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Turnout, Not Polling, Will Determine 2010 Outcome
Jewish World Review ^ | 10/13/10 | Dick Morris And Eileen McGann

Posted on 10/13/2010 10:10:06 AM PDT by rhema

[ . . . ]

But they [Republicans] also need to adjust their sights higher and aim for more seats. To confine themselves to the races in which they hold slight leads or are within five points would be to leave on the table dozens of Democratic incumbents who could be defeated in this landslide year.

The danger here is not overconfidence but underconfidence, and that Democratic incumbents who could be defeated will skate to victories. Despite a massive victory in the offing for Republicans, there could be great gnashing of teeth when they see how narrowly some of the icons of the Democratic Party are re-elected.

While groups like Karl Rove's American Crossroads, Americans for Prosperity, 60+ and the National Republican Congressional Committee are pouring their resources into the same 60 districts, there are 40 more out there where they could pick up seats. These groups may just be adding to their margins in the 60 and ignoring the potential for victory in the other 40.

I am working with superpacusa.com to focus on the outer 40, but few other groups are aimed at these targets.

Going after the more distant Democratic targets will also force the Democratic Party to pull its money out of the more marginal races as newly endangered — and very influential — Democrats start demanding help in fending off new GOP challenges.

Already evidence indicates that some of the Democratic lions are in jeopardy. South Carolina's John Spratt, chairman of the House Budget Committee and Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman John Dingell are both trailing their Republican challengers. Even House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer and Banking Committee Chairman Barney Frank might be within reach.

. . . The dimensions of this year's Republican sweep are only beginning to become apparent.

(Excerpt) Read more at jewishworldreview.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: dingell; frank; hoyer; spratt

1 posted on 10/13/2010 10:10:08 AM PDT by rhema
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To: rhema

My pledge.......over broken glass, in the rain, snow, hail, sleet or tornado, I’ll crawl to the polls if needed to punch that ballot against ANYTHING Democrat!


2 posted on 10/13/2010 10:13:26 AM PDT by Gaffer ("Profiling: The only profile I need is a chalk outline around their dead ass!")
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To: rhema
Leftist "turnout" = dead voters.
3 posted on 10/13/2010 10:13:28 AM PDT by Carry_Okie (The fourth estate IS the fifth column.)
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To: Gaffer
My pledge.......over broken glass, in the rain, snow, hail, sleet or tornado, I’ll crawl to the polls if needed to punch that ballot against ANYTHING Democrat!

Me too! In fact, I already did. Voted absentee on Monday and walked that ballot back in person, not trusting someone to say that it had been lost in the mail.

4 posted on 10/13/2010 10:15:09 AM PDT by afraidfortherepublic (Southeast Wisconsin, Zone 4 to 5)
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To: afraidfortherepublic

Voted absentee on Monday and walked that ballot back in person, not trusting someone to say that it had been lost in the mail.


Good idea. I’ll do that.


5 posted on 10/13/2010 10:21:55 AM PDT by unkus
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To: rhema

Sadly, especially under the RICO class corrupt ongoing criminal enterprise in Washington and its many branches in the states, that is not always the case.

As an expert in the process once explained:

“Those who cast the votes decide nothing. Those who count
the votes decide everything.”
Obozo’s fellow Marxist, Josef Stalin

If you even SMELL the possibility that there’s something going on in the area of vote fraud, RAISE HELL!!


6 posted on 10/13/2010 11:17:51 AM PDT by Dick Bachert (The upcoming election is the most important in our lifetimes!!! BE THERE!!!!!!!)
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To: rhema
EXACTLY!!! The Tea Partiers and the Conservatives, and even the GOP, are fired up. I say when you look at the poll numbers add about 4 points to the GOP candidate's numbers to account for the disparity in TURN-OUT!!!
7 posted on 10/13/2010 11:44:25 AM PDT by no dems (DeMINT / PALIN 2012 or PALIN / DeMINT 2012.......Either is fine with me!)
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To: rhema

There are those areas where vote counting, not turnout, will determine the winners. Going forward the conservatives need to make a real issue of fraud.


8 posted on 10/13/2010 12:27:51 PM PDT by dogcaller
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To: rhema

“Picking out apples at Maryland grocery store - middle aged woman emphatically stating to another; “I am a Democrat, but I will be voting a straight Republican ticket this time!!!!”

I thanked her;)


9 posted on 10/13/2010 1:10:42 PM PDT by sodpoodle (Despair; man's surrender. Laughter; God's redemption.)
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To: rhema

Turnout, Not Polling, Will Determine 2010 Outcome

Same could be said for any election cycle. I am disappointed with how poll driven Republicans (and some FReepers) have become. Don't let someone else tell you what's going to happen in the future. Jeez.

10 posted on 10/13/2010 1:16:23 PM PDT by McGruff (I Love the Smell of Desperation in the Morning. Smells like Victory!)
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To: Gaffer

I hear ya! I intend to wield that voting pen like a Scottish Highlander swinging a claymore!


11 posted on 10/13/2010 2:25:38 PM PDT by hawkboy
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