Skip to comments.Voter turnout running higher than expected (PA)
Posted on 11/02/2010 7:36:13 AM PDT by Red in Blue PA
Voter turnout is reportedly higher than normal, shocking polls workers across the Lehigh Valley area who were not expecting much interest in races for key positions like senator in Washington, D.C., and governor in Harrisburg.
In Allentown's mostly Democratic 7th Ward, Gus Kruz, the judge of elections, was seeing high interest in voting already a few minutes after polls opened at 7 a.m. Although not a large district, a dozen people had already voted in the 7th Ward by 7:15 a.m. At that point, Kruz couldn't predict if more Democrats would come out than Republicans.
The same was true in Bethlehem's 15th ward, 2nd district at the Education Center on Sycamore St. There' Craig Hynes, judge of elections, said he's seen crisp turnout. By 7:45 a.m., 66 voters had cast ballots despite mechanical problems with two of three machines, including one that had to be placed prior to the polls opening.
(Excerpt) Read more at mcall.com ...
What benefits us more? High turnout or low turnout? I think it’s the latter but I can’t remember.
Just hope those blue collars are coming in by droves to vote what they REALLY think about obama
I think in THIS election high turnout shows who is angry enough to go cast a ballot against obama/pelosi/reid
and therefore in GOP favor
I voted at 6:30 this morning. Precinct lot was almost completely full. I’d be willing to bet a lot of them were there to send a very distinct ‘message’ to Obama and his Congressional lackeys.
This election is not even close to a normal midterm one.
Heavy voter turn-out is in our favor this time. Remember that.
people are reporting that in the Kansas City area they have never had to wait in line when the polls opened,
but today there are dozens ahead of them when they showed up.
Depends on whether the high turnout is produced at the voting booth or the Democrat way through the transom
The parking lot where I voted was empty when I voted at 9:30. It looked like nobody was voting, but when I asked poll workers, they said it was VERY heavy.
two were voting when I arrived, two signing in when I left - disappointing. This precinct has a goodly number of Republicans which is unusual in NE NC.
In a county like Lancaster, if the turnout is strong, it is good for the GOP, they virtually sat out the McLame election in 08. A big turnout in Filthadelphia, not good news for the GOP.
From my perspective, I’d like to see a huge vote in the suburbs in any state and a small turnout in the cities, that would be the best case for sure. Of course, with the moocher class having nothing else to do besides cashing the G check today and being told that check is not going to come after any GOP sweep, the moochers will be out in force I fear so I am not as sure we reach any of the over 55 or so house seats being set.
I was, as usual, at the poll when it opened this morning. There were more people there than I have seen before.
They weren’t expecting interest in the outcome of Senate and Governor races? Are these the same people who find the job losses so “unexpected”.
well according to gallup poll, low turnout benefit gop more, but I don’t agree with it
I voted about an hour ago. Turnout was about what you would expect in a presidential year. There were no lines, but that is very dependent on whether busloads of seniors from the local retirement homes have come in recently.
Interestingly, there were NO Democrat’s handing out sample ballots, only Republicans. That’s something I’ve never seen before.
The type of voter that favors a Democrat usually comes out more heavily in a presidential year whereas mid-terms lean to the most civic minded who turn out to vote even when it’s not a dramatic one. These voters tend to be older and do lean GOP. Lower turnout in a mid-term traditionally favors the GOP for this reason while higher turnout means more Democrats then the norm have taken an interest in a mid term.
But this may not be an ordinary year. If the polls are accurate GOP and independent voters are energized at nearer to presidential years while Democrats are depressed. Higher turnout could mean an additional 10-30 seats for Republicans IF that anaylsis holds true. My hope is that it is true. If it is true, a seat like the Senate one in WV will flip to Raese and not Manchin.
Two out of three machines don’t work? CAN THE GOVERNMENT DO ANYTHING CORRECTLY?
At Work now, but will be voting at a Lancaster PA poll when work is done.
Question is whether these are Dem voters who always pull the D-lever or unemployed D voters who know there is a better way.
I truly believe that they are... I heard a union man say this morning where I voted (he was wearing an IBEW T-shirt), “Where is the ‘throw all of the bums out’ button”?
A couple weeks ago I think it was Gallup that released two models:
High turnout = GOP wins big
Low turnout = GOP wins HUGE
Anyone remember seeing that?
Let me remind everyone that here in southern OH, our "turnout" models caused us to be optimistic about McCain, that if our base just "turned out," he'd have a chance. Well, it did, and he didn't. One-fourth of deeply red precincts went for Obama in 2008.
