Posted on 10/25/2010 7:22:17 AM PDT by WebFocus
Out on the campaign trail, Barack Obama has given us his analysis of why his party is headed for significant losses in the election nine days hence.
“Part of the reason that our politics seems so tough right now,” said the president for whom politics did not seem so tough in 2008, “and facts and science and argument do not seem to be winning the day all the time, is because we’re hardwired not to always think clearly when we’re scared. And the country’s scared.”
In other words, the voters can’t see straight.
But maybe it’s the Obama Democrats who are so scared they can’t see straight. John Maynard Keynes famously said that practical men of business are usually the slaves of some defunct economist. In this case, it seems that practical men of politics may be the slaves of some defunct political scientists and historians.
Those political scientists and historians, inspired by the Progressive movement and New Deal of the last century, taught that history inevitably and properly moves left. It is a story of progress from little or no government to big and bigger government.
Bigger government, in this view, helps the ordinary citizen, who is otherwise at the mercy of the masters of the marketplace. And those citizens will be grateful, especially in times of economic distress, to the politicians who expand government ever further.
This theory has been getting some empirical testing over the past two years. And it doesn’t seem to be working any better than Keynes thought the theories of defunct economists were working in the 1930s.
The Obama Democrats have been giving Americans more government, with a vengeance. But the voters seem about to wreak vengeance in their turn.
That’s apparent in the much-watched races for the Senate. Democrats may be pulling even in Pennsylvania and Colorado, but Republicans are even or pulling ahead in California and Illinois. Overall, forecasters consider five Democratic seats lost and believe that Republicans could gain up to six others, though they’ll probably fall short of the ten they need for a majority.
Similarly, in governorships, Democrat Jerry Brown has a small lead in California, and Florida is a dead heat. But Republicans seem likely to replace Democrats in the industrial heartland from Pennsylvania west to the Mississippi River. And they’re likely to gain legislative seats, which will enable them to draw congressional district boundaries for 2012 and beyond.
The big battle is for the House, in which the majority party can pretty well run things. Speaker Nancy Pelosi is insisting Democrats will hold their majority. But that is what any party leader has to say.
Charlie Cook and Stuart Rothenberg, who do seat-by-seat analysis, expect Republicans to capture the 39 seats they need for a majority and more. Both list 100 seats as up for grabs, of which 91 are held by Democrats and only nine by Republicans.
In wave-election years, the wave party usually wins half or a little more of the seats it targets, while the losing party usually wins only about one-tenth of its target seats. You do the math. Looks to me like Republicans gain more than the 52 they captured in 1994.
Why has the Democrats’ theory of history moving left worked out so badly? One reason is that it is factually untrue. We’ve moved from regulation to deregulation in the last century, for example.
Another reason is that when government is small and deft, as it was in the 1930s, a little more of it may help folks. But when it is big and plodding, as it seems to be now, a lot more of it may just be a dead weight on the private sector economy, which most Americans seem to realize, is the only generator of real economic growth.
A third reason is that big government can be overly bossy. Voters who have learned to navigate their way through life may not believe that they need Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius to set the terms and conditions of their health-insurance policies, as Obamacare authorizes her to do.
“Don’t tread on me,” read the flags at Tea Party rallies. That’s not a contradiction of “facts and science.” It’s an insistence that the Obama Democrats’ policies would strangle freedoms and choke off growth. You may disagree. But if so, it looks like you’re in the minority this year.
– Michael Barone is senior political analyst for the Washington Examiner.
Sorry,I’m too unenlightened to vote for a Democrat!
We’re hardwired not to enjoy being patronized by elitists.
See my new tagline.
Yasuh, Massa ‘Bama, tank you fur ‘splaining all dat dere complicated govment stuff to us all uneducated ‘uns. Cause wees all need y’all Democrats ta tell us-all how to lead our pathetical lives.
If the weak-willed Pubbies fail to repeal Obamacare, it doesn’t mean a thing. Without repeal of Obamacare, we are on a glide path to all-out socialism. The LEFT knows this. That’s why the power guys don’t care about this short term debacle. They are thinking strategically. They are counting on the typical go-along, get-along. weak-willed, cowardly, entitled, inside the beltway Republican Party to cave.
COMPROMISE WITH A COMMUNIST IS SUBVERSION. The Left understands this very well. Boehner better come in with all guns blazing. Mitch needs to be replaced by a WARRIOR.
Don’t it make you you wanna puke?
Obama fooled a lot of people, including, I think, the behind the scenes manipulators who got him into the office in the first place.
They thought he would be smoother. He was so intoxicated by his own popularity he really thought he was king.
He could have gone more slowly and sucked a lot of people in and maybe done some things they wanted done without arousing the ire of most of the country.
But, I gotta say, he woke us up. Hope we don’t doze off again.
I am heartened to see this from Barone. He is one of the best prognosticators out there.
So we are grown ups who don’t need or want an Obamamama!
True, except that I can see the voting booth from my lanai.
5.56mm
I don’t really think much will change. Look here in CA, Brown and Boxer are both polling ahead of new faces.
Send this around and wake up the useful idiots; DeathCare for all of us:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8HnkxIh62dQ&NR=1
Dems, monetizing the Debt.
Dems, nationalizing health care.
Dems, borrowing more debt in 2 years than the country has wracked up total in the 232 years prior.
Dems, wasting their $787 billion 'stimulus' on nothing. It only stimulated the National Debt Clock.
Yep, keep it up 'Bite Me'...
It's frightening that these lunatics are in charge of the nation's finances.
The Rats are shovel-ready for the dust bin of history.
RE: Look here in CA, Brown and Boxer are both polling ahead of new faces
California and NY are only two out of 50 states.
Also the only races I have any effect on...
When Barone speaks, I listen. :-)
Untrue? There is nothing true or truthful about the Democrat Party, Democrats, or Leftists. To paraphrase Rush, if they told the truth they'd never get elected.
What are the facts, Mr. Big shot?
What is the science - the fact that we don't believe Al Gores rubbish on man made global warming or the need for cap and trade? I think the fact is, that you are a liar and a puppet who can't run a presidency. The fact is the deficit is out of control thanks to congress passing bills we couldn't afford. The fact that you, Pelosi and Reid crammed health care down our throats with the preposterous statements as you have got to pass the bill so you will know whats in it. Such idiocy. The fact is that you underestimated the brain power of middle America. We don't go in lock step with your liberal/socialist/Marxist agenda as do your drooling fan base. The fact is we are sick and tired of business as usual in Washington DC - of the pompous elitism of OUR congress. And, lastly, the fact is YOU ALL work for us and we decided to fire your greedy, pompous @sses in Nov., and, with the grace of God, in 2012.
Why, you pompous little prick! I happen to think that rational thought are overtaking fake "hope and change" in the political arena, at last.
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