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Confidence in Obama Lower than Even Nixon at Watergate
American Thinker ^ | 09/30/2010 | bruce Walker

Posted on 09/30/2010 7:33:23 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Gallup is the oldest major polling organization in America.  It has a strong interest in credibility with the public, because if its polls are wrong then its value drops to nothing.  Gallup Polls, by and large, are fairly accurate reflections of what is actually polled.  So when Gallup asks Americans in different states about their ideology, the reported data seems reasonable.  The problem, however, is that unless one looks at the data and not at how Gallup entitles its polls, big stories are lost. 

As one example, Gallup in the last year or so has finally begun asking Americans about their ideological persuasion and reporting the results of those polls.  A close examination of Gallup's reported data shows an absolutely stunning fact.  In the August 14, 2009 poll, conservatives outnumbered liberals in virtually all of the fifty states, even in hotbeds of radicalism like Massachusetts and Vermont.  What was the title of that poll?  "Conservative Label Prevails in South."  On February 3, 2010, Gallup repeated the poll.  The results were the same (every state was more conservative than liberal), but what was the title of that poll?  "Three Deep South States Are Most Conservative" (not something like "Conservatives Still Outnumber Liberals in Every State."  On August 2, 2010, Gallup tested the waters again.  This time, there were more liberals than conservatives in one state, Rhode Island, leading Gallup to give this poll the reasonable title "Wyoming, Mississippi, Utah Rank as Most Conservative States." 

Gallup on August 10, 2010 noted that Republicans had the highest lead this year on the generic congressional ballot.  Gallup missed a huge story:  the Republican lead on the generic ballot was the largest in the lifetime of most Americans.  To its credit, Gallup on August 30, 2010 noted in this poll that the Republican lead on the generic congressional ballot was the greatest in the history of Gallup polling, going back to 1942:  "GOP Takes Unprecedented Lead on Generic Ballot."  What Gallup neglected to mention is that while the ten point lead in the poll released August 30 was the largest ever, the seven point lead on August 10 was also, at that time, the largest lead ever. 

Gallup, again, has missed a big story.  On September 23, 2010 Gallup issued a report with the rather innocuous title: "Americans Trust U.S. More On Foreign Than On Domestic Affairs."   This is vaguely interesting, but hardly startling.  But look more closely at the Gallup graph and something more interesting appears:  our trust in government to handle domestic affairs appears to have dipped to a 13 year low in the latest poll.  A perusal of older Gallup Polls show something very interesting:  On September 18, 2008, Gallup measured the confidence that the American people had in government since before 1973.  In the category of confidence in federal government to handle domestic affairs, the numbers Gallup shows in that poll are lower than at any level since Gallup shows online archival data, which means since at least 1972. 

That means during Watergate, the Energy Crisis of 1973, and the recession of the same period, Americans had more confidence in Richard Nixon to handle domestic affairs than Americans have today in Barack Obama to handle domestic affairs.  The calamitous years of 1973 to 1974, when there were lines to get gasoline (which was suddenly sky high in price), when an American president resigned (preceded by an American vice president resigning), and when the nation dropped into a real economic downturn surely have to rank as the nadir of confidence in government to handle domestic affairs.  During those years, American had a viciously divided government, with partisan Democrats, who controlled both houses of Congress, doing everything possible to create suspicion and rancor towards the Nixon Administration. 

Gallup, curiously, never asked questions of Americans about their confidence in the ability of government to address their problems during the dreadful years of 1979 and 1980, the Carter Malaise, which would be the only comparable period in modern history.  Carter, of course, always had a Democrat Congress, so there were no "Watergate" congressional hearings of his administration.  Barack Obama also has overwhelming majorities in both houses of Congress and a fawning establishment media.  Obama, like Carter, entered office with a huge reservoir of personal goodwill.  Yet Obama has driven confidence that Americans have in the ability of government to address domestic affairs to a forty year, and perhaps historical low. 

