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New Poll Shows Pa. Governor Race Tightening
The Pittsburgh Channel ^ | September 30, 2010

Posted on 09/30/2010 5:07:59 AM PDT by rightwingintelligentsia

HARRISBURG, Pa. -- For the first time in the general-election campaign, the Pennsylvania gubernatorial race between Republican Tom Corbett and Democrat Dan Onorato is too close to call, according to a poll released Wednesday.

The statewide survey by Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster shows Corbett, the state attorney general, backed by 36 percent and Onorato, the elected executive of Allegheny County, with 32 percent among voters who said they are likely to cast ballots in the Nov. 2 election. About one-third remained undecided.

In August, the same pollster gave Corbett an 11-point lead over Onorato and had about one-third of likely voters undecided.

The latest poll, conducted in the week ending Sunday, showed the proportion of registered voters who said they did not know enough to form an opinion about Onorato declined from 53 percent in August to 43 percent in September. For Corbett, the proportion of voters in that category increased from 40 percent to 45 percent.

(Excerpt) Read more at thepittsburghchannel.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: corbett; onorato
Admittedly, Corbett is a RINO, but his challenger is a career Dem with a penchant for taxing everything that moves.
1 posted on 09/30/2010 5:08:04 AM PDT by rightwingintelligentsia
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To: Owl_Eagle; brityank; Physicist; WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; GOPJ; abner; baseballmom; Mo1; Ciexyz; ...

ping


2 posted on 09/30/2010 5:10:42 AM PDT by Tribune7 (The Democrat Party is not a political organization but a religious cult.)
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To: rightwingintelligentsia
Some sore-loser idiots are promoting a write-in campaign for Rohrer. Just what we need - take votes away from Corbett, who won the primary fair and square, by pushing something that Rohrer hasn't even called for.

There really are a few pinheads on the right in PA, who can't see the forest for the trees politically.

3 posted on 09/30/2010 5:11:32 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: rightwingintelligentsia
"About one-third remained undecided."

I doubt it.

4 posted on 09/30/2010 5:14:51 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: rightwingintelligentsia

36% vs 32% with a third undecided? Sorry, that isn’t believeable. Absolutely no way a thirMyd of voters in PA are undecided.

I’m not familiar with the poll so I won’t trash it but I won’t accept its findings without a solid track record either. It may have one, but I’m unaware of their history.

My sense is that the GOP candidate leads by an uncontested level. That surprises me since PA prefers to vote Democrat. This is a wave election which last seen swept Santorum to office BUT it didn’t sweep a GOP Gov to office. This is new so I’m cautious with this race in case they return to long established patterns.


5 posted on 09/30/2010 5:17:25 AM PDT by Soul Seeker (“I was there when we had the numbers, but didn’t have the principles.”---Jim DeMint)
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To: rightwingintelligentsia

There seem to be a lot of polls these days showing races tightening up which had large Republican leads. What’s up with that?


6 posted on 09/30/2010 5:17:25 AM PDT by johniegrad
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To: johniegrad

Some of it is just polsters trying to create a sense of momentum for the other side.

The other part of it is natural. There is always a segment on each side that starts to return “home” when the election becomes a reality. It happens with Republicans and it will happen with Democrat’s. It won’t prevent most losses but a party’s base partially rallying to the banner can save a few seats.


7 posted on 09/30/2010 5:21:04 AM PDT by Soul Seeker (“I was there when we had the numbers, but didn’t have the principles.”---Jim DeMint)
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To: rightwingintelligentsia
YOU must see that the press and the dnc are paying for these skewed poll results to cause us all to give up... they want you and me to believe that the Tea Party is dying... not getting stronger... that dims are surging not suffering a terminal disease. They lie... they did it to Reagan... I was active then too... I remember. Do not be fooled. We are dealing with the lowest scum of the earth... real trash... expect every type of evil before November 2nd... do not let them win! Do not let them demoralize you. They are liars lying for evil intent.

LLS

8 posted on 09/30/2010 5:21:28 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (WOLVERINES!)
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To: johniegrad
"There seem to be a lot of polls these days showing races tightening up which had large Republican leads. What’s up with that?"

They're generally from third-tier pollsters and pollsters that nobody ever heard of. The first tier pollsters do show a little bit of shrinkage -- the stock market has had its best September in about 70 years. People vote their wallets.

9 posted on 09/30/2010 5:25:31 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: rightwingintelligentsia

Corbett may be a RINO but he’s not as bad as some - he’s participating in the states’ anti-Obamacare lawsuit. On top of that, he has HUGE name recognition compared to Onorato.

