Skip to comments.O'Donnell Gains 8 Says Rasmussen; Hannity Appearance Helps
Posted on 10/15/2010 3:47:05 PM PDT by Delacon
A brand new post-debate Rasmussen poll has Christine O'Donnell trailing Democrat Chris Coons by only 11-points, 51%-40%, picking up eight from the pre-debate Monmouth University poll that had her trailing by 19 points, 57%-38%.
The Rasmussen poll is a startling development in a race that has taken an unusual twist in the last 48 hours. It puts Coons perilously close to sinking under the 50% margin. O'Donnell won 150,000 votes in a 2008 Senate bid against then-Senator Joe Biden when Biden was also running for vice president, which in today's climate could be enough to win.
Appearing on Sean Hannity's radio show yesterday, O'Donnell reacted to Hannity's questions about the position of the GOP establishment towards her candidacy. Without missing a beat O'Donnell slammed the National Republican Senatorial Committee for deliberately undermining her campaign during the primary -- and once victory was in hand balking on the needed resources on the grounds that everywhere else was more important.
This attack drew the usual Inside the Beltway gasps. What observers missed is that something else is happening as a result of the O'Donnell-NSRC problems.
Whatever O'Donnell thinks of the NRSC, this entire election has become one very big D-Day style invasion by average Americans of every last Establishment or Ruling Class redoubt in the country that's accessible by ballot box.
And O'Donnell's attack on the NRSC -- initially seen as standard-issue Insider politics that no one cares about beyond the Beltway -- has come to symbolize O'Donnell's, and voters', disdain for The Ruling Class. In essence, what is ordinarily a deeply obscure Insider's Washington institution -- the NRSC -- has become only the latest punching bag on the receiving end of candidates furious blows against this or that Establishment institution.
This approach is clearly reflected in O'Donnell's startling gain in the Rasmussen
(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...
This is lousy reporting. She has not gained 8 points, because they are comparing results from different pollsters. She has actually LOST GROUND since Rasmussen last polled this race.
Nah, exposing Coons in the debate for the prissy, lying, whiner he is didn’t do a thing. Democraps know that women can’t do anything on their own, why else would they keep the National Organization of Whores.
This is one race that I want us to win the most. She’s been the brunt of so much ridicule.
You Know The Drill
Click the Pic
I agree she needed to change the narrative. Attack the ruling class. It worked for Palin, didn’t it?
“the NRSC — has become only the latest punching bag on the receiving end of candidates furious blows against this or that Establishment institution.”
Hehehehe. They have that right. I got an email today from the NRSC asking for a donation and in the return email I let them know in no uncertain terms why I was donating. The names O’Donnell and Miller were mentioned in my return email. There names were not mentioned in the NRSC email but other Senatorial candidates were.
So what was the margin the last time Rasmussen polled it?
She is unchanged from the last Ras poll.
Interesting - from Rasmussen:
“Coons posted a similar 49% to 40% lead three weeks ago when Congressman Mike Castle whom ODonnell defeated in the state GOP Primary was still pondering a write-in candidacy. Five percent (5%) supported Castle at that time. Castle has since announced that he will not run but has not endorsed ODonnell, a conservative activist.”
The poll you are thinking about was a three way race. In the old poll of just the two against the new poll against just the two ODonnell has gained big time!
“And O’Donnell’s attack on the NRSC — initially seen as standard-issue Insider politics that no one cares about beyond the Beltway — has come to symbolize O’Donnell’s, and voters’, disdain for The Ruling Class. In essence, what is ordinarily a deeply obscure Insider’s Washington institution — the NRSC — has become only the latest punching bag on the receiving end of candidates furious blows against this or that Establishment institution.”
Amen to that, but they should add in the State GOP as well. The extremely dirty campaign that Tom Ross and Mike Castle ran against Christine, I think, disgusted republicans, independent and maybe even some dems to the point where she’ll pick up some votes based on sympathy for her and spite for Castle and the state party.
It definitely won’t help her to have “Rove” moments no matter what the intention. We need this seat, let’s get the positive out there and help her get over the line.
I know, someone’s going to come back and ask if I just want to put my head in the sand and ignore the facts, my answer is yes. I don’t want to hear negatives on this race, we’ve heard enough. Save the bad news for the Democrats and let’s get behind our candidates.
I have a feeling that I should DVR the entire evening of MSNBC’s Election Night coverage. This is going to be an entertaining night folks, especially if this race is close.
all good points. I want this win!
If Delaware voters are smart they'll vote for her just so they have at least one Senator who is awake and part of the majority ruling party.
From Rassmussen today: “Democrat Chris Coons holds an 11-point lead over Republican Christine ODonnell in Delawares U.S. Senate race following the candidates debate Wednesday night.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Delaware shows Coons earning 51% of the vote, while ODonnell draws 40% support. Five percent (5%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)”
And from the Monmouth Poll: “The numbers: Coons 57%, O’Donnell 38%. The survey of likely voters has a ±3.5% margin of error.”
Please get your facts straight before you piss on someone’s thread. It really kills any enthusiasm we are trying to generate.
every consultant, staff member of the NRSC needs to be run out of town on a rail. Cornyn needs to drop down and kiss the feet of all the new R sentors he fought so hard to defeat....then go away.
I’d love nothing more for O’Donnell to beat that putz Coons, but the 11 she gained recently was the low hanging fruit, probably Castle Republicans finally coming home to the GOP candidate. The last 11 point she needs to tie and then another 1 or 2 to win after that will be much, much tougher. Most of those are likely Dems and liberal-leaning independents. I’m not sure 2 1/2 weeks will be enough time for her to get them. Maybe if she can get a bunch of ads up, ditching the silly “I’m not a witch one,” she could cut down Coons’s lead a little further.
Coons was extremely unlikeable. So was Blumenthal. The more Dems talk, the less people like them.
Of course, some individual races will vary but overall I see no reason to believe that it won't be an even better night than we're anticipating. If we come anywhere close to a 2-1 turnout advantage even a candidate trailing by 20 points will win easily.
Please disregard my last post. I misunderstood you post. I am guessing the reason the article used the Monmouth poll was that it was done right before the debate as opposed to the previous Rassmussen poll is that the most recent one was done Sept. 16th nearly a month ago right. It could be that Christine suffered from direct attacks by Coons in the intervening month and is now making a comeback.
Most Delaware voters aren’t smart, though...
|Poll||Date||Sample||Coons (D)||O'Donnell (R)||Spread|
|RCP Average||10/8 - 10/14||--||54.6||37.0||Coons +17.6|
|Rasmussen Reports||10/14 - 10/14||500 LV||51||40||Coons +11|
|SurveyUSA||10/11 - 10/12||2355 LV||54||33||Coons +21|
|CNN/Time||10/8 - 10/12||834 LV||57||38||Coons +19|
|Monmouth University||10/8 - 10/11||790 LV||57||38||Coons +19|
|Magellan Strategies (R)||10/10 - 10/10||928 LV||54||36||Coons +18|
|FOX News/POR-Rasmussen||10/9 - 10/9||1000 LV||54||38||Coons +16|
|Fairleigh Dickinson||9/27 - 10/3||801 LV||53||36||Coons +17|
|CNN/Time||9/17 - 9/21||703 LV||55||39||Coons +16|
|FOX News/POR-Rasmussen||9/18 - 9/18||1000 LV||54||39||Coons +15|
|Rasmussen Reports||9/15 - 9/15||500 LV||53||42||Coons +11|
|PPP (D)||9/11 - 9/12||958 LV||50||34||Coons +16|
|Rasmussen Reports||9/2 - 9/2||500 LV||47||36||Coons +11|
|Daily Kos/PPP (D)||8/7 - 8/8||620 RV||44||37||Coons +7|
|Rasmussen Reports||8/5 - 8/5||500 LV||46||36||Coons +10|
|Rasmussen Reports||7/14 - 7/14||500 LV||39||41||O'Donnell +2|
Here’s what I use to track poll numbers.
I agree with you. I think it will take a massive UNFORCED ERROR by Coons for COD to win. He definitely helped COD by his smug and arrogant demeanor during the debate but he needs to compound that performance with something egregiousover the next two weeks. I just don’t see Coons doing that especially after his advisors are probably telling him from now to election day to keep his mouth shut and not say anything remotely controversial.
But of course hubris enters the picture and Coons may go off the reservation. Who knows?
Disregard. Didn’t see post with poll listings.
At this rate we’ll have a veto-proof majority in both Houses.
We can only hope—or maybe a nice October surprise from his past will sink the “bearded Marxist.” But unfortunately Obama being there to campaign for the fool will firm up a lot of Coons’s vote making another 11 points that much tougher. On the other hand, we know Obama has the reverse Midas touch when it comes to campaigning for Democrats, so maybe his showing up with help O’Donnell. We’ll see.
Id love nothing more for ODonnell to beat that putz Coons, but the 11 she gained recently was the low hanging fruit, probably Castle Republicans finally coming home to the GOP candidate.
With all due respect, you are are absolutely pathetic! She was at -19, now after her debate she’s at -11, and you still find something to be pessimistic about!
We are three weeks out, and you and the other wet blankets “just know she’s doomed.” Sorry, but I have no respect for folks like you that pooh pooh anything positive to do with COD.
She is still in a good position to win!
Democrats must laugh their A$$es off and wimps like you...determined to see the rain through the sunshine.
With an 11 point difference, she could be 4 points behind, or 18 points.
That's a pretty huge range and suggests this particular poll wasn't all that tightly constructed.
