Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Republicans to win control of House with 231 seats: Reuters/Ipsos poll
Reuters ^

Posted on 11/01/2010 11:13:37 AM PDT by Sub-Driver

Republicans to win control of House with 231 seats: Reuters/Ipsos poll 12 mins ago

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Republicans will take control of the House of Representatives from Democrats in Tuesday's midterm elections, a Reuters/Ipsos poll predicted on Tuesday.

Fifty percent of likely voters said they will choose a Republican candidate at the election while 44 percent will pick a Democratic hopeful, the survey showed.

Republicans are poised to win some 231 seats in the House and take control of the chamber

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2010election; 2010midterms; goodbyenancy; mostethicalever; pelosicongress

1 posted on 11/01/2010 11:13:41 AM PDT by Sub-Driver
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver

FOX News on TV is having a good laugh about this “breaking news” from Reuters.


2 posted on 11/01/2010 11:15:38 AM PDT by jiggyboy (Ten per cent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver
Another leftest source which ran bogus polls for a year showing very close races comes clean 1 day before the election to say face. Predictable.
3 posted on 11/01/2010 11:16:22 AM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver

48 hours we will know for sure... Errr, ummmm....48 hours plus 2 months of Lawyers, judges and acorn, then we’ll have our outcome.


4 posted on 11/01/2010 11:16:22 AM PDT by mikelets456
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver
178 to 231 is only 53. That's on the low end of current estimates.
5 posted on 11/01/2010 11:18:33 AM PDT by KarlInOhio (Dems' response to 11/2: Do not go gentle into that new day,Rage,rage against the coming of the dawn!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver
That will be taken down in 5...4....3...2...1
Then re-posted in about 48 hours....
6 posted on 11/01/2010 11:18:36 AM PDT by SERKIT ("Blazing Saddles" explains it all.....)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver
Tick

Tick

Tick

Tick

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

The sound of Witch Nancy's empire in the next 36 hours or so.
7 posted on 11/01/2010 11:22:01 AM PDT by ssaftler ("Politically Correct" is neither!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver
RealClearPolitics has GOP 224 - DEM 167, with 44 toss-ups, but with Rasmussen and Gallup both showing big breaks to the GOP.

It's going to be something like GOP 250 or more.

8 posted on 11/01/2010 11:22:02 AM PDT by mojito
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: KarlInOhio

Keep in mind 53 seats would be a 106 votes swing in the new Congress.


9 posted on 11/01/2010 11:23:28 AM PDT by Williams (It's the policies, stupid.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: KarlInOhio

Keep in mind 53 seats would be a 106 votes swing in the new Congress.


10 posted on 11/01/2010 11:24:32 AM PDT by Williams (It's the policies, stupid.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver

When Republicans won in 94 there were a lot of conservative Democrats who switched parties. I don’t know if there is still such a thing as conservative Democrats, but maybe there will be a few of them switch parties. ...No RINOs wanted.


11 posted on 11/01/2010 11:24:54 AM PDT by pallis
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver

Reuters could be close to correct in their prediction. Nate Silver is predicting 232 and he was very accurate with the last election:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

He used to write for the New Republic, and so you can guess which direction he leans.


12 posted on 11/01/2010 11:26:10 AM PDT by mathprof
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver

Bull crap. I want more than 231. Much more. I want 305 or 306. Minimum.


13 posted on 11/01/2010 11:29:44 AM PDT by Recovering_Democrat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver

Be careful......this story could be out so that on the day after (like a hangover) they can report that the Republicans did not do as good as expected!
Palin is correct when she said “Corrupt Bastards”


14 posted on 11/01/2010 11:31:50 AM PDT by blueyon (The U. S. Constitution - read it and weep)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: pallis

If he is re-elected, my guess is that Gene Taylor from Mississippi will switch.


15 posted on 11/01/2010 11:35:40 AM PDT by Maine Mariner
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver

231 seats?

