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Entering Final Week, The GOP Has A Death Grip On The House (90% Probability)
The Business Insider ^ | 10-24-2010 | Joe Weisenthal

Posted on 10/24/2010 4:55:30 PM PDT by blam

Entering Final Week, The GOP Has A Death Grip On The House

Joe Weisenthal
Oct. 24, 2010, 6:52 PM

According to InTrade, odds of the GOP taking over the house are now a staggering 90%.

However, it's not all roses for the Republicans:

The Democrats are still over 50% to hold the Senate. Christine O'Donnell's odds are down to 6%. In California, Barbara Boxer is at 75% to hold off Carly Fiorina. One huge scalp though: Harry Reid is just over 40% to hold his Senate seat

[snip]

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2010midterms; 2010polls; election; gop; gopcomeback; politics; representatives
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To: blam
The GOP Has A Death Grip On The House

If it were Democrats winning, it would read, "Utopia upon us. Forecast: Rainbows for the next 100 years." Have Democrats ever, in the minds of editors, had a "deathgrip" on anything?

21 posted on 10/24/2010 5:21:06 PM PDT by Vince Ferrer
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To: justlurking
If you are a Democrat Senator and want to be a committee chairman on a responsible and/or important committee and it's 50/50 (with /Biden controlling in tie votes) you can make a deal with the Republicans the Democrats may not want to make with you. Remember, with Hairy Reed out it's Schmucky Chucky Schumer you have to deal with and he is totally unprincipled. ANY Republican majority leader is better than Chucky.

This is where RINOs come from ~ Democrats of value to Republican control in a legislative body ~ not to be confused with tired old Republicans no longer of value to the Republicans.

22 posted on 10/24/2010 5:23:46 PM PDT by muawiyah ("GIT OUT THE WAY" The Republicans are coming)
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To: justlurking
I thought the number favored the GOP both in this one and in the next one as well.

I believe there are 15 Democrat contested seats in this election.

How many GOP?

23 posted on 10/24/2010 5:29:18 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (When the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn (Pr.29:2))
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To: eyedigress; All
"The blue dogs in my circle of friends are not pleased at all with the political situation of the far left. They see the Tsunami coming and are running from lefty beach."


24 posted on 10/24/2010 5:30:29 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: blam

Tonight’s 60 minutes episode, which featured the plight of the educated long-term unemployed, could further damage Demonrat fortunes except among those who still blame GW Bush for everything.


25 posted on 10/24/2010 5:31:24 PM PDT by luvbach1 (Stop Barry now. He can't help himself.)
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To: justlurking

Problem is, if InTrade bettors base their bets on the same polls we see, they’re just mirroring the polls.


26 posted on 10/24/2010 5:33:13 PM PDT by bigbob
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To: blam

We should be careful. The leftist media may be exaggerating our lead to cause many of us not to bother voting. This may be a red herring.

We have to keep working very hard to get out message out. There were no PUMAs in the last election. It was a trick.

Now add in the numbers of those who will cheat and try to steal the election. We must not be complacent.


27 posted on 10/24/2010 5:34:15 PM PDT by Melian ("There is only one tragedy in the end, not to have been a saint." ~L. Bloy)
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To: musicman

What do you mean by “we”, kemosabe?


28 posted on 10/24/2010 5:47:48 PM PDT by BenKenobi
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To: luvbach1

I’m one of those, but then I also would have voted for McCain if I could.


29 posted on 10/24/2010 5:49:05 PM PDT by BenKenobi
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To: blam

Ninety percent is NOT a “death grip”. A “death grip” would be 100%. A ten percent chance is still a chance.


30 posted on 10/24/2010 6:37:09 PM PDT by raybbr (Someone who invades another country is NOT an immigrant - illegal or otherwise.)
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To: paul544

It’s Chuckie..he’s been buying votes..donating several mill to the DSCC..


31 posted on 10/24/2010 6:46:38 PM PDT by ken5050 (I don't need sex.....the government screws me every day..)
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To: blam

“I think the Juan Williams episode has even helped the conservatives.”

Yes, I’ve been thinking the Whoppi/Behar/NPR combination coming in the final weeks is having a crystalizing effect on the attitudes of the public out there.

These lefties are angry that their power is being challenged, discredited and thoroughly defeated.


32 posted on 10/24/2010 7:04:07 PM PDT by Senator Goldwater
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To: Strategerist
Such predictive markets have shown remarkable accuracy; the collective wisdom of the "crowd" is usually superior to the wisdom of individual "experts."

In this case, the "experts" set the conventional wisdom and the crowds follow.

Wisdom of crowds, c'mon. Flocks, more like.

33 posted on 10/24/2010 7:19:26 PM PDT by Crichton
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To: blam

btt


34 posted on 10/24/2010 7:30:18 PM PDT by Cacique (quos Deus vult perdere, prius dementat ( Islamia Delenda Est ))
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To: ElkGroveDan

Being an odds maker carries far fewer risks. All they have to do is add up competiting bets, subtract their commission, and change the odds as the bets dictate.


35 posted on 10/24/2010 7:39:14 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: ElkGroveDan

There are no odds makers in futures markets.


36 posted on 10/24/2010 8:53:01 PM PDT by JLS (Democrats: People who won't even let you enjoy an unseasonably warm winter day.)
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To: fortheDeclaration
Watch the odds change as the election draws closer.

Agreed. Intrade is pretty accurate but ten days out is still too soon to put much stock in what they are saying. Back in January, it wasn't until three days before the election (Jan 16) that Intrade had Scott Brown pulling even with Martha Coakley. By election day morning, Intrade had Scott Brown at 79%.

A week from Tuesday, Intrade will have the Congress at close to 100% to go Republican and the Senate at least 75% to go Republican.

37 posted on 10/24/2010 9:03:18 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (I am 38 days away from outliving Curly Howard)
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To: SamAdams76

Thank you for that information!


38 posted on 10/24/2010 9:54:09 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (When the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn (Pr.29:2))
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To: Melian

Oh, we are going to vote, don’t worry about that!


39 posted on 10/25/2010 3:36:43 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (When the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn (Pr.29:2))
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To: paul544

I think the money would be on Dirt Bag Durbin, since he (delusionally or not) will appear to be more centrist than Shumer et.al.


40 posted on 10/25/2010 3:46:45 AM PDT by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)
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