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Quinnipiac reconfirms: PA Senate race is tied (Toomey 48, Sestak 46)
Mcall.com ^ | 10/21/2010 | Colby Itkowitz

Posted on 10/21/2010 6:21:59 AM PDT by nhwingut

If the two internal Democratic polls, the Public Policy Polling survey and the Morning Call/Muhlenberg College tracker weren't enough evidence that the race for the U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania is tied, Quinnipiac University is out this morning reaffirming it.

Released Friday morning, the poll finds Democrat Joe Sestak and Republican Pat Toomey in a statistical dead heat, separated by just 2 points. Toomey is leading Sestak 48 percent to 46 percent among likely voters.

(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.mcall.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: senate; sestak; toomey
Note how yesterday when Sestak was up 3, he was in the "lead." Now with Toomey up 2, it's "tied." LOL!
1 posted on 10/21/2010 6:22:05 AM PDT by nhwingut
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To: nhwingut

Its going to be close but I still think Toomey wins.


2 posted on 10/21/2010 6:24:02 AM PDT by linn37 ( "The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other peoples money.)
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To: nhwingut

What changed in this race? Is Toomey running ineffective ads? In PA the race can’t be this close or the Phily machine will create a win.


3 posted on 10/21/2010 6:24:58 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: nhwingut

Gallup, Mason-Dixon, Rassmussen or even Zogby. Don’t care about also rans when it comes to trends or movement.


4 posted on 10/21/2010 6:25:08 AM PDT by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: nhwingut
Yeah, right. From Rasmussen:

"Thursday, October 14, 2010

Republican Pat Toomey now holds a 10-point lead over Democratic Congressman Joe Sestak, the widest gap between the candidates since early April in Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate race."

5 posted on 10/21/2010 6:26:20 AM PDT by FTJM
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To: nhwingut

What were the internals,so many of these polls are way over sampling Democrats...?


6 posted on 10/21/2010 6:26:36 AM PDT by lexington minuteman 1775
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To: nhwingut

Did I hear on FNC that Rasmussen has a poll coming out today showing Toomey up 8? Or was that a slip?


7 posted on 10/21/2010 6:26:41 AM PDT by nhwingut (Palin/Bachmann '12)
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To: nhwingut
There are some polling firms whose names are gonna be mud after this election.

Note to those pollsters: Hope it was worth it...

8 posted on 10/21/2010 6:30:42 AM PDT by mewzilla (Still voteless in NY-29. Over 400 roll call votes missed and counting...)
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To: nhwingut

With the undecided breaking toward Toomey, he has it locked up.


9 posted on 10/21/2010 6:31:01 AM PDT by Mikey_1962 (Obama: The Affirmative Action President. He's shovel ready!)
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To: nhwingut

Is this brand new, because RealClearPolitics shows Quinnipiac has Kasich up by 10 points and FOX News/POR-Rasmussen has him up by 6 from a few days ago?!


10 posted on 10/21/2010 6:38:22 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (Every decent man is ashamed of the government he lives under. ~Mencken)
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To: nhwingut

Disregard, wrong race. Haven’t had any coffee yet...LOL


11 posted on 10/21/2010 6:39:15 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (Every decent man is ashamed of the government he lives under. ~Mencken)
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To: nhwingut

Quinnipiac is usually better than many, WTF is going on in PA all of a sudden? How does he lose so much so fast?


12 posted on 10/21/2010 6:40:29 AM PDT by RockinRight (if the choice is between Crazy and Commie, I choose Crazy.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Disregard, wrong race. Haven’t had any coffee yet...LOL

I have had 4 cups... And my head is still spinning with all these polls. LOL
13 posted on 10/21/2010 6:42:22 AM PDT by nhwingut (Palin/Bachmann '12)
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To: nhwingut

IMOL, this is the Left calling in their pollsters to “salvage” campaigns they think they can still win. After November 2nd, they’ll claim they forgot to count white voters or some such.


14 posted on 10/21/2010 6:44:21 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (Every decent man is ashamed of the government he lives under. ~Mencken)
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To: RockinRight
Quinnipiac is usually better than many...

You are right. QP is a solid pollster. I would put them right there with Rasmussen and Survey USA. Mason Dixon too.
15 posted on 10/21/2010 6:47:28 AM PDT by nhwingut (Palin/Bachmann '12)
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To: ilgipper

My husband and I don’t get it. Sestak has been mostly a no-show, running basically poor ads in which he doesn’t appear. I don’t even think he has campaigned. I haven’t heard anything about him appearing anywhere. Toomey has been running good ads all along in which he does appear. However, I did see a Sestak ad two nights ago which has Toomey saying that he doesn’t agree with abortion rights and he thinks abortion doctors ought to be prosecuted. That will lose him some votes.

Obama and Biden have been in Philly lately. I personally believe that they are using their presence to rev up their “army” to go “find” votes. I have wondered if sympathetic media and pollsters are somehow polling differently to get more Sestak-friendly results that will give cover to the fraud that is definitely going to take place. I really don’t know how these things work.


16 posted on 10/21/2010 6:47:30 AM PDT by twigs
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To: RockinRight

This is PA. The amount of brain-dead, Dem lever-pulling, union-brainwashed stupidity here is staggering.

We shouldn’t take this race for granted. I’ve been trying to warn fellow FReepers about it for the last few days, but they want to dismiss these latest, close polls as outliers.


17 posted on 10/21/2010 6:47:56 AM PDT by rightwingintelligentsia (Forcing one person to pay for the irresponsibility of another is NOT social justice.)
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To: RockinRight
Toomey was never up double digits to begin with. And Sestak firmed up his support from Democrats.

Still a small but meaningful edge to Toomey.

You should expect some tightening as we approach Election Day.

18 posted on 10/21/2010 6:48:30 AM PDT by Crichton
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To: nhwingut

If it’s not close, they can’t cheat. Looks like trouble in PA.


19 posted on 10/21/2010 6:48:45 AM PDT by JimRed (Excising a cancer before it kills us waters the Tree of Liberty too! TERM LIMITS, NOW AND FOREVER!)
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To: nhwingut

Toomey is up by 10.

LLS


20 posted on 10/21/2010 6:49:53 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (WOLVERINES!)
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To: nhwingut

pass to everyone in PA you know, if nothing else, let just the name association sink in before voting

FBI, CIA, Able Danger, Bill Clinton, Sandy Berger, Rear Adm. * Joseph A. Sestak *, 9/11, Clinton-era national security scandals.

http://tinyurl.com/29hd3zr

… we have enough crooks and treasonist traiters in offices already


21 posted on 10/21/2010 6:50:54 AM PDT by SF_Redux
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To: RockinRight

He did not... and they are a University... leftist to the core.

LLS


22 posted on 10/21/2010 6:52:08 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (WOLVERINES!)
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To: nhwingut

You know what?.... SCREW PA. What the hell is wrong with the citizenry??!! Open your eyes morons and look at what your choices are.

A country that willingly elects Barney Frank, Nancy Pelosi, and Reid, or any Obama socialist shill etc.... is doomed.


23 posted on 10/21/2010 6:52:13 AM PDT by my small voice (A biased media and an uneducated public is the biggest threat to our democracy)
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To: SF_Redux

that got away before spellcheck corrected me

pass to everyone in PA you know, if nothing else, let just the name association sink in before voting

FBI, CIA, Able Danger, Bill Clinton, Sandy Berger, Rear Adm. * Joseph A. Sestak *, 9/11, Clinton-era national security scandals.

http://tinyurl.com/29hd3zr

… we have enough crooks and treasonous traitors in offices already


24 posted on 10/21/2010 6:52:22 AM PDT by SF_Redux
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To: LibLieSlayer

Corbett is up by 10.

Toomey is up by 10.

They will track together. Can’t see any dynamic in play for ticket splitting.


25 posted on 10/21/2010 6:52:37 AM PDT by randita (Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
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To: nhwingut

I think virtually ALL of these polls will—and by all accounts, should-—show some tightening. Of course they will tighten as the Dems finally/desperately rouse their base and run ads. That’s natural. If ANY GOP comes out of this weekend ahead or tied, I think they win. This is probably the high tide of the Dems, and so for Toomey to be up, I think he’ll win it, but not by a huge margin. This is still “teaser” PA.


26 posted on 10/21/2010 6:56:04 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: nhwingut
Quinnipiac and PPP are the two farthest-left polling outfits. Their polls do not reflect reality, they try to AFFECT reality.

Still, Toomey may really be choking this one away, at least into the margin where Scumbag Eddie Rendell and his massive vote fraud machine will make the difference.

Sleasetak is all over the air here in the Pittsburgh area spewing his lies and hate, while Toomey seems to be from the Casper Milquetoast wing of the GOP and isn't fighting back very hard at all and now time is running out.

This is right out of the playbook from the 4th district race of a few years back where sleazy weasel Jason Altmire - heavily funded by radical leftist groups - pounded Republican rep Melissa Hart endlessly with lies and she finally just caved in and gave up without a fight.

Toomey better not be pulling a "Melissa Hart" here but the evidence suggests that he just might be. We don't want to believe the polls which show the race tightening, and we want desperately to believe that Ras is always right (assuming he still show Toomey with a decent lead), but IMO it would be suprising if this race wasn't getting very close.

Toomey could still pull it out, possibly via Corbett's coattails (absent massive vote fraud, Corbett ought to stomp Rendell's twin brother, Danny "The Taxman" Onorato).

27 posted on 10/21/2010 6:56:31 AM PDT by PermaRag (the stock market will stop bleeding when those who manipulate it START bleeding)
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To: nhwingut

No hard numbers at the source to determine party affiliation, but there is this: “Toomey is beating Sestak 88 - 8 percent among Republicans and 56 - 35 percent among independent voters. But Sestak is winning 89 - 7 percent among Democrats.”


28 posted on 10/21/2010 6:57:52 AM PDT by andy58-in-nh (America does not need to be organized: it needs to be liberated.)
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To: ilgipper

I think a lot of folks have been relaxing, forgetting about unions getting out the vote. Here in AZ, early voting is tied in AZ-8, with a great conservative running against a corrupt Dem who now lives in either DC or Texas.

But the teachers unions and public employee unions are desperate. They don’t want to face the sort of ‘cut-backs’ that the private sector has faced for the last 2 years, and they WILL spend every dime and get out every vote, dead or alive.

We won’t cruise to victory. Anyone telling you otherwise is a fool. This is going to be a hard fight.


29 posted on 10/21/2010 7:02:26 AM PDT by Mr Rogers (When the ass brays, don't reply...)
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To: LS

A nice 2 pt win for Toomey, just big enough a margin to negate any serious consideration of a recount is fine by me.


30 posted on 10/21/2010 7:14:36 AM PDT by RockinRight (if the choice is between Crazy and Commie, I choose Crazy.)
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To: nhwingut

I’ve begun to only trust Rassmussen and even then only lightly. Polls are screwy this year, plus while I’m certain there will be some tightening of races as the election nears. I also think that it’s in pollsters’ best interests to show races as close as possible because that’s the only way people are going to pay them any mind. ;)


31 posted on 10/21/2010 7:17:18 AM PDT by IMissPresidentReagan ("Sorry I'm late. I had to stop by the wax museum to give the finger to FDR!" C.Hill (Palin '12))
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To: nhwingut

It puzzles me that the Senate races are tightening, yet the House races look better every day.

My only thought is that since Senate races are statewide, that the urban thug vote is causing it to tighten, but that same vote doesn’t affect the House races since their districts were among those going Dem no matter what...


32 posted on 10/21/2010 7:19:33 AM PDT by RockinRight (if the choice is between Crazy and Commie, I choose Crazy.)
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To: Mikey_1962
With the undecided breaking toward Toomey, he has it locked up.

It's PA. NEVER assume a GOPer has anything "locked up."

33 posted on 10/21/2010 7:24:49 AM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: RockinRight

I think Obama has drawn a fireline on the senate. He is needs to hold the sentate to control the agenda.


34 posted on 10/21/2010 7:26:39 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: ilgipper

1.2 million more registered Dems than GOP. Everything tightened in 1994 also.


35 posted on 10/21/2010 7:28:16 AM PDT by mortal19440
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To: RockinRight

SEIU was all over SE PA last week. 3 thugs pounded on my Daughters door and were very aggressive.


36 posted on 10/21/2010 7:32:06 AM PDT by mortal19440
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To: longtermmemmory

I think they know the House is gone, so they’re pushing for the Senate.


37 posted on 10/21/2010 7:43:26 AM PDT by RockinRight (if the choice is between Crazy and Commie, I choose Crazy.)
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To: my small voice
You know what?.... SCREW PA. What the hell is wrong with the citizenry??!! Open your eyes morons and look at what your choices are.

You know what?...For a small voice, you have an equally small mind, and a substantially large mouth.

Those of us that live in PA and are Freepers take umbrage {look it up you small voiced, small minded, large mouthed bass} with your advice.

We are not morons, piss off and take your small voiced, small brained opinion with you.

38 posted on 10/21/2010 7:56:49 AM PDT by USS Alaska
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To: nhwingut

If the leftist pollsters wanted some action as a result of their polls they got it, I contributed to Toomey just now.


39 posted on 10/21/2010 8:00:51 AM PDT by jonathonandjennifer
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To: jonathonandjennifer

If the leftist pollsters wanted some action as a result of their polls they got it, I contributed to Toomey just now.

Me too.


40 posted on 10/21/2010 8:11:24 AM PDT by oldm60grunt
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To: randita

Agreed.

LLS


41 posted on 10/21/2010 8:43:41 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (WOLVERINES!)
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To: USS Alaska

Are you Whoopi Goldberg?

Touche! Well said. I was pissed...what can I say??

Seriously, and for what it’s worth, don’t cram the shoe on your foot if it’s clear I couldn’t possibly be refering to you! Do you really think I was refering to Freepers in PA??

Do I really have to say it? I am annoyed at people who cannot see that the Dems are purposely destroying our nation. Forgive me for my emotion as I watch the country YOU fought for (thanks by the way) dismantled. I am annoyed at people in MA who are voting for Frank, people in CA who are voting for Boxer and Brown, people in AZ who are voting for Reid and, yes, people in PA who are voting for Sestak. These races have no business being close. The polls are tightening because the masses of people I refer to in my tagline are being herded to the polls to vote. Yes, entitlement loving, lazy, the-world-owes-me, race-baiting, welfare, politically correct, morons. We are being overrun Alaska.

By the way is large-mouthed-bass really an insult in PA?


42 posted on 10/21/2010 9:17:02 AM PDT by my small voice (A biased media and an uneducated public is the biggest threat to our democracy)
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To: nhwingut

This “tightening” is annoying and concerning.
Hey Pa. Freepers: Can you give us an update? What are you hearing?
I talked with a fellow Liberty Central collaborator tonight. The GOP is working is working so hard for Toomey, and rightfully so.
She sounds scared though.
Sestak is detested...


43 posted on 10/21/2010 10:07:08 PM PDT by Mountain Mary ("May we always be happy and may our enemies always know it" Sarah Palin)
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