That must be from all 57 states...


16 posted on 11/01/2010 11:38:44 AM PDT by moovova
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver

Too low.


17 posted on 11/01/2010 11:40:56 AM PDT by libbylu
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blueyon

DING DING DING.....we have a winner!

You’re are absolutely correct. I think they are seeting the scene so that when the number is less than they are predicting, they can call it a GOP “failure”. Everyone is so sure the Repubs are gonna carry all these seats. Let’s not forget that the labor unions & ACORN (or whatever name they go by these days) will be out in full force. There are already tons of allegations of voter fraud.


18 posted on 11/01/2010 11:42:52 AM PDT by surroundedbyblue
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: blueyon

DING DING DING.....we have a winner!

You’re are absolutely correct. I think they are setting the scene so that when the number is less than they are predicting, they can call it a GOP “failure”. Everyone is so sure the Repubs are gonna carry all these seats. Let’s not forget that the labor unions & ACORN (or whatever name they go by these days) will be out in full force. There are already tons of allegations of voter fraud.


19 posted on 11/01/2010 11:43:13 AM PDT by surroundedbyblue
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: mathprof
"Reuters could be close to correct in their prediction. Nate Silver is predicting 232 and he was very accurate with the last election"

What happened in the last, or in any other recent election is probably a poor predictor of the magnitude of what is about to happen in this one. I have been saying for a long time that the conventional wisdom when it comes to polling is inadequate to predict the likely tsunami that is coming tomorrow. I firmly believe that we (the good guys) are going to do even better than expected because of the enthusiasm gap and the corresponding difference in turnout.

Here in Colorado, Republicans are leading Democrats in early voting/absentee turnout by around 90,000 - 100,000 so far. That doesn't even take into consideration independents, who we know are going to also vote more Republican than Democrat. I think tomorrow night is going to be a very good night.

20 posted on 11/01/2010 11:45:04 AM PDT by noiseman (The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: All
Minimum acceptable gain at this point: functional control of the House (a bit beyond 218 to account for a few RINOs); say 225 seats or +47.

Next goal: gain 53 seats to exceed 1994 R gains (231 R seats)

Getting wild: +77 R seats, which would flip the House from 255-178 D to 255-178 R. That would be a beautiful thing to see in one election cycle, and a brutal "refudiation" of Obamacare and the rest of the totalitarian nonsense.

21 posted on 11/01/2010 11:45:36 AM PDT by BushMeister ("We are a nation that has a government - not the other way around." --Ronald Reagan)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: pallis
Lieberman is the closest thing to a Republican the Dems have. Whoops, had. And he's no conservative.He became an Independent so no Dem switches are likely.
22 posted on 11/01/2010 11:55:54 AM PDT by luvbach1 (Stop Barry now. He can't help himself.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: BushMeister

We are going to be in the 70-90 seat range.


23 posted on 11/01/2010 11:57:43 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (When the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn (Pr.29:2))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: surroundedbyblue

So will we have to say: were it not for massive vote fraud it would have been a Republican/conservative landslide?


24 posted on 11/01/2010 11:58:27 AM PDT by luvbach1 (Stop Barry now. He can't help himself.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: surroundedbyblue

The Left and their media toadies are creating a new meme for a GOP House victory of 55 or less...only 55, that is so 1994 and we all know how that worked out.


25 posted on 11/01/2010 12:07:43 PM PDT by dogcaller
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver

How is a poll going to be “breaking news”?

Maybe tomorrow night they can report actual results without making themselves look stupid.


26 posted on 11/01/2010 12:14:07 PM PDT by GeronL (http://libertyfic.proboards.com <--- My Fiction/ Science Fiction Board)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: pallis

RINO’s may be switching parties after this one.


