Skip to comments.Quinnipiac: Angry Voters Push McMahon Closer In Senate Race. Blumenthal 49, McMahon 46
Posted on 09/28/2010 8:36:17 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Propelled by Connecticut likely voters who say they are "angry" with government, former wrestling executive Linda McMahon, the Republican U.S. Senate candidate, is closing in on Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, the Democrat, and now trails just 49 - 46 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
This compares to a 51 - 45 percent Blumenthal lead in a September 14 likely voter survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll, conducted by live interviewers.
In today's survey, 4 percent are undecided and 9 percent of voters who name a candidate say they could change their mind by Election Day. Blumenthal leads 89 - 9 percent among Democrats. McMahon leads 80 - 16 percent among Republicans. Independent voters shift from 47 - 46 percent for Blumenthal September 14 to 49 - 44 percent for McMahon today. In a gender reversal, women back Blumenthal 56 - 39 percent while men back McMahon 52 - 44 percent.
The 33 percent of likely voters who say they are "angry" with the federal government support McMahon 78 - 20 percent.
"With five weeks to go, the Connecticut Senate race is very close. Attorney General Richard Blumenthal is ahead by only a statistically insignificant 3 points. Blumenthal has to be concerned about Linda McMahon's momentum. He can hear her footsteps as she closes in on him," said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.
"McMahon clearly is capitalizing on the anger that one-third of voters are feeling toward the federal government." Quinnipiac University Poll/September 28, 2010 - page 2
"But McMahon has to be concerned that voters are still divided on her," Dr. Schwartz added. "There continues to be a big gender gap, as we've seen in other states such a New York and Pennsylvania. Women are going with the Democrat and men are siding with the Republican.
"Usually debates don't make much of a difference, but in a race this close next month's debates could be a game changer."
Connecticut likely voters approve 68 - 29 percent of the job Blumenthal is doing as attorney general and have a 51 - 41 percent favorable opinion of him.
McMahon gets a split 42 - 43 percent favorability.
Connecticut likely voters disapprove 51 - 45 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing.
Offered four choices to describe their feelings about the federal government: 2 percent say enthusiastic; 21 percent say satisfied; 43 percent say dissatisfied; 33 percent say angry.
Of the 95 percent of Connecticut likely voters who have seen McMahon TV ads, 56 percent find them annoying and 40 percent find them informative. Among all voters, 54 percent say McMahon's TV, radio and direct mail advertising is excessive, while 37 percent say it is about right.
Of the 87 percent who have seen Blumenthal TV ads, 54 percent find them informative and 42 percent find them annoying. Blumenthal's advertising has been about right, 49 percent say, while 33 percent say he hasn't advertised enough and 11 percent call it excessive.
"Linda McMahon has spent about $22 million on her campaign, but is it overkill? A majority of voters say that it has been excessive. In contrast, many Democrats feel that Blumenthal hasn't been doing enough on the advertising front," Schwartz said.
"As McMahon has flooded the airwaves, many voters are saying, 'Enough already!'"
From September 21 - 26, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,083 Connecticut likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.
The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582- 5201, or follow us on Twitter.
6. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Richard Blumenthal the Democrat and Linda McMahon the Republican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided) If you had to choose today, would you vote for Blumenthal or McMahon? This table includes "Leaners".
CLICK ABOVE LINK FOR THE TABLES AND THE REST OF THE STORY
Temporary setback for Blumenthal. He will reveal tomorrow that he is a Congressional Medal Of Honor recipient, and McMahon will tank.
From the article: Blumenthal leads 89 - 9 percent among Democrats. McMahon leads 80 - 16 percent among Republicans.
I am REALLY tired of seeing this disparity of ‘party loyalty’ from Republicans. It shows up similarly in nearly every poll.
The GOP has its flaws but by comparison they are nothing.
Sounds good to me. I like the idea of a professional wrestling executive as a candidate. And according to another article I read recently, she has a massive professional wrestler as a son-in-law.
I don’t know much about her, because the few reports I’ve read have all been written by snarky liberal reporters, and Quinnipiac leans that way, too. But I presume she is a successful businesswoman. And not an elite snob. Those are two plusses right there.
RE: From the article: Blumenthal leads 89 - 9 percent among Democrats. McMahon leads 80 - 16 percent among Republicans
Connecticut has a HUGE pool of Independents. It is they who will decide the winner this coming November.
This mentions debates. Are there any scheduled and if so when? Blumenthal does not do well in one on one settings and I suspect he will try and avoid debates if he can. Does anyone out there know if they are scheduled?
If too many voters swing to the right, the media declares a complete mental breakdown on the part of the electorate, making the results invalid by reason of insanity.
If I were the “decorated” Vietnam Vet, I’d be very worried. The trend line is definitely pro-McMahon.
She’s cut a 20 point deficit to a 3 point deficit with Quinnipiac and turned a 23 point deficit to a 5 point deficit with Rasmussen in three-plus months. It’s not inconceivable that this pushes into the R column come November.
Thats not fair, wasnt he in Cambodia with the “war hero” kerry
Even worse... Blumenthal claimed that he served in Vietnam while he spent most of that time studying with the liberal elites in Harvard and served one year stateside in the Marine Reserves. At least Kerry went to Vietnam.
Yes, but what grabbed my attention in this and so many polls being released is the low % of self-identified Republicans who support the GOP candidate. The Independents are shown separately.
I know it’s CT, so probably most R’s in the Nutmeg State live in Greenwich/Stamford and commute to Wall Street. Having the WEF honcho as their candidate isn’t quite the same to them as some lion of the markets.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.