So, I concluded that it ISN'T about "turnout," it's about HOW THOSE WHO TURN OUT VOTE!
I remember seeing that as well.
High, I would think. If the person actually shows up to vote, there is a chance they will vote GOP. If they don’t show up and the normal routine of voting for them occurs, it is a guaranteed Dim vote.
My main concern is about the Philadelphia fraud that happens every year. Governor Rendel was bragging on radio that he thinks the enthusiasm gap is more narrow in Pennsylvania and that RATS will come out to vote in bigger numbers than pollsters are saying. It sounds like he is setting us up for the fraud vote to steal the election.
I live in a city of 25,000. Normally I vote on my way to my 2nd shift job. I decided to vote after my shower this morning. Good thing. There wasn’t enough voting booths. I heard one say they never seen it like this before. They have more votes in that precinct now then they normally do all day.
I personally know of 3 dems who said they are not going to vote. I met a man getting ready to vote and I know he is a republican.
That said, the senate will likely go in proportion to the house. At least that's the way the math has worked historically.
I’m in the Philly suburbs, but I’m not too worried about NBP thugs. Our cops have a reputation for zero tolerance for outside troublemakers. Any NBP thugs who cause problems will find themselves on the ground, cuffed, hauled off, and locked up faster than you can say “Eric Holder”.
This was the case at my polling precinct, as well. I voted at 7:45 A, and I was the 90th person to vote. Usually I’m # 10 or so.
Yep, that's what I'm referring to. But see posts #6, 8, 16 and 27 for a different perspective.
Voted around 11 AM (PA-15 Dent’s district). They said it had been steady, about 100 per hour.
In 2008, I went about the same time to vote and the line was about 60-70 long to get in. Much lighter this year.
If you hear that turnout is light in Phila., you know what the outcome will be.
Just got a txt from my buddy watching a poll in SW Philly. He said turnout is way down. This is good news. He’s a good guy and isn’t afraid to mix it up.
Turnout in my mostly-conservative Philly suburb was pretty good. I was #50 at 7:25 this morning. (polls opened at 7)
There were GOP reps in the parking lot, but no dem reps. First time I’ve seen that.
Election officials showed up and re-calibrated the machines.
The problem is (allegedly) fixed.
“...shocking polls workers across the Lehigh Valley area who were not expecting much interest in races for key positions...”
They must be clueless Democrats.
During a midterm .... the out party usually benefits from the larger turnout......that’s why out party usually gains seats during a midterm...higher turnout should benefit repubs.
The poor Dem looked near tears.
This is Pa7 or Admiral Joe's district.
Daughter and I voted in District 8 (Bucks County), Steady turn-out, heavier than I’ve seen for mid-terms in the past. This is a typical Philly suburb, mixed bag, leans a bit Dem now, but still plenty of established, conservative, “God, baseball and apple pie” families.
We went to Bible Study this morning at a polling place in Northeast Philly (not sure the District), the “pamphleteers” standing outside the doors said it was light to middlin’ turn-out. This area is decidedly more Dem. leaning than where we vote.
It’s looking good. I do believe the admiral is wearing his bell-bottom trousers on backwards.
I cannot remember what I was in 2008, but I think I was around 550 at the same time of day. If we actually match a Presidential election turn out, it will be a good day for Republicans.
Good Bye Feingold, Good Bye Kagan!!!!!
Every parking place taken in the lot at my southern York County polling place at 9:30 AM - nothing like two years ago but heavier than normal for an off year election.
Wife just voted and was # 1217 of about 3500 registered voters.
A busload of retired folks from the retirement center drives by and sees that, I'm sure that went over big with folks who aren't getting a COLA two years in a row, and our top step teachers get 92K a year.
Glad to hear that. I hear the GOP turnout in Florida is very high too and not so for the dems. With Rubio doing very well, he may just pull Scott over the finish line ahead of the Obamatron Sink inspite of what the RINO’s here think.
I’ve added the freaking Weather Channel to my list of not to watch any more! This morning that horsefaced Stephanie Abrams was telling people that rain meant more Republican turn out so “be aware of that!” - then the clown from CBS interviewed Russell Simmons who did a personal ad for Obama.....
The protective cocoon that covers people like her is soon going to be unraveled by reality and when it happens people like her are just not going to able to cope.
CORRECTION: District has about 2800 registered voters so we were at about 42% turnout at the time of my post.
Red district slowly turning bluer and darker with Baltimore exurbs moving in.