There is another point.  Nixon reached that low point after six years in the White House.  Carter reached his Malaise in the second half of his first term (Democrat losses in Carter's 1978 midterm were modest and Carter still retained a fair amount of public confidence.)  What Gallup has exposed in the Obama Administration is a precipitous drop that closely resembles free fall.  A fascinating story, although one that Gallup, trying to conform its articles to conventional establishment opinion, seems to have missed once again.

Bruce Walker is the author of a new book:  Poor Lenin's Almanac: Perverse Leftists Proverbs for Modern Life


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: confidence; nixon; obama; watergate

1 posted on 09/30/2010 7:33:27 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

It will get worse.

At some point, even the media will not be able to shield him.


2 posted on 09/30/2010 7:34:39 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Things will change after the revolution, but not before.)
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To: SeekAndFind

‘I’m a mother. I’m a wife. I’m an American veteran, and I’m one of your middle-class Americans. ‘And, quite frankly, I’m exhausted,’ she said.

‘I’m exhausted of defending you, defending your administration, defending the mantle of change that I voted for, and deeply disappointed with where we are right now.’

~ Velma Hart
Former Obama voter


3 posted on 09/30/2010 7:37:36 AM PDT by Responsibility2nd (Yes, as a matter of fact, what you do in your bedroom IS my business.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Bulletin: Obama’s popularity lower than a snake’s belly in a wagon rut.


4 posted on 09/30/2010 7:37:46 AM PDT by RexBeach ("There is no such thing as a good tax." Winston Churchill)
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To: SeekAndFind

People are finally realizing that the Teleprompter Messiah is an incompetent loser.


5 posted on 09/30/2010 7:38:07 AM PDT by petercooper (Imam Obama)
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To: ClearCase_guy

This mess is a direct result of hapless Americans believing the MSM. I hope they learn their lesson. The MSM is the root of this.


6 posted on 09/30/2010 7:38:30 AM PDT by screaminsunshine (counter revolutionary)
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To: ClearCase_guy

7 posted on 09/30/2010 7:39:22 AM PDT by UCANSEE2 (lame and ill-informed post)
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To: SeekAndFind

Certainly our current President has earned the low confidence level.

But I think that Americans have lost confidence in politicians in general, and no longer see some emanation of glory from the desk of the White House, regardless of the occupant.


8 posted on 09/30/2010 7:42:19 AM PDT by lurk
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To: screaminsunshine

Not just the MSM, Obama is the “American Idol” president. The iPod generation thought it would be “cool” to elect the likes of him.

Those idiots will be paying for their mistake for the next 40 years.


9 posted on 09/30/2010 7:44:15 AM PDT by wrench
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To: screaminsunshine

Agreed. Obama is bad, but Obama NEVER would have been elected were it not for the destructively dishonest MSM.


10 posted on 09/30/2010 7:45:13 AM PDT by Obadiah (I can see November from my house!)
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To: screaminsunshine

No more callers please. We have a winner!!

“This mess is a direct result of hapless Americans believing the MSM. I hope they learn their lesson. The MSM is the root of this.”


11 posted on 09/30/2010 7:45:35 AM PDT by SanFranDan
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To: lurk

But I think that Americans have lost confidence in politicians in general, and no longer see some emanation of glory from the desk of the White House, regardless of the occupant.


I consider that GOOD NEWS.


12 posted on 09/30/2010 7:45:37 AM PDT by PeterPrinciple ( Seeking the truth here folks.)
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To: ClearCase_guy
The media will never relent in their efforts to put a smiley face on the O’Slacker disaster. Just like Barry, they will never admit to any error on their part. Their list of who to blame when the socialist ship sinks is kept close at hand.
13 posted on 09/30/2010 7:46:33 AM PDT by JPG (Sarah Palin says: "Buck-up or get out of the truck.")
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To: SeekAndFind

I think its do or die time for Obama. His last gasp is his latest series of ‘don’t give up’ speeches. This probably won’t get much traction, then there will be mid-term losses. His deficit commission will report, and probably recommend more taxes...and the dems are having a difficult time tricking people over the Bush tax cut expiration.

So, Obama goes in 2011 with no Hope...and already plans to blame everything that goes wrong on ‘the party of no’. He might get away with this, if it weren’t for salivating Hillary supporters - who I believe have been, and will continue to, feed the media anti-Obama stories. Its a perfect model for her. Any blowback (like the ‘is he a muzzie’ poll) can be directed at the right.

O is in a historical bad spot. His friends get fewer by the day. Normal wag the dog ploys are off the table for him. His world view prevents him from saber rattling with Iran for example (heck, he halfway agrees with Ahmanutjob...why would he stand against him). He can’t seriously go the ‘mideast peace accord’ route, because he is so anti-Israel. All that is left is photo ops and basketball games with celebrities.


14 posted on 09/30/2010 7:49:18 AM PDT by lacrew (Mr. Soetoro, we regret to inform you that your race card is over the credit limit.)
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To: PeterPrinciple

Yes...It means people are waking up.


15 posted on 09/30/2010 7:50:47 AM PDT by WAW (Which enumerated power?)
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To: Responsibility2nd

Yes, but then, afterward, she backtracked and has given at least two different reasons for why she made those comments and asked her question. This morning I saw a clip where Velma stated she wanted to ask that “tough” question because it’s the “tough” questions that produce results. I wanted to reach through my T.V. and throttle her for being so stupid. Questions produce results? These people do not have a clue.


16 posted on 09/30/2010 7:53:32 AM PDT by SoldierDad (Proud Papa of two new Army Brats! Congrats to my Soldier son and his wife.)
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To: SeekAndFind

For once Obama can’t blame it on Bush. The truth is...

It’s Al Gore’s fault.

Gore invented the internet, and now the unwashed masses have access to unfiltered information.


17 posted on 09/30/2010 7:53:42 AM PDT by Brookhaven (The next step for the Tea Party--The Conservative Hand--is available at Amazon.com)
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To: lurk
Between Clintoon the Casanova and O'bummer the psuedo-intellectual Marxist, 2 out of 3 of our contemporary presidents have besmirched the office of POTUS in historically damaging ways.

It will take a real POTUS and a whole lot of time to return honor and respect to the office. But a failure to make that happen could do mortal injury to the Republic!

18 posted on 09/30/2010 7:54:19 AM PDT by downtownconservative (Imam Obama has now noticed he has no clothes. His response? "That infidel Bush stole my clothes".)
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To: SeekAndFind

Should obama fall like Nixon did, my only regret will be that my dad didn’t live long enough to see it and tell everyone ‘I told you so.’


19 posted on 09/30/2010 7:56:33 AM PDT by GBA (Not on our watch!)
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To: UCANSEE2

Caeser was a statesman, unlike the present.


20 posted on 09/30/2010 7:57:08 AM PDT by tal hajus (ever the cynic)
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To: JPG

The msm will never relent in their efforts to prop up this walking trainwreck. They openly campaigned for him and cannot back down now. Plus, they never will admit that they were wrong.
If the msm covered little barry as they did Reagan, he would never even made to the Illinios senate.
Funny, the same media that crowed about how our country has “progressed” by electing a kenyan to the US Senate, then the same msm runs interference for him about that subject.


21 posted on 09/30/2010 7:58:43 AM PDT by Texas resident (Outlaw fisherman)
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To: SeekAndFind

I am beginning to suspect that there is such massive voter fraud that we are in a system itself that is fraudulent. If there are more conservatives than liberals in all 50 states . . . it doesn’t compute with actual ballot results. Yet Republican turnout is traditionally higher than Democrat as a percentage. So turnout can’t explain it. If those calling themselves conservatives are registered independent, the swing vote should be going our way even in the NY’s and MA’s. And ideology shouldn’t swing back and forth rapidly.


