Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Digging into the Early Voting Numbers (Republicans making great gains.)
National Review Online ^ | October 22, 2010 | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 10/23/2010 6:15:50 AM PDT by no dems

One of my readers, Charlie, takes a look at the early voting numbers from 2008 and compares them to the early voting numbers in 2010, or at least so far.

He finds, “in every state where there is partisan split data for both years, the Republicans have gained in early voting.” The shift in partisan turnout has ranged from Republicans gaining 4.2 percentage points from the 2008 numbers (West Virginia) to 27.4 percentage points in the 2008 numbers (Florida).

(The stunning figure is that 52.8 percent of the more than 778,000 early votes in Florida this year come from registered Republicans.)

Colorado’s early vote is 7.1 percentage points more Republican.

Iowa’s early vote is 10.2 percentage points more Republican.

Louisiana’s early vote is 25.9 percentage points more Republican.

Maine’s early vote is 13.3 percentage points more Republican.

North Carolina’s early vote is 14.9 percentage points more Republican.

In Clark County, Nevada, it is 7.1 percent more Republican; in Washoe County, Nevada, it is 11 percent more Republican.

“The average of these states show that early voting has shifted from a D+16.6 partisan split to a D+1.7 partisan split for a Republican gain of +14.9% since 2008,” Charlie concludes.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: earlyvoting
I've never been a proponent of Early Voting, but, with the Dems closing the polling gaps, and getting desperate in their personal attacks, I'm glad people are voting early in large numbers.
1 posted on 10/23/2010 6:15:53 AM PDT by no dems
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: no dems

The Dems are warming up their buses, visiting nursing home and prisons and passing out cigarettes and beer as we speak.


2 posted on 10/23/2010 6:18:22 AM PDT by Sacajaweau (What)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: no dems

I saw in Clark county voters lined up down the block and
they didn’t look like SEIU thugs!


3 posted on 10/23/2010 6:19:14 AM PDT by Dr. Ursus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: no dems
Keep it going America.

032710_teaparty_doomsday_604x341

politics tea party politics politics

The heat is on-3sm

4 posted on 10/23/2010 6:19:49 AM PDT by BobP (The piss-stream media - Never to be watched again in my house)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Dr. Ursus
I saw in Clark county voters lined up down the block and they didn’t look like SEIU thugs!

Apparently you live in Nevada. Do you think these were Tea Partiers? Also, I would hope that Las Vegas poll workers, unlike Chicago, would be honest folks. What say ye?
5 posted on 10/23/2010 6:21:38 AM PDT by no dems (DeMINT / PALIN 2012 or PALIN / DeMINT 2012.......Either is fine with me!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: no dems

The key is control the states and you automatically control Washington DC. Without that control of the states, you loose. It’s good to see people taking this country back.


6 posted on 10/23/2010 6:22:51 AM PDT by RC2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: no dems
I've never been a proponent of Early Voting

I'm still not. Its become election night 2000, extended for weeks with everyone trying to alter outcomes. Voting should be hard so only those who feel that its important will get out and vote.

The woman who was turned away at the polls for wearing an Obama shirt is a beautiful example. She had time to run to the media to complain and say that she would probably try again. With single day voting I doubt she would bother to try again.
7 posted on 10/23/2010 6:26:05 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin! (look it up))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: no dems

A local radio report said that Boozman (R) had actually increased his lead from 18 to 21 points over Blanche Lincoln (D) in Arkansas.

Apparently, the BJClinton voice-over ads are not helping soon-to-be-former Senator Lincoln.


8 posted on 10/23/2010 6:29:00 AM PDT by TomGuy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: no dems

No,Vegas is one of our favorite cities to visit.I saw a report on Fox News.


9 posted on 10/23/2010 6:29:00 AM PDT by Dr. Ursus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: no dems

Texas is also experiencing heavy early voting favoring the Pubbies big time. Rick Perry is going spank Democrat Bill White in proper fashion!!! Folks, Texas is red now and will be much more red on the evening of November 2, 2010. Democrat “traitors” and Obama lovers stay home. You are already toast!!! God bless our Texas Rangers and God bless the great, free state of Texas!!! Pubbies, Conservatives, Independents, Reagan Democrats, get out and vote to totally destroy the Democrat socialist party of POTUS & America hater Barack Hussein Obama!!!


10 posted on 10/23/2010 6:32:28 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: no dems

Don’t believe in early voting but hard not to do....I hate lines!


11 posted on 10/23/2010 6:35:09 AM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: JLAGRAYFOX

HOW ‘BOUT THEM TEXAS RANGERS? Yeeeeehaaaaaa!!!


12 posted on 10/23/2010 6:41:19 AM PDT by no dems (DeMINT / PALIN 2012 or PALIN / DeMINT 2012.......Either is fine with me!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: JLAGRAYFOX

It’s predicted that Red State Texas will pick up two more Congressional Seats and Electoral Votes from the 2010 Census. The Liberal Blue States, like Michigan, New York, Wisconsin, etc., are losing EVs every 10 years. California is the only Blue State gaining EVs.


13 posted on 10/23/2010 6:44:31 AM PDT by no dems (DeMINT / PALIN 2012 or PALIN / DeMINT 2012.......Either is fine with me!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Dr. Ursus
I arrived at the library in Chestertown, Md. at 11:am yesterday. The polls opened at 10:am. the line was very long. It took me an hour to get to vote. The poll officials were taken aback at the volume. One said to me that never has she seen this kind of activity in early voting. Kent County is the only conservative county on the eastern shore.
Didn't see a “O” sticker on any cars.
14 posted on 10/23/2010 6:45:02 AM PDT by primatreat ( "O" you's time is out. Go to the hole you's digging and take MS.butt with you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: no dems
North Carolina’s early vote is 14.9 percentage points more Republican.

In New Bern, we discovered one voting machine (of which I am aware) that will select all Democrats if the Republican block-voting button is pushed. In Havelock, 20 miles away, a voting machine was discovered that did exactly the same thing. Machine error? Or Democrat fraud?

15 posted on 10/23/2010 6:46:02 AM PDT by JoeGar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: no dems

I think early voting numbers give a false impression. When I voted early in NC, people waiting in line were mostly retired folks who would more likely vote Republican than vote for someone ruining their health care.


16 posted on 10/23/2010 6:49:07 AM PDT by JoeGar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: no dems
"The average of these states show that early voting has shifted from a D+16.6 partisan split to a D+1.7..."

Is this good news? I know there are always more registered Democrats, but I had hoped they'd stay home in shame this time after electing Obozo.

17 posted on 10/23/2010 6:56:02 AM PDT by Batrachian (America electing Barack Obama is the moral equivalent of Palestinians electing Hamas.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: no dems

I suspect that Republican “early voters” always outnumber Democrats. Without some indication of what the “regular” turnout ratios are, just knowing the current “Pubbie/DemoncRAT” ratio provide any useful info.


18 posted on 10/23/2010 6:56:46 AM PDT by Wonder Warthog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Batrachian
"The average of these states show that early voting has shifted from a D+16.6 partisan split to a D+1.7..."

Is this good news? I know there are always more registered Democrats, but I had hoped they'd stay home in shame this time after electing Obozo.


I had the same question at first, but then I realized that's talking about the Dems '08 Early Voting numbers still exceeding the GOP's 2010 numbers by +1.7. No, the Pubbies are turning out in much greater numbers. Remember that in '08 almost every Black in America turned out for Zero. This is very good news for our team. The Dems are demoralize and de-energized.
19 posted on 10/23/2010 7:05:40 AM PDT by no dems (DeMINT / PALIN 2012 or PALIN / DeMINT 2012.......Either is fine with me!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Batrachian

It’s good news, yes.

What you’re seeing is that they are staying home. Republicans have a net gain of about 15.

That means, for the most part, add 7.5 points to the Republican and subtract 7.5 points from the Democrat, assuming that Republicans are voting for the Republican and Democrats are voting for the Democrat.

This article was posted yesterday, btw.


20 posted on 10/23/2010 7:27:26 AM PDT by truthfreedom
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: no dems
Iowa’s early vote is 10.2 percentage points more Republican. Interesting. I saw reported earlier this week that Republican early voters were down compared to Dims.
21 posted on 10/23/2010 7:32:26 AM PDT by FrdmLvr ( VIVA la SB 1070!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: primatreat

Nice.


22 posted on 10/23/2010 7:33:56 AM PDT by Dr. Ursus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: FrdmLvr

They are down in the number of votes cast, but from a % standpoint they over preforming from years past.


23 posted on 10/23/2010 7:51:44 AM PDT by Paul8148
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: no dems

I travel and wanted to be sure I got to vote, so I did so last Wednesday in Denver. Dickenlooper is my mayor, I do NOT want him as my governor. I really do not like mail in, as my sister never got hers last election.


24 posted on 10/23/2010 7:55:38 AM PDT by I_be_tc
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: no dems

CA may break even this time out. If estimates at census.gov are good, it’s:

TX +3, NV +1, UT +1, SC +1, AZ +1, WA +1, GA +1, FL +1
OH -2, NY -1, IL -1, PA -1, MI -1, NJ -1, MA -1, LA -1, IA -1.

On the bubble:
431 MO 9
432 CA 53 (CA is closer to losing one than gaining one)
433 SC 7
434 MN 8
435 WA 10

436 OH 17
437 FL 27
438 OR 6
439 TX 36
440 IL 19


25 posted on 10/23/2010 8:06:03 AM PDT by scrabblehack
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: scrabblehack

Wow! My homestate of Texas +3 ? Alright!!! Notice, with the exception of WA, all the States gaining EVs and Congressional seats are Red States. Blue States are losing them, except Louisiana.


26 posted on 10/23/2010 8:10:29 AM PDT by no dems (DeMINT / PALIN 2012 or PALIN / DeMINT 2012.......Either is fine with me!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: scrabblehack

Georgia needs to be +2. I would much prefer that we lose Sanford Bishop over Jim Marshall. But Marshall is definitely toast.


27 posted on 10/23/2010 8:10:39 AM PDT by Hoodat ( .For the weapons of our warfare are mighty in God for pulling down strongholds.d)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: scrabblehack

Oh, nevermind. Those are total seat gains - not GOP gains. My bad.


28 posted on 10/23/2010 8:12:02 AM PDT by Hoodat ( .For the weapons of our warfare are mighty in God for pulling down strongholds.d)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: no dems
The stunning figure is that 52.8 percent of the more than 778,000 early votes in Florida this year come from registered Republicans.

Great news - thanks for posting this...

29 posted on 10/23/2010 8:13:57 AM PDT by GOPJ ('Power abdicates only under the stress of counter-power." Martin Buber /a Teanami's coming...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: rwfromkansas

I always vote early (shorter wait in line and a more convenient location) and I think it would be hard to get people to go back to voting on one day only, but I could see reducing the voting days—maybe limit them to the Saturday, Sunday, and Monday before the traditional election Tuesday.


30 posted on 10/23/2010 8:35:28 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: deport

mark


31 posted on 10/23/2010 8:36:53 AM PDT by deport (TEXAS -- Early Voting begins OCT. 18, 2010 (vote early and often)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Verginius Rufus

Agree. I do think early voting should be restricted to only about 4 days or so before the election.


32 posted on 10/23/2010 12:55:48 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Verginius Rufus
I could see reducing the voting days—maybe limit them to the Saturday, Sunday, and Monday before the traditional election Tuesday.

Excellent idea. But, it'll never happen.
33 posted on 10/23/2010 2:51:38 PM PDT by no dems (DeMINT / PALIN 2012 or PALIN / DeMINT 2012.......Either is fine with me!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson