party candidate, that’s all I’m saying.


21 posted on 09/15/2010 9:10:15 AM PDT by samtheman
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To: Notwithstanding

There is a very important piece missing from these numbers. If you factor in the “enthusiasm” of the GOP you find that turn out suggest 30% higher than Dems. What this means is that a republican candidate who is behind by 3 or 4 percent is very likely to win. This is what we just saw in the O’Donnel race. In the polls she was either tied or up by only 3%, but the enthusiasm of the conservative base was high, so Castle lost by a much bigger margin.


22 posted on 09/15/2010 9:10:42 AM PDT by rrdog
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To: GonzoGOP
Definitely worth sending the message to the RINOs in that case.

Yep, even the Maine twins had to notice a RINO getting primaried in a blue state because of his pro-Obama-agenda votes.

23 posted on 09/15/2010 9:11:38 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Verginius Rufus

>>> claiming that the Tea Party successes have improved the Democrats’ chances of winning some seats which six months ago they expected to lose. Of course he is head of the DNC

Well it’s certainly true in Nevada and Delaware. No way Harry Reid and a decent opponent would be tied. Nevada is conservative enough that they can still win but it shouldn’t be anywhere near this close.

And Delaware speaks for itself.

I wouldn’t overgeneralize beyond these two though.


24 posted on 09/15/2010 9:12:23 AM PDT by tlb
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To: Notwithstanding

I predict at least 5 of the 7 “toss-up” states will go Republican.


25 posted on 09/15/2010 9:12:27 AM PDT by fwdude (Anita Bryant was right.)
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To: Notwithstanding; IMissPresidentReagan; CourtneyLeigh; Just Kimberly; Knuckrider; MBohman; ...
A Kentucky Ping.

...for those interested. :D



for your information only...and NOT get overconfident, its only a poll.


26 posted on 09/15/2010 9:14:11 AM PDT by skinkinthegrass (Imam Zer0: DeathCARE, Is my only Plan...So just die (quicky), please & save $$$$ :^)
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To: saganite
Rasmussen moved Delaware from leans R to leans D last night.

How is that possible? Ras needs at least a day lead time to prepare any kind of decent poll, if not a week of polling, and it's barely been 12 hours. This must be a "gut" poll projection.

Maybe he's still using the numbers he had when both Castle and O'Donnell were being considered. But knocking one of them out changes the dynamics considerably.

It will stabilize toward O'Donnell as November looms closer.

27 posted on 09/15/2010 9:17:30 AM PDT by fwdude (Anita Bryant was right.)
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To: saganite

Oops. Old news. Rasmussen moved Delaware from leans R to leans D last night.———————

Nope, that was someone using the name Rasmussen and posting a rear clear politics statement.


28 posted on 09/15/2010 9:19:32 AM PDT by Freddd (CNN is down to Three Hundred Thousand viewers. But they worked for it.)
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To: dirtboy
Yep, even the Maine twins had to notice a RINO getting primaried in a blue state because of his pro-Obama-agenda votes.

Oh that is for darn sure. I think it was Ras that had a poll out yesterday that Snowe would get creamed by the unknown republican. And it wasn't even close. The message is clear, if you break hard right for the next two years you might survive. Castle probably could have survived if he voted with the GOP 75% of the time. Delaware is after all a blue state. As it was he only voted with the GOP 53% of the time. Not enough.

Watch for the gals from Maine to either become tea party cheerleaders and try to sneek into the Mama Grizzly club (Like Juan McCain did). Either that or they will get their retirement letters in order. After Arlen they have learned that switching parties doesn't get you anything.
29 posted on 09/15/2010 9:20:01 AM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: samtheman

agreed


30 posted on 09/15/2010 9:24:54 AM PDT by normy (Don't take it personally, just take it seriously.)
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To: ConservativeDude
Wait till Connecticut tilts into the “toss up” or “leans GOP” column.....

I'll believe THAT when I see it!

31 posted on 09/15/2010 9:26:57 AM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to say it)
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To: Notwithstanding

Latest Rasmussen results in toss-up states:

GOP 1. Nevada Senate: Reid (D) 48%, Angle (R) 48%

GOP 2. Ohio Senate: Portman (R) 49% Fisher (D) 41%

GOP 3. California Senate: Fiorina (R) 48%, Boxer (D) 47%

GOP 4. Wisconsin Senate: Johnson (R) 47%, Feingold (D) 46%

GOP 5. Illinois Senate: Kirk (R) 41%, Giannoulias (D) 37%

GOP 6. Colorado Senate: Buck (R) 47% Bennet (D) 44%

Dem 7. West Virginia Senate: Manchin (D) 50%, Raese (R) 45%

??? 8. Delaware voters are likely to shift support to O’Donnell now that Castle is out of the picture and O’Donnell is the GOP standard bearer.

Delaware Senate: Castle (R) 48%, Coons (D) 37%
Delaware Senate: O’Donnell (R) 36%, Coons (D) 47%


32 posted on 09/15/2010 9:38:41 AM PDT by Notwithstanding
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To: Notwithstanding
It takes a Carter to give us a Reagan (and it takes an 0bama to give us GOP senators in California, Wisconsin and Nevada).

