Skip to comments.Dems, GOP make final push Will early Colorado voting trends hold up?
Posted on 11/02/2010 7:41:08 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
Republicans head into Election Day today with a significant advantage over Democrats in terms of ballots cast, according to figures released Monday by the Colorado secretary of state's office.
Whether that spells success come Election Night, though, is an open question.
In numbers up to date through the weekend, Republicans had about a 61,500-ballot advantage over Democrats. Republican voters also had voted at a higher rate about 5.5 percentage points higher than Democrats. Unaffiliated voters, who make up the state's largest voting bloc, lagged behind the two major parties but still accounted for about a quarter of the ballots cast early statewide.
"It's indicative of what you're seeing around the country and what the polls have shown for months now in terms of Republican motivation," said Eric Sondermann, a Denver political consultant.
But whether the figures are predictive of the election's outcome is very much a matter of debate.
For starters, it is unknown how many voters will vote at the polls today. In 2006, the last midterm election, about 63 percent of the state's active voters cast a ballot. If voters this year matched that turnout, it would mean more than 400,000 ballots about 30 percent of the predicted total would be cast today.
But in 2008, the first election in which Coloradans embraced widespread early voting, the percentage of votes cast on Election Day was much lower. Bob Loevy, a professor of political science at Colorado College, pointed to a recent University of Wisconsin study that suggests widespread early voting might drive down overall voter turnout.
"It's taken all the excitement out of Election Day," Loevy said.
(Excerpt) Read more at denverpost.com ...
I like Tom Tancredo.