One more time, somebody has to be interested in doing a good poll. I am sure Christine's campaign is paying for the best. I'm also sure Chris' campaign isn't. She has the money. He doesn't have the money.
When you have the money to pay for high quality polling you can adjust the subtle nuances (or meat axes) in your campaign materials to take advantage of changes in public perception.
I'd bet Chris' numbers dropped with his visit from Obama and Biden. They make him look strange.
“I know, someones going to come back and ask if I just want to put my head in the sand and ignore the facts, my answer is yes. I dont want to hear negatives on this race, weve heard enough. Save the bad news for the Democrats and lets get behind our candidates.”
BRAVO! I feel the same way. Some Rove-types just want a check-mark next to the “R” and are having a hissy-fit that their “sure-to-win” RINO isn’t going to get in there.
amen, bro....I’m sick of hearing it too.
florida sunshine, r9tb, et al can go pound sand.
I just wonder if the topic of this thread about COD going on Hannity and attacking the ruling class was suggested by Sarah Palin. It seems too coincidental that Palin sent her people over to help COD prepare for the debate and now COD is attacking the ruling class and the elites when she did little of that before.
Palin is absolutely a brilliant political strategist. I call her a genius. You never know how this might tweak the indies and Reagan Democrats to come out and vote for COD and of course maximize the conservative turnout as well.
It is still not too late for some of the establishment kooks to jump in, and back Christine before they become total scum.
GO CHRISTINE!!! SHOW THEM YOU DON”T NEED THEM!!!
Agreed, this guy is not going to inspire anyone to get out and vote. This is a mid-term election and if Chris Coons is headlining your ticket you’ve got problems. The point is, COD has been hit with every silly allegation imaginable over the past month and she’s still within striking distance. The voters are getting tired of the she’s a witch drumbeat or any of the other cr@p they’ve thrown out there. They’ve shot their wad and she’s still standing.
Right now she simply needs to connect with the DE voters and tie Coons and his big government views to zer0. Coons is on the wrong side of every issue and this isn’t 2008.
The more people hear her the more comfortable they’ll become.
In Ras last poll, he included the possibility that Castle could do a write-in, and Castle got 5%, Coons 49 and O'Donnell 40.
This time round, no Castle, Coons 51, O'Donnell 40, some other candidate 5 and undecided 4%. The MoE is 4.5% - so on the high side of the MoE here - O'Donnell could be as close as 2 points down - but let's just say she might be within 5 or 6 points.
This is still a stunning development given Coons was supposed to pummel her and given the national media's obsession with this race. Over/under that the national media will become more obsessive with taking her down and as they do, her support will grow.
This is a remarkably similar pattern to what happened in the primary, actually.
“Theyve shot their wad and shes still standing.”
Or even their clip...;)
amen, bro....Im sick of hearing it too.
florida sunshine, r9tb, et al can go pound sand
And I’ll wager you this: Even if COD was at +10 points, some of these same folks would find something to Bit*h about. If a Democrat had made this type of gain, the Dems would be celebrating.
So if Amspec had used the Survey USA pre debate numbers instead of the Monmouth pre debate numbers, Christine’s gain would be even better at 10 points instead of 8. I know these are different surveys but Rassmussen’s last poll on this race was Sept 16th. None the less, I think this clearly indicates she won the debate and has the momentum.
Why do you need to get personal and go on the attack? I made a legitimate point. Sorry if you just want to read happy talk, but there is reality in politics and the reality is another 11 points will be tougher than the last 8-10. This is Delaware, not Alabama. I didn’t say she’s going to lose or is “doomed,” but the reality is it’s going to be a tough uphill climb. As I said, I’d love to be told I was wrong on November 3rd. Sheesh, calm down. Honestly.
I’ve been predicting a win for Christine since the beginning.
She’ll win by plus 2.
I really do believe that COD has to change the narrative and I think Sarah Palin is helping her out to do just that.
Call it a Hail Mary pass or whatever and Hail Mary passes don’t usually work but hey what does she have to lose by attacking the ruling class!
Didn’t Obama and Biden campaign for Coon-Boy?
Castle is no longer in the House and not going to be in the Senate.
Christine has accomplished the mission.
Coons, if he wins, is merely replacing Biden’s seat...net change zero.
Castle is gone, Christine 1, Dem/RINO 0
Go Christine, go!
In fact I think this is Ras first two way poll, since that three way poll 3 weeks ago. This poll is significantly tighter than all other polling - it's either an outlier, or, knowing Ras accuracy, more accurate. We may not have much else from Ras on this - who knows, maybe one more to view a 2 way race trend. If he does that, that’ll be fun to watch.
I think nationally people know that if CO wins or even comes reasonably close, the Republicans will ROUT the RATS.
This will also be fascinating on a couple other counts - the old propagandist media's impotence to affect politics currently (certainly not in the way they used to) and Sarah Palin's chances to win a White House race.