Skip to comments.New Poll Shows Pa. Governor Race Tightening
Posted on 09/30/2010 5:07:59 AM PDT by rightwingintelligentsia
HARRISBURG, Pa. -- For the first time in the general-election campaign, the Pennsylvania gubernatorial race between Republican Tom Corbett and Democrat Dan Onorato is too close to call, according to a poll released Wednesday.
The statewide survey by Franklin & Marshall College in Lancaster shows Corbett, the state attorney general, backed by 36 percent and Onorato, the elected executive of Allegheny County, with 32 percent among voters who said they are likely to cast ballots in the Nov. 2 election. About one-third remained undecided.
In August, the same pollster gave Corbett an 11-point lead over Onorato and had about one-third of likely voters undecided.
The latest poll, conducted in the week ending Sunday, showed the proportion of registered voters who said they did not know enough to form an opinion about Onorato declined from 53 percent in August to 43 percent in September. For Corbett, the proportion of voters in that category increased from 40 percent to 45 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at thepittsburghchannel.com ...
There really are a few pinheads on the right in PA, who can't see the forest for the trees politically.
I doubt it.
36% vs 32% with a third undecided? Sorry, that isn’t believeable. Absolutely no way a thirMyd of voters in PA are undecided.
I’m not familiar with the poll so I won’t trash it but I won’t accept its findings without a solid track record either. It may have one, but I’m unaware of their history.
My sense is that the GOP candidate leads by an uncontested level. That surprises me since PA prefers to vote Democrat. This is a wave election which last seen swept Santorum to office BUT it didn’t sweep a GOP Gov to office. This is new so I’m cautious with this race in case they return to long established patterns.
There seem to be a lot of polls these days showing races tightening up which had large Republican leads. What’s up with that?
Some of it is just polsters trying to create a sense of momentum for the other side.
The other part of it is natural. There is always a segment on each side that starts to return “home” when the election becomes a reality. It happens with Republicans and it will happen with Democrat’s. It won’t prevent most losses but a party’s base partially rallying to the banner can save a few seats.
They're generally from third-tier pollsters and pollsters that nobody ever heard of. The first tier pollsters do show a little bit of shrinkage -- the stock market has had its best September in about 70 years. People vote their wallets.
Corbett may be a RINO but he’s not as bad as some - he’s participating in the states’ anti-Obamacare lawsuit. On top of that, he has HUGE name recognition compared to Onorato.
It’s absolutely ridiculous to claim that a third of voters are undecided. My guess is they caught Corbett with another huge lead and decided to whittle it down by putting some of them into the ‘undecided’ camp.
Both poll’s ploy AND the fact that the Dhims are not just going to roll over now that the election is in about a month left. We should expect that things are getting tighter as the election is near, not like in mid Summer. Many Dhims who didn’t care before started to pay attention. Their candidates start to put ads. 0bama’s efforts to rally the bases also contributed to some movement. Many of the Dhims felt disappointed at 0bama because he didn’t go far enough, but now they have to choose: stay at home (and Tea Party candidates win) or go to vote. More likely, they chose the latter. The question now: how many of them are there?
The first tier pollsters do show a little bit of shrinkage — the stock market has had its best September in about 70 years. People vote their wallets.
Yeah, the Stock Market is having its best September because it is being manipulated by the Federal Reserve that is printing money, and propping up the Stock Market so it will look good for the Dems before the general election. Funny that it’s having its best September isn’t it. It’s a phony high with a lot of help from the Feds right before the election.
Shameful that WTAE breathlessly passes this story along...without any mention of THE DRINK TAX. Cause that was Danny’s brainchild...
And you were right yesterday (as always) on the Rush thread...soon Dan O WILL tax the byproducts of said drink tax.
Of course the local media won’t say anything to jeopardize the Dems chances this year.
I noted that last week Joe Sestak “dropped by” the WPXI newsroom for an interview, but they didn’t mention they were giving Toomey equal time.
I can’t tell yet if the polls are really tightening, or if the media is trying to squash the momentum to help their democratic buddies.
It is clear that the Washington Post was helping Martin O’Malley today with a poll in which the sample was skewed way different from every other sample.
But the question is, whose sample is accurate? Most of the polls have a built-in bias toward republicans now because of the enthusiasm gap, so we need to keep up the enthusiasm to perform as well as the polls state.
This is a new thing for us, in 1994 nobody knew there was enthusiasm until it was too late. We shouldn’t count on any race being EASIER than the polls tell us now.
Well, it is certainly hard to believe that there are so many more people undecided today than there was a month ago.
That my friend, is the liberal MSM trying to lie to the public and make races seem closer than they are to keep dems in power.
The GOP does it the week before the election.
So, if the poll numbers show it close in Sept, that means it is going to go poorly for the Democrat.
Was this a state-wide poll of registered Democrats?
Doesn’t PA generally alternate party affiliation of its governors from R to D to R to D to (hopefully now) R?