Right now, I’m still in the camp of Dinesh D’Souza, who argues that Obama can be explained in terms of anti-colonialism, which was the true “dream of his father” (and grandfather). This logic states that Obama is driven by his pure focused thought that American domestic and foreign policy has been simply “white people exploiting people of color” Personally, I have seen no substantive instances that would argue otherwise, but always willing to listen to cogent arguments to the contrary. If this path remains true, then he will never attack Iran because he would rather Iran destroy Israel (the closest thing we have to a friend in that area of the globe [setting aside the attack on USS Libery, which Obama would see as serving us right]).
He’s more apt to attack Great Britain.
Based on your reasoning (which is persuasive) what he might attempt which would be a typically weak and half baked solution, would be to resume his “lightworker” costume.
Some monstrously expensive and irrelevant commitments to do-gooder efforts in the Third World, like the genital washing boondoggle in Africa. Congress would not fund it, than he would use that ‘meanness’ to beat on Congress.
It wouldn’t work, but it would be consistent and typical. Some sort of agitation like Jimmy Carter, while still in office.