27 posted on 11/01/2010 12:15:26 PM PDT by GeronL (http://libertyfic.proboards.com <--- My Fiction/ Science Fiction Board)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: dogcaller
50-44, and proportioning the undecideds gives a gain of 79.
Rasmussen 51-39 proportion undecideds gives a gain of 93.
Gallup 55-40 proportion undecideds gives a gain of 100.
28 posted on 11/01/2010 12:19:28 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: BigEdLB

I’m still going with my 52 card pick - up theory..... 52 (equals ‘94) + my 15% add during the last 10 days as I watched Obama cry, beg and dupe young children. Making for a 59.8 seat gain. I will add 5% for the combonation thinking of no major voter fraud and or a real true historic moment. making for a net gain of 62 to 63 !!! Me like!


29 posted on 11/01/2010 12:27:16 PM PDT by Republic Rocker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver

Wow, GOP is suddenly down to 6% advantage. In 24 hours!


30 posted on 11/01/2010 1:49:07 PM PDT by cookcounty (My Final prediction: 10 Senate seats, 70 House seats. --Oct 26th.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: pallis
I don’t know if there is still such a thing as conservative Democrats

Nancy Pelosi won the Democrat majority in 2006 by recruiting dozens of "conservative" Democrats. Many of them are political opportunists who voted for things like Obamacare and Cap N Tax when it was politically expedient for them to do so. Many of them were also the first to be cut loose by the Dems when they started circling the wagons.

Some of them could probably be turned from DINO's into RINO's, though you could never trust them to switch back when the political winds blow the other way. Example: Arlen Specter.
31 posted on 11/01/2010 2:01:10 PM PDT by Question Liberal Authority (Worst. Post-Racial. And Post-Partisan. Agent Of Hope And Change. EVER.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: GeronL

“RINO’s may be switching parties after this one.”

Good riddance! It will save conservatives the aggravation of having to beat them in the Republican primaries.


32 posted on 11/01/2010 2:32:39 PM PDT by pallis
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: Sub-Driver

Help Tennessee oust a obama clone:

PLEASE CALL IN AND ASK QUESTIONS! Pound home “It’s the People Seat”, not a dem owned seat. Talking points, we know all them, ask them as questions. Hammer the healthcare bill..Cohen is running on his STATE record. Voted for Stimulus, TARP, Bailouts, health care. Never met a tax hike he didn’t vote for, including a state income tax. US 9th District TN.

Steve Cohen has already closed his HQ!

Charlotte Bergman is Tea Party backed.

Studio: 800-474-WREC
Studio: 901-535-WREC

Andrew Clarksenior Show
600 WREC AM Radio
Monday @ 5: PM

http://www.wrecradio.com/main.html


33 posted on 11/01/2010 2:47:56 PM PDT by GailA (obamacare paid for by cuts & taxes on most vulnerable Veterans, retired Military, disabled & Seniors)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AdmSmith; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; bigheadfred; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; Delacon; ...

Thats’s 231 out of 435. Thanks Sub-Driver.


34 posted on 11/01/2010 3:11:29 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (The 2nd Amendment follows right behind the 1st because some people are hard of hearing.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: randita; AuH2ORepublican; Clintonfatigued; fieldmarshaldj; Crichton; Arthur Wildfire! March; ...

Numbers of GOP House Members

270 Won at election 1928

246 Post Depression High (won at 1946 election)

236 Recent High (1995/96 after party switches and a special election gain)

232 Won at election 2004 (recent high of seats won at election)

230 Won at election 1994

229 Won at election 2002

228 Won at election 1996

223 Won at election 1998

221 Won at elections 2000 and 1952

218 Majority

179 Current Strength

http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=39587

Human Events prediction


35 posted on 11/01/2010 4:47:49 PM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: fortheDeclaration

Agreed... the MSM and the Democrats have no idea of the intensity of people’s anger and of the mood in the country. I think Reuters, Silver and the rest of them are living in denial. Its going to be much bigger than any one thinks. That’s only thing I can safely say I’m sure of is going to happen tonight.


36 posted on 11/01/2010 11:22:21 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson