Skip to comments.Digging into the Early Voting Numbers (Republicans making great gains.)
Posted on 10/23/2010 6:15:50 AM PDT by no dems
One of my readers, Charlie, takes a look at the early voting numbers from 2008 and compares them to the early voting numbers in 2010, or at least so far.
He finds, in every state where there is partisan split data for both years, the Republicans have gained in early voting. The shift in partisan turnout has ranged from Republicans gaining 4.2 percentage points from the 2008 numbers (West Virginia) to 27.4 percentage points in the 2008 numbers (Florida).
(The stunning figure is that 52.8 percent of the more than 778,000 early votes in Florida this year come from registered Republicans.)
Colorados early vote is 7.1 percentage points more Republican.
Iowas early vote is 10.2 percentage points more Republican.
Louisianas early vote is 25.9 percentage points more Republican.
Maines early vote is 13.3 percentage points more Republican.
North Carolinas early vote is 14.9 percentage points more Republican.
In Clark County, Nevada, it is 7.1 percent more Republican; in Washoe County, Nevada, it is 11 percent more Republican.
The average of these states show that early voting has shifted from a D+16.6 partisan split to a D+1.7 partisan split for a Republican gain of +14.9% since 2008, Charlie concludes.
The Dems are warming up their buses, visiting nursing home and prisons and passing out cigarettes and beer as we speak.
I saw in Clark county voters lined up down the block and
they didn’t look like SEIU thugs!
The key is control the states and you automatically control Washington DC. Without that control of the states, you loose. It’s good to see people taking this country back.
A local radio report said that Boozman (R) had actually increased his lead from 18 to 21 points over Blanche Lincoln (D) in Arkansas.
Apparently, the BJClinton voice-over ads are not helping soon-to-be-former Senator Lincoln.
No,Vegas is one of our favorite cities to visit.I saw a report on Fox News.
Texas is also experiencing heavy early voting favoring the Pubbies big time. Rick Perry is going spank Democrat Bill White in proper fashion!!! Folks, Texas is red now and will be much more red on the evening of November 2, 2010. Democrat “traitors” and Obama lovers stay home. You are already toast!!! God bless our Texas Rangers and God bless the great, free state of Texas!!! Pubbies, Conservatives, Independents, Reagan Democrats, get out and vote to totally destroy the Democrat socialist party of POTUS & America hater Barack Hussein Obama!!!
Don’t believe in early voting but hard not to do....I hate lines!
HOW ‘BOUT THEM TEXAS RANGERS? Yeeeeehaaaaaa!!!
It’s predicted that Red State Texas will pick up two more Congressional Seats and Electoral Votes from the 2010 Census. The Liberal Blue States, like Michigan, New York, Wisconsin, etc., are losing EVs every 10 years. California is the only Blue State gaining EVs.
In New Bern, we discovered one voting machine (of which I am aware) that will select all Democrats if the Republican block-voting button is pushed. In Havelock, 20 miles away, a voting machine was discovered that did exactly the same thing. Machine error? Or Democrat fraud?
I think early voting numbers give a false impression. When I voted early in NC, people waiting in line were mostly retired folks who would more likely vote Republican than vote for someone ruining their health care.
Is this good news? I know there are always more registered Democrats, but I had hoped they'd stay home in shame this time after electing Obozo.
I suspect that Republican “early voters” always outnumber Democrats. Without some indication of what the “regular” turnout ratios are, just knowing the current “Pubbie/DemoncRAT” ratio provide any useful info.
It’s good news, yes.
What you’re seeing is that they are staying home. Republicans have a net gain of about 15.
That means, for the most part, add 7.5 points to the Republican and subtract 7.5 points from the Democrat, assuming that Republicans are voting for the Republican and Democrats are voting for the Democrat.
This article was posted yesterday, btw.
They are down in the number of votes cast, but from a % standpoint they over preforming from years past.
I travel and wanted to be sure I got to vote, so I did so last Wednesday in Denver. Dickenlooper is my mayor, I do NOT want him as my governor. I really do not like mail in, as my sister never got hers last election.
CA may break even this time out. If estimates at census.gov are good, it’s:
TX +3, NV +1, UT +1, SC +1, AZ +1, WA +1, GA +1, FL +1
OH -2, NY -1, IL -1, PA -1, MI -1, NJ -1, MA -1, LA -1, IA -1.
On the bubble:
431 MO 9
432 CA 53 (CA is closer to losing one than gaining one)
433 SC 7
434 MN 8
435 WA 10
436 OH 17
437 FL 27
438 OR 6
439 TX 36
440 IL 19
Wow! My homestate of Texas +3 ? Alright!!! Notice, with the exception of WA, all the States gaining EVs and Congressional seats are Red States. Blue States are losing them, except Louisiana.
Georgia needs to be +2. I would much prefer that we lose Sanford Bishop over Jim Marshall. But Marshall is definitely toast.
Oh, nevermind. Those are total seat gains - not GOP gains. My bad.
Great news - thanks for posting this...
I always vote early (shorter wait in line and a more convenient location) and I think it would be hard to get people to go back to voting on one day only, but I could see reducing the voting days—maybe limit them to the Saturday, Sunday, and Monday before the traditional election Tuesday.
Agree. I do think early voting should be restricted to only about 4 days or so before the election.
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