Skip to comments.Polls may mislead in California governor's race
Posted on 10/31/2010 9:14:53 AM PDT by SmithL
Former Gov. Pete Wilson is the only politician to have beaten Jerry Brown in an election. In 1982, Wilson, then-San Diego mayor, trounced Brown, then California's bigfoot governor, in the race for U.S. Senate 51 to 45 percent. Now Wilson serves as Meg Whitman's campaign chairman. On Thursday, he told me not to believe polls that show Whitman losing by as much as double digits. Whitman, he says, has a real shot at beating Brown.
Polls that show Whitman losing, Wilson said, "are greatly underestimating the enthusiasm on the part of the Republicans and pretty much a lack of it on the other side."
And: "I think the undecided are going to decide in her favor."
If the polls are right and Brown does win, the big question is: Will Brown conclude that he won because he ran a savvy campaign or that he won largely because Whitman spent $161 million on a dysfunctional campaign?
Darry Sragow, a former Democratic strategist, is interim director of the Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California poll that shows Brown ahead of Whitman with 52 percent to 39 percent of the vote. (Wilson has real issues with that poll.) While Sragow refused to call the race, and noted that "the unexpected sometimes happens," he believes that Whitman frittered away her credibility during the campaign.
But also, "Jerry Brown won in one very, very important way," Sragow noted. Brown and campaign manager Steve Glazer withstood months of pressure from Democratic operatives who "were beating Jerry on the head and shoulders for not engaging and not spending money."
In the punditry biz, we have a tendency to overplay the importance of campaigns. In California, 44 percent of registered voters are Democrats and 31 percent are Republicans.
(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...
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Reporting Voter Fraud
The Republican Party has set up a National Hotline, which will be staffed with Attorneys to handle polling issues as well as possible voter fraud or intimidation.
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I don’t know why Whitman hasn’t been a better candidate, but if Californians change out the Governator for the Governhippie, they are nuts.
Moonbeam, your old girlfriend said it best:
(yes, she really was that skinny back then...not to mention HOT!)
Here’s to some major upsets November 2, even in California.
Most likely, of the 44%, 15% are illegals. Check ID’s.
Ive never seen a candidate spend so much money effectively neutralizing herself. She shouldve been running against Sacremento & Swartzennegger as much as Brown. Instead she runs on ‘im Meg Whitman and i made a ton of money at Ebay.
Never trust polls in states like CA, when they tell you a ‘telephone poll of likely voters’ Just where did they sample these likely voters? It matters a lot! I think the Rasmussen poll is probably the closest and that includes, 2% who want someone else, many of whom may break for one or the other of the main party candidates, and 3% who say they are undecided. With a +/- 4.5% margin of error this is too close to call either way. In reality it is a dead heat.
It is up to all those who do NOT want another dem/lib/progressive to go and vote for Whitman. Maybe not the best in teh world, but she isn’t the person who signed into law the dill act which let CA gov employees unionize and has got us into being bankrupt by public employee pension payments!
California deserves EVERY pound of defecatory material they can slap on their heads! They are putrid leftist assholes who live in a some fairy (SF) dream world of make believe.
If she was a Dem “WHORE”, she’d win in a slide.
That title is reserved for Moonbeam this go-around.
California has bad karma that it will not lose until it sheds the leftist bent and those they support at the polls.
Excuse me? Some of us Californian are republicans, you might
want to keep that in mind next time you want to insult
all of us.
HOW CAN BROWN AFFORD A MILLION DOLLAR HOUSE WITH NO VISIBLE MEANS OF SUPPORT?
The mystery of Jerry Brown's pension (Jerry's a double-dipper)
Orange County Register via DrudgeReport | 8/13/2010 | Brian Joseph
FR Posted on Friday, August 13, 2010 by GVnana
As Cali gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown grabbed the spotlight with his criticism of Bell city officials and their outrageous salaries and pensions, The Orange County Register Watchdog got to wondering: How much will the Democrat for Governor make in retirement?
That, as it turns out, is a very difficult question to answer.
After more than a month of investigation, the Watchdog can only say for certain that Brown and a handful of other top officials are eligible for generous benefits under a special pension fund so obscure that few people in government know how it works and many thought it had been eliminated 20 years ago by outraged voters.
Under the law, Brown should have accrued, at most, 16 years of service credit in this special fund, known as the Legislators Retirement System, or LRS. Actuarial statements produced by LRS, however, indicate that an unnamed person of Browns age and earning Browns exact salary has been credited with 25 to 29 years of service. The difference would mean tens of thousands of dollars in additional pension payments for Brown each year.
Browns campaign staff acknowledge the unnamed person sure looks like the gubernatorial candidate but have been unable to explain the discrepancy over service. Officials at the California Public Employees Retirement System, which manages LRS, have similarly refused to cooperate ... -snip-
But perhaps most eyebrow-raising is the service of a current LRS member identified in actuarial reports only as 65 years or older with 25 to 29 years of service and a salary of $184,301. -snip-
The person listed in the actuarials appears then to be Brown. -snip-
The only problem is Brown should have only 16 years of LRS-eligible service: four years as Secretary of State (1971 to 1974), eight years as Governor (1975 to 1982) and four years as Attorney General (2007 to 2010). (Excerpt) Read more at taxdollars.ocregister.com ...
The media has been caught red-handed trying to fabricate stories against Joe Miller in Alaska. I’m quite sure the California media is doing the same thing. Do not believe anything the media comes out with in the last few days.
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