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Results of SurveyUSA Election for New York State, Week ending 10/10/2010 (Democrats pulling ahead)
SurveyUSA ^ | 10/10/2010

Posted on 10/09/2010 6:00:17 PM PDT by WebFocus

NY State: Paladino's 15 Minutes Are Over; Gillibrand Voters Take Their Foot Off the Brake; Attorney General Contest is Fiercely Fought with Slight Edge to Democrat: Democrats in New York State soar to victory in 3 statewide contests and lead narrowly in a 4th if votes were cast today, 10/10/10, 23 days until votes are counted, according to SurveyUSA polling conducted exclusively for WABC-TV in New York City, WHEC-TV Rochester, and WNYT-TV Albany. Andrew Cuomo distances.

In the Governor contest, Andrew Cuomo puts his boot on the neck of Carl Paladino, 57% to 34%, after a week in which Paladino made a spectacle of himself. Incumbent Democrat David Paterson, who took office after elected Democrat Elliott Spitzer resigned in disgrace, is not seeking re-election. 1 in 4 Republicans vote against Paladino. Independents in this contest split, one of the few high profile contests anywhere in 2010 where a Democrat is holding his own. Paladino is undamaged in Western NY, where he leads 3:2.

For US Senate, incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand, appointed to her position after elected Democrat Hillary Clinton joined the Obama Administration, has held her breath long enough for Democrats to come out of hiding, and today leads her Republican challenger Joe DioGuardi 54% to 35%. In a SurveyUSA poll conducted at the peak of the news frenzy over Paladino's primary win, Gillibrand's support was eerily suppressed, but that was then and this is now.

In the other Senate race, Chuck Schumer is re-elected 2:1, defeating Republican Jay Townsend.

Only the Attorney General contest at this hour has drama. The seat has been vacated by Cuomo, who is running for Governor. Democrat Eric Schneiderman, backed by 2 of 3 NYC voters, is at 46%, Republican Dan Donovan, backed by a majority of suburban NYC voters and pluralities of voters Upstate and in Western NY, is at 40%. Independents break 3:2 Republican. Moderates break 3:2 Democrat.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,100 New York State adults 10/05/10 through 10/07/10. Of them, 906 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 627 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: elections; newyork; poll; surveyusa
CLICK ABOVE LINK FOR THE TABLE
1 posted on 10/09/2010 6:00:22 PM PDT by WebFocus
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To: WebFocus

“You can’t fix stupid”.


2 posted on 10/09/2010 6:04:21 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Less than 30 days to go to election day. I'm giddier than a TV weatherman during hurricane season.)
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To: WebFocus

If anyone wants to know why large parts of New York State are becoming ghost towns, see above.


3 posted on 10/09/2010 6:05:44 PM PDT by denydenydeny ("Tolerance becomes a crime when applied to evil." Thomas Mann)
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To: WebFocus

Checked out Rasmussen. NY doesn’t look good, and Connecticut looks to be a throw-up...I mean toss-up, too.


4 posted on 10/09/2010 6:06:42 PM PDT by floozy22 (Cultist for Sarah - 2012)
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To: WebFocus

Do I detect a little whistling by the graveyard in this post.

We’ll see a lot of these “democrats resurgent” polls and articles in the next three weeks in the MSM. Just wishful thinking. But assume it’s true and redouble your GOTV efforts and giving.


5 posted on 10/09/2010 6:06:57 PM PDT by Spartan79 (Malo periculosam libertatem quam quietam servitutem.)
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To: WebFocus
Paladino needs for Coumo to get Obama and Biden to go to NY and stump for a Coumo election.
6 posted on 10/09/2010 6:07:09 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: WebFocus

Almost half of those polled are NOT likely voters...


7 posted on 10/09/2010 6:12:54 PM PDT by Sal (Obama maxed out the Race Card, awakened the Sleeping Giant and filled it with a terrible resolve.)
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To: WebFocus; fieldmarshaldj; Impy; ExTexasRedhead

Polls show that hard core ‘Rat voters are becoming engaged. I believe that is only in the most liberal of areas, but that may tip a few Statewide races. I think that NYC is one such area.

We still can make gains in upstate New York.


8 posted on 10/09/2010 6:17:28 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama's more worried about Israelis building houses than he is about Islamists building atomic bombs)
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To: Sal
It is bad but, The poll on 9/21 R-35 D-44 I-20 Margin D 9
Today's Poll R-30 D-49 I-20 Margin D 19.
10% increase in Dem Margin surveyed
9 posted on 10/09/2010 6:19:08 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: neverdem

New York ping


10 posted on 10/09/2010 6:19:18 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama's more worried about Israelis building houses than he is about Islamists building atomic bombs)
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To: WebFocus
They polled 1,100 adults. Of them, 906 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 627 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election.

And you believe this survey?

11 posted on 10/09/2010 6:20:11 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW (If Bam is the answer, the question was stupid.)
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To: WebFocus

Anyone other that me think that this “survey” is BS?!


12 posted on 10/09/2010 6:39:11 PM PDT by US Navy Vet
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To: WebFocus

NY is now a state where more than half the voters get some kind of government check.And as long as that’s true it will vote RAT.


13 posted on 10/09/2010 6:39:33 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (''I don't regret setting bombs,I feel we didn't do enough.'' ->Bill Ayers,Hussein's mentor,9/11/01)
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To: US Navy Vet
Anyone other that me think that this “survey” is BS?!

Probably not.New York is a special case.A *very* special case.

14 posted on 10/09/2010 6:42:59 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (''I don't regret setting bombs,I feel we didn't do enough.'' ->Bill Ayers,Hussein's mentor,9/11/01)
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To: DJ MacWoW

How many were parasites, perverts or morons?


15 posted on 10/09/2010 6:44:06 PM PDT by seton89 (Carl is the RESET button)
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To: Gay State Conservative
NY is now a state where more than half the voters get some kind of government check.

Got a link to that info?

16 posted on 10/09/2010 6:44:27 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW (If Bam is the answer, the question was stupid.)
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To: seton89

The “D’s”.


17 posted on 10/09/2010 6:45:30 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW (If Bam is the answer, the question was stupid.)
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To: WebFocus

My biggest hope for NY was (and continues to be) a possible upset of Gillibrand on election day. Schumer was probably never in any real political danger, unfortunately.

As for Paladino...the guy’s a hoot to watch, but he can be his own worst enemy. We’ll see how things shake out come November.

BTW...anyone have the latest on NY-23? I’ve not heard anything but have been hopeful it could turn into a GOP pickup this time.


18 posted on 10/09/2010 7:01:01 PM PDT by DemforBush (You might think that, *I* could not possibly comment.)
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To: WebFocus

New York city still dumb as sh!t.Oh well.


19 posted on 10/09/2010 7:22:50 PM PDT by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life is tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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To: DemforBush
BTW...anyone have the latest on NY-23? I’ve not heard anything but have been hopeful it could turn into a GOP pickup this time.

I believe Hoffman finally dropped out, so we might have a chance at winning. His name still appears as a Conservative Party candidate, but he endorsed Doheny so hopefully we'll win this seat back.

NY23 turned into a real disaster. Getting rid of Owens should not be too difficult if conservatives do NOT vote 3rd party.

20 posted on 10/09/2010 7:27:03 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: Longbow1969

New york is hopeless...New york city will out vote upstate in the senate races...you can get a few house seats in upstate new york...I left in 1981...thousands of people have moved from up state ...


21 posted on 10/09/2010 7:37:50 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE

I was talking to a guy from new York State.
he was telling me how much he can’t stand Republicans, & how poor the taxes and economy are in his state. When I asked him why he hated Republicans so much since democrats have been incharge for so long of NY, he replied those (previous compliants mentioned)are all Bush’s fault. Some people cave no clue. Perhaps Washington should have left New York State to the British.


22 posted on 10/09/2010 7:38:42 PM PDT by inchworm
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To: HANG THE EXPENSE

I was talking to a guy from new York State.
he was telling me how much he can’t stand Republicans, & how poor the taxes and economy are in his state. When I asked him why he hated Republicans so much since democrats have been incharge for so long of NY, he replied those (previous compliants mentioned)are all Bush’s fault. Some people cave no clue. Perhaps Washington should have left New York State to the British.


23 posted on 10/09/2010 7:38:48 PM PDT by inchworm
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To: Hojczyk
New york is hopeless...New york city will out vote upstate in the senate races...you can get a few house seats in upstate new york...I left in 1981...thousands of people have moved from up state ...

Yeah, it is bad. Things will have to get a lot worse before New Yorkers give up on the social welfare state. Remember NYC did vote for Giuliani though. NYC isn't a complete write off like DC or Detroit.

24 posted on 10/09/2010 7:48:19 PM PDT by Longbow1969
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To: WebFocus
Of the registered voters, 627 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election...so slightly more than half of the sample of 1100 respondents are likely to vote - one more garbage poll.....
25 posted on 10/09/2010 9:40:54 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
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To: WebFocus
The Q poll people finally got self conscious enough about their polling methods to ask “Are you an angry voter?” In that measure Paladino wins 50 41. Of course New York State will be TOTALLY different from the rest of the country. No conservatives will turn out and the liberals will see a 20 point lead for their candidates and still show up - yes of course that will happen because the polls showing conservative self identification at 3 to 1 liberal and enthusiasm rates off the charts don't apply to NYS. No of course not. The 8 CD’s where Democrats are likely to lose in NYS will have ABSOLUTELY NO effect on the Gov and senate and AG races, none at all. The fact that even Gerald Waddler is only + 12 will MEAN NOTHING at all to the races for state offices. SURE.
26 posted on 10/10/2010 4:35:16 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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