I hope and pray that Obama will give us a sweep this year and again in two years. I'd like to see a gain of 9-12 Senate seats this year and again in 2012. I just hope the Republicans we are choosing have the testicular fortitude to follow through with legislation to bring our government back within its proper boundaries and within a reasonable budget.

33 posted on 09/15/2010 9:39:49 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Natural born citizen of the USA, with the birth certificate to prove it)
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To: Notwithstanding

He has indicated it is now 48-45, moving Delaware from “Leans Republican” to “Leans Democrat”.


34 posted on 09/15/2010 9:46:09 AM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: Notwithstanding
Charilie Rangel’s and Maxine Water's corruption trials will really highlight the entrenched and fetid corruption of the Democrats.

The 20 States suing the FedGov over the unconstitutional insurance mandate will highlight the out-of control policies of the Democrats.

FedGov suing states for enforcing immigration laws will show the anti-American nature of the Obama administration.

Revolution is in the air.

35 posted on 09/15/2010 9:46:20 AM PDT by Gabrial (The Whitehouse Nightmare will continue as long as the Nightmare is in the Whitehouse)
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To: Notwithstanding

Subtract Delaware.


36 posted on 09/15/2010 9:47:48 AM PDT by The Old Hoosier (Right makes might)
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To: earlJam
Old data. Delaware is listed as “Lean Republican” based on a September 7 poll. But after yesterday, it is now considered “Lean Democrat.”

They're the ones working from "old data". They're WRONG about DE. The people of Delaware are engaged, and they, not the elites or the media, will put O'Donnell in the Senate.

37 posted on 09/15/2010 9:50:19 AM PDT by backwoods-engineer (There is no "common good" which minimizes or sacrifices the individual. --Walter Scott Hudson)
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To: Notwithstanding

I hope GOP wins the Senate, but without a Juan McShame win!

I shall NOT vote for this corrupt, senile, back-stabbing RINO under any circumstance.


38 posted on 09/15/2010 9:52:14 AM PDT by J Edgar
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To: fwdude
Rasmussen has this statement in the Presidential Tracking Poll section of his web site : "Yesterday’s primary results move Delaware from Leans Republican to Leans Democrat. New polling will be conducted soon to update this rating. "

He did polling of the general election matchups for both Castle and O'Donnell last week, and his current rating is based on O'Donnell's poor showing in that poll.

He will do a new poll over the next couple of days, but I presume it will still show her down, because it will include the shell-shocked Castle Supporters who might well say they are voting democrat.

By next week, I expect a lot of them to either come back to Republican fold, or to just decide not to vote. So I expect she'll improve some over the next two weeks, but I think she'll still be a long-shot polling-wise.

39 posted on 09/15/2010 9:52:50 AM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: skinkinthegrass

I guess the conclusion to be drawn from this graph is that the Republicans suck, but the Democrats suck worse!


40 posted on 09/15/2010 9:53:09 AM PDT by appeal2 (Don't steal, the government hates competition.)
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To: fwdude

Rasmussen has been polling both Castle and O’Donnell vs. the Democrat Coons for some weeks, now. In most recent poll, Coons was leading O’Donnell. That will be changing, soon, I suspect....


41 posted on 09/15/2010 9:59:03 AM PDT by Tandem (Restore honor and the other pieces will fall into place.....)
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To: Personal Responsibility

I usually take the day after Presidential elections off, on the theory that I may be up late into the night waiting for returns to come in.

Except for 2008, when I couldn’t even bear to watch.


42 posted on 09/15/2010 10:01:54 AM PDT by NRPM (America again in 2010!)
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To: Notwithstanding

My prediction; GOP with a 52 strong majority in the Senate and a tidal wave in the House. In two years, Obama is toast.


43 posted on 09/15/2010 10:07:41 AM PDT by Grunthor (Name one country with a muslim majority that doesn't have brutal, repressive laws.)
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To: saganite

“Rasmussen moved Delaware from leans R to leans D last night.”

That’s okay. We can and will overcome that. If everyone would donate say $5 to Christines campaign that would probably do the trick. Her dimoKKKRAT opponent is said to have a two million dollar warchest.


44 posted on 09/15/2010 10:08:30 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: skinkinthegrass

didn’t the Dems control congress already in 2006?


45 posted on 09/15/2010 10:09:00 AM PDT by stefanbatory (Insert witty tagline here)
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To: Notwithstanding
New polling in Ohio has moved that state's U.S. Senate race from Toss-Up to Leans Republican.

Portman's had a decent 5-10 pt lead for a while now.

46 posted on 09/15/2010 10:10:14 AM PDT by RockinRight (Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?)
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To: Personal Responsibility

Christie is THE MAN.

Look for him in higher places someday ifyaknowwhatimean.


47 posted on 09/15/2010 10:11:23 AM PDT by RockinRight (Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?)
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To: skinkinthegrass; neverdem

Good graphs!


48 posted on 09/15/2010 10:12:52 AM PDT by Robert A. Cook, PE (I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: skinkinthegrass

WOW. That second graph should be pasted on every single GOP poster in America and thrown up every time some Dem talks about deficits being caused by Republican policies.


49 posted on 09/15/2010 10:13:55 AM PDT by RockinRight (Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor?)
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To: stefanbatory

no, the Dem majority came in in Jan 2007.


50 posted on 09/15/2010 10:16:28 AM PDT by ChurtleDawg (voting only encourages them)
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