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I have always enjoyed Friedman's work at Stratfor. This is an excellent piece that postulates that this mid-term election cycle is basically going to kill Obama's domestic agenda and that his best chance of getting re-elected would be for him to turn into a "foreign-policy president" and the natural choice would be to go after Iran.
1 posted on 10/27/2010 9:35:01 AM PDT by jhpigott
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To: jhpigott

This is all based on the fact that Obama actually cares about or wants to be re-elected — he rather be a “good one term president”, he wants to be the folk hero to progressives in the history books.


35 posted on 10/27/2010 9:57:08 AM PDT by PMAS
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To: jhpigott
"his best chance of getting re-elected would be for him to turn into a "foreign-policy president" and the natural choice would be to go after Iran. "

Fogitaboudit. Obama isn't going to run. And the guy who goes after Iran will end up with Bush's 25% approval rating. The problem the country has is jobs, not Iran.

37 posted on 10/27/2010 9:58:04 AM PDT by ex-snook ("Above all things, truth beareth away the victory")
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To: jhpigott

On the contrary. He is more likely to have a sit down with Imadamnutjob.


38 posted on 10/27/2010 9:58:14 AM PDT by Carley (VOTE AS IF YOUR LIFE DEPENDS ON IT, BECAUSE IT DOES)
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To: jhpigott
As Beck says, the next two years could be the most dangerous in our nation's history. There's no telling what a soon-to-be lame duck impostor Communist president who's lost his congressional majority could do. We've got to be on our toes until January 2013, when the true conservative president that we've hopefully elected takes the oath of office. Then we need to stay on our toes to make sure the conservative president and Congress don't repeat the mistakes of the past.

Scouts Out! Cavalry Ho!

39 posted on 10/27/2010 9:59:03 AM PDT by wku man (Steel yourselves, patriots, and be ready. Won't be long now....)
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To: jhpigott

Hell no he wouldn’t. Those are his brothers.


40 posted on 10/27/2010 9:59:33 AM PDT by mojitojoe (Caractacus..or Bob if a boy & Boudicca if a girl....such hard decisions for dearie Snidely)
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To: jhpigott

A man with no balls, once beaten, still has no balls.


41 posted on 10/27/2010 10:02:07 AM PDT by Mariner (USS Tarawa, VQ3, USS Benjamin Stoddert, NAVCAMS WestPac, 7th Fleet, Navcommsta Puget Sound)
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To: jhpigott
In the past, it would be reasonable, if not entirely predictable to expect an American president who was floundering in domestic matters to move to "change the subject" to foreign affairs.

This is true for at least two reasons. First: traditionally, there has been far more unity between the parties on crucial matters of state than on domestic priorities. But also: in the past, our Presidents were required to have a decent grounding in foreign affairs as a means of achieving a minimum standard of electability.

Neither of these conditions currently exist in the America of 2010. The Democrat Party has increasingly signed on to a radicalized view of the world in which America is not even a potent but flawed force for good, but a international pariah guilty of multitudinous sins against the developing world, including colonialism, exploitation and racism.

And Barack Obama, for his own part, was nominated and elected to the most powerful office in the land and perhaps, still in the world without any demonstration of basic proficiency in international affairs, diplomacy or military doctrine. Instead, he displayed in the campaign (and continues to display, two years into his Presidency) a superficial and academic understanding of the world; one shot through with platitudes and left-wing shibboleths, but containing nothing that reveals either wisdom or the sort of instinct that might inform it.

This being the case, I find it doubtful that Obama would be willing to do anything of a military nature with regard to Iran except in the case of a direct attack on the United States, and even then - his visceral lack of comprehension when combined with ideological rigidity would almost certainly lead to paralysis. And do not think for a moment that our adversaries have not taken a measure of the man and, I would offer, come to similar conclusions.

43 posted on 10/27/2010 10:04:08 AM PDT by andy58-in-nh (America does not need to be organized: it needs to be liberated.)
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To: jhpigott

Not a snowballs chance in hell in my opinion. This guy wouldn’t attack even if we were directly attacked. He’d apologize...


44 posted on 10/27/2010 10:05:52 AM PDT by b4its2late (Ignorance allows liberalism to prosper.)
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To: jhpigott
It is more likely that Iran will attack us than Obama which will be tied up in all sorts of investigations and suits.
45 posted on 10/27/2010 10:06:00 AM PDT by mountainlion (concerned conservative.)
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To: jhpigott

Oh dear Lord.

When I glanced at the headline, I saw this....

Would a Beaten Obama Attack Israel?

And I thought; Yeah. That could happen.


50 posted on 10/27/2010 10:11:40 AM PDT by Responsibility2nd (Yes, as a matter of fact, what you do in your bedroom IS my business.)
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To: jhpigott

After the election, the much smaller surving Dem caucuses in Congress will be much more liberal, hard left, and anti-war..he’d be at war with his own party AND the GOP..


51 posted on 10/27/2010 10:13:03 AM PDT by ken5050 (I don't need sex.....the government screws me every day..)
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To: jhpigott

” and the natural choice would be to go after Iran. “

In which case, we might be treated to the interesting spectacle of a Republican Congress voting *against* a war declaration or authorization - and, perhaps, even invoking the (Constitutionally suspect) War Powers Act....


53 posted on 10/27/2010 10:13:41 AM PDT by Uncle Ike (Rope is cheap, and there are lots of trees...)
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To: jhpigott

Obama wears mama-jeans... send a real man... send in the worms...:^)


55 posted on 10/27/2010 10:18:36 AM PDT by BigFinn (I love the smell of teabags in the morning.)
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To: jhpigott

I think he’s angling for Secretary General of the UN. His presidency is just his chance to show he’s qualified by proving he can run a world power like it’s a third world rat hole.


56 posted on 10/27/2010 10:19:30 AM PDT by tacticalogic
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To: jhpigott

doing so would wipe-out whatever support remains from his leftist base, and would not gain him support from our side on any other issue.


60 posted on 10/27/2010 10:29:28 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: jhpigott

This is exciting. Who’s going to beat him? Can we get on the list? (I’m sorry. I couldn’t help it.)


61 posted on 10/27/2010 10:37:55 AM PDT by righttackle44 (I may not be much, but I raised a United States Marine.)
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To: jhpigott

From the beginning it was quite obvious to me that W set up Obama with loads he could not carry. He was certainly doomed from the moment the first bailouts took place. There were two wars, one really, but to the left there were two.

My view stated here long ago, at the time of his election, was that Obama had only one shot at salvation...... a war.

With whom would the war be made? I did not know. I felt that he would allow events to take their course and allow the war with Iran to be between Israel and the Gulf States against Iran. I still believe that to be the case.

North Korea has cooled and the transition to who knows what is in progress. That seems not likely as a place for war either.

The recourse for no war is doom. There must be a Gulf of Tonkin provocation in mid ‘11 and the war over and won for it to effectively insure reelection. That event might occur in Lebanon or Afghanistan where Iranian involvement becomes overt and breaks the camel’s back.

With no war, Obama is de facto worst President in history


62 posted on 10/27/2010 10:39:23 AM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Greetings Jacques. The revolution is coming)
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To: jhpigott

I somehow got an image of a million dollar missile attacking a 10 dollar tent and hitting a camel in the ass.


64 posted on 10/27/2010 10:46:22 AM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (If not Boston, then Texas. Go Rangers!)
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To: jhpigott

Wrong question. A better one is, what would a beaten Michelle insist on?


65 posted on 10/27/2010 10:55:59 AM PDT by Pearls Before Swine (/s, in case you need to ask)
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To: jhpigott

Not even if he was beaten with a baseball bat. He’d still want to set up a dialogue, like a little pansy @$$.


67 posted on 10/27/2010 11:37:01 AM PDT by libs_kma (THEY TALK ABOUT HIM LIKE A DOG BECAUSE HE TREATS THIS COUNTRY LIKE A FIRE HYDRANT)
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