22 posted on 09/30/2010 7:59:11 AM PDT by November 2010
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To: lacrew

and the dems are having a difficult time tricking people over the Bush tax cut expiration.


Jobs, J-O-B-S, jobs. That’s what people are worried about.

They know raising taxes on anyone is going to eliminate jobs. They may not be sure about how many, but they know it will cause the loss of at least some jobs. In this enviroment, they aren’t interested in a move that will cost even 1 job.

They aren’t interested in fair, they aren’t interested punishing anyone, they aren’t interested in soaking anyone, they are interested in jobs.

And frankly, after we blew almost a trillion dollars on a failed jobs stimulus and then had Obama come back for another 50 billion for a 2nd jobs stimulus, they aren’t buying any line about tax cuts for the rich hurting the deficit.

Jobs is where the country is at, and the Democrats are someplace else.


23 posted on 09/30/2010 8:00:38 AM PDT by Brookhaven (The next step for the Tea Party--The Conservative Hand--is available at Amazon.com)
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To: SeekAndFind
His Red Army will be on display in D.C. on Saturday: 400 Leftist organizations involved in One Nation Rally on Saturday, 10.02.10. That should help even more. . .
24 posted on 09/30/2010 8:00:42 AM PDT by Art in Idaho (Conservatism is the only hope for Western Civilization.)
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To: SeekAndFind

25 posted on 09/30/2010 8:01:50 AM PDT by reagan_fanatic (Obama, Pelosi and Reid - the Trio of Twits)
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To: SeekAndFind

I’m confident that Hussein is destroying this country.


26 posted on 09/30/2010 8:12:58 AM PDT by crosshairs (If I agreed with a liberal, then we would BOTH be wrong.)
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To: SeekAndFind
In a sense, Bruce Walker does exactly what he rightly points out that Gallup does: buries the most important story behind a headline about something of lesser importance.

Obama's current political standing with the American people isn't nearly as important as the fact that there are more conservatives than liberals virtually EVERYWHERE in this country.

27 posted on 09/30/2010 8:18:19 AM PDT by EternalVigilance (Congress: You will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy.)
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To: crosshairs

I hope November is not too late.


28 posted on 09/30/2010 8:21:45 AM PDT by Jaded (I realized that after Monday and Tuesday, even the calendar says W T F)
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To: SeekAndFind

Will somebody please show this to Rasmussen?


29 posted on 09/30/2010 8:31:43 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: RexBeach

“... lower than a snake’s belly in a wagon rut.”

I like that one.... will use it now. Thanks.


30 posted on 09/30/2010 8:47:59 AM PDT by Gator113 (Beauty will devour the Beast in 2012. Kill "Obamamosque"@ Ground Zero)
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To: tal hajus
Caeser was a statesman,...

Still, they killed him.

31 posted on 09/30/2010 8:48:46 AM PDT by UCANSEE2 (lame and ill-informed post)
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To: wrench

“The iPod generation thought it would be “cool” to elect the likes of him. Those idiots will be paying for their mistake for the next 40 years.”

That is so, so very true....
AND IT NEEDS TO BE REPEATED EVERYWHERE


32 posted on 09/30/2010 8:53:08 AM PDT by tcrlaf (Obama White House=Tammany Hall on the National Mall)
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To: SeekAndFind
The author of this article is trying to combine data from two different Gallup articles that cover different periods.

In fact the two articles do not tell you anything about the relative confidence in the president between Obama or Nixon at the time of Watergate.

The presidential approval rating is still much higher for Obama than it was for Nixon at the time of Watergate.

33 posted on 09/30/2010 9:02:19 AM PDT by wideminded
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To: Responsibility2nd

She’s still an Obama voter. Fortunately, many, many others aren’t.


34 posted on 09/30/2010 9:30:22 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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