It’s absolutely ridiculous to claim that a third of voters are undecided. My guess is they caught Corbett with another huge lead and decided to whittle it down by putting some of them into the ‘undecided’ camp.


10 posted on 09/30/2010 5:26:29 AM PDT by 1cewolf (Duty, honor, excellence.)
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To: johniegrad

Both poll’s ploy AND the fact that the Dhims are not just going to roll over now that the election is in about a month left. We should expect that things are getting tighter as the election is near, not like in mid Summer. Many Dhims who didn’t care before started to pay attention. Their candidates start to put ads. 0bama’s efforts to rally the bases also contributed to some movement. Many of the Dhims felt disappointed at 0bama because he didn’t go far enough, but now they have to choose: stay at home (and Tea Party candidates win) or go to vote. More likely, they chose the latter. The question now: how many of them are there?


11 posted on 09/30/2010 5:28:35 AM PDT by paudio (How could you be an open-minded person if you are a liberal?)
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To: Sooth2222

The first tier pollsters do show a little bit of shrinkage — the stock market has had its best September in about 70 years. People vote their wallets.

Yeah, the Stock Market is having its best September because it is being manipulated by the Federal Reserve that is printing money, and propping up the Stock Market so it will look good for the Dems before the general election. Funny that it’s having its best September isn’t it. It’s a phony high with a lot of help from the Feds right before the election.


12 posted on 09/30/2010 5:34:43 AM PDT by flaglady47 (When the gov't fears the people, liberty; When the people fear the gov't, tyranny.)
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To: rightwingintelligentsia

Shameful that WTAE breathlessly passes this story along...without any mention of THE DRINK TAX. Cause that was Danny’s brainchild...

And you were right yesterday (as always) on the Rush thread...soon Dan O WILL tax the byproducts of said drink tax.


13 posted on 09/30/2010 5:42:37 AM PDT by PennsylvaniaMom (Glinda sez, 'click your heels three times and say, "there is no place like November...")
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To: johniegrad
There seem to be a lot of polls these days showing races tightening up which had large Republican leads. What’s up with that?

Some of those being polled aren't being honest, either.

I was polled last evening. I told them I was a registered dem who voted for Obama, and though I strongly opposed the bailout and Obamacare, that I'd be pulling the lever for Onorato and Sestak.

My intent is to give the dems a false sense of security, while not allowing the GOP to take the wins for granted.

I'm not saying my tactics will have any actual affect on things, just that people sometimes mislead the pollsters for any number of reasons.
14 posted on 09/30/2010 5:47:04 AM PDT by ConservativeWarrior (In last year's nests, there are no birds this year.)
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To: PennsylvaniaMom

Of course the local media won’t say anything to jeopardize the Dems chances this year.

I noted that last week Joe Sestak “dropped by” the WPXI newsroom for an interview, but they didn’t mention they were giving Toomey equal time.


15 posted on 09/30/2010 5:47:10 AM PDT by rightwingintelligentsia (Forcing one person to pay for the irresponsibility of another is NOT social justice.)
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To: rightwingintelligentsia

I can’t tell yet if the polls are really tightening, or if the media is trying to squash the momentum to help their democratic buddies.

It is clear that the Washington Post was helping Martin O’Malley today with a poll in which the sample was skewed way different from every other sample.

But the question is, whose sample is accurate? Most of the polls have a built-in bias toward republicans now because of the enthusiasm gap, so we need to keep up the enthusiasm to perform as well as the polls state.

This is a new thing for us, in 1994 nobody knew there was enthusiasm until it was too late. We shouldn’t count on any race being EASIER than the polls tell us now.


16 posted on 09/30/2010 5:57:28 AM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: Soul Seeker

Well, it is certainly hard to believe that there are so many more people undecided today than there was a month ago.


17 posted on 09/30/2010 5:58:11 AM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: johniegrad

That my friend, is the liberal MSM trying to lie to the public and make races seem closer than they are to keep dems in power.


18 posted on 09/30/2010 6:17:15 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: johniegrad
The Democrats usually pull their best poll numbers a month before the election.

The GOP does it the week before the election.

So, if the poll numbers show it close in Sept, that means it is going to go poorly for the Democrat.

19 posted on 09/30/2010 6:17:34 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (When the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn (Pr.29:2))
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To: rightwingintelligentsia

Was this a state-wide poll of registered Democrats?


20 posted on 09/30/2010 6:27:28 AM PDT by Redleg Duke (RAT Hunting Season started the evening of March 21st, 2010!)
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To: Soul Seeker

Doesn’t PA generally alternate party affiliation of its governors from R to D to R to D to (hopefully now) R?


21 posted on 09/30/2010 7:03:16 AM PDT by Dan Nunn (Support